UPS looking DOWNSNice head and Shoulders on the United Parcel Service
#UPS and FEDEX are the new dow transport indicator.
An underlying determinant of how the consumer is faring
Since the US is a consumer economy and Online shopping is the majority of retail
if we see new highs on the Indicies, and the home delivery carriers continue to deteriorate
it would give your non confirmation Top
Similar to Dow theory of new High's in the Industrials , but the transports lagging and indeed falling.
Unitedparcelservice
UPS Posts Q1 Profit Beat, Revenue Miss Stock up 2.33%United Parcel Service ( NYSE:UPS ) recently published its first-quarter results, indicating that while the shipping company surpassed adjusted profit estimates, it fell short of revenue expectations. The company affirmed its full-year guidance, with a projected revenue range of $92.0 billion to $94.5 billion and an adjusted operating margin of 10.0% to 10.6%.
NYSE:UPS , along with other shipping companies such as FedEx, have had to make adjustments due to the fall in shipping demand and revenue. This decline comes after record highs during the pandemic. In the first quarter, NYSE:UPS reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.43 on adjusted net income of $1.22 billion. This exceeded analyst expectations of $1.31 per share and $1.12 billion.
NYSE:UPS 's revenue of $21.7 billion came in slightly below the analyst's estimates of $21.89 billion. Nevertheless, UPS has reported a higher profit than estimated after reducing costs, with total operating expenses down 1.4% in the first quarter compared to last year.
As demand for package deliveries has decreased, shipping rival FedEx has also seen a decrease in revenue. NYSE:UPS has affirmed its full-year guidance and expects to return to volume and revenue growth.
In the weeks leading up to the earnings report, NYSE:UPS announced that it would replace FedEx as the primary air cargo provider of the U.S. Postal Service. The change is set to happen once the current contract with FedEx expires in September, but UPS has not disclosed how the contract's impact will affect its finances.
NYSE:UPS shares initially jumped as much as 3% in premarket trading on Tuesday after the report was released. However, they reversed course and were trading about 1% lower an hour before the opening bell. NYSE:UPS closed at $145.36 on Monday, up 1.8%, but the stock is still down more than 7% so far this year and 25% lower in the last 12 months.
The decline in average daily volumes in its domestic segment and a 5.8% drop in its international segment is an indication of the subdued demand for small-package delivery. Besides, the company's profit margins have come under pressure due to higher costs associated with a new labor contract with the Teamsters union. The company reported an adjusted operating margin of 8%, the lowest in 2024. NYSE:UPS is absorbing 46% of the wage and benefit costs of the new five-year contract in 2024 and does not expect business conditions to improve until the second half of the year.
In summary, NYSE:UPS 's Q1 profit beat adjusted estimates, while revenue fell short of expectations. The company is making adjustments in response to the fall in shipping demand and revenue. The change in the air cargo provider of the US Postal Service could have an impact on its finances in the future.
UPS United Parcel Service Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the Double Top on UPS:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PUPS United Parcel Service prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 142usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-4-26,
for a premium of approximately $3.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
UPS Plummets 8% Amidst Investor Day ConferenceIn a strategic pivot aimed at driving growth and enhancing efficiency, United Parcel Service ( NYSE:UPS ) revealed its comprehensive vision for the future during its investor day conference. The announcement of the "Network of the Future" initiative signals a bold commitment to optimize and automate UPS's core integrated network, positioning the company for sustained success in a rapidly evolving market landscape.
CEO Carol Tome's unequivocal declaration of UPS's strategic direction underscores the company's unwavering determination to adapt and thrive in the face of challenges. With a keen focus on boosting market share and expanding its addressable market, NYSE:UPS is poised to harness the power of innovation to drive incremental growth and deliver value to shareholders.
Tome's assertion that the small package industry is primed for growth in 2024 and beyond reflects a strategic optimism tempered by a pragmatic understanding of market dynamics. By making bold moves to create a growth flywheel in premium markets while simultaneously driving productivity and efficiency gains, UPS aims to position itself as a leader in the global logistics landscape.
The ambitious financial targets outlined by NYSE:UPS serve as a testament to the company's confidence in its ability to execute its strategic vision. With projected consolidated revenues between $108 billion and $114 billion by 2026, UPS anticipates a substantial expansion of its top line, driven by a combination of organic growth initiatives and operational enhancements.
Furthermore, UPS's commitment to delivering superior financial performance is underscored by its guidance of an adjusted operating margin above 13% by 2026. With a laser focus on driving profitability across its key business segments, including the U.S. domestic package and international operations, UPS aims to unlock new levels of operational excellence and value creation.
Central to UPS's strategic roadmap is the commitment to generating robust free cash flow, with projections ranging between $17 billion and $18 billion by 2026. This emphasis on capital efficiency and disciplined capital allocation underscores UPS's commitment to delivering sustainable long-term value to its shareholders.
Despite the market's initial reaction, characterized by a reversal in UPS's stock price following the investor day conference, the underlying narrative remains one of strategic foresight and operational excellence. While short-term fluctuations may obscure the broader trajectory, UPS's steadfast commitment to its strategic objectives positions the company for success in the years ahead.
As NYSE:UPS embarks on this transformative journey, navigating the complexities of a dynamic global marketplace, stakeholders can take solace in the company's resolute commitment to innovation, efficiency, and growth. With a clear vision and a strategic roadmap in place, UPS stands poised to unlock new opportunities, drive shareholder value, and redefine the future of logistics.
UPS Rides High on FedEx's Soaring QuarterNYSE:UPS (United Parcel Service) stock witnessed a surge today, buoyed by the impressive performance of its competitor FedEx in the third quarter. FedEx's robust results, including earnings that beat analyst expectations by nearly 12%, lifted UPS shares in sympathy.
In its recent quarterly report, FedEx reported earnings of $3.86 per share, exceeding estimates and marking a significant increase from the previous year. Despite slightly missing revenue estimates, the company showcased its confidence by announcing a new $5 billion share repurchase program, with plans for $500 million in share repurchases in the coming quarter.
While FedEx's success may have set the stage, NYSE:UPS has been holding its ground. Although NYSE:UPS reported a 7.8% revenue decline in its fourth-quarter fiscal 2023 results, its adjusted EPS met consensus estimates. With FedEx's strong showing, investors are hopeful for similar resilience from NYSE:UPS in the quarters to come.
Technical Outlook
NYSE:UPS shares is trading with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 58.89 indicating a moderate buying situation. The bulls might continue pushing the share price higher.
In a market where delivery services play an increasingly crucial role, NYSE:UPS 's response to FedEx's success will be closely watched by investors and industry observers alike.
UPS United Parcel Service Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UPS United Parcel Service prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 170usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $7.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Selling Pressure Ahead as UPS Approaching Key ResistanceUPS, after breaking below the critical support, is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating the potential validity of a long-term downtrend. At present, the price has once again approached the resistance at the 38.2% Fibonacci level. This is expected to generate significant selling pressure, resulting in a downward push in price. Considering the 3-day chart, the drop could be relatively substantial. The final downside target is identified at the 78.6% Fibonacci level, which corresponds to the $120 mark.
However, a breakout above the channel would serve as a strong warning sign for sellers. If the price manages to produce a new higher high thereafter, it is likely that bulls will regain complete control. Nonetheless, at the moment, bears are clearly dominating the market. Therefore, we are currently initiating our short position.
UPSA good opportunity to long position and get a good profit from the attractive American stock market
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UPS United Parcel Service Options Ahead of EarningsMy recent experience with those global package delivery companies was extremely painful. The have raised their prices a lot, on some occasions you pay the same price to send something to another country than taking the trip yourself and deliver that package in person.
So i have tried to avoid UPS, like many of you, and go for smaller unknown companies. I think this attitude will reflect in the upcoming earnings.
Looking at the UPS United Parcel Services options chain, i would buy the $160 strike price Puts with
2022-11-4 expiration date for about
$4.85 premium.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
UPS up for another drop.I just love these stocks that make an obvious hint for a drop in an otherwise bearish market. Going with the flow is always easier in general trend. Imagine swimming in a river and going against the current. Same with the market. Putting a long in this current general environment is extra risky.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
Ascending triangle on United Parcel Service. UPSWe have completed a very harmonious, symmetrical ascending triangle on UPS. And as we know a weak impulse or a corrective pattern always follows a triangle.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
UPS looking to fall. UPSGoals 199, 190, 185. Invalidation at 230.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
UPS not delivering. UPSShort term outlook.
Bearish outlook for gains at 207, 199 then 193. Invalidation at 236.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
United Parcel Service $UPSAfter broke $103.8 out, hit the 100SMA and went back below buying point. It hold above 20SMA. RSI is still above the trend line so i would consider to be long after break out of $103.8 again.
12 months Consensus Price Target: $111
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Slight Drop Ahead For UPSOn May 2, 2017, the UPS 100 day moving average (DMA) crossed below its 200 day moving average (DMA). Historically this has occurred 12 times and the stock drops a minimum of 0.531%. The median drop is 2.948% and maximum drop is 7.001% over the next 17 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 52.3348. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is relatively neutral and may not have major sudden price swings.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -2.4060. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is trending up.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 0.9788 and the negative is at 0.8750. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock has been slowly cycling with crest to trough occurring in less than 14 days. With both indicators below 1, anything can happen.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 66.0265 and D value is 77.6110. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock exited overbought territory and should continue to decline.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be pointing down. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could drop at least 1.91% over the next 17 trading days.