The Sakata Five(P.2)Five Sakata methods
These methods determine all phases of market price changes.
The Five Methods of Sakata consists of five elements:
San Zan (Three Mountains) - changing the direction of the trend, triple mountain or head and shoulders
San Sen (Three Rivers) - trend reversal, triple down, or inverted head and shoulders
San Ku (Three Breaks - Japanese call breaks windows - Three windows), they are in an on-going trend.
San Pei (Three Lines) - trading during the trend, three lines (candles) at the beginning of the trend
San poh (Three Pause - Three Methods) , a period of consolidation or the rest period of the market, the market makes a triple correction of the time / price relationship.
Each method begins with the word San. The Japanese word San translates as "three".
The market can only be in one of five phases of the market structure.
Each of these five market phases has a triple structure.
Ending the trend requires three windows.
For a trend to exist, at least three changes are required in the same direction.
Consolidation is characterized by at least three lines in a given time interval.
Forex is a very dynamic market and works 7 days a week, 24 hours a day. Therefore, the third method - San Ku - occurs very occasionally. Time fluctuates one after another and without pauses, the closing price of one candle is the opening level of the next. Of course, there may be very small gaps, but there will not be three in a given trend.
Brokers disable market access for individual traders from Friday evening to Sunday. The interruption may show up when the broker re-enables access to market data. This break has nothing to do with the San Ku method. Depending on the broker, there may be very minimal differences in the size of several pips.
Look at your charts, try to find individual elements of the price change cycle presented above, which were determined many years ago by Japanese traders.
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Each of the five methods, in and of themselves, can be used independently. This means you don't have to use all methods. You can specialize in one of them. It depends only on you whether you will use only one or all methods. It is very important for you to remember that they are trading tactics of the five fundamental market phases.
Munehisa Homma instinctively knew that each of the market phases opens the door to unique market knowledge. We should listen to the greatest trader of all time and remember his teachings. Based on this knowledge, it will be easy for us to determine the tactical opening / closing position. In addition, it will create and strengthen our operating principles.
Each of the five methods defines: the market phase, the trading method and very original rules. To this should be added a precise definition of the formation of candles, which we will talk about later in this book. Each of the five methods is used to confirm each other. Each of the five methods is related to each other. The same applies to candlestick formations. We always use the strongest of them.
Let's look at the rules for opening a position. Here are the key principles:
Buy or sell a long range after it closes.
Buy or sell after closing the last window.
Buy or sell after closing the third subsequent line in the same direction.
Buy or sell stamp from San Poh.
All these principles are contained in the five Homm methods.
In any case, it will pay attention to subsequent changes: triple up, triple down, a minimum of three windows (breaks) in the opposite direction to our position and of course we can not forget about the trend. After confirming our principles and the situation in the market, we will be able to open a position based on the precise formation of candles.
San Zan - Three Mountains
It is a formation of the Three Mountains. A triple treble or head and shoulders are formed when the market begins lateral consolidation, oscillates in three swings, waves that remain in the lateral range.
Mountains form when the market changes from a rising trend to lateral consolidation. No price formation is as strong as Three Mountains. Triple treble means that the market is not able to continue the previously chosen trend. It goes into strong consolidation. Even if it does not mean a reversal - it is an indication of very strong resistance. Look at historical data at this level. You will certainly find confirmation of this resistance zone in the past.
The formation of the triple mountain can be found not only in the five methods of Munehis Homm, but also in many Western techniques created by traders. They confirm that the triple treble is a key formation on which we make short sales. For Homma, the triple mountain not only meant sales, but also indicates a certain phase in which the market is. Namely, the upper trend termination phase.
Remember: we want to trade on a triple mountain formation that has already formed, not on a formation that can take place.
In western techniques, however, it is called a thrust. In the rest of the book you will learn its details. This is a powerful signal that tells us that the formation of the triple mountain has just finished and we can open a sales position. The hidden power of a long candle is always a surprise for traders. Such a formation was and is recognized as a perfect signal by excellent traders - Gann or Wyckoff. Here it should be noted that in the traditional Japanese trend we trade data from the past and not from the future. Don't forget the theory of three levels of fluctuation. Munehisa Homma only mentions the triple mountain.
Let's now look at examples of real currency pair charts. Price formation, which appears very often not only at the very top, but also during the growing trend. In any case, when this formation is formed, it is worth paying special attention to it.
Before the triple high formation, the upward trend moved into a sideways trend and then broke through the previous resistance zone. A quick move up and then a triple attempt at another break was unsuccessful. A long candlestick appeared below the trendline. Extremely long candle indicates the correctness of this formation and at the same time is a signal for a correct, with a very high degree of probability, opening a position.
Opening a short position should occur after closing the long candle below the previously drawn trend line. In the west, the exceptionally long candle that appears after the triple mountain formation has appeared is called a thrust.
The ongoing strong trend loses strength and goes into lateral movement - a triple treble. Each wave ends very quickly with doji formations. The last wave ends with an extremely long candle. This is a clear signal to open a short position. Below the trend line, the price is still trying to go up, but it does not have enough strength to do so. This attempt ends with a massive price drop.
Double top
The double top (capital letter M) is a very common formation on the tops. Here, special attention should be paid to the preceding trend. A double top sometimes is just a formation of a continuation of a trend, and here very often traders make a mistake, because no matter where this formation arises, they try to trade on it, try to open positions in the opposite direction.
To successfully trade on this formation, you need to draw a trend line connecting the inner shoulder lines, this means the so-called Neckline. The sales position should be opened after the candle closes below the trend line. The longer the candle body, the greater the impact on price changes. In Japanese techniques
The implications of changing trends are basically the same. It is also worth noting how the second mountain is formed. The more the second mountain needs candles, the slower it is created. This means that the impetus is slowly changing direction and is starting to accelerate in a downward direction.
San Sen (Three Rivers)
The formation of a triple pit or inverted head and shoulders, marking the holes by the price by creating formations, is a great help for us. After recognizing such a formation, we are able to react and properly open positions.
This is also the case with formations created at the very bottom of the charts. Here, the price shows us that the ongoing downward trend has just ended for some time and is reversed. The most common formation of the triple pit is inverted head and shoulders. Just like in the triple mountain, the same trade principle applies here. We draw a trend line, combining the so-called neck line. After closing the candle above the neck line, we can open the buy position. The neck line after cutting it by the price will create a support level, as shown in the chart above.
Double Hole
The second formation of reaching the hole by the market is a double hole. The formation is formed at the very bottom of the trend.
We are dealing here with a long candle (a sharp increase in impetus), which pierces the line connecting the two highest points in the middle of this formation. The place above the buy position should be marked on the chart above. You will learn about this candle formation later in this book. The candle, crossing the neck line
San Ku (Three Windows - Breaks)
The Japanese call breaks windows - Three windows, they are already in an ongoing trend. Ending the trend requires three windows. For a trend to exist, at least three changes are required in the same direction. Consolidation is characterized by at least three lines in a given time interval.
Forex is a very dynamic market and works 7 days a week, 24 hours a day. Therefore, the third method - San Ku occurs very sporadically. Time changes occur one after the other without breaks, the closing price of one candle is the opening level for the next. Of course, very small breaks may show up, but three will not show up in a given trend. Brokers disable market access for individual traders from Friday to Sunday. The interruption may show up when the broker re-enables access to market data. This break has nothing to do with the San Ku method.
San Pei - Three lines
The San Pei phase is the phase occurring during the trend. We have mini trends in this phase. When a triple treble or triple treble occurs, the trend should be confirmed. Sometimes it is not an easy task as it would seem to us.
Confirmation will be the next tilting points - Peaks in the uptrend (higher high peaks and higher low holes). In the downward trend, however, the next tilting points - Downs (lower high peaks and lower low holes). During the ongoing trend there will be side movements and consolidations. Here we should mention the method - San Poh.
Munehisa Homma gave us invaluable knowledge and the key, which is San Pei. Reduces ongoing trends to mini-trends! Creates a model of the smallest possible trends. Speaking in the modern language of chaos, trend fractals. Each trend has three phases - beginning, middle and end. In other words, they are three units or time / price candles. It consists of three consecutive candles with an increasingly higher closing price or an increasingly lower closing price. This is San Pei. The phase is so powerful that it can be used in itself to trade.
When San Pei is formed from three black candles, this formation is called "three black crows", while when it is formed from three consecutive white candles - it is the formation of three white soldiers.
This is the smallest trend in every market. The longer the candle bodies are in formation, the stronger the trend will be.
In San Pei we will find the quintessence of trading techniques in the trend. San Pei also gives us the main trading tool.
San Poi can also be applied to larger swings. The chart below shows three major trends - San Poi.
SAN POH
“... San-Poh (the three methods) in particular is a very unique technique and only a few people know it all over the world. If you sell or buy using only this method, you will make consistent profits, build a fortune, and never lose ... "- Munehisa Homma
San Poh concerns the market correction phase. This phase only occurs while the trend is in progress. It is the foundation for understanding the formation of market cycles. We should pay close attention to this formation.
Even with the strongest trend, the market must take a breath and wait a moment. This is a normal market reaction. Such formations can be found not only in Munehis Homm, but also in many Western publications. Both Livermore and Gann point to key reactions of slowing down the trend, where it is easy to open positions in an ongoing trend.
Easy recognition of this formation allows us to react quickly in market changes and build confidence in our reactions.
Trader and market cycles
Know yourself is the main task for a trader in achieving success. This is a ridiculously simple truth and not some psychological phrases. This is very specific knowledge - who we are in the course of trading. This applies to our trader's personality. When we trade, emotions, perception and our desires come into play.
They all have an impact on reality and can lead to success or failure. If we want to trade correctly, we should find out why we want to be a trader and accept the reality of trading in relation to ourselves. Unfortunately, most people expect excitement in what they call trading. This is a very bad approach to this trade. Trading means a huge amount of learning and work on your own personality and discipline.
Are you ready? If not, then give up trading.
Trading means much more than just buying and selling. Buying and selling are the tip of the iceberg. We need to get knowledge about the whole iceberg and not only about the very top. Sanmi No Den teaches us about two cycles - the trader's cycle and the market cycle itself. In other words, Sanmi No Den explains to us that we need to understand and understand the market cycles in depth. But we also need to learn about and explore the cycle of our behavior in relation to trading. The market cycle is objective and independent of the trader. The market will go through all its phases no matter what you think about it and what you do. Our goal is to integrate both cycles together. Only then will we achieve success. The success he writes about Munehisa Homma - The Sakata five.
Sakata
The Sakata five (P.1)Japanese obsession with the number three
Since ancient times in Japanese culture, the number three has been considered mystical, that within it there is divine power.
There is a Japanese saying - "Sandome no shojiki" - "Three times lucky". Among other things, that's why "Sakata Constitution" i "Five Sakata Methods"have achieved their mysticism. The magic number three can also be found in Western trading techniques.
We have three types of trend (upper lower and lateral), three trend classifications (main, secondary and small), three types of triangle formation (symmetrical, ascending and descending), the fan consists of three trend lines. For some unknown reason, number three has a permanent and very important meaning in technical analysis.
Very often "Sakata Methods" are presented with the following simple trade philosophy:
In the upward and downward trend the price will continue to change further in order to stabilize the direction.
It takes more power to cause a price increase than a downward trend. This sentence is directly related to the saying that the market is falling because of its own weight.
The market that rises as a result will decline and the market that has fallen will begin to increase.
They consist of two parts. These are:
1.Samni No Den market - a subjective part;
2.Sakata's strategies - the objective part.
Market "Sanmi no den" or "Sakata Constitution"
1.Leave greed, focus on the time-price ratio by observing previous price changes (emotion control and price analysis with time interval).
2.Aim for the ceiling and buying at the bottom (buy and sell points).
3.Increase the size of the position after increasing the amount of rice on the market by 100 bags, when the market is at the top or bottom. At that time, the price of rice was stiff, while only the amount of rice on the market changed (decision - size of the item).
4.If the market forecast is incorrect, you must find the error as soon as possible. Immediately after finding an error, close your position, abstain from trading for 40 to 50 days (decision about a wrong position).
5.Close 70 to 80 percent of the profitable position, liquidate the remaining part after changing the direction, when the price reaches the ceiling or is at the very bottom (directing profitable position).
First rule
BossThe first rule tells us about getting rid of the emotions of greed and what is so important about managing time and price analysis. Isaac Newton said, "I can calculate the movement of heavenly bodies, but not the madness of men." Emotions of fear and greed rule in every market. They dominate the decisions of traders. When we react to market price changes based on our emotions - you can be sure that nothing good will come of it. Any emotions should not affect our analysis. It is not important for us whether we achieve the maximum profit, but whether it is achievable at all. Waiting with an open position in a state of greed or fear, very often ends with either a small profit or a large loss.
The right time to open / close a position and the correct price level are the keys to success.
"You should never hurry to open a position because rush is the same as a bad start. When you buy or sell, wait 3 days from the time you think you can make a profit from a given market situation. " Munehisa Homma
Many traders talk about the importance of timing, we talk about golden opportunities.
When Munehisa Homma advises you to wait three days. He says you should control your mind, your subconscious mind, which creates greed and says, "You'll regret if you miss this chance, this golden chance." Wait a moment, think and calm down, start trading.
Second rule
How to manage the buying and selling position.
Many novices make a huge mistake trying to buy only at the tops and sell at the very bottom. Here comes the basic knowledge of candlestick charts. I would like to warn traders who are starting their adventure with trading on financial markets using only Price Action.
Misinterpretation of Homm's words can lead to this. This is not about selling at the very top or buying at the very bottom. An important element here is the use of the right time to open a position.
A very common mistake is the "pursuit" of a runaway price. The moment when the price begins to move quickly, emotions prevail over our common sense. We approach such situations emotionally, and then our decisions are not supported by technical analysis, but greed prevails over us. Lack of patience and anxiety pushes us to make such bad decisions. Learn to wait patiently for the right moment. The number of transactions is not important, but their quality. In other words, do not try to get 5 - 10 pips profit, but dozens. In the following you will learn techniques that will help in opening positions during an ongoing trend.
Third rule
How to decide the size of the position you undertake to open. These are comments about managing our investment fund. The size of the position depends on the size of the account. We are talking here about the Forex market with the possibility of using large leverage. But here too, our emotional state is an important element. Opening and monitoring your position is an important element. We should increase the number of open positions at every opportunity. Each subsequent pivot point is a chance for us to open another position in the same direction. Distracting positions allows us to increase profits and offset any losses. Here, the use of fractals and an alligator can be an example. On each fractal above / below the alligator, we add a position on each fractal but only to the fourth fractal. There is a recording of the "New Dimension" system on my site.
Fourth rule
What should our behavior look like when we make a mistake? What should we do when we see that we have made a mistake? First of all, after recognizing the error, immediately close the position. Analyze our approach to trade. Why and where the error occurred and why we made the decision one way and the other. This process is extremely important. If you know where and why you made a mistake, please describe it. Keeping a diary is an important element. Most (90% of traders) do not keep any notes about transactions. Such a note will help you after some time remind you of incorrect behavior and in the future, if this happens, you will know perfectly well how not to repeat the mistake.
Homma says that if you made a mistake, close your position immediately and leave the market for the next 40 to 50 days. This advice is the quintessence of wisdom. It holds a secret and at the same time a secret in itself. Leaving the market for a certain period of time allows us to calm the mind, a different view of the market. Not only will we obtain "cleansing" and calming the mind, but also our subconscious mind will have the opportunity to integrate and achieve the perfection of your strategy, "pure" look. Once again, we hear about patience and greed control. Try to remember it all. This is an extremely important element of proper trading.
The fifth rule
Managing a profitable already open position.
“Close 70% to 80% of all positions as soon as you reach the expected profit. Wait until the move is complete and close the rest of the open positions. "
Monitoring of already open positions, analysis of the trend, direction of opening and closing candles will show us when we should close each of the previously opened positions. Again, this rule tells us to be patient and warns us to keep greed under control. Many traders close positions at very low returns. The consequences are losses or a small profit. We should be patient and brave, let our position develop according to our precise plan, which we should apply from the very beginning.
It is particularly important to consider the risk-to-profit ratio. This principle has a hidden, powerful secret that you now know!
"Consult the market about the market"
The first and second methods require the use of charts and techniques employing real trading methods. The fourth and fifth methods are the basic principles of management as you should permanently use in trading to limit losses and increase profits.
In fact, the above collection of trading tactics primarily tells us about the psychology and emotional side of the approach to everyday trading. The five principles learned are the subjective side of trading. All five principles share the same message - Call for patience and greed control.
It is a championship in itself, where the result is the correct opening and closing of the position at the right time, right time, and at the right price. All five rules are closely related. The first fundamental principle of the market is its fluidity of time and price. It tells us that they should be measured, objectively measured natural market changes, swing oscillations.
When the magnitude of these movements is known, the second rule tells us when and where we should make decisions during them. We must wait for the right moment. There is a Japanese saying, "consult the market about the market." This means that when observing the market, we should pay special attention to price changes on the chart, and not rely on the opinions of market analysts or observe global international situations or economic policy, which may or may not affect the market. The chart is a graphical form representing the market price changes. It is clean and is not contaminated by the opinions of other individual people. By observing the market, anyone can identify the path the price has taken in the past and the path the price may take in the future.
Seiki Shimizu in his book "The Japanese Chart of Charts" reveals the law of natural market price changes that are characterized by "Three Levels of Fluctuation". The market moves in three levels, goes up or down, or stays temporarily in the middle, forming a zig-zag formation. It should be noted here that we are talking about price changes at a given time interval. Because the side trend at one time interval can be a set of changes in the upper and lower prices.