Mastercard a long term opportunityMastercard Inc NYSE:MA
- Historically cycles are between 34 - 40 months
- Now on month 40 of a decline/consolidation cycle
- New cycle into bull phase highly probable
- Above 10 month, 200 week & 200 day SMA
- Recently had lowest oversold RSI level ever!
- Monthly MACD Cross
In addition to the above points, a number of bullish parameters are lining up on the chart.
On the daily and the weekly we breaking out of a parallel channel. We are testing the upper resistance of the parallel channel for the 5th time and appear to be breaking through. Parallel channels have one of thee best records in terms of trading pattern success rates.
The RSI was at its most oversold level ever in Sept 2022 and this may have acted as a spring to help propel price with enough momentum to breach through the overhead resistance.
In summary, the cycles suggest we are about to move into a bull market with the aid of a price spring from significantly oversold levels. We are breaking out of a parallel channel and have the 10 month, 200 week and 200 day SMA's under price as support and they are all sloping upwards.
The parallel channel target provides +41% return (see chart). I have also shown were a 100% return would fall on the chart. If we were to reach the top of the channel within the typical 40 month cycle by Sept 2026 we could see a 200% return in what is a very well entrenched and established stock/company.
NYSE:MA is highly established entity as the 20th largest company in the world by market cap at $372bln. A 2x in market cap would make it a $1 trillion company (how likely this is I don't know). Mastercard pay a very small $0.57 dividend each quarter per share ($2.83 annualized). Its less than a percent in dividend yield but its something else to factor in.
KEY DATE: Earnings report on 27th July 2022 (no negative earnings report since 2020).
