S&P 500_TA_Bullish Cross_Fibo levels_What to expect_Like a pro!Traders,
Look at the thick Exponential Moving Averages (EMA's) on the daily chart. They are crossing and looking VERY bullish. The Red is 50 EMA. The blue is 14 EMA. These indicators are EXTREMELY powerful. A cross to the downside is referred to as the "Death Cross," but there is no general name for when it crosses to the upside. We'll just call it The "Bullish Cross."
When this cross happens in either direction YOU ARE SILLY to trade against it. The trend is in the middle of changing direction and NOW is the time to watch these markets like a hawk and be prepared to put money to work or pull it to safety.
This cross does not mean we are clear from opposing pressures! All professionals that trade off these EMAs know that the cross means one thing. Price is ABSOLUTELY due to test the general area of these EMAS. The rationality behind this is, since the indicators are easy to use, everyone sees the crosses happen (CNBC.) This causes impatient and new traders to jump in and we know these markets are DESIGNED to take newbie money. Looking at how the market closed this weekend certainly indicates a trap to me. I always expect price to make large moves in the other direction after markets close in a very directional state for the weekend.
So, at the end of the week/month, I expect S&P to be higher. But not before stopping out as many newbie traders as possible. Be prepared for pullbacks to be bought up. I particularly like the 2704 level. Its a STRONG cluster of fibo levels that we've identified plenty of times. Below that 2685 is another decent level. Below this we have our EMAs down at 2677ish level. As a rule of thumb we should not be surprised if the market tests this zone. DO NOT PANIC.
There is also another variant that the market just rocketships from this point and leaves everyone behind but I don't think its very likely until the cross becomes more confirmed.
Be prepared for some juicy action this week. I am slobbering at the opportunities that lie ahead. I'll also let you in on this tip, check out the EMAs on the Nasdaq and I think you'll understand my bullish passion here. I will not hold back getting long if we get our pullback and the EMAs have not quite finished crossing yet on S&P.
I'll try to post entries and exits but sometimes I am far to busy. Forgive me and Good Luck!
If you found this analysis useful or thoughtful Likes/Comments/Follows are much appreciated! Disclaimer: Your data may be different. Material is educational only. Trade at your own risk!
Tannerelphee
V4:T3:W2_S&P500_Climbing the Wall of Worry_BUT's and IF's!The S&P is looking increasingly strong as a bottom appears to be forming. Price has rejected the NO TRADE ZONE earlier last week and pushed back to those levels to test the underlying support which held perfectly shown by the daily chart.
BUT we are not out of the woods yet. ES closed the week below the CRITICAL PIVOT price of 2708 which was expected last week. Being below this level coupled with the descending speedlines and RSI below 50 builds strong reasoning against any LONG positions. This does not mean no long sided day trades. Just no longs held overnight which is my definition of a position. The market is still very heavy here and I would not be surprised to the see a test of the lows around th2530 level of which I will be excited for long term entries.
IF, and only IF, the price action confirms out of that level of which I will watching patiently. This is a strong setup on ES that I believe has a good potential to play out as stocks potentially recover from the trade war tariffs that seem to be totally behind us for the moment. We will know momentum is shifting to the upside when the daily chart starts trading ABOVE the speedlines with respect.
Below in the comments I will post a few historical SPY 1.28% charts to build confidence in this price setup. ES has been my lifelong favorite market with over 5 years of attention to price patterns. I feel super keen with this setup which is a valid reason that it could fail this time.
BUT remember, in the long term, the S&P only goes up. This stock market is like a helium balloon that has been artificially inflated by QE since 1995. So far in my 23 years TEMPORARY forces are the only reason S&P falls. Temporary is the key word and really only means the pullbacks only last about a month.
BUT there is a strong case to be built against the bulls with a huge barrage of scary economic factors. Don't forget who is president and how much the S&P loves to climb to wall of worry. Short term yes ES could break the 2530 lows and descend deeply but the odds are very small in my opinion.
Words of wisdom:
It is better to be in the market 15 days out of the month with the trend and sustain the one day your wrong than to be out of the market for 15 days playing for that one day your are right....
If you found this analysis useful or thoughtful Likes/Comments/Follows are much appreciated!
Disclaimer: Your data may be different. Material is educational only. Trade at your own risk!
Symbol | Weekly Directional Bias | Correct : Incorrect counter(weekly)| Win/Loss counter (all trades)
ESM18| LONG | 1:0 | T 0:0