Trade Log NIFTY August 17In my weekly review (link below) post, I said
There are two possibilities for the coming week.
Possibility 1: Consolidation in zone 11312 - 11050. This basically means, the move on Friday could not get great follow up selling.
Possibility 2: New downswing starts which takes NIFTY below 11000, around 10830 as the first target. This move has to be fast and completed this week to show strength in selling and confirmation of intermediate top.
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From today’s price action, it looks like Possibility 1 is likely.
My trades today
No trades intraday. It did not hit any level prior to 2.30 PM. So I could not trade.
My observations for the day
NIFTY formed a hammer like candle, closing 0.61% up.
BANK NIFTY again mostly flat with gain of 0.10%.
VIX dropped little ~ 1.63%.
The Advance Decline ratio was good 39 to 11.
Reliance Industries and BANK nifty both lagged for the day.
Option data showing confirmation of consolidation in the range 11200-11400.
My view for tomorrow
With today’s price action nothing changed. I need to see a clear signal to change my view, which is currently bearish consolidation. Tomorrow, if NIFTY resumes, the downtrend again back towards the bottom of the range 11110-11140, it will strengthen the view. Any close above 11320, I need to change my side.
Weekly Post : August 17 - 21
Tradelog
Trade Log NIFTY August 5In my August 4 trade view, I said
Considering the momentum NIFTY had on 4 days of downtrend, I treat this bounce as the first bounce, which is likely to fail. But considering the chart of Reliance and BANK NIFTY , I feel there is some more upside up to 100-150 points.
For tomorrow, I expect sideways market mostly with touch of 11050 - 11000 area, which should find some buying before NIFTY moves into the second leg of rally towards 11150+
Actually , perfect anticipation for the day. NIFTY showed a surge at the start and did not last.
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My trades today
No trades. Opening was not in line with expectations and power outage at my office today.
My observations for the day
NIFTY closed near flat 0.06% up
BANK NIFTY closed closed 0.09% up
INDIA VIX down 1.04%
Advance Decline is on positive side 1191 to 678. 35 to 15 in NIFTY.
Hindalco and Tata Steel gained 9% and 6% respectively.
11200 is building strong resistance from the option player’s view.
My view for tomorrow
NIFTY has strong resistance at 11228. Any bounce tomorrow upto 11228, excellent shorting opportunity with clear stop.
News driven action likely tomorrow.
I expect consolidation to bearish movement tomorrow.