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Usdcnysignals

USDCNY Brace for a cyclical 1-year sell-off.The USDCNY pair is almost on a 3-month decline after a Lower Highs rejection early in July. Having broken below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) the same month, which was the long-term Support, this Lower Highs is a standard cyclical top formation that has shown up both on the May 2020 and 2017 tops. The similarities are more obvious on the 1W RSI, where the pair makes its cyclical bottom after a Higher Lows trend-line is formed on oversold territory and tops on the Lower Highs trend-line shown. Right now it appears that we are just before it breaks downwards aggressively and attack the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The Sine Waves also give a great perspective of the frequency of those Cycle Bottoms. As a result, we expect the pair to have reached by the end of 2025 the 10-year Higher Lows Zone. Our long-term Target is 6.500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
USDCNY hit the 1DMA200 and rebounded. Clear bullish confirmationThe USDCNY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 15 2023 market bottom. Yesterday is completed a violent 2-day collapse and hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) right at the bottom of the Channel Up. The price almost immediately rebounded, so that gives the most clear buy confirmation on the short-term. We turn bullish again, targeting a Higher High at 7.3100 (+1.39% rise). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
China's Yuan Depreciation: PBOC Guidance Signals Potential ShiftChina's Yuan Weakens on Strategic Policy Shift by PBOC The Chinese Yuan (CNY) has depreciated to a seven-month low against the US Dollar (USD) in a move attributed to a recent shift in guidance by the People's Bank of China (PBOC). This development suggests a potential change in strategy by the central bank, indicating a greater tolerance for a weaker yuan. Weaker Guidance Fuels Depreciation The PBOC's revised daily guidance for the yuan's exchange rate has emerged as a key driver of the currency's depreciation. This guidance, set weaker than market expectations, has signaled to investors a potential shift in the PBOC's stance on currency management. Domestic Pressures and Capital Outflows The yuan's weakness is further amplified by ongoing economic challenges within China. A sluggish domestic economy, coupled with weak consumer spending and declining yields, is prompting capital outflows. This trend is putting downward pressure on the yuan's value. PBOC Takes Action to Stabilize Bond Yields In a separate development, the PBOC is taking steps to address concerns surrounding falling bond yields. The central bank has announced plans to borrow treasury bonds through open market operations. This move aims to stabilize yields and prevent a rapid decline that could trigger financial instability. Navigating Complex Dynamics These recent developments underscore the intricate dynamics currently at play within China's financial markets. The PBOC's actions suggest a strategic response to a confluence of domestic and international economic pressures. The depreciation of the yuan and efforts to stabilize bond yields highlight the ongoing efforts by the central bank to navigate a complex economic landscape.
Long
by signalmastermind
USDCNY Channel Up extending its rise.The USDCNY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the January 24 Low. Being supported by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) during the past 3 months (since March 14), the price recently formed a 1D Golden Cross. As a result, we expect a continuation of this textbook uptrend, aiming at a standard +0.70% rise (similar to all previous Bullish Legs of the pattern). Our Target is 7.2875, marginally below Resistance 1. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USDCNY Above the 1D MA200 and looking bullish as ever.The USDCNY pair gave us an excellent sell opportunity on October 02 2023 (see chart below), as it stayed below Resistance 1 and hit our 7.1225 Target: The price has since started to rise after hitting the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Rising Wedge, and now sits above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), past a 1D MA50/100 Bullish Cross. We expect a slow and steady extension of this rise, targeting 7.3500 (Resistance 2). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USDCNY RSI Bullish Divergence calling for a buyThe USDCNY pair gave us an excellent sell opportunity on our last analysis (October 02 2023, see chart below), as it stayed below Resistance 1 and hit our 7.1225 Target At the moment the price is struggling to break above the 1D MA5 (blue trend-line), which it hit yesterday for the first time since November 06 2023. What we are currently more interested at is the Higher Lows trend-line that the 1D RSI has been trading on since November 21. During that time, the price is on Lower Lows, which from an RSI perspective is a Bullish Divergence. At the same time, the pair just formed a 1D Death Cross, the first since February 03 2023, which was on the previous long-term market bottom. What followed after that was a 1D MA100 test (green trend-line). Since we are already on a small rebound, we will buy after a 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50 and target 7.2200 (projected contact with the 1D MA100). Then if the price pulls back and as long as it is above the 1D MA50, we will buy again and target Resistance 2 at 7.2975. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USDCNY Topped on Head & Shoulders or Channel Up extension?It has been long since we last traded the USDCNY pair (May 2023), that gave a solid short-term buy break-out signal (chart below): The trend has broken aggressively inside a long term Channel Up, which recently broke above the 7.3300 Resistance but only marginally. It stands out that the Resistance breach was made on the Head of a potential Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern. If Resistance 1 (7.3300) breaks again, then this pattern gets invalidated and we will expected a test of the dotted line at 7.4000. On the other hand, a break below Support 1 (7.2450) but more importantly the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) that has been supporting since April 19 2023, would be a sell signal towards Support 2 (7.1225) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Notice that the 1D RSI has been trading below a Lower Highs trend-line and on the H&S Head made the most recent contact. A similar RSI pattern can be seen in 2022, whose price action also formed a H&S pattern that was eventually a big sell signal. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
USDCNY Approaching a 2 month Resistance on overbought RSI.It's been a long time see we last traded the USDCNY pair (see chart below) but it was a long-term trade that very precisely hit the both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1W MA100 (red trend-line) targets: After the January 16 rebound, the pair former a Channel Up and currently the price is approaching the 6.9785 Resistance. The 1D RSI got overbought on Friday for the first time since February 24. If it closes a 1D candle above Resistance 1, we will buy and target the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up at 7.0500. Until then we will sell those overbought indicators and target the 1D MA50 on the short-term and if it closes below the Inner Higher Lows, then sell more towards the bottom of the Channel Up. If the price closes below Support 1, then long-term sell targeting Support 2 at 6.7000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
6
USDCNY Bearish below the 1D MA50A month ago we called the top on the USDCNY: With the price breaking below Fibonacci 4.0, the pair has basically called for an extension of November's downtrend. This will be confirmed if the price fails to close the week above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As you see, on a sample dating back to January 2017, every time the price failed to close above the 1D MA50 (four events), it extended its losses and broke below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), approaching the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) and on two occasions breaking (much) lower. A slightly different case is March 2017, when the price did break above the 1D MA50, but eventually collapsed below it a few weeks later. Perhaps the best confirmation for a long-term sell would be when the RSI on the 1W time-frame breaks below its Support level. This happened on all of those cases since 2017. As a result, we have a medium-term target for USDCNY on the 1D MA200. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
5
USDCNY Next week will probably top and turn sidewaysThe USDCNY pair has been on a very strong rise since it got detached from the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on August 11. The bullish channel resembles that of mid April - mid May, which topped on its 6.0 Fibonacci extension from its previous Support. The RSI is printing a similar sequence that was just before that top. As a result it is a possibility that the pair tops next week around 7.300 and then pulls back to the 4.0 Fib, turning sideways until it tests the 1D MA50 again, where the next long-term trend will be revealed: either a bullish continuation or a closing below it and a new bearish pattern will be introduced. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
1