$J210 Resources monthly chart - not at levels to chase. Explanation in the chart. Not an area i would be getting involved in commodity stocks on the JSE. Probability favours consolidation and a retracement in the sector.
Resources
JSE:J210 Resources Approaching Overbought Trend LineThe JSE Resources sector has had a sharp increase from the oversold trendline (See post below). It is now testing the overbought line of the advance. Will watch for the reaction at this line.
URA: Incredible Weekly Set UpGood morning. With the cryptocurrency and weed markets still in consolidation, I've been sitting on cash waiting for a good long term set up. Uranium is probably the most hated market of all right now. It's seen nothing but downside for the past 11 years, but is beginning to show hope with this setup.
While AMEX:URA isn't a perfect tracker of the Uranium futures market, it is one of the better ways to capitalize on the commodity as Uranium sets up bullish on the weekly chart as well.
Oversold RSI
What I've noticed is that a low was established in 2016 along with an oversold condition in the RSI and has been respected when recently tested on a false break out to the downside. This creates a good case for a long term bottom in the market and potential for the start of a Uranium bull market.
Descending Triangle
Price has been squeezing down since Feb of 2017. That's 2 years of coiling price waiting for a breakout. What we saw in December was a bearish breakout to the downside rejected when faced with it's all time low. This is a good sign.
Price has now reversed and broken to the upside of the triangle pattern. This is also a good sign.
Increased Volume
Along with a bottoming formation, an Oversold RSI, and a Descending Triangle Breakout, volume has increased dramatically for AMEX:URA . This is a sign that there may be some interest entering the Uranium market after a long 11 years.
Challenges
While these are bullish signs for AMEX:URA , there are still some risks that Uranium could linger at the bottom for a number of years:
Lack of Interest in Uranium
100 and 200 Weekly MA Resistance
It is possible this breakout is shut down by the 100 and 200 MA, and we linger at the bottom for a number of years. Even so, this is a great time for me to accumulate for the longer term.
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JSE:J210 Resources Approaching Oversold Trend LineThe JSE Resources 10 Index has had a sharp decline and is approaching the demand line of the upward trend that started at the beginning of 2016. However, the decline to the demand line has been more dramatic than any other declines into the trend line. Will be watching for the reaction to determine if the upward stride will continue.
Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE): Resources are KINGI am very excited that the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) has been added to the TradingView data sources. This gives South African investors an opportunity to use the flexibility and ease of TV. As my first post I would like to highlight the performance of the Resources Sector. The South African economy was built on resources and has been under performing since 2008 (see chart below). But since 2016 this has changed and Resources are out performing the other sectors. The other sectors have also shown an upturn in August and with the Rand (ZAR) weakening on the back of emerging market jitters this could be a great Sector to find trades.
Potential Gold Rush Trade $PIOPioneer resources which apparently has tenements bordering Novo Resources appears to have shown capitulation on the chart, first resistance point as a potential target is 2.0c with the second at 2.7c.
long Tethyan ResourcesSouthern Arc $SA recently took a stake in Tethyan Resources $TETH.L. Tethyan will soon also be listed in Toronto. With 106.9 million shares O/S and a share price of 0.0224 the company has a market cap of GBP 2.4 million. Approx 55 million shares are in strong hands. The Phelps Dodge drillhole No.3 intersected 144m @ 0.4% copper & 0.4 g/t gold, and bottomed in mineralisation. Tethyan recently started drilling and I am looking forward to the results