Continued decline, market analysis and strategy sharingGold daily line single K closed negative, the 5-day moving average system crossed the 20-day moving average, and the overall short position was arranged. The auxiliary indicator MACD also crossed downward at a high position.
Gold fell under pressure from high levels, and gold continued to short in the Asian session. The rise of gold last week was just a reaction to the Fed's expectation of a rate cut. Gold finally rushed up and fell back, and waited for the rebound to continue shorting.
The 4-hour moving average of gold has now entered a short position arrangement with a dead cross downward. There is still room for gold to fall. Gold fluctuated after the second half of Friday night. Today's Asian session directly broke down, so gold still continued to choose to go down. Gold rebounded near 2690 in the Asian session and continued to short.
First support: 2660, second support: 2643, third support: 2630
First resistance: 2680, second resistance: 2691, third resistance: 2700
Trading strategy:
BUY:2661-2663
SELL:2690-2692
Xauusd(w)
Gold remains around $2,675-$2,670 due to a stronger USD.Gold (XAU/USD) stays around $2,672-$2,670 as trading opens in Europe on Monday, continuing its recent downtrend from the October 31 record high. The USD remains slightly below last week's 4-month peak, driven by optimism over Trump’s economic policies, which are pressuring gold for the second consecutive day.
Investors expect Trump’s policies to boost growth and inflation while limiting strong Fed easing, keeping US Treasury yields high and pushing funds away from non-yielding gold. However, a mild risk sentiment may support gold as traders await US inflation data and Fed Chair Powell’s speech later this week.
Personal opinion:
A sell-off below last week's low around $2,643 could trigger further downside, potentially pushing gold towards the October range low at $2,605-$2,602. However, a rebound above $2,700 faces strong resistance near $2,718 and the $2,740-$2,745 zone. A break above these levels could signal the end of the correction and push gold towards $2,750 and the $2,758-$2,790 range, or even the record high from October 31.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2656 - 2654
SL: 2649
Buy Zone: 2666 - 2664
SL: 2659
Sell Zone: 2687 - 2689
SL: 2694
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT THE SUPPORT TRENDLINE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Target Achievement , The analysis mentions a prior target of +430 pip profit, with the price currently yielding a 1.58% rate. This suggests that an expected price decline has already occurred and reached a specific profit target.
Demand Zones , The current demand zone is between $2,659 and $2,649. If prices stabilize above or within this range, there may be an opportunity for prices to rebound and move towards a higher range , If prices break below this demand zone, a further decline is anticipated toward a lower demand zone between $2,618 and $2,604.
Supply Zones , If prices rise, the target supply zone is set between $2,687 and $2,710.
For an uptrend to be confirmed, prices would need to break and stabilize above this supply zone, indicating potential for further upward movement.
Overall Trend , Despite potential rebounds within the specified zones, the asset is noted as trading “under downward pressure,” suggesting an overall bearish outlook unless key supply or demand zones are broken in favor of a trend reversal.
Gold Analysis: Short Fibonacci ResistanceIn this 1-hour Gold chart (XAU/USD), we observe the price retesting a significant area around the 2687 level after a recent downtrend. Fibonacci retracement levels are applied to gauge potential retracement zones.
Entry Position: A potential short entry can be taken near the 2687 level, where price is facing resistance.
Take-Profit Target: The first profit target could be set around 2664, where the next support lies, aligning with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Stop-Loss: Consider placing the stop-loss above the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 2699 to minimize risk if the price breaks higher.
XAUUSD H1 | Bullish BounceBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy zone at 2664- 2668, which is pullback support close to 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 2679.84 which is the pullback resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 2652,58, an overlap support level.
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GOLD, SILVER, PLATINUM & COPPER Weekly Forecast Nov. 11thThe Metals are at areas of supportive discount arrays, but will they move higher.
The latest COT Report indicates the institutional traders are betting on higher prices, even when the assets seem to be in consolidation.
Monday is a US bank holiday, and Tuesday may start slow, but I suspect the price action will be clearer come Wednesday.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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XAU/USD Longs from 2,66.000 back up?My analysis this week suggests that gold may accumulate around my point of interest at 2,660.00, where a 9-hour demand zone has formed. With liquidity and imbalance left to the upside, price might look to continue in its pro-trend direction.
Alternate Scenario: If price reaches the area around 2,740.00, we might see a retracement or bearish reaction. Given recent bearish pressure that’s led to a CHoCH and BOS, this scenario could align with the current order flow.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- A clean, unmitigated demand zone below.
- DXY has shown strong upside movement and may be due for a pullback.
- Significant liquidity lies to the upside.
- The overall market trend remains bullish.
P.S. If price respects the 9-hour supply zone and continues breaking structure to the downside, it could validate a temporary bearish move. Have a great trading week!
Gold price is trending down ? Why ? World gold prices dropped to their lowest level in nearly 2 months due to pressure from the strong recovery of the USD. Recorded at 8:33 a.m. on November 13, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 105,897 points (up 0.04%).
The inverse relationship between gold and the USD seems to have disappeared in recent times. However, since the US presidential election, this relationship has returned strongly.
The USD is expected to benefit from some of the policies of US President-elect Donald Trump, as they will likely cause US interest rates to remain relatively high for a longer period of time and that will be unfavorable environment for gold.
Next week's economic calendar is quite bleak, especially when compared to last week's boom. The main economic news events to watch will be the US core CPI on Wednesday. The US Federal Reserve (FED) is expected to closely monitor CPI for signs that consumer inflation is continuing on its path towards 2%.
Thursday's US PPI report, weekly jobless claims data and Friday morning's US retail sales release for October will also provide specific data on Americans' purchasing power in the current high-cost environment.
🔥 TVC:GOLD BUY 2590 - 2592🔥
💵 TP1: 2600
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2583
🔥 TVC:GOLD SELL 2628 - 2630🔥
💵 TP1: 2620
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2637
Gold- In search for a bottomTrading OANDA:XAUUSD has been nothing short of a roller coaster since early October.
Initially, it seemed like the rally might never end, but now the drop is unfolding in a similar manner.
Although I anticipated a strong decline, I’ll admit that I didn’t expect it to be quite this steep.
Gold has now fallen 2,000 pips from its all-time high, and to me, it’s clear that the 2,800 level is likely to hold for a while.
However, the outlook for the downside remains uncertain. The price has broken below several key support zones and even briefly tested levels below the 2,600 mark.
On a positive note for the bulls, each dip below 2,600 has been met with a quick reversal, which may suggest a false breakout.
Whether this holds true is still unclear and requires confirmation—a move back above 2,620 would be a positive signal, potentially setting 2,660 as the next target.
On the downside, there is significant support at 2,525, although recent rebounds from 2,600 make it unlikely this level will be tested in the coming days (though with this level of volatility, anything is possible).
In summary, I am currently out of the market but will be watching closely for clear signs of a bottom to confirm a new buying opportunity.
Gold's long-term trend is still forecast to increase in price.Geopolitical tensions are expected to cool down under Donald Trump. And the US economy will attract international capital flows. Cash flow poured heavily into many high-risk assets such as the stock market, cryptocurrency market,... thereby putting more pressure on gold.
However, in the medium and long term trend, gold is still forecast to increase in price. Many organizations have not changed their forecasts that gold will reach 3,000 USD/ounce by 2025.
Many experts believe that public debt, leverage and extreme taxes of Mr. Donald Trump have the ability to bring gold prices back to before. After a period of time, many private investors will overcome the debt situation and the pressure to control the US budget. Gold will then increase again.
With the recent sharp decline, it is likely that bottom-fishing demand from the "big players" in the market will increase again. China has stopped buying gold for 6 consecutive months, but may return to buying when prices fall deeply. China, Russia and many other countries are still accelerating the process of reducing the proportion of reserve assets denominated in USD.
🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD BUY 2590 - 2592🔥
💵 TP1: 2600
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2583
🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD SELL 2628 - 2630🔥
💵 TP1: 2620
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2637
XAUUSD. Waiting for the opportunity to buyHello traders and investors!
Yesterday, the price interacted with the 2604.39 level. The daily candle had increased volume, which could indicate buyer interest.
On the hourly timeframe, there is a sideways range. If the price breaks above the upper boundary of 2617.125 and the buyer successfully defends this breakout, it may be a good opportunity to look for buy positions. It would be wise to monitor how the price handles the 2627.235 level, as a seller might appear there.
These would be aggressive buy positions. Conservatively, it makes more sense to look for buy opportunities after the buyer absorbs yesterday's daily seller candle on the daily timeframe.
The previous detailed analysis can be found in the related post.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
XAUUSD, 15-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHARTXAUUSD, 15-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHART
XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD touched the resistance level of 2,613.00
General outlook
XAUUSD has been under buying pressure within the last hour. The pair moved to the resistance level of 2,613.00.
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a buy limit order at 2,608.
Set your stop loss at 2,615. below the previous low ($8.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,588. ($20.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Today's Trend Analysis and SignalsGold's late-session high-fall continued the weak adjustment pattern. Technical trading ideas: Continue to short at high prices during the day's rebound! The hourly chart Bollinger Bands narrowed, with the upper track at 2616 and the lower track at 2590. The current market 2616 is today's long-short dividing line!
Gold is still weak, and the rebound is limited. The rebound is an opportunity to go short. Gold rebounded at 2616 in the Asian session and went short directly. The market is changing rapidly. Plan your trades and trade your plans. Gold is still rebounding at the moment. The rebound is an opportunity to continue to go short.
The 1-hour moving average of gold is still distributed downward, and the rebound is limited. Gold also fell back after rising in the NY period, indicating that gold is only rebounding and has not reversed. Then gold will continue to go short. Gold will go short directly near 2616 in the Asian session.
First support: 2690, second support: 2579, third support: 2563
First resistance: 2616, second resistance: 2625, third resistance: 2639
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2586-2588
SELL: 2616-2618
GOLD → Correction is getting stronger. Next is 2500Hello, dear traders, Ben here!
Spot gold is consolidating around the $2,600 mark on Wednesday after extending its recent slide to $2,589 per troy ounce, marking the lowest point since September
Meanwhile, sellers have decided to take a pause ahead of the key U.S. CPI report, which could significantly impact Fed rate-cut expectations and provide fresh momentum.
In theory, any effort to drive gold prices higher might be constrained due to the poor performance of stocks, which continues to boost demand for the U.S. dollar. Most Asian and European indices closed in the red, while Wall Street pared its latest gains, with all three major indices down, albeit with limited declines.
Looking ahead, October’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to come in at 0.2% month-over-month and 2.6% year-over-year, the latter being slightly higher than the previous 2.4%. However, the annual core CPI is anticipated to remain stable at 3.3%. Additionally, market participants are speculating on what a potential Trump return to the White House might mean for the U.S. and the rest of the world.
From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to break out of a primary range, breaching the key support. If there’s a false break around the 2,610 level, a minor correction toward resistance may form. However, with prices testing a strong support level, we may see a false breakout and a corrective movement to the 2,626-2,636 area (0.618 fib line) before resuming the downtrend.
Gold Continues to Plunge (November 13)The rise in the US dollar has diminished the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset, while expectations surrounding Trump's economic policies, such as tax cuts and infrastructure investment, have led many investors to shift towards riskier markets, driving gold prices lower.
Specifically, gold has dropped to around 2,600 USD/ounce, marking a significant decline compared to previous days. Looking at the price channel, gold is currently moving in a downward trend. Technical indicators show that gold has broken through several key support levels, especially below 2,650 USD/ounce, suggesting that selling pressure is intensifying.
If the downward trend continues, the next support level could be 2,550 USD/ounce, where gold might find temporary buying interest. However, if gold fails to hold this level and continues to drop below 2,500 USD/ounce, the price could continue to plummet, widening the decline in the short term.
Key Data Signals a Challenging Week AheadThis week, it is essential to prioritize a bearish stance on the gold market, aligning with the prevailing downtrend. As analyzed yesterday, the broader environment remains unfavorable for gold. Trump’s recent election victory continues to strengthen the U.S. dollar, and given his focus on boosting the American economy, gold is likely to face sustained downward pressure.
Additionally, key economic data scheduled for release this week—including Wednesday’s October Consumer Price Index (CPI), Thursday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) and weekly jobless claims, and Friday’s retail sales data—are expected to weigh further on gold prices.
Therefore, the most prudent trading strategy this week is to focus on short positions in the gold market. For those following this analysis, this provides a clear trading direction. For a detailed, actionable trading strategy, please reach out. I will share the complete weekly strategy with all VIP members.
Gold Price Today: USD Strength Causes Sharp DeclineGlobal gold prices have sharply decreased as the USD Index rose to 105.5 points, marking the dollar's highest level in over four months.
The decline in gold is largely driven by the strength of the USD and rising Treasury yields.
Additionally, a steep drop in crude oil prices to $68 per barrel and gains in U.S. stocks have shifted investor interest toward energy and equities.
Consequently, investment in precious metals remains low, further pressuring gold downward.
The short-term bearish trend is expected to continue, with more selling anticipated
XAUUSD | 11.11.2024BUY 2665.00 | STOP 2620.00 | TAKE - 1 - 2693.00, TAKE - 2 - 2710.00 | The XAUUSD pair retreated from the 2800.00 level amid market volatility after Donald Trump's victory in the presidential election and the US Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustment by 25 basis points, justified by the recovery of the labor market and inflation reaching the target level of 2%.