Trackrecordasia
Potential weakness in SGD as CNY weakens, stronger JPY on riskFundamentally, as trade tensions worsen, SGD should weaken in tandem with CNY while risk aversion will cause JPY to strengthen. On the charts, SGD/JPY is trying to break below the Ichimoku clouds. Keep an eye on this as it could develop into a strong bear trend on the weekly chart.
GBP struggles against the EURData from UK was weak - inflation was lower than expected, retail sales disappointed and employment change was a touch weaker. Things are not looking good in the UK and with Brexit still looming large ever closer on the horizon, GBP may be poised for new lows. With fundamentals weakening, what of the technical outlook? With GBP/EUR also trading below the weekly Ichimoku cloud, the weakness of GBP is not just a symptom of USD strength. GBP could be facing dark days ahead...
GBP struggles on economic growth and Brexit woesData from UK was weak - inflation was lower than expected, retail sales disappointed and employment change was a touch weaker. Things are not looking good in the UK and with Brexit still looming large ever closer on the horizon, GBP may be poised for new lows. With fundamentals weakening, what of the technical outlook? With GBP/USD piercing below the bottom of the weekly Ichimoku cloud, the long term downtrend has resumed. With the technical and fundamental outlook both pointing in the same direction, the lows of 1.2000 are likely to be revisited unless something changes dramatically in time to come.
USD/MXN post Mexican electionsUSD/MXN is trying to break through the bottom of the weekly Ichimoku cloud. With the possible improvement of a working relationship between the new Mexican president and Trump, the fundamentals are also reaffirming what the technicals are indicating. A close below the cloud will be a good indicator that the weekly downtrend has begun.
GBPCAD ahead of BoC meetingGBP/CAD downtrend on the daily chart could be ending as price tries to break above the cloud. However, if BoC remains hawkish this week after an expected hike, it could cause that attempt to fail and result in a close below the Ichimoku cloud again. Keep an eye out for a good risk/reward trade if that should happen.