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Analysis and Forecast EUR / USD - Weekly review (18.04-22.04)Currency pair after a recent decline from 1.1465 to 1.1234 level currently located in a local correction. From a technical point of view, the correction should not exceed the level of 1,1322-25. (The lower limit of consolidation, which coincides with the 38.2% fibo recent declines). Then the supply side should once again take the initiative and head towards the last lows at 1,1234-40. After breaking support supply may lead to a test of support at 1,1213-18 (maximum of March 10, which coincides with the 61.8% fibo increases from 0.8231 to 1.6038). The next support level is 1.1144. If there is a deepening decline further props will 1,1058-80 area. The daily RSI indicates further declines. Alternative variant involves breaking the resistance level at 1,1322-25 (euro-dollar exchange rate will return to the interior of consolidation).
Short
by RobertPapon
Analysis and forecasts for EUR / USDToday's session has not led to break permanently recent highs and as a result there has been to determine the further direction. However, looking from the perspective of technical analysis chart of the interval 1D, we can see that the RSI shows negative divergence, which may be a signal reversal. If this state of affairs will continue also during tomorrow's session, we can assume the thesis that the level of 1.1465 was a peak from which started the correction. Considering the amount of data during Wednesday's session, we can not exclude further (perhaps impulsive) increases towards 1,1465-95. Anyway resistance zone, which indicated should defend, which in the long term, it may start a correction. In this case, the supply side once again directs toward support at 1,1325-43. When it comes to the break we get a clear signal that the Eurodollar a correction phase.
Short
by RobertPapon
Analysis and Forecast EUR / USD - Weekly review (04.04-08.04)The currency pair reached a very strong resistance zone, located between 1,1437-95. Due to the very strong buying and the high density of these resistances, the beginning of the coming week should pass under the sign of the correction weakening of the euro against the dollar. Therefore, you must reckon with the defense of the above-mentioned resistance by the supply side and the start of a correction, which would bear part of the gains from 1.1144 to 1.1437. The first props should be 1,1367-76 levels (peak of 11 February, which coincides with the 23.6% fibo recent increases). Further props will zone levels between 1,1325-43 (peak on March 17, which covers the 38.2% fibo recent increases). If the supply side will lead to a deepening of the correction, account must be taken back to around the level of 1.1290. After completion of the correction expect an attack on the last peaks of the level of 1.1495, inclusive. I would like to emphasize that around 1.15 formed a strong barrier to the demand side in the last several months, which is presented on the chart with the interval 1M. Any defeat last level opens the way towards 1.1885.
Short
by RobertPapon
Analysis and forecasts for EUR / USD 03/29/16On Tuesday after the holiday weekend on the parquet back investors from Europe, which should revive the currency market during the early hours of the morning. Relevant data will appear only in the second half of the day, when we will know the consumer confidence index by. Conference Board. Investors will also pay attention to statements by members of the FED (Williams, Dudley). Particularly noteworthy occurrence Fed president Janet Yellen. According to the technical analysis, the demand side of the defense support at 1.1144 took the initiative and led counterattack, which led back to the 1.12 level. Nearby hours should show to what extent become the demand side. If demand is thinking about further increases this should lead to a continuation of support at 1,1187-89, which will put the attack on the zone 1,1220-45. This area is an important resistance (peak after the FOMC meeting) and on the outcome, will determine the further movement of the currency pair discussed. Moving on to the crux of the matter, I would like to point out that overcoming these resistances opens the way to higher price levels. The next resistance levels are 1.1285 and 1.1343. | In the longer term, the level of 1.1495 would be in the range of demand. In the event, however, the demand side failed to break through w / the resistance, a return toward the major support at 1.1144 seems to be inevitable. Any of his fracture, can lead to a stronger correction towards 1.1083 and 1.1021 levels.
by RobertPapon
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Analysis and Forecast EUR / USD - Weekly review (28.03-01.04)The situation on the eurodolarze has not changed and is consistent with what I presented in previous reports. For the record, let me add that the currency pair is in a correction of recent increases. Due to the proximity of support at 1.1144 (38.2% fibo abolition), the voice has come the demand side, which is trying to move toward the counterattack last local peaks. Therefore, it should be noted that in the next hours, the demand side should make another attempt to attack the local resistance 1,1187-1,1189. From the results of the success will depend on the future direction of the currency pair discussed. Therefore, it should be noted that if demand beats w / the resistance in this case, should be directed towards localized resistance levels 1,1220-1,1245. Any breaking them confirm that the fall from 1.1343 to 1.1144 was a technical correction and return to the further growth. The objectives will be the levels 1.1285, 1.1343 and 1.1495. Otherwise, if the demand will have difficulty overcoming resistance levels 1.1189 and 1,1220-45, account must be taken back towards support at 1.1144. The demand side will certainly defend support, because its defeat could lead to further depreciation towards 1.1083 and 1.1021 levels. Particularly test this latter level would worry about, because this level corresponds to the 61.8% fibo abolition of recent increases and adjustments not often tolerate higher values.
by RobertPapon
Analysis and forecasts for EUR / USD 24/03/16A currency pair is very close to the first important support level 1.1144, which should provide a barrier against further declines. Therefore, I will repeat what I said in an earlier report. The proximity of the support at 1.1144 (23.6% Fibo unbearable increases the level of 1,0821-1,1343) should activate the demand side and direct the course of the Eurodollar at higher price levels. On Wednesday, the demand made his first attempt to seize the initiative, but the movements of growth, they are at the moment quite meager (demand reached only around Tuesday's minimum 1.1187). This does not change the fact that the demand side will certainly defend support, because its defeat could lead to further depreciation towards 1.1083 and 1.1021 levels. Another re-test 1.1144 support will certainly be a great opportunity to open long positions. To summarize the above considerations, I would expect within the next few hours trying to derive some upward movement toward the next resistance level at 1.12. The situation on the demand side to improve significantly if demand will overcome the resistance located at levels 1,1220-1,1245. In this case, the path to further growth will be opened. The objectives will be the levels 1.1285, 1.1343 and 1.1495.
by RobertPapon