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Gold @ daily @ technical Death Cross (100 SMA crosses 200 SMA)If the 100 SMA is crossing the 200 SMA many traders are talking about "death cross" - `cause the midterm investors starting to get under pressure relative to the longterm investors ... How ever, not only the big picture about XAUUSD is ugly - the short term picture inclusive :) 1188.10 intraday high while last FED press conference 1157.30 intraday low while last FED press conference 1165.36 intraday high while last ECB press conference 1138.68 intraday low while last ECB press conference should all be something like higher short entry capabilities into last temporarly lows (around 1088 while december`15) after historical all-time high (around 1920 in september`11). In principle, i can`t imagine that we`ll trade XAUUSD ever again around prices of 1199.80 (june`16 low) & 1241.50 (october`16 low), `cause the fed will raise their rates 2,3 times 2017. But not in 1st quarter`17, if i am anticipating the future right. See dates of FED & ECB (1st Quarter in chart also). All in all together these are the main reasons why i would prefere the downside not only 1st Quarter`17 - much more until end of 2017. New temproraly lows under 1046 are only a quest of time. And prices under 999 - one year ahead (while christmas 2017) - woudn`t surprise me any more ... Take care about the death cross ahead, this could initial technical price volatility out of the yearly lows of 2013 (white line by 1180.20) & 2014 (white line by 1132.08). Superordimnate price targets are form this point of view 1073.53 (yearly 2015 low) & 1061.20 (1st price of 2016) & even also around 1046 (temporarly lowest price while dec`15 since all-time high in sep`11). Take care & analyzed it again - it`s always your decission ... (for a bigger picture zoom the chart) Best regards Aaron
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Devise2Day
2
Gold: Post-FOMC OutlookMy last post here on Gold (see Quick Take: Gold: Pre-FOMC Outlook ), I predicted that we would see it drop again. Here's the chart that showed this pre-FOMC: I also showed you how having predicted, projected, making a trading plan and TRADING that trade plan based on my projections and the many wave count scenarios that I worked hard on coming up with, I and my members were able to rack up over +2800 REAL pips! (see this post: ) Well, we just added another +329 pips to that count and now have pocketed over +3000 pips on Gold in the past few months following my pre-FOMC prediction. But now that it has done what was expected, what now? The chart that you see is showing what I believe is the tail-end of that amazing drop started from more than 4 months ago. From here, we could see a nice bounce as prices complete a large POTENTIAL Cypher pattern and also reach the MAJOR DT TL below. That area should provide some strong resistance. PM me for longer term projections.
FX:XAUUSD
by EverythingForex
5
XAUUSD Short SoonWaiting for bearish confirmation candle before putting a short stop order few pips below the recent low at S1 pivot level. Target entry near S1-S2 fibo lines (pink) with TP at previous S3 fibo line (blue) near S2 pivot level, and TP near S1 pivot level. Might widen or tighten SL depending on next week's volatility before entering short. This is also in line with bearish movement bias on higher timeframe charts and strong sentiment about USD regarding higher probability of Fed rate hike this month. www.marketpulse.com W: D:
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by aiza_belle
Quick Update: Gold - A Change In Wave Count Reveals BIGGER Move!So far, +315 pips move on our trade..... My last post on Gold, I posted this chart: With that update, I also said "Gold is still heading down in a wave (iii). So DON'T try to BUY yet! And yes, it is TOO LATE to try to SELL and get in on the downtrend because this wave (iii) may be coming to an end soon. By my wave count, it should retrace back up soon in a corrective wave (iv). After that is done, I will be looking to trade the wave (v) back down. " I then followed it up with this chart update: With that update, I said "if you look at my last update, you will see that Gold had moved EXACTLY as I said it would. EXACTLY. When it hit that MAJOR SR Structure on my chart and gave a BUY signal, I told my members to go ahead and BUY and we did at 1310.79. And as of now, we are up +146 pips on this move. Did you all follow my chart?" But now that prices have moved as strongly as they did AND beyond my TP point, it has invalidated my original wave count and forced me to reassess it. Of course, I'm not mad because the more it keeps moving, the more me and my members are making off this trade! If you had joined us, you would be too! So now, I have readjusted my wave count to account for this move up. And what you may notice is that in order to accommodate this move, I have had to mark the previous move down as a wave 1 and this move back up as a wave 2. Which means that when this move up finishes, the next move COULD be a wave 3 down! I say COULD be because...here is my ALT Bullish wave count that MUST be considered! If this ALT BULLISH wave count is correct, hey, my members and I are already in on the ground floor of a HUGE, HUGE move! You could've been also had you been a member! So take BOTH my wave counts into consideration before you decide to do anything. *DISCLAIMER: Please keep in mind that I am not giving any trading signals or trade calls here. Only providing my own trade thoughts for your benefit and insight as to my trading technique and style. Please don't ask if you should or should not take the trade or ask for stop loss and take profit levels. Any SL or TP given on my trades are my own I have used for my trade and are not recommendations for you to use. If you are not sure, then you do not have a trading plan for yourself in place. I suggest you make one before you continue to do any trading! THINK before you comment! It takes MUCH work and time to create these posts! So before you decide to criticize me for what I post, or how I choose to post, remember that I don't just throw a chart up with a few lines on it with a few arrows showing 2 possible directions and that's it. I can do those in 5 mins. My charts take MUCH effort and I put much detail into creating them for your benefit. I hope it helps but I also hope it's appreciated! If you like my posts and find them helpful, please take a second to hit that LIKE button and follow me so I can know my post was helpful to you. As always, any CONSTRUCTIVE comments are welcome whether AGREE or DISAGREE.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by EverythingForex
11
Gold - Don't Just Own It, Trade It - 6/17/2016We are seeing really good trend trading in both highly volatile and lucrative commodities - Gold and Crude. We are actively trading both commodities from long as well as short side by leaning against good support / resistance levels. There are many investors out there just happy owning gold and hoping for something good to happen to their investment. Of course if you have ton of extra money to park on 'long term' bet and if you are living in a country (e.g. India ) with depreciating currency against US Dollar then that might make sense. Because every decade or so, we are going to see parabolic spikes in Gold and silver besides your usual price appreciation due to currency devaluation. But for others, who are good at technical trading and understands the fundamental argument about Gold, there is much more money to be made trading Gold rather than just stashing it. Levels in Gold are very obvious and strategy is also very simple. Look at 1100, 1140, 1180, 1200, 1240, 1260, 1280, 1300, 1400, 1500 and you will be able to point very conspicuous support / resistance levels. Now depending upon from the direction Gold is approaching these levels, take a trade against those levels ! Of course you need little understanding of technical analysis here because for example, during yesterday's rally, you just don't jump at 1300 and short Gold because there is 200 WMA lying at 1314. So you need to spread your short closer to that. But these are very simple things for a technical trader and we don't need to spell out everything here. So as usual, sticking with our short gold strategy, there is no surprise that we are short here and first target has already been reached at 1280 and now looking for 1260. But we will be wary of holding short amid Brexit though. Besides now it seems like Central banks are at the end of their wit and something is telling us that Gold want to fly to 1400 ! In that case, this might be the last short in 1100 / 1300 range and we are prepared to get long from 1260.
FX:XAUUSD
by BombayBulls
XAUUSD SHORTXAUUSD SEEMS TO BE A NICE SHORT OPPORTUNITY AFTER LAST FRIDAYS BEARISH ENGULFING FORMATION ALONGSIDE SLIGHT BEARISH DIVERGENCE WITH A REJECTION FROM THE 1280 RESISTANCE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR GOLD TO HAVE MADE A LOWER HIGH ON THE WEEKLY AS LONG AS THE METAL STAYS FIRMLY BELOW 1280-1290. I DON'T WANT TO GET TOO CAUGHT UP IN THE BULLISH GOLD RUSH JUST YET AS I STILL SEE FURTHER DOWNSIDE BEYOND $1080 PER OZ BEFORE THE REAL BUYING FORCES ITS WAY THROUGH! ANYWAY.. NICE 1:2 RISK REWARD POTENTIAL HERE. TRADE SAFE AND HAVE A PROSPEROUS WEEK AHEAD.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FxcInvesting
Commodity Analysis And Trading Tips - GOLD BUY!! Today's Chart - XAU/USD Overview : Gold gave up some of its sharp overnight gains on Friday, but held above $1,200 an ounce as a drop in equities stoked fresh safe-haven demand for the metal. On Technical charts, Current trend of Gold is bullish, it has given upside breakout from downward sloping trend. Now market is making higher top and higher bottom formation on chart. Market is likely to be further bullish, it has retrace its recent significant upward movement and still sustaining above the downward sloping trend line with formation of symmetrical triangle. It has been taking support of 50 DMA & 200 DMA on one hourly chart. Resistance is seen at high of $1240, while support is seen at $1200. On intra-day basis Gold price likely to trade tight range. Indicators: RSI entered and remains in positive territory now, trading at 52.9. Let me know if you like the analysis guys and I will keep it coming :)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by TheBanker
4
The Missing Key for Silver is InflationShould silver price in retail demand or economic sentiment? Silver prices have rallied hard since the beginning of October, up almost 10.5 percent since the October 2 low. However, traders are now budded up against key technical resistance. Will traders’ sentiment reject silver’s upward momentum, as it has done seven times since 2013, or will demand spark higher gains? Silver has had a rough go since crashing from its 2011-highs. Currently, silver is trading around the 200-day EMA, which has proven fickle for silver prices. Every time prices have been able to rally to the key pivot-point, prices have been immediately rejected or the trend’s momentum quickly faded. Despite mints beginning to ration silver bullion coins (again), prices are continuing to show the divide between sentiment and demand. As I have mentioned in several articles previous, silver’s demand is largely based upon economical factors, such as manufacturing and industrial output whereas gold prices are almost entirely derived from investment demand in relation of central bank policy. Some analysts expect silver prices to rally because demand for minted coins has risen, and mints are having a tough time filling orders. But, if history is any indicator, this does not happen. For instance, in July, the U.S. Mint reported that demand for American silver eagles were so high that it depleted their stores and began to ration the bullion coins. Needless to say, silver went on to drop an additional $2 per ounce while breaking $14 per ounce back in August. It may not be all it is cracked up to be. The shortage of minted coins only represents one, small facet of silver demand. According to Smaulgld.com, when the first shortage was reported, the shortage was found in the retail market but not the wholesale market. Silver has long been a trusted go-to for retail investors. It is a tangible asset that tends to be priced reasonably for the everyday investor. The multi-year lows carved out this year has only been seen as a buying opportunity. Although, it is important to understand that silver is not an investment for tough economic times because that is, generally, how market participants price silver. Silver is only a form of protection against inflation, which undoubtedly will show up. Investors will just have to be incredibly patient. (Silver outperformed during recessions that were coupled with higher inflation as seen during the 1940s and 1970s recessions). Unlike gold, silver has no historic evidence of protecting against deflation (gold nearly tripled during the early-1930s). During significant bouts of deflation in the early-1920s, and again in 1929 to 1933, silver’s performance was horrible. It was also horrible as inflation subsided after the stagflation of the 1970s and early-1980s. Again, following the lack of inflation – on paper – during the Federal Reserve’s seemingly endless quantitative easing programs after the financial crisis. Current rates of inflation, as measured by consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI), could suggest prices have more to fall. The U.S. is seeing the lowest bouts of inflation in decades. The U.S. is experiencing the lowest levels of CPI outside of a recession since 1954 and the lowest PPI since 2001, following the dotcom bubble. However, silver has experienced great gains following a recession as inflation re-enters markets. Silver could get cheaper, but patience is a virtue and could reward big when inflation rears its ugly head. Please check out the original link for additional charts and graphs: bullion.directory Please follow me on Twitter @Lemieux_26 Check my posts out at: bullion.directory www.investing.com www.teachingcurrencytrading.com oilpro.com
FX_IDC:XAGUSD
by CommoditiesTrader
5