AUDUSD wave analysisLooking at the larger time frames, The AUDUSD has made an ABC zigzag correction, and the trend down from that is here as the high, there are 5 waves down, with divergence between the 3rd and 5th waves on the 1H MACD, should this be the bottom, I am expecting a correction to the upside before looking for a longer term sell.
Shorttermlong
EUR/AUD short term long!Good Morning Traders,
EUR/AUD short term upside trade! I will be buying this pair to the swing high as the pair is still in a bigger correction with potential for a big move to the downside. My target is 1.49042, and I have quite a conservative stop at 1.48087
Good luck and trade with discipline and effective risk management!
Ike
New long trade identified on the close - Buy SPX LNSpirax-Sarco Engineering was upgraded this morning and traded positively throughout the day. The shares are outperforming the UKX100 over the past 3 months and look set to push on towards new highs.
Buy on the open tomorrow morning with a stop loss at 4490p
Target is 5300p over the short to medium term.
PDLI Bull - short termPDLI has clearly broken out of its triangle formation, confirming the pattern. Using the measure rule we can predict a best case price target of just over four dollars. PDLI has already made half of that movement upward, so the risk-reward today is much less enticing than it was immediately after its breakout. It also broke out rather close to the apex of the triangle. which may suggest a weaker performance. Though, for those who are willing to take the risk (particularly considering the indecision shown in the last two candles and the low volume), there may well be some profit left on this breakout.
Full disclose, I wont be trading this pattern. This is one I watched but declined to enter due to its weak volume on the breakout. Strong volume is a must for me to enter a trade, though many others ignore or put less emphasis on volume and I may come round to that way of thinking because of the large number of trades like this which have me sitting on my hands.
Were it not for the low volume requirement I would be sitting at a nice little profit. Still, I very much think that if you have a system you should stick with it even when it means watching from the sidelines and, for now, I avoid trades unless volume is strong on the price movement.
Shorttermlong in a Bearish EnvironmentThe bull move since January is still going strong. It seems like they all put their piratepatches on both eyes and are now going with the trend.
Also take a look here at the resemblance for the start of this year and the start of 2015. HS formation formed in both cases, ended up fulfilling in the same way. After this followed the volatile way to the top.
There is no foundation that will keep the oil above 40 for more then a few months, In the next few weeks we will see the 2016 final top, before we move on down for the rest of the year