An Important Bullish Pattern Forms on the NIO Share Price ChartAn Important Bullish Pattern Forms on the NIO Share Price Chart
Today, the share price of NIO Inc. (NIO), a Chinese manufacturer of "smart" electric vehicles, is trading above $4 – a development that may be viewed as an optimistic scenario following the drop to $3 in the first half of April, marking the lowest level in nearly five years.
Why Has NIO’s Share Price Risen?
Bullish sentiment has been supported by news that the company: → increased vehicle deliveries by 40.1% compared to the same period last year; → is launching its premium ET9 model, expanding its range of offerings.
Additionally, news offering hope that high tariffs in international trade may not hinder the company's growth has also had a positive impact on NIO’s share price.
Technical Analysis of NIO’s Share Price Chart
From the perspective of candlestick analysis on the daily chart, a "Three White Soldiers" pattern (marked with an arrow) can be observed. This is considered an important bullish signal, as according to Thomas Bulkowski, author of Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, following the formation of a "Three White Soldiers" pattern, a bearish trend (highlighted by the red channel) reverses to the upside in 82% of cases.
However, it is important to bear in mind that resistance may be encountered at:
→ the $4 per share level, as it previously served as a support;
→ the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the downward move between 12 March and 8 April.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Stocks!
btc . wOpen . SHORT weakwOpen with a run down to current range volume profile LOW + minor SFP low (liquidity grab)
- Stop out LONGS
- Catch late retail SHORTS - squeeze them to top range + higher
the friday SHORT was good, but didn't catch momentum
looking to move TP1 to cW 0.5 retrace level @ 93.809
i see this pump higher . though cautios, because these levels are late LONG entries only
looking for LONGS around
93.777 - 92.782
tp1 . 95.843
tp2 . 99.490
if we see a down momentum shift, act accordingly
- i believe this to come towards wednesday
The Hidden Power of the Silver Bullet Strategy - Full GuideIntroduction
The Silver Bullet Strategy is a high-probability intraday trading technique popularized within the Smart Money Concepts community. It focuses on taking precision trades during specific times of the day when liquidity is most active. Mastering this strategy can help traders consistently capture high-quality setups with minimal risk.
In this guide, we will cover:
- What the Silver Bullet Strategy is
- Key Times to Watch
- Entry Models
- Target Setting
- Risk Management
- Real Chart Examples
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What is the Silver Bullet Strategy?
The Silver Bullet Strategy is based on trading within a "window" of high-probability price action, typically during key liquidity times. It looks to capture moves after liquidity sweeps, order block mitigations, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) plays.
Key Principles:
- Focuses on high-probability windows (New York session especially)
- Waits for a liquidity grab and displacement
- Entries are often on FVGs, OBs, or MSS points
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Silver Bullet Timing Windows
Timing is crucial to this strategy. The "Silver Bullet" typically occurs in these windows (New York time):
- First Window: 10:00 AM - 11:00 AM (New York)
- Second Window: 2:00 PM - 3:00 PM (New York)
These times capture major moves post-liquidity sweeps or reversals after news/market manipulation.
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Silver Bullet Entry Model
The classic sequence for a Silver Bullet setup:
1. Identify Liquidity Sweep: Look for price to grab liquidity above a swing high or below a swing low.
2. Look for Displacement: A strong move away from the sweep, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or Breaker Block.
3. Entry in FVG or OB: Enter on a retracement into the FVG or Order Block after displacement.
4. Confirmation: Use lower timeframe MSS or BOS to confirm the reversal.
Liquidity sweep and FVG at the 5m:
MSS + Displacement candle at the 1m:
So all 4 steps completed!
Example Entry Checklist:
- Liquidity sweep
- Strong displacement creating an FVG
- Price retraces into FVG or OB
- MSS/BOS confirmation
- Execute trade with tight stop-loss
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Where to Set Targets
Targets should be logical based on market structure:
- First Target: Recent internal liquidity (equal highs/lows)
- Second Target: External liquidity zones (major swing highs/lows)
- Optional: Use 1R/2R/3R scaling based on risk-to-reward goals
---
Risk Management for Silver Bullet Trades
Golden Rules:
- Risk less than 1% per Silver Bullet setup
- Set stop-loss beyond the liquidity sweep (not too tight, not too loose) or above FVG
candle
- Stick to one or two trades per window maximum
- Avoid revenge trading outside the windows
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Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Trading outside the specified time windows
- Entering without a confirmed sweep and displacement
- Overleveraging because the strategy "looks easy"
- Ignoring higher timeframe bias (HTF context is still critical!)
Pro Tip: Combine Silver Bullet entries with SMT Divergences, MSS, and IFVGs for maximum confluence.
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Final Thoughts
The Silver Bullet Strategy is one of the cleanest ways to approach intraday trading. By mastering liquidity concepts, timing, and precision entries, traders can catch powerful moves with strong risk-to-reward setups.
Be patient, wait for your window, and always trade with discipline.
Happy Sniping!
BTC - FVG + Golden Pocket Confluence = Short SetupA strategic high-timeframe imbalance meeting Fibonacci retracement, setting up a potential bearish reaction.
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1. FVG + Golden Pocket — High-Value Supply Zone
The red shaded area defines a significant confluence:
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Left behind by an aggressive drop, representing inefficiency where price is likely to react.
- Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65): High-probability Fibonacci retracement level, often acting as a magnet for liquidity before continuation.
This zone is primed to act as strong supply if price retraces into it.
---
2. 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci Retracement — Prime Rejection Zone
This Fib pocket offers:
- A technical level where aggressive buyers previously failed to hold ground.
- A common area where institutional players offload positions, triggering sell-offs.
A reaction inside this range aligns with broader bearish continuation expectations.
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3. FVG Rebalance — Liquidity Collection
As price fills the inefficiency:
- It completes the rebalancing process, removing the incentive for further upward movement.
- Typically, liquidity grabs inside the FVG precede a sharp move back toward lower liquidity zones.
This supports the short bias post-rebalancing.
---
4. Expected Price Behavior — Liquidity Trap Mechanics
The projected move mirrors classical smart money behavior:
- Step 1: Induce late buyers into the FVG + Golden Pocket area.
- Step 2: Trigger a quick rejection after liquidity collection.
- Step 3: Resume downward pressure as imbalance is resolved.
The entire flow is designed to punish inefficient entries and reward patience.
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5. Market Context Alignment
- FVG and Golden Pocket together strengthen the case for a precise, controlled rejection.
- Emphasis on liquidity-driven movements keeps the focus sharp on execution and timing.
---
6. Summary:
- FVG + Golden Pocket = Strong Supply Confluence
- High-Probability Short Setup Based on Rebalancing and Liquidity Collection
- Structured, Smart Money-Driven Price Behavior Expected
Tactically clean setup following liquidity engineering and imbalance theories.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 28 – May 2, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 President Trump's 100th Day in Office: Wednesday marks President Trump's 100th day of his second term. His administration's protectionist tariffs continue to influence global markets and political landscapes, with notable impacts observed in Canada, Australia, and the UK.
📉 Trade Tensions and Economic Indicators: Investors are closely monitoring the effects of recent U.S. tariffs on economic performance. Key data releases this week, including GDP and employment figures, will provide insights into the economy's resilience amid these trade policies.
💼 Major Corporate Earnings: This week features earnings reports from major companies, including Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, ExxonMobil, and McDonald's. These reports will offer a glimpse into how large corporations are navigating current economic challenges.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Monday, April 28:
🏠 Housing Vacancies and Homeownership (10:00 AM ET):
Provides data on rental and homeowner vacancy rates, offering insights into housing market dynamics.
📅 Tuesday, April 29:
📈 Advance Economic Indicators (8:30 AM ET):
Includes data on international trade in goods, wholesale inventories, and retail inventories for March.
📊 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET):
Measures consumer sentiment regarding current and future economic conditions.
💼 JOLTS Job Openings (10:00 AM ET):
Reports the number of job openings, indicating labor market demand.
📅 Wednesday, April 30:
📈 GDP (Q1 Advance Estimate) (8:30 AM ET):
Provides an early estimate of economic growth for the first quarter.
💳 Personal Income and Outlays (10:00 AM ET):
Includes data on personal income, consumer spending, and the PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure.
🏭 Chicago PMI (9:45 AM ET):
Assesses business conditions in the Chicago region, reflecting manufacturing sector health.
📅 Thursday, May 1:
🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET):
Reports total spending on construction projects, indicating economic activity in the sector.
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET):
Measures the number of new filings for unemployment benefits, reflecting labor market
conditions.
🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET):
Provides insight into the manufacturing sector's health through a survey of purchasing managers.
📅 Friday, May 2:
👷 Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET):
Reports the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector.
📉 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET):
Indicates the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking
employment.
🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET):
Measures the dollar level of new orders for both durable and nondurable goods, indicating manufacturing activity.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Quantum's Walmart (WMT) Trading Guide 4/28/25WMT’s weekly outlook balances its defensive resilience against macroeconomic headwinds, with a comprehensive synthesis of technical, market, and strategic factors guiding its trajectory for weekly options contracts. The FAME framework underscores WMT’s long-term bullish potential, driven by robust fundamentals (+5% revenue, $0.58 EPS, 21% e-commerce growth) and adaptability (AI, Walmart+), positioning it as a resilient player in a risk-off regime. However, elevated yields (10-year 4.255%, 20-year 4.738%, 30-year 4.721%) and a stable DXY at 99.58 amplify tariff pressures and margin concerns, capping upside and reinforcing a cautious stance. A tactical long bias is favored for weekly contracts, targeting a bounce from $94.36 to $96.47–$98.50, with a short stance viable below $88.50 if support fails.
Technical implications highlight bullish momentum on daily (RSI ~40, Stochastic ~28) and weekly (RSI ~44, Stochastic ~32) timeframes, with oversold conditions signaling a rebound potential for weekly contracts if $94.36 holds. Monthly neutral momentum (RSI ~50) suggests consolidation, requiring a breakout above $96.47 to confirm bullish strength. This supports a short-term bounce but advises monitoring for sustained moves.
Market influence implications reflect a risk-off environment, with high yields and a stable DXY increasing import costs, particularly amid tariff uncertainty from WMT’s upcoming Trump meeting. The VIX at 24.84 amplifies volatility, favoring WMT’s defensive appeal but heightening risks. WMT’s Q3 FY25 strength and e-commerce growth provide stability, supporting resilience near $94.36.
OFD summary and implications reveal bearish pressure from Vanna (-$0.04), Charm (-$0.02), and DEX (-$0.06), driven by put-heavy flow and hedging demand tied to tariff fears. However, GEX (+$0.08) at the $95 strike pins price, stabilizing volatility and supporting a neutral-to-bullish bounce for weekly contracts if $94.36 holds, aligning with oversold technicals.
Edge insights bolster the case for a bounce, with institutional buying at $94–$95 signaling accumulation, defensive retail sector strength outperforming cyclicals, and low short interest (1.4%) offering squeeze potential above $96.47. These factors enhance confidence in a tactical long bias for weekly contracts, provided support holds.
Strategic outlook implications emphasize consolidation near $95.09, with $94.36 as a critical pivot. A break below risks $88.50, driven by tariff fears and bearish options flow, while a move above $96.47 targets $98.50, fueled by oversold signals and institutional support. The VIX at 24.84 and put-heavy options flow underscore volatility, but WMT’s defensive positioning mitigates downside, favoring a bounce in a risk-off regime.
In summary, WMT’s weekly outlook hinges on defending $94.36, with oversold technicals, GEX pinning, and institutional buying supporting a bounce to $96.47–$98.50 for weekly contracts. Tariff risks, high yields, and DXY stability maintain a risk-off backdrop, capping upside and requiring vigilance for a break below support, which could shift bias to bearish. This balanced approach leverages WMT’s defensive strengths while navigating weekly volatility, aligning with Buffett’s preference for resilient businesses with tactical opportunities.
S&P 500: Key Levels and Potential ScenariosThis analysis of S&P500 will explore both bullish and bearish scenarios, incorporating key levels and considering possible market and crowd psychology.
Bullish Scenario: Potential Uptrend Resumption
From a bullish perspective, if the S&P 500 maintains a position above the 5482 level, it could suggest a potential end to the current correction and a resumption of the major uptrend. A hold above 5482 might reinforce bullish sentiment, encouraging further buying activity, as traders may view this as confirmation of renewed strength. The index could then potentially retest the 5801 level, where it's possible that the index may encounter resistance on the first attempt. A successful break above 5801 would then open the path towards the 6135 zone, which represents a key upside target.
Bearish Scenario: Potential Retest of Support Zones
Conversely, if the S&P 500 fails to hold above the 5482 support level might trigger increased selling pressure, as traders liquidate positions. The index could then potentially retest the 5092 to 4833 support zone. This zone represents a critical area where buyers may step in, but a break below it would signal further weakness.
Concluding Remarks
In conclusion, the S&P 500's price action around the identified key levels will be crucial in determining its short- to medium-term direction. A sustained hold above 5482 could favor a bullish continuation towards 5801 and potentially 6135, while a break below 5482 might lead to a retest of the 5092 to 4833 support zone.
Was this the best buying opportunity since 2011?Sure, here's a rewritten version of your text in an engaging tone:
"Have you ever heard of the Zweig Breadth Thrust? Well, let me tell you, it’s an incredible metric that can really shed some light on the current market situation!
So, what would it take for me to believe that this bounce isn't just another bear market rally? My first step would be to dive into the breadth indicators and look for signs of that elusive breadth thrust.
Think of a breadth thrust like a rocket taking off. You need a strong initial boost to break free of gravity's grip. If the thrust is weak, the rocket can’t escape, and the same applies to stock market reversals. When we see a robust breadth thrust, that's a signal that a significant reversal is underway. Without it, we could be facing another false bounce.
Now, let’s talk numbers! As of Friday, April 25th, the SPX has surged an impressive 14.2% from its recent lows, and while that’s quite a leap, it’s essential to keep it in perspective. Just think back—this index was down 21.35% from its all-time high earlier in February during the panic sell-off. Now, with the recent strength, it’s only 10.75% off its peak.
The Zweig Breadth Thrust is calculated based on the 10-day EMA of NYSE Advances divided by the sum of Advances and Declines. A bullish signal pops up when the ZBT shifts from below 0.40 to above 0.615 within just ten days or less. Keep an eye on that—it might just help us navigate these choppy waters!"
On the monthly chart, it’s clear that what we’ve been seeing in the broader economy (you know, Main Street) is actually showing us some bearish divergence—a concept I've mentioned in my previous ideas.
Since 2009, we've had four notable instances on the Monthly chart where the ZBT dipped below 0.40, only to bounce back up past the 0.6 mark. Remember back in November 2011? That was when we got a significant signal with a low reading of 0.31, which climbed back to 0.62 by February 2013. That surge sparked a bull run that peaked in February 2020!
So, the takeaway here is that this breadth thrust is generating the positive momentum we need to reach new stock market highs this year. Exciting times ahead!
BTC - Golden Pocket Confluence + FVG Sweep = Long SetupA highly refined scenario blending Fibonacci confluence with liquidity principles, setting up a controlled bullish play.
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1. Golden Pocket + FVG Confluence — Critical Demand Zone
The blue highlighted area represents a strong confluence:
- FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance left by aggressive price movement, likely to attract price for rebalancing.
- Golden Pocket: The 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, statistically favored for deep retracements and high-probability reversals.
Expecting strong buying interest once price taps into this confluence.
---
2. 0.618-0.65 Fib Range — Key Reversal Territory
The Fibonacci zone offers the perfect environment for engineered liquidity sweeps and smart money accumulation.
- This range often acts as a trap for retail shorts while institutions accumulate.
- A clean entry opportunity arises as price dips into this critical golden zone before expansion.
---
3. FVG Resistance Above — Initial Reaction Zone
A notable FVG resistance area is marked around 94,400–94,500:
- Upon reaching this zone, price may face initial selling pressure or short-term consolidation.
- Observing how price interacts here can further confirm bullish strength and continuation.
---
4. Smart Money Liquidity Play
The setup suggests a classic liquidity engineering move:
- Induce shorts through a pullback into the Golden Pocket.
- Absorb liquidity inside the FVG.
- Trigger a sharp bullish reversal aligned with institutional footprints.
This layered setup is clean, logical, and methodical.
---
5. Projected Price Flow
Anticipated price action structure:
- Step 1: Dip into the Golden Pocket + FVG demand zone.
- Step 2: Reversal toward the FVG resistance.
- Step 3: Breakout continuation upon reclaiming resistance, leading to further bullish expansion.
Each leg is mapped to follow high-probability liquidity behavior.
---
6. Summary:
- Golden Pocket + FVG = Prime Reversal Confluence
- Efficient Liquidity Sweep Mechanics
- Structured Bullish Progression Based on Smart Money Concepts
This plan is framed to capitalize on precision entries and liquidity dynamics without chasing price.
EURUSD - Bullish Shift after IFVG? This chart outlines a clean sequence of bullish intent where institutional accumulation is visible through structure, inefficiency, and reactive zones.
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1. Support Zone Holds — Demand Confirmed
The previous resistance area has now clearly flipped into support , marked by multiple wicks rejecting lower prices.
- This region is a high-probability demand zone engineered through earlier consolidation.
- Price returned to this level, swept minor liquidity, and immediately bounced—confirmation that demand is active.
---
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) — The Imbalance Magnet
A clean FVG sits above price, created during the prior bearish leg. Now acting as a rebalancing zone.
- Price is pushing into this inefficiency after finding support.
- The gap inversion (price reclaiming and holding above the FVG) would validate bullish continuation.
- Think of this as the mid-point between structure and expansion.
---
3. BSL Above — The Next Liquidity Target
A key Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) level is marked higher, acting as the next logical draw for price.
- Smart money seeks liquidity above recent swing highs.
- If price holds above the FVG, this BSL becomes the magnet for bullish expansion .
---
4. Projected Price Action Flow
The roadmap is clear and logical:
- Step 1: Bounce from support (done)
- Step 2: Push through and hold the FVG
- Step 3: Expand higher toward BSL
Each leg has purpose, and the structure confirms smart money is in accumulation mode.
---
5. Summary:
- Support + FVG + BSL = Structured Bullish Thesis
- As long as price stays above the FVG post-inversion, buyers have control.
- This is a textbook case of price engineering via inefficiency and reactive structure.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 25, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading session, the Index did steady to higher prices, distancing itself from the rendered obsolete Mean Resistance level of 5455 and targeting the next significant mark identified as Outer Index Rally 5550. This trend lays the groundwork for a continued upward movement; however, there is also a considerable risk of a sharp pullback to the Mean Support level of 5370 after reaching the Outer Index Rally at 5550.
Contrariwise, it is essential to acknowledge the possibility of upward momentum continuation resulting in meeting the primary target Outer Index Rally 5550 by challenging the Mean Resistance of 5672 and extending toward additional levels: Mean Resistance 5778 and Outer Index Rally 5945.
ENIC, 1W Trend Reversal Setup and Breakout AnticipationOn the weekly chart of ENIC, a broad expanding triangle formation transitioning into a base accumulation structure is visible. The price is now approaching a critical resistance zone around $3.90–$4.00, an area that previously triggered major reversals. Currently, the market is consolidating just below this resistance, forming a platform for a potential breakout and retest.
Technical structure:
- EMA 50, EMA 100, and EMA 200 are starting to converge, signaling the potential for a bullish crossover — a key indicator of mid-term trend reversal.
- The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $3.25 has been broken and price is stabilizing above it, reinforcing the bullish setup.
- Higher lows and higher highs have been established — a clear early sign of a new upward trend.
- Volume during the consolidation phase remains stable without signs of heavy distribution or capitulation.
Fundamental analysis of Enel Chile:
- Sector: Energy, Renewable Energy Transition
- Enel Chile is aggressively expanding into green energy, reducing its coal generation portfolio and investing heavily in solar and wind projects.
- Financials: The company maintains stable dividend payouts and holds a manageable debt-to-cash-flow ratio.
- Chile’s national energy policy shift towards renewable energy and international demand for clean energy solutions provide strong long-term tailwinds.
- Global trends favor companies with sustainable energy models, positioning Enel Chile strategically for growth.
Structural targets:
After a successful breakout above $3.90 and a retest confirmation, the next upside targets are:
- $4.61 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement)
- $5.45 (0.236 Fibonacci retracement)
- Extended channel and Fibonacci target: $6.81
Enel Chile (ENIC) is building a mature base structure for a long-term bullish reversal. A confirmed breakout above $3.90, combined with bullish EMA alignment, would unlock a strong upside scenario toward and beyond $6.00. Both technical formation and fundamentals strongly support this outlook. This is a structure you don't want to miss.
COURSERA Forming Bullish Continuation Patterns 🚨 $COURSERA Forming Bullish Continuation Patterns 🚨
$COURSERA is forming bullish continuation patterns and is approaching a key red resistance zone. A breakout above this level could signal a strong bullish move, with the first target at the green line level.
📈 Technical Overview:
Pattern: Bullish Continuation
Resistance Zone: Red area currently being tested.
🎯 Breakout Target: Green line level upon confirmation.
WYThe current price is near a type of support base being created possibly. Earnings just happened recently and seems like there were mixed results. Won't get too much into that. However, if you look at the "throw up" emojis, price dropped sharply and price started trading sideways before bulls came back into the market. Let's see if we can get some momentum into this potential move eventually. Bearish volume has dropped since that sharp drop and with price trading sideways while also creating a base of support of some sort, I would like to see price reach the target zone located on the chart. Since September of 2022, price has infiltrated this zone about 4-5 times. Could we get a repeat of recent history?
Nvidia Prepares For New All-Time High, Last Chance To Buy Low!The market always gives as second chance. This is a phrase that I love to share and it is true, it is confirmed here on this very chart.
The action for NVDA moved back down to produce a higher low —your second and last chance. This higher low is happening within a very strong buy-zone and this can mean the difference between massive profits or an opportunity that is lost. From here on, Nvidia will grow long-term set to produce a new All-Time High in the coming months.
The minimum target and price level for this rise stands around ~150 within 1-3 months. Then a correction and then higher, much higher... Up, up and up go we.
I can entertain you with tons of details I have the ability but I will not do so. I will go straight to the point.
» The next All-Time High and main target for this wave is 194, this can take a little more, or less, than 6 months.
What will happen next, we will have to wait to ask the chart.
It is my pleasure to write for you again.
Make sure to boost if you would like more updates.
If you boost and comment, we can move to daily updates as the market grow.
Go in, go now, buy-in and go LONG!
Nvidia is going up! Together with Bitcoin and the Altcoins.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Tesla Finds Support, 657 Next Easy High & All-Time HighTesla is looking pretty good right now, support has been found. The correction amounted to -55.5%. It started in mid December 2024 and the first low was hit in March 2025.
Since March TSLA has been in the process of forming a bottom.
The action moved below 0.786 Fib. retracement level in relation to the last bullish wave. The action is back above this level now and this is pretty good. As long as the action happens above the magic blue dashed line, Tesla is good and set to grow.
This signal, perfect symmetry, is supported by rising volume.
Buy volume is rising massively as TSLA moves into a long-term support zone.
(Smart people, smart money and smart traders buy when prices are low —this volume signal reveals the highest buying in years as TSLA hits support.)
The most revealing fact from a logical standpoint is the size of the correction, a 55% correction is a lot by any standard. When a market goes through such a strong correction, it tends to reverse and produce next a new move. It moves in waves. It goes up and down, up and down. We are seeing the end of the down-move and this will automatically lead to an up-wave.
When the bottom was hit, last month, the action goes flat. Tesla was clearly moving lower but as support was found the bottom stays flat. This is another revealing signal for the logical mind. No longer a downtrend but a consolidation phase, which is part of a transition period.
» So the market was bullish and from bullish turned bearish, from bearish it went sideways and from sideways it will grow.
This is an easy buy.
Thanks a lot for your comment and continued support.
Namaste.
ADMA Biologics, Inc. (ADMA) – Plasma Power with Policy TailwindsCompany Snapshot:
ADMA Biologics NASDAQ:ADMA is carving out a dominant position in plasma-derived immunotherapies, with a 100% U.S.-based supply chain that delivers both regulatory resilience and logistical strength in a vital healthcare segment.
Key Catalysts:
Strategic Domestic Advantage 🇺🇸
Fully U.S.-based manufacturing and supply chain
Aligns with national healthcare policy and reduces global exposure risk
Elite Healthcare Partnerships 🏥
Works with Mayo Clinic & Cleveland Clinic
Validates product quality and ensures recurring revenue streams
Strong Insider Conviction 📈
CEO Adam Grossman purchased $1.2M in stock
Insiders own 12%, showing long-term commitment
Plasma Therapy Demand on the Rise 🚨
Growing market for immune deficiency and infectious disease treatments
Reliable production scale + strategic partnerships = compounding value
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $19.00–$20.00
🚀 Target Range: $29.00–$30.00
🔑 Thesis: Fully domestic moat + institutional partnerships + insider alignment = high-conviction growth biotech
📢 ADMA: A rare mid-cap with stability, growth, and a policy-aligned advantage.
#BiotechStocks #PlasmaTherapy #Immunology #ADMA #InsiderBuying #HealthcareMoat
btc . w4 . fancy SHORTthe 'OTF - one time frame' Break of the monthly is still due.
There was no chance for LONGS during the week for retail buyers, only late buyers.
We've traded 2 days just under resistance, accumulating:
- late LONGS
- early SHORTS
I'm willing to SHORT now on friday, once the OTF has been hit.
Scalling in from cwHigh upwards
Invalidation would be to keep pumping and then potentialy SFP on monday for downside.
R:R is alright! I like to give myself a 3% invalidation range till SL.
US100 - Corrective Pullback into FVG + Golden Pocket setup?This 1H Nasdaq chart paints a classic structure of retracement within a bullish leg, offering potential for continuation after a clean corrective move into inefficiency. It's all about balance restoration before the next impulse.
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1. Resistance Reaction & Local Distribution
Price faced strong rejection at a clearly defined Resistance Zone , marking a point of supply where sellers stepped in with aggression.
- The sharp rejection indicates profit-taking from earlier longs or a short-term distribution zone.
- Structure is transitioning from impulsive to corrective, suggesting a pullback is unfolding rather than a trend reversal (at least for now).
---
2. Short-Term Demand Zone Holding Price (Gray Box)
Before reaching deeper liquidity, price is hovering above a local demand block —a previously unmitigated consolidation that supported the last push up.
- This gray zone may provide temporary support, but lacks depth of imbalance.
- It's a weak floor, and smart money typically seeks deeper fills for proper re-accumulation.
---
3. Fair Value Gap Below (Primary Draw on Liquidity)
The key area of interest lies just below, where a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) is formed. This imbalance represents a void in price action where buy-side inefficiency remains.
- Aligned with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement range (confluence entry).
- Price is likely to seek this inefficiency for proper rebalancing.
- It’s not just a “fill the gap” play—it’s a liquidity grab where smart money is most likely waiting.
This zone is ideal for reaccumulation before resuming the move higher.
---
4. Internal Structure Suggests Bullish Intent After Fill
Price is forecasted to:
- Step 1: Break beneath the short-term demand to draw in liquidity
- Step 2: Tag the FVG zone, tapping into fresh demand
- Step 3: Shift structure via higher low formation and breakout
This is the behavior of an engineered retracement—not panic selling.
---
5. Macro Bias Still Bullish – Controlled Pullback
While the short-term price action looks bearish, the context remains supportive of upward continuation:
- No signs of aggressive selling below structure
- Current flow is corrective, not distributive
- FVG zone is strategically placed in alignment with optimal trade entry levels (OTE)
If this zone holds, expect a return to bullish expansion targeting inefficiencies left behind on the push down.
---
Conclusion:
This setup is textbook:
- Efficient rejection at resistance
- Controlled retracement into FVG with Fibonacci confluence
- Potential structural shift post-rebalance
Watch for bullish intent to return once the imbalance is filled. Until then, this is not a breakdown—it's a setup.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 25, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Procter & Gamble Cuts Outlook Amid Consumer Pullback: P&G shares declined after the company lowered its full-year earnings guidance, citing reduced consumer spending due to economic uncertainty and higher tariffs. CFO Andre Schulten noted significant consumer hesitation, linking it to volatility in mortgage rates and declining stock markets affecting retirement savings.
📊 Durable Goods Orders Surge, Core Spending Stagnant: March durable goods orders jumped 9.2%, driven by a spike in aircraft demand. However, core capital goods orders, excluding aircraft, rose only 0.1%, indicating cautious business investment amid ongoing tariff uncertainties.
🏠 Existing Home Sales Decline Sharply: Existing home sales fell 5.9% in March to an annual rate of 4.02 million units, reflecting affordability challenges associated with high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, April 25:
🗣️ Fed Governor Neel Kashkari Speaks (5:00 PM ET):
Remarks may provide insights into the Federal Reserve's perspective on current economic conditions and monetary policy direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
TAPG - VCP (20/5 3T)IDX:TAPG VCP
(+):
1. Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (84)
9. Biggest net income +197.70% on Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023
(-)
1. Breakout with huge volume but created long red candle
DAX Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in a strong
Uptrend, recovering itself
From the trade-war lows
And the index is locally
Overbought so after the
Retest of the horizontal
Resistance above at 22,500
We will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
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