S&P 500 retest of lows possible within next few daysMinor resistance at 50 day moving average. Might see some open short interest pushing prices down back to 1860 or so given that current market conditions are ideal for volatility. If we are lucky, should be able to see an inverse H&S that should push price upwards over the 200 MA in the coming months once the market realize the over-reaction to economic activities in China and the US.
Placing stops just slightly above, near the 50% retrace from the december end decline.
Remember, nothing can stop the irrationality of men except for irrationality itself - till then!
Feel free to post your comments, we can always agree to disagree.
Short-trade
short minersI actually got shook out of my DUST position flat yesterday because I didn't have a trade plan set up. Too bad.
So here it is, pretty high risk trade as it stands if using GDX (long puts, never short shares without a long call to cover your butt, I'll write a book "Advanced Trading for Beginners")
Anyway, I think we have plenty of downside here, unless GOLD GL really want's that CUP and HANDLE pattern to play out.
AUDJPY SHORT UPDATEAs you can see the trade i put few days ago is wrong. price will not continue the trend, it didnt break the structure. price break the trend!
THIS IS WHY WE NEED TO WAIT FOR BREAK OUT OTHERWISE WE ARE GAMBLING AND IS BETTER AT THE CASINO
However. RSI is showing a really good divergence. So lets wait for the break of the structure to make a short!
Now we have more signals for short
1- break of the up trend
2-Divergence in the RSI
3-Corrective structure forming
Ford test resistance level with a reversal candleThis is the kind of short that I like: the downtrend was defined by the breakdown of a important support level last week and now the market test this same level as resistance, forming a gravestone doji.
I expect the price to resume the downtrend seeking the last bottom at 15.15 and even beyond that level.
Change my mind if the price breaks the resistance level at 16.09.