WM Waste Management ( Garbage Collector / Recycler ) LONGWM on a 180 minute chart shows a trend up since the October earnings. The January earnings
substantially beat the earnings from the October report and the uptrend accelerated. The chart
shows both VWAP band and volume profile breakouts persisting over 5 months. I have added to
my long-term position in WM with call options for January 2026 striking $200. These have
expensive premiums but I believe there is high value showing on the chart. I have taken partial
significant profits from the $190 calls for January 2025 and am rolling the remaining a year
forward. I will also buy a lot of shares now and hold them for about 4 weeks closing out most
of the position a few days before earnings and hold the remainder through the earnings.
Profits will be used to buy another call option.
Recycling
Waste Management WM uptrending since prior earningsWM is impending earnings in the next trading day. It is a demonstration that there is money to
be made in the efficient collection of garbage and recyclables On the daily chart, since the
earnings beat, it has trended up through a high volume area breakout and a breakout across
series of VWAP lines and bands anchored in the intermediate past. The volumes have been
consistent. The RSI indicator shows both the lower and higher time frame lines above the 50
level since those earnings. I see this as an add to one of my investment portfolios as it is a
relatively slow mover with dividends. On traders with long duration swing trades will pay
attention to it. An options call trade in the lead up into earnings will mature on February 16th
This is a blue chip stock; it does not get headlines it just works hard month in and month out.
In my opinion, nothing is wrong with that.
LOOP INDUSTRIES / WYCKOFFThe great Wyckoff cycle is over, the new great cycle is near, interesting purchase in DCA for the long term. Canadian company in the recycling of plastic waste with a unique and revolutionary technology. Some scandalous articles in the press here and there, which given the share price seems to me to be a possible manipulation to keep the price low (personal opinion). Visible bullish divergence. Possible double bottom. Very interesting...
Recycling Batteries will be a Big Focus in the Energy TransitionThose of us following the markets in 2022 have tended to hear certain words again and again:
Supply chains
Energy shortage
Inflation
Renewable energy metals
We need energy. We want to transition from significant emissions of greenhouse gases towards more sustainable, climate-neutral sources of energy. It is difficult to foresee the demand for batteries dropping at any point in the near future.
But, there is a problem. Redwood Materials, a company that is focusing on battery recycling, articulates it very clearly in the title of Figure 1 and then in their infographic. The COVID-19 pandemic laid bare the fact that many things have built towards highly globalised supply chains. Batteries are a critical example, and securing supply is a topic that many regions are thinking about today.
A circular economy?
Intuitively, recycling battery metals makes a lot of sense. Instead of constantly sourcing more raw nickel, cobalt, lithium etc., it would be more efficient to make use of the existing stock of metals already in use in various physical products. The map in Figure 1 also makes another important point—the specific metals used in the manufacture of batteries are not evenly dispersed across the globe. Certain countries and regions have copious amounts, while others don’t have any.
It may be the case that we are early, and this is sometimes an issue in thematic equity investing. The concept and idea might be clear but getting the timing of the possible take-off can be tricky.
It is simple to picture the idea of electric vehicles (EVs) ending their useful lives and heading to the scrap yard, like any other vehicle. However, we are still early in terms of EV adoption, so we don’t have EVs at scale heading to the scrap yard at the end of their usable lives. That day will come, but not immediately.
This is important to understand, in that it tells us that the materials being recycled are not expected to be the actual batteries that were used for multiple years in an EV. Rather, the inputs into recycling will likely be scrap material from the increasing number of gigafactories coming online. This scrap could account for 78% of the pool of recyclable materials in 20251.
It is then estimated that in the mid 2030’s, end-of-life batteries will supersede scrap materials from factories, but extracting the valuable lithium, cobalt, nickel and other metals from existing end-of-life batteries will be a more involved process than processing scrap metals from factories2.
Geopolitics may offer a natural push towards recycling firms
In 2022, when one is trying to analyse the possible forward path of the relationship between certain countries (for example, US vs China) it is very difficult to know what might happen. China is the major processor of some of the most important battery metals (see Figure 2), which will likely be a major source of tension for Western countries. Based on what we can see today, we have to imagine that Western countries would prefer a greater independence of supply away from a dependence on China if that can be a reasonable possibility.
Conclusion: recent activities show companies making moves on this front
Ascend Elements is a start-up that is aiming to be an emerging centre of battery production in the Southeastern US. Jaguar Land Rover and SK Group have contributed, along with other investors, to put $300 million into the firm. It is seeking to commercialise an efficient method, termed ‘hydro-to-cathode’, to turn used lithium-ion batteries into new components. As of the recent funding, Ascend Elements is valued at $500 million3.
The Inflation Reduction Act is also notable, in that it focuses on defining how much battery material is coming from domestic production. ‘Domestic’ in this context means ‘inside the US.’ This creates an immediate incentive for recycling players to ramp up their production and operations in the US, as it would then connect electric-car tax credits for consumers back to batteries that are at least majority-sourced from inside the US4.
The primary risk in the space appears to be whether the recyclers can effectively achieve a scale of their operations to bring down unit costs and allow for strong financial performance before waves and waves of existing EV batteries start getting retired. Even if batteries from laptops and smartphones are recycled, it may not be enough material to scale operations and allow the companies to progress towards profitability5.
WisdomTree believes in the importance of the global energy transition, of which battery recycling is certainly a part that can grow over time. Diversification across the supply chain may mitigate the risk of being a bit early to certain parts of the picture.
channel breakout and strong support I had already created a setup for First Solar on 29.11.2021. This was stopped out with a loss of approx. 7%.
Now a new buying opportunity arises through chart analysis.
On February 14, the price formed an Inverted hammer (not perfect), which often appears at the end of a downtrend.
Yesterday's price formed a Hammercandle which could indicate rising prices.
First Solar is just about to leave a downtrend channel. Breakouts from such long channels (over 100 days) or ranges can result in very strong price movements.
The share has formed strong support at $68.
Therefore, there is much to be said for a rise in the price, and good risk management is also given, as the stop loss (SL) can be set below the support zone at approx.63 $.
However, I usually only set the stop loss in my mind. For me, the closing price in daily is decisive. If this closing price is below this zone, I close the trading position manually. It often happens, that the price triggers the SL intraday, only to rise again afterward. This is avoided in this way.
The price has potential up to $91 (take profit 1) or even up to $109 (take profit 2). This corresponds to a ratio of 2 (TP 1) and 3.9 (TP 2). The loss would only amount to approx. 13%. The profit, however, would be 27% or 50%. Therefore, I see a good buying opportunity.
What do you think?
I am very grateful for feedback :)
Deutsch
Am 29.11.2021 hatte ich bereits ein Setup für First Solar erstellt. Dieser wurde ausgestoppt mit ca. 7 % Verlust.
Nun ergibt sich eine neue Kaufgelegenheit durch Chartanalyse.
Am 14. Februar bildete der Kurs einen Inverted Hammer (nicht perfekt), der oft am Ende eines Abwärtstrends auftaucht.
Der gestrige Kurs bildete eine Hammercandle, welcher steigende Kurse anzeigen könnte.
First Solar ist gerade dabei einen Abwärtstrendkanal zu verlassen. Ausbrüche aus solchen langen Kanälen (über 100 Tage) oder Ranges können sehr starke Kursbewegungen zur Folge haben.
Die Aktie hat bei 68 $ einen starken Support gebildet.
Daher spricht viel für einen Anstieg des Kurses und ein gutes Risikomanagement ist ebenfalls gegeben, da der Stopp Loss (SL) unter die Supportzone bei ca. 63 $ gesetzt werden kann. Den Stop Loss setze ich jedoch meistens nur im Gedächtnis. Für mich ist der Schlusskurs im Daily ausschlaggebend. Ist dieser Schlusskurs unter dieser Zone, schließe ich den Trade manuell. Es kommt oft vor, dass der Kurs innerhalb des Tages den SL triggert, um danach wieder zu steigen. Dies wird so vermieden.
Der Kurs hat Potenzial bis 91 $ (Gewinnmitnahme 1), bzw. sogar bis 109 $ (Gewinnmitnahme 2).
Dies entspricht einer Ratio von 2 (TP 1) bzw. 3.9 (TP 2). Der Verlust würde nur ca. 13 % betragen. Der Gewinn jedoch bei 27 % bzw. 50 %. Daher ergibt sich für mich eine gute Kaufgelegenheit.
Was denkst du?
Für Feedback bin ich sehr dankbar :)
QuantaFuel trading at last relevant support – mind the gapQuantafuel executed an extremely successfull round of financing after strong newsflow, but is currently trading at last relevant level of support.
Note the volume profile in the chart.
Investors could try a new long position at this price level, but should have a keen eye on risk management. Or do the safe choice, and wait to see if the stock bounces.
Graf Industrial Corp $GRAF 52WH on P&G Speculations$GRAF is on the move this week on speculations that this SPAC will be merging with P&G spinoff PureCycle, which is a Plastics Recycling startup
This is a higly interesting very high risk play as the merger may very well not come to fruition.
Also look into yesterdays development on the regulatory side:
"Plastics recycling bill introduced to Congress"
To provide for a coordinated Federal program to accelerate
plastics waste reduction and support recycling research
and development for the economic and national security
of the United States, and for other purposes.