GBPUSD 19TH FEBGBP USD following the Australian dollar. We are looking for this to continue bearish here we have clear structural breaks on the larger time frame. We have clear areas of supply above as well as filling the short-term fair value gaps and imbalances. We are expecting this bearish movement to continue to our lower target which is the previous low created.
A pretty simple breakdown for this week as we would like to just follow the trend. Remember we always look for smaller time frame setups to determine the best possible entry point. Also, if the price does go against our overall bias, we adapt and react to the market accordingly. Remember, you do not want to be too attached to your bias because it's what you want the market to do.
You always have to keep an open mind and remember that price can do as it pleases... But for me, this breakdown is pretty simple and I'm expecting continuations to the downside. If we break the high of the short-term range, we can then start to consider possibly price shifting higher. Overall we are inside of a larger downward range, so overall I am still bearish regardless of this.
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As always guys trade safe, stick to your trading plan.
I hope you all have an amazing trading week.
Short-bias
AUDUSD bias 19th FEBSo we're back again for another AUDUSD breakdown. Following the idea posted last Sunday, we had some amazing bearish movements. CPI caused a slight deviation with our supply above, but held overall and delivered price lower.
Coming into this week, we're looking at a pretty similar scenario. Price has broken down and left to clear areas one it is sitting in currently. After clearing minor imbalances and tapping into this supply area, we have now seen price start to deliver shorts on the smaller timeframes.
It's a pretty simple breakdown for this week and I'm looking for clear bearish movements lower, with our target being the large demand area that has not yet been tested.
Overall, I'll be looking for bearish movements pretty much from market open. But as always, we will monitor the lower timeframes to find our best entries to take this move if it's going to happen.
Remember guys, if you like this idea, hit that boost button. Drop us a comment down below. Let us know what you think.
As always guys trade safe, stick to your trading plan.
I hope you all have an amazing trading week.
The Dollar remains relatively firm and resilient given a loss...The Dollar remains relatively firm and resilient given a loss of safe-haven status or less demand amidst a fragile recovery in risk sentiment, month end portfolio rebalancing and positioning ahead of next week’s US Presidential Election. However, the index is back below 94.000 and Thursday’s 94.105 high within a 93.983-762 range as several major counterparts claw back some lost ground before another raft of data, the Chicago PMI and final Michigan sentiment. All narrowly mixed vs the Greenback, as the Kiwi regains hold of the 0.6600 handle in wake of another upbeat sentiment survey (ANZ consumer confidence up to 108.7 in October from 100.0 previously), and the Euro pares some post-ECB losses after basing at 1.1650. Note, this coincided with the 100 DMA, which is now 5 pips firmer and the 2 chart points also align with 1.5 bn option expiries for today’s NY cut.
AUD/USD - Short, with added confluence to make this move strongDaily Support created the illusion for people to go long, the stop losses just below.
Remember if you buy, your stop loss is a sell. You SELL your BUY position at a worse price!
China and Australia's economies are very tied together, due to the corona outbreak the AUD is tanking.
This added with the fuel from all the stop losses below the daily resistance zone create a good ammunition to take price down.
Plus breakout traders golden rule is usually trade support becoming resistance etc.
I entered after a pullback/retracement and break lower on 1hr.
Check you bias. You're confident no bearish continuationGot to see what both sides of the coin look like.
if this was the correct pattern, we could get 8800-9k or we could fake break up and drop.
We will see soon enough how this plays out.
If this plays out, you better come give me a like for charting the trend you didn't want to.
XAUUSD 24.06.2019WEEKLY:
- possible retest of the trendline before further downside
- pair bounce on trendline twice (yellow sphere), thereafter, pair broke out (pink sphere).
- there could be a possible short opportunity if pair rejects the ascending trendline
- pair could spike to the 100% fib before continuing its downward mvnt
INVALID IF:
- weekly closure above the trendline
NB:
- watch DXY + SILVER for correlation.
- wait for upward momentum to decrease, therefore look for multiple rejections on the daily/ 4H time-frame before shorting
- wait for clear rejection on daily + 4H time frame before entering trade
- watch fundamental release prior to entering
GOLD My Old Buddy 4H XAUSUD Short Term Bias Down IdeaIdea - Gold 4h Short term bias down, following blue line trend wedge short.
Please share, comment or add your opinion. Thank you, Nath
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GBPNZD - Sun March 17This is a much longer term outlook on GBPNZD. As you can see on a DAILY time frame, price has been respecting the channel but in the past few weeks has been trying to breakout to the downside.
Looking at things from a technical perspective, I see the downside pressure winning this tug of war and taking price to the 1.7500 region.
Although, when you factor in the current state of affairs surrounding the Pound and Brexit... anything could happen.
This is strictly my opinion and I am not qualified to give financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Happy trading :)
~TraderTrev
Possible GBP/JPY Short Position!!SMP TRADING
SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - H4
Timeframe - 1-2 days
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Market will meet resistance in zone @144.66 - .... and fall to the @141.200. In order to enter, the pair MUST be in line with my Entry Procedure....
B – Beliefs
Market move towards the first Target 1 level @ 141.400
FX:GBPJPY
Trade Management
Entered @ Sign up for mentoring
Stop Loss @ Sign up for mentoring
Target 1 @ 141.200
Target 2 @ ....
Risk/Reward @ 4.1
Happy trading :)
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This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
Inverting the chart to avoid bias in trade selectionHave you ever taken a chart and looked at it from the flip-side?
Why would you do that? To avoid bias. There is a long bias and a short bias. We all have biases, but just need to confirm it by a simple test. Plot a chart of SYM and then plot the inverse of the chart next to it by using 100/SYM. You can make the numerator any size you want to get the price scale you want. In the example above I used 10,000/DIA to plot the inverse of the DIA as a $59 stock instead of a $168.23 stock.
If you see a difference in the charts then you have a bias and it would be good to take any of your charts and flip them over first to see before you take a trade.
Look at the chart of the DIA on the top left. It looks more bullish to me than bearish and my eye sees the resistance as more likely to be overcome to my eye than the chart on the top right. I see the base as more supportive and the area above as a zone to retest and work through the resistance. Therefore, I have a long bias. I see the chart on the right as bullish (bearish in reality, the inverse).
See what you find in yourself. We are all different and we also see different parts of the chart stand out to our eye when we flip it over. Check it out for yourself.
Tim
11:58AM EST 10/7/2015