SMALL CAPS CORRECTION OR HUGE BREAKOUT?The perfect storm event known as the Covid pandemic has introduced many millions of new traders into the circus. The indices have performed amazingly well over the last year.. nearly parabolically so. While I do not believe the indices have formed a major top yet, a minor pivot is likely. I have been hoping for a decent correction to shake things up. I am not certain if we'll even get that. I'm looking at this pattern on the Russell 2000 (RUT, IWM, RTY1!) that is either an ascending wedge or a bull flag. Watch price action closely in this range. If it breaks below, it will likely do it very quickly and flush a lot of these new traders out. On the flip, if it breaks above... well, prepare for another move that defies gravity.
What do you think will happen? I'd prefer a flash crash type of event. Personally, I believe having an equal long/short (hedge) is not unwise aka strangle.. Let's see what happens!
Rut2k
IWM Long, why not?Im surprise that Russell has not gone down or at least give into a healthy pullback to 190. There are so many stocks in this ETF that are trading relatively high to pre-covid prices. This ETF is juiced up with fed money. Its unbelievable! Sooner or later its gonna want more? More stimulus money, WTH? Why not?
Three weeks ago the uptrend channel was broken and this week its trying to come back to it. With the US economy coming out of the pandemic, it makes sense for IWM to come back to the uptrend channel? MACD just crossed so maybe its gonna go up. Does Russell range bound until the earnings come out in July or it can't wait any longer. I think its going up. Fed wins.
Trading scenarios for $RUT for 01-05 March 2021Trend:
Daily/Weekly/Monthly: Down/Mixed/Mixed
#RUT continues to be strongest of the 3 US indices, but Friday was disappointing.
3 possible scenarios:
1) Break of 2163, target 2097 and further 2044
2) As long as 2163 holds, look for longs, targeting 2289, which is a strong R. If we break this R, look for ATH at 2375.
3) 2163 holds and we target 2289. Rejection off 2289, for a move back to 2196.
IMO, scenario 3 is most likely.
IWM, Russell 2000 retracement?The Measured move of this triangle has been reached. I had a good strangle trade on IWM with calls/puts purchased before election. Strangles are terrific strategies when you know a big move is coming and the leverage of options can 5-10x or more in these type of moves. I'm now hoping for a pivot down in the market.. it could be mild- I don't know. We could melt up until end of 2022 but I'll be patient for retracements.
RUT - Small & Midcaps since 2008 - Upside down C&HThe next 10 years are looking bleak. The fundamentals of small/midcaps has been on a long decline. Is it really that difficult to imagine a future where a handful of corporations manage all of the goods and services? Throughout the index, companies showing increasing debt, declining revenues, declining cash flows. Thoughts?