After just one day of retracing on Friday, the USD bull regained momentum on Monday thanks to Fed members continuing to push back on aggressive easing. Markets are also pricing in a Trump win with some polls suggesting he is ahead in three key states and some bookies even touting for him to win. In the current climate, USD/JPY could be at 152 before we know it. MS
Traders continue to sell the US dollar in anticipation of a dovish speech from Jerome Powell on Friday. To the point where we wonder if this could be a case off "sell the rumour, buy the fact". Matt Simpson takes a quick look at the USD dollar index and bond yields.
We have seen an amazing fall in interest rates. Bonds have looked to put in a local bottom. Why are bonds showing signs of accumulation? Is the bond market pricing in a recession? I believe the recent decline in yields is due to commodity weakness. Yields have soften because energy & base metals have become cheaper. This drives the disinflationary...
The yield curve invesrion remains in place for the longest historical inversion run. This cant be good right? History shows once the spread between the 10 & 2 corrects back to normal / un-inverts you usually get a sell signal in the market. We are observing a massive bullish wedge pattern unfolding and looks poised at any moment to breakout. The un-...
How will the market perform if either Biden or Trump wins? That should be an easy question to answer, as we can track the market performance on the first day each became President of the United States. Micro E-Mini Nasdaq Futures and Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a...
Stocks are in a bull market. Bonds are in a bear market. Unemployment increases to 4% FOMC & CPI on Wednesday. Yield Curve remains inverted. Longest in history.
The US long-term bonds have hit new lows, the yield curve has been inverted for two years now, and inflation remains uncertain, meaning interest rates may not ease at all. Yet, stock markets are reaching new highs. We have a "grey rhino" in this market. A grey rhino is a large and visible animal that cannot be ignored. Try not to get too close to them because...
Today's focus: Pattern – Continuation, resistance test. Support – 37,400 Resistance – 187.63 - 184.35 Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Our focus today is on the GBPJPY pre-Bank of Japan. Looking at price, we can see it continues to trade on fast trends higher but has stalled at resistance. The market could now be waiting to see what's next...
QQQ / SPY New Closing Daily High Semiconductors Mixed * Transports weak DXY & Yields Continuing Lower
Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history.. Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil
Hello There! Welcome to my newest analysis of SILVER from several timeframe perspectives. The recent determinations within the SILVER price are so severe that I saw no other approach besides deeply analyzing the current bearish indication within my analytics backend and approaching the most acute indications here. Especially, as SILVER is emerging with these...
Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis about SILVER FUTURES on several timeframe perspectives. The SILVER FUTURES recently showed up with important pullbacks which moved on to test further remaining levels within the whole structure. From a market perspective the bonds market recently showed massive strength with T-bills emerging to form several higher highs...
Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history.. Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil
How can you tell whether a price is in an uptrend? -- In this video we tackle this question -- To learn more watch it now --- Disclaimer: Do not buy or sell anything as this not financial advice please do your own reasearch before you trade -- Cheers, Lubosi Bonds
NASDAQ FUTURES rejected July open price... Should have a fake-out under 15,000 before final pop to 15,200. Heavy resistance at 15,200, then final drop into 14,000 range.
in 2008, high yield b rated bonds went as high 22% in the peak of panic. This also coincided with the peak of panic for stocks. Quality high growth potential stocks sold for fantastic prices and valuations. And it makes sense to not make sense this way. Bonds are debt, and must get paid first as part of normal business operation. Equity gets the excess profits...
The dollar index's quarterly chart is the most important as we heading into the second half of 2022. Contrary to the popular belief, the quarterly chart suggests the DXY may bounce strongly in the coming six months, putting downward pressure on zero-yielding assets like gold. Also watch out for a potential breakout in the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield and the...
In this video we look at the impending $800b T-bill issuance from the US Treasury to rebuild its cash levels at the TGA – will this lead to higher volatility in financial markets as reserves are taken out of the system? Will concerns on bank credit kick back up, or will this prove to be a non-event? We look at the indicators you need can use in TradingView to...