ETSY (DAILY TIME FRAME) GENERAL ANALYSISDespite ETSY reporting earnings that surpassed analysts expectations ETSY shares still slid as management expects the total sale of goods on its platform to slow in the second quarter as it faces tough comparisons to last year’s pandemic-boosted results.
Based on the current price action I'm operating under the assumption that ETSY is in a downtrend. The gap down is a red flag of the weakness on the buy side of ETSY. I would stay away from any immediate rallies up until the price exceeds $192 or closes above the mean. After the price gap down this does look like an opportunity to buy but I would caution against blindly buying the dip as ETSY can shed a lot of dollars should it break its support of $153.50
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Ttmwavea
UBER (DAILY TIME FRAME) GENERAL ANALYSISUBER beat its earnings estimates however, it missed on its first quarter revenues. As a result, UBER gapped down after its earnings report and in my view is currently on a downtrend and I would operate under that assumption until it fills that gap. Conservatively speaking I'm looking for a gap filled price that closes with a daily price of about $53.
Based on everything I'm seeing I would look to short UBER when it provides some form of mean reversion at -2ATR or a more favorable -1ATR.
Looking at potential Buy opportunities I would look to the weekly time frame and I would look to start scaling in my position at -2ATR with a price of around $42.50-$41.75.
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ES-Mini (Timeframe-Daily) ATR Analysis 5/10/21Last week started out in the red but ended off strong, bringing in the possibility of a pullback over the next few days .The key support level that I am looking at is 4156.00. This is considered as the mean and over the past 3 months the market has showed a reluctancy to drop significantly below the mean over the daily time frame. If we penetrate the mean significantly I would aggressively pursue longs. However, at this point I believe the market is a bit overextended with it ultimately testing resistance at 3ATR at 4275.
Last week makes it possible that we may see 4300 some time soon. The week to come should be interesting as it should give a good gauge as to where or what the market plans for the remainder of the month. Another key indicator to look at is the Z-Score, based on the volume, price, and declining nature of the Z-score it is evident that we are preparing for a quick pullback.
I would definitely be cautious of BTFD at least early in the week and look for the Z-Score to bottom out before I click buy.
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PATH (1 HOUR TIME FRAME) General AnalysisUiPath Inc. is a recent IPO in 2021 that like most IPOs experience a fast rise and a subsequent sell off. Personally I think there is still a lot more data that I would want to see in terms of price action before I could say one way or another which way it will go. Currently priced at about $70, PATH finds itself right at the MEAN when we look at our 1 hour timeframe ATR Keltner Channels.
It will be interesting to see how things shake out for PATH in the coming week at which time I believe PATH will express through its price action what direction it wants to take. A key support level is $65.63. If PATH significantly breaches this price point we must take another look at our thesis to go long and may even look for higher prices to short PATH. If PATH does hold this support on it's next MEAN regression down then the prices listed above could give guidance as to where some buy opportunities are located.
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TWTR (1 DAY TIMEFRAME) Potential Buy OpportunityAfter failing to meet analysts expectation Twitter took a major gap down of -9.6% and is looking to test key support levels over the next quarter which could present several buy opportunities for a stock that not too long ago was rising high at about $80 per share.
With the current down trend in place I'm expecting Twitter to come up 2ATR which is a price of about $55.75 and after reaching that price I'm looking for sellers to come in and push Twitter's price down pass the support that was established this week at $52.29.
Potential buy opportunities could be found in the range between $52.29 $44.32.
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