USDRUB top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Usdrubshort
USDRUB top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDRUB top-down analysis, UPDATEDHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDRUB top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Russian Ruble - Higher Inflation data to trigger RUBLE Buying Fundamentals
Today's Russian inflation data could increase market bets of an interest rate hike by the Russian central bank in August.
Against low-interest-rate yielding currencies like the U.S Dollar and Euro, we could see a stronger Ruble as long as the risk of U.S sanctions on Russia does not persist.
Key Points:
Russia’s inflation currently stands at 5.50%.
This overshoots the central bank's inflation target of 4.00%
Markets betting on a rate hike by the Russian Central Bank August from 5.00% to 6.00%
Russian 10 Year Bond Yield sits at 7.20%.
Higher Inflation data could push up bond yields are cause the currency to strengthen.
What To Watch
Russian Employment Data & Unemployment Rate
Oil Prices
Inflation Rate
Trade Idea’s
Higher Inflation - Buy RUB
Technicals
RUB at major support levels against EUR @ 88.00
RUB at major support levels against USD @ 72.00
ATR Volatility
USD/RUB 5.64%
EUR/RUB 5.17%
EUR/RUB & USD/RUB - Short SellWith high inflation above the Russia Central Banks 4.00% inflation target.
Markets are currently pricing in two interest rate hikes from the central bank over the next 6 months.
This will make short-selling EUR/RUB and USD/RUB very attractive to yield-seeking investors.
In this video, I break down both trades in detail.
USD/RUB - Sell Update In this video update to a previous video I posted on selling USD/RUB, we look the Dollar getting weaken against the Ruble and a perfect time to enter a short sell-set up.
The Ruble has a number of factors supporting it's strength agaisnt the Dollar.
1.) Higher interest rates mean selling the currency pair gives you a positive overnight carry trade opportunity.
2.) Higher Oil prices will support the Russian Ruble as Oil makes up 55.92% of Russia's exports.
3.) A weaker U.S Dollar and negative current account balance should further depreciate the dollar.
The one risk to a downside sell is U.S Sanctions on Russia should the Joe Biden take a tough stance with Russia.
We look at Entry price, stop loss and take profit targets for this trade idea.