Why ORB + VWAP is Your New Best Friend in Trading -No, SeriouslySP:SPX Hey there, traders! Deno Trading here;👋 Stop feeling like the market is just a one big, mysterious puzzle, and felt you're missing the piece that makes everything click? Well, strap in, because today we're diving into the magic of the Open Range Breakout (ORB) strategy, sprinkled with a little VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) magic dust. Spoiler alert: This combo is like peanut butter and jelly for traders—simple, effective, and deliciously profitable.
The Chart (aka "The Battlefield")
Take a look at the chart above—our trusty S&P 500 on a 15-minute time frame. Notice those blue zones? That’s your ORB, the first 15-30 minutes of market action where all the cool kids (a.k.a. the big institutions) are making their moves. The VWAP line? That’s the referee, keeping everyone honest.
Now, let’s break down why ORB works most of the time (we're not wizards, after all, just really good strategists).
ORB: The Reliable Wingman
Imagine ORB as your super-reliable wingman. It’s there at the start of the trading day, setting the boundaries. If the price breaks out of this range, it’s like getting the go-ahead from your wingman to approach—“Yeah, this one's a keeper.”
In our chart, you can see how every time the price breaks above or below the ORB, it either rockets off to the moon 🌕 or dives deep into the abyss. And just like in life, we always want to go with the flow—if the price breaks out, we’re in for the ride.
VWAP: The Truth Serum
Now, let’s talk VWAP. Think of VWAP as the lie detector of the trading world. When the price is above VWAP, it’s like the market is saying, “I’m feeling good, let’s keep pushing higher.” Below VWAP? Well, it’s like the market’s had a rough night out, and it’s probably heading home early.
In this chart, you’ll notice how the price interacts with VWAP after breaking out of the ORB. When the price stays above VWAP after a breakout, it’s a sign that the bulls are in control—cue the confetti! 🎉 But when it dips below, the bears start growling, and you might want to reconsider your long positions.
Jokes Aside But Hey: ORB Always Works (Except When It Doesn’t)
Let’s be real for a second—ORB mostly works. Kind of like how your Wi-Fi mostly works until you really need it. But when ORB does work, it’s like hitting the jackpot. You’re basically riding the wave that everyone else is trying to catch. And if it doesn’t work? Well, blame it on the market gremlins and move on.
Why and Why again: ORB + VWAP = Trading BFFs
Let me wrap up that if you’re not using ORB with VWAP, you’re missing out on a killer combo. These two are like Batman and Robin, or coffee and donuts—they just make sense together. So, the next time you’re staring at your charts, remember: Trust in the ORB, let VWAP be your guide, and don’t forget to laugh at the market’s little quirks and use the news as your catalysts. Because at the end of the day, trading should be fun, profitable, and maybe just a little bit magical.
Now go forth and conquer those charts, my fellow traders! 🚀 Deno Trading in and out!
US SPX 500
4750 Target met, trends in some conflict nowSo, we did hit that 4750 range, and ended up hitting it within just a few hours of my assessment that was the next area for us to head.
That opens up a few trends to take us lower, specifically the 1hr and 2hr, as seen below in the trends;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract)
30m - 4722 Downtrend (1/8/2024) Lower Low
1Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High
2Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High
3Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low
4Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low
6Hr - 4759 Downtrend (12/20/2023) Higher Low
12Hr - 4762 Uptrend (1/3/2024) Higher Low
Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High
So now the shorter timeframe trends are in some conflict with the longer timeframe trends, and being I capitalized well last week, I am in no rush to get between this fight.
Economic Data;
I could see the public debt today being a big issue, but the major one this week will be CPI data on Thursday, as covered in the video.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to be a concern as well.
My sentiment is;
Shorter Term - Neutral
Short Term - Neutral
Medium Term - Neutral/Bullish
Long Term - Bullish
Safe trading, and remember your risk management.
S&P Short; Wave 5 target reached, RSI(7) pattern recognisedIn Summary:
1. We see 5 waves up and wave1=wave5, and it doesn't matter if it is a 1-2-3-4-5 or a W-X-Y-X-Z. The next move should be down.
2. RSI(7) crosses 88 and based on 3 other historical instances of similar preceding pattern, the next move should be down.
3. The risk-reward is better on the short side than the long side.
US500 - Detailed Video Analysis 📹 From Weekly To H4Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #US500.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
SPY 30th Sep,2023 WEEKLYThis is my weekly analysis for SPY.I have clearly explained what price is willing to do and trust me there is no rush to push trades on yourself. Just wait for the right opportunity.
If you have any doubts feel free to shoot me a text.
NOTE: STAY AWAY IF YOU ARE NOT SURE ABOUT THE MARKET
S&P 500 H4 | Bearish reaction off 23.6% Fibo?Price is approaching our sell entry at 4401.43, which is a pullback resistance level, and at the 23.6% fibo retracement. Our stop loss is at 4449.30, which is placed slightly above the 38.2% fibo retracement and it is also a pullback resistance level. Take profit is at 4341.27, which is a multi-swing low support level.
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How to Access Stocks Earnings Report in TradingViewWelcome back Traders!
TradingView has done an excellent job providing earnings information on individual stocks! If you are a new or existing stock market trader, you will find this information helpful
and I hope you learn something new.
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Microsoft I Pullback and rise upwardWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**Microsoft Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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SPY I Pullback and more growth to comeWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**SPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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S&P500 Analysis 29.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
S&P500 Analysis 13.11.2022Welcome to the BasicTrading channel.
My name is Philip and in todays analysis I quickly go over the situation which we currently have on the S&P500.
I will analyse the asset both from a weekly and daily timeframe to show you the best possible trading opportunities.
If you enjoyed this analysis, let me know in the comment section which asset I should analyse tomorrow.
I will personally reply to every single comment.
Dont forget to smash that rocket and I will see you tomorrow with a new analysis.
WEEKLY OVERVIEW on US Index, EURUSD and USDCADHi Traders,
This is my view for this week on:
- SP500 and NAS100
- EURUSD
- USDCAD
I remind you that this is only a forecast based on what current data are.
Therefore the following signal will be activated only if specific rules are strictly respected.
I really hope you liked this content and I would like to know what do you think about this analysis, so please use the comment section below to give me your point of view.
Pit
DISCLAIMER:
Trading activity is very dangerous. All the contents, suggestions, strategies, videos, images, trade setups and forecast, everything you see on this website and are the result of my personal evaluations and was created for educational purposes only and not as an incentive to invest. Do not consider them as financial advice.
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spx500 BIAS REVIEWA little video review of me just taking L's and documenting what my thought process is and what I think about and what leads me to do and react the way I do to the markets .. etc.. NO Perfection here -- just lots of learning.. Never financial advice just documenting for my education and learning process and sharing with those who might be going through the same obstacles in trading.