Right Angled Descending Broadening WedgeChart Story here is.. from a Ascending broadening wedge the bears took it down.. and there was a great chance that a Bullish divergence would appear.
It did... course went up and so a Descending triangle formation was there to bring the course down again. Because the price then widens a bit on the downside in a sideways move, I consider it a Right Angled Descending Broadening Wedge for now.
Besides this pattern, you could probably also make a W pattern out of it but the characteristic of the Broadening wedge is "often", that after hitting the top or bottom 2 or 3 times the price comes back halfway during a rise or fall and then breaks out.
these scenario's makes it possible to trade them but in times of macro economic uncertainties at the moment, caution is advised at all times. manage your risks at all times.
disclaimer: this is not a financial advise
W-patterns
DJI - Cash Market Gaps. DJ:DJI had the rally this week and finished with a strong volume day on friday.
Looking to this week we have a Gap to be filled from the previous drop at around 32300.
This lines up with the 707 from recent high and low. We also have 1 SD @ 32690. Anything above these levels could mean we have some sort of major low in place.
At this level there is a Similar retracement from previous rallies.
Some more higher prices could be seen this week.
I will be looking for pull backs to enter long for now.
I hope this helps, Enjoy the week.
EURUSD - A move higher firstOANDA:EURUSD is edging higher towards the upside target around 1.07000.
A move back to 1.0520-1.0540 would be a low risk opportunity to go long.
At the upside target there are a lot of pattern completions, this would bring the DXY down as well before it heads higher towards its upside target of 121.
Enjoy the day.
GOLD - UGLY BUT STILL MOVING NICELY. OANDA:XAUUSD is just bouncing around being a little ugly. But there are still patterns in play.
If we can hold this 1830 area then there is a chance of 1880-1890 before more selling.
Otherwise below 1820 and we could be on the way to the low 1700s.
Update for now.
Enjoy the day.
GOLD - Critical price area!!OANDA:XAUUSD is sitting at an intersting price level.
We had the sell off from the high on Friday, now we are at a point where it could head higher for one more leg to the 1912 area or this correction is over after hitting the 382 twice over the last couple of weeks and we will see lower prices.
If this is it then our downside target is 1660 but there is a chance of a lot lower prices but I will cover that going forward. For now we just see how we open on Monday and find a place either way from there.
I will post smaller TF charts with intraday levels to watch.
Also I will post the AI for the year which gives me that downside bias.
I hope this helps, enjoy the weekend.
📊Why do the trading patterns work?Hi friends! Probably all traders began their career by learning the trading patterns.
A trading pattern is a price movement pattern in a certain range. Generally there are 2 types of patterns: candlesticks (shooting star, hammer, bullish or bearish engulfing) and figures (triangles, channels, flags, head and shoulders, etc.). The number of them is constantly increasing, through the change of market, but there are up to 50 main patterns.
📊So why do the trading patterns work?
The answer is very simple - because many traders use them in trading. Imagine a traffic light with a red light🔴 According to the rules all drivers who have the same signal stand waiting for a green light✅ Here, it lights up and allows all cars to move in the right direction. It's a clear rule, not only in your country, but in all the countries in the world. The situation is the same with trading patterns.
Let's imagine that a chart is a road, and a pattern is a light. The price rises or falls and a pattern is formed. You have determined that it is a bullish pattern, such as a bullish wedge. Of course, you are waiting for the wedge to move to the upper boundary and break it up, that will be a signal to open a trade (green signal to move✅). At the same time, all the drivers (read as "traders") begin buying with you and pushing the price higher and higher.
Why do traders do this? As I said in the beginning, patterns, like the rules of the road, are learned by all traders, regardless of nationality, this is the general rule, that is why these patterns work.
📊In what cases do they not work?
As you know, most people in the market can't be right. Conventionally, if everyone opened a long and bought Bitcoins at $50,000 and the price went up to $100,000, then someone should have bought those Bitcoins from you for 100% more. If everyone held a long, there would be no one to sell and no one would make a profit in the end. That's why there are always 2 sides in trading: buyers and sellers.
With the increasing popularity of patterns, most traders and especially beginners who first study patterns began to open trades according to these rules and .... took a loss. Patterns work especially badly on the cryptocurrency market, which shows how young this market is. But why? All because most cannot be right when trading patterns, otherwise no one would make money.
📊What should I do if I trade only paterns?
I would recommend adding more rules to your trading strategy. These can be different trading tools, filters which will help you to remove "fake" signals and increase win rate. For example, trade not the triangle pattern, but its false breakout using a volume indicator:
1️⃣A false breakout in most cases shows that the price will not go in the direction of the breakout, as there are too many willing to open a trade in the direction of the price movement.
2️⃣The volume indicator will show the actual number of buy and sell orders. If the volume at a false breakdown of the lower boundary of the triangle has increased - this tells us that the price is more likely not to move down, as there is serious support there.
This is the simplest example. You can also use indicators, additional trend lines, candlestick or fundamental analysis.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
FRR - STRONG Bounce coming - x5 - 15x profits🌇Hi cryptoTraders,🌆
✔️ Strong Uptrend now on FRR/USDT with easy break of 0.015 level. I expect a move to 0.09 usd min very soon, then go full bullrun.
📌My entry point: 📌
0.012 usd - 0.015 usd
💰 My targets: 💰
0.20 usd - 0.40 usd
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👑👑 BTC , the king of crypto :) 👑👑
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🤞🤞ALTSEASON 🤞🤞
😎 Regards 😎
PHUN Bullish Run If...as you can see we have 2 circle areas, 1 is down above the 1$, which is our bottom to confirm that we still respecting our ascending line, and 2 is up just below the 2$ resistant level, and there where we going to see a massive bullish volatility if we broke it and hold above it .
ADA Trade Setup - Breakout Of Trend Line = Bullish MomentumHello Traders, here is a trade Setup for ADAUSD.
I'm going to keep this one short today...
ADA has had an incredible run over the past several days. So well in fact that it broke through a local descending trend line which acted as resistance. This is a very positive signal for Bullish momentum.
- Price is currently re-testing support which is also an ideal buy zone.
- The trade setup is shown on the chart.
- Keep in mind that we are in a Bear Market. Keep your position sizes small to protect your capitol and don't over leverage yourself.
Thanks everyone and best of luck trading!
AUDUSD- Short Term Sells, Long Term BuysAUDUSD is at a level of contention- we could go absolutely bullish or shock the market by flailing to the lows. Both scenarios are open to me, and here is why:
A Case for Sells:
-we have been on a bearish assault and the recent price action indicates that we have found a lower swing high on the H4. As such, the natural expectation is that we shall continue bearish, at least to the key daily levels around
0.68540 and potentially extend to the -27% fib level around 0.67200. Just by the sheer retrace and retesting a level of structure alongside retesting the 50% fibonacci is enough to expect the pair to start off on a continuation. I also note that price on H4 is indicating a double top and a break of the neckline level (as I judge by the candle closes, not wicks). The daily TF is also indicating a clear exhaustion by the wicks on the upside of the Thursday and Friday candles. The week closed with a spinning top on the daily- clearly opening price up to the possibility of a drop.
This is enough to validate sells.
A Case for Buys:
-Price hit a key psychological and institutional level for AUDUSD at 0.70000. We have tested this level for four times since September 2021 and each time we had a push to the upside. As such, price had created a sweet pool of liquidity below this key level. The last two weekly candles indicate a clear drop below 0.70000 to 0.68300 and a bullish piercing back above the level. This is a classic fish for liquidity and rejection from the zone below the level.
-If you choose to examine structure on the monthly as well, you realize that price created a lower low when it dipped all the way to 0.55000 levels back in March 2020. Naturally, the next thing to create would be a lower high, especially after the epic drop from 1.1000 which begun in 2011. This for me is reason enough to expect a bullish AUD for quite a while.
-If you play predictive analysis, you can also tell that the monthly COULD form an inverse head and shoulder at our current zone by going bullish.- two shoulders at 0.7000 and the head at 0.55000.
-since we have accessed liquidity and pushed back above 0.7000, I will be on the lookout for any structural shifts on H4 by breaking the latest lower swing high. IF we switch bullish, I'll be very okay taking on long term buys on this pair.
That said, the markets are not perfect and we may end up just heading down. I will play this one by the ear and comply to price action.
XMRUSDT wants the necklineThe price is testing the supply zone on 178$ where the market created an important daily resistance on the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
On the 4h Timeframe the price created the W pattern and we can find the neckline on 150$.
How approach it?
If the price is going to lose the support on 160$, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
BTC scenario for next few monthsBTC recently broke the bear flag. In my previous analysis, I pointed out that this would happen, however I expected BTC to have relief rallies between the trendlines before finally falling to 28k. There is a wick to 25k which was possibly accentuated by the tether depeg.
The average crypto bear market from bull cycle top to bear cycle low is typically 1 year. If it works the same way this time, the low will be produced around November 2022- January 2023 before BTC will move upwards and then surge in the next halving for 2024. This scenario is in line with previous bear markets where BTC plummets, then chops sideways for months and finally capitulates to produce an absolute bottom near the 200 WMA. This has always coincided with an RSI of 30 or slightly less on the weekly, or an RSI of 43 on the monthly and BTC is currently close to these levels. We can expect BTC in this scenario to trade between 28-37k, perhaps until November where it could drop dramatically to 20-24k and finally find an absolute bottom. As usual past data is never an accurate predictor of future events, so this is just being put forward as a possibility.
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USDCAD DAILY (11/5/22)Here we have usdcad in a uptrend channel where it has only made 3 touches so far. we did get a breakout of this channel but price was able to give us solid bullish candles to get back in and close within the channel giving us a fake out (Highlighted in graph). This fake out also gave us the 4 touch of an inner channel which has also given us a flag pole formation. I believe that UC has the potential to reach between 1.341 & 1.351.
I will post analysis of lower time frame in the next post.