Trendline-breakout
The Russell 2000 is UglyDownside breakout today from a trendline dating back to lows of 2009. It's also under the 200 week moving average. More downside ahead. Note: This small-cap indicator is often seen as a leading indicator for the large-cap S&P 500.
NZDUSDBreakout to the downside through a significant upward sloping trend line that has served as a support level since late summer 2015. Also, the pair carved through the 100 day moving average today which will serve as additional resistance on any pullbacks. Target is a little difficult to predict. It could be the November 2015 low of 0.6428, or the summer low 0.6424.
Market clearly bullishThis is the kind of "slow uptrend" we get when the market is preparing to break out of of a long term downtrend. Price isn't moving very fast, but that's a good thing. The volume tells me that the market is done with its downward consolidation for now.
The market is gaining momentum, as it has broken 2 of the intermediate term downtrend lines, a sign that it's reversing. There may be another small consolidation before breaking out, but I don't anticipate any new lows being made anytime soon. If and when it breaks the long term downtrend, the first target is at least 450, then possibly an even larger bull run or maybe a resumption of the downtrend. Either way, I'm long since $323 and holding.
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