Swiss Franc - It's Time for Risk-On?This week, Swiss Franc futures soared again boosted by trade war fear, but the next question is it's time to take the risk back?
S61!
BULLISH FOR THE SWISS FRANC Price made a bullish run and met resistance before the Swiss Franc pulled back bearish (50% fib level) to the point of support where price is currently trading. From this level, price has the potential to move Bullish to the price level i have marked with the green horizontal line which is 100% of the 50% fib retracement.
Entry - Grey line
Stop loss - Red line
Take profit - Green line
Risk exposure - 1%
Risk to reward 1:2
CHF futures looking like it wants to dumpTo me it looks like CHF want to go and fill in that big gap just like the EUR already did.
Reasons for it to back up this idea:
- Well Gaps like to be filled most of the time
- HTF Bearish MS now testing the 4h -OB
- You say they ran stops above that 4h ob tight before we dumped so that is bearish
- Stops ran on the 1h double top (you would see it better on the 15 chart)
Imo you could short it now already but if you want extra confirmation like i am. Then i would wait for it to get a close under that 1h ob that will become breaker once we close under it. ( yes i put breaker in the chart but right now its still just a 1h ob but i fully expect it to become a breaker soon)
So when trading under that level i will be looking at all the CHF pairs for short ideas
Swiss Franc 2 Possible Bearish Patterns for Short Opportunity I like this set-up. Factors influencing me are:
Bearish Bat Pattern (Purple)
Bearish Butterfly Pattern (Blue)
RSI Overbought
Negative Divergence in RSI (RSI making higher high while price making lower highs (dark blue lines))
Trendline from the recent highs
I have set a a limit order at 1.0026 for the completion of the bat pattern and will keep it as long as price does not make a new pattern before then. If I decide to take the bearish butterfly I will update.
