NAS100 Mean Retrace 26.10.2023It is clear that the NAS100 has broken another consolidation phase and moved to the downside rapidly yesterday.
This is an unusual crash intraday and considering the volatility of stocks, the index is expected to retrace before crashing further back to the 61.8%. It could be the case that this support is going to break instead. However the risk-reward ratio at this point is favorable.
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Reatracement!
AAPL- Earnings Play | UpdateFundamental Rationale-
AAPL catching my eye here, by no means is this a short-term play. 9 times out of 10 AAPL is a classic case of "buy the hype, sell the news" when it comes to earnings. Will have a solid run-up to earnings and sell-off after as everything will already be priced in, will be playing AAPL's run-up to earnings with one of the two plays annotated on the chart (See Green Box). On a slightly different note, big symmetrical triangle here on the daily timeframe on AAPL and is sitting right on its 20-day SMA (Not Pictured). Given the markets are all at or near all-time highs and in my opinion, are very overextended. That being said will be expecting a retracement back down to the 50-day EMA. Regardless, bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this triangle- Keep in mind this is a long-term play, just some support and resistance levels to keep an eye on along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime-
** 4-Hour & Previous Charts Attached Below **
Technical Rationale-
- EMA's starting to curl upwards
- 20-day & 50-day SMA golden cross (Not Pictured)
- Falling wedge on the 4-hour timeframe (See Attached Chart)
- Bollinger Bands Squeezing on the Weekly Timeframe
- Slight bullish hidden divergence on the RSI
PT1- $152.28
PT2- $154.50
PT3- $157.30
PT4- $160+ New ATH's
4-Hour
Previously Charted