Weekly SPY chart, Did we close with a higher low?If you had a rough week or 2, you are not the only trader! The weekly chart confirmed a double top, then we backtested 320, which is a level of support from June 2020. 326.55 needs to hold, so we have a higher low on weekly timeframe. Daily timeframe, I was looking for a cup and handle, but the handle failed after FANG reported ER's Oct 28th. I was following my options flow for FANG and most were far out into 2021, which meant bearish, imo. I am just watching Solar (TAN, FSLR, SEDG) and EV stocks, as this is Joe Biden's play if he wins election. Election is Nov 3 at night, Trade safe!
TAN
TAN: Huge topI think we are seeing a massive top in many stocks, solar looks specially vulnerable and it's one of the sectors I'm short of.
If it doesn't break over today's high going forward chances are it is dropping all the way back down...We would need a Biden victory, or a tax law change for this to come to pass though (oil dropping would also help, or subsidies going away).
Oil itself flashed a long term short signal this week, so I like this idea a lot here.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
TAN long ideaIt looks like TAN the solar ETF is ready to break to new highs. Very bullish. The solar sector has been very lucrative lately. IF TAN breaks above the horizontal red line indicated by the previous high it should find traction. The price is currently above all the supporting averages. Volume is building.
TAN looks like a short Trend line broken. exit line broken so there will be plenty of people taking $ off the table for now.
Disclaimer, this is only for entertainment and education purposes and doesn't serve by any means as a buy or sell recommendation.
Personally I hold both long term long positions and occasionally short term short position, for disclosure purpose.
TAN Still Worth WatchingI believe there is trading potential here. I have highlighted the approx entry and exit of the first trade. After that I am going to watch and see what happens. If it can break resistance than it does have room to run. However, it has rejected from this level four times; so I am going to play it short if it rejects again.
Happy trading,
Charles
TAN Worth WatchingWell it is late and this probably isn't my clearest chart, but I think you'll get the point. Tan has responded well to patterns and support/resistance lines, so I am watching to see if the signs of a pullback play out. If it loses support then it should have room to move to the downside. There may be a few good plays that develop from this, but if it becomes unpredictable I am moving on.
TAN $45.83: Completes a monthly bull flag breakoutTAN extended the strong rally off the 31.77 low (January 20, 2015) to break above a 12-month falling channel (from March 2014 high), completing a bullish flag pattern on the monthly chart and triggering further gains towards 51.07 (March 7, 2015 high). Clearance above there would confirm a higher base and accelerate the uptrend towards 53.00 (50% retracement of the 93.40/12.60 fall) and then 62.53 (61.8% retracement).
Near term, 42.18 (March 10, 2015 higher low) and the 200 day moving average currently at 38.42 are immediate support levels (not shown on the monthly chart).
Solar sector catches some upside momentumSince the beginning of March this solar ETF entered into bear channel and was laggard sector vs broad market as investors were buying major cap, high dividend stocks.
Nevertheless, it is just 38% pullback from big move from $15.00. Now, it builts higher highs and higher lows - strength of buyers. Yesterday, it closed near highs and broke previous dwing high at $42. So, it could be our point of potential support, then we have 8/21 EMA $40.60-$41.20 respectively. Previous low at $39.09. Target #1 $44.30ish.
Some stocks from this sector that are showing strength: $FLSR, $SCTY, $SPWR, $TSL.