Xpeng
TODAYS AGGREAMENT WITH XPEV..WILL SOAR HIGHER AFTER TODAYS AGGREAMENT WITH XPEV?
I BET YES!
THE FIRST STEP INTERDAY WAS MADE!
PRICE MORE FROM 200MA AFTER MANY DAYS !
XPEV price on a squeeze between the trendline and $47.9XPEV is still respecting the trendline but hasn't been able to break above the $47.9 resistance. This is creating a squeeze in the price that shows traders' indecision. Other indicators are also flat (although slightly bullish) so not much can be inferred from them:
+DI is above -DI but curling down, ADX is flat below 20 (thus not showing signs that a trend is coming), MACD is curling up slowly, which is bullish but doesn't mean the price will go up right now, and finally OBV is moving in accordance with the price so there is no divergence and no hidden accumulation.
I have been buying when XPEV comes close to the trendline. We now have support from the 14-ema, 21-ema, and the trendline. If those are broken we could see some downside in the short/mid term.
***If you get anything out of this TA, please like and follow for future updates and more TA. Thanks a lot!***
***THE IDEAS SHARED HERE ARE MY OPINION. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE TO PLACE TRADES. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS BEFORE BUYING/SELLING STOCKS.***
XPEV respecting the trendlineDespite the recent fall XPEV has been respecting the trendline, which is what you want to see on stocks you own. Although there is some overhead with 14/21 emas and the $45 resistance the RSI and MACD show bullish momentum. This may be a good place to buy (or add more shares) with minimum risk since you can place a stop loss just below the trendline (perhaps below the 50-ema).
***If you get anything out of this TA, please like and follow for future updates and more TA. Thanks a lot!***
***THE IDEAS SHARED HERE ARE MY OPINION. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE TO PLACE TRADES. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS BEFORE BUYING/SELLING STOCKS.***
Potential 20% upside for XPEV in the short/mid termFundamentals
BofA recently raised XPEV's price target from $43 to $51.1. This is very bullish for XPEV because more often than not these price targets are met in the short to mid term: news.yahoo.com
If you want to see more price targets you can check out this report (some are as high as $58 and $59): www.marketbeat.com
Another thing to keep in mind is that the Chinese EV market is the largest EV market in the world by far and is growing exponentially. XPEV along with NIO and LI is one of the leading companies in the EV market in China. It has recently started entering the European market: www.bloomberg.com
I believe XPEV is poised to move higher in the short to mid term so if you are a trader I don't think there is much to be worried about but if you are a long term investor, it is worth knowing the long term risks as well, which you can learn more on this article: www.bloomberg.com
Technicals
Like other stocks on the EV market, XPEV fell hard from ATH the past month. After hitting about $74 a piece, XPEV seems to have found support around $37.5. There is a white closing marubozu candle on Dec 29th followed by two candles that closed higher consecutively, which signals a possible reversal or the current trend. Although the candles of the 30th and 31st are not very bullish (the one on the 31st is actually a doji) they are also not bearish. So they don't invalidate the white closing marubozu. RSI is starting to turn to the upside and MACD is also starting to curl up. Additionally, the two last candles found support on the 50-ema and broke above the short term trendline. These are all bullish signs. If XPEV can breakout above the 14-ema and 21-ema--which at the time of this writing is overlapping the stubborn $45.5 resistance--and the .618 fib level that has been strong resistance as well, it should be able to reach $51, a level that was tested 5 times the past few weeks but not broken. If/when we get there, we can reassess what the next move should be.
For those who want to jump in, this seems like a good level to start dollar cost averaging (DCA). If you are more conservative you can wait for a re-test of the trendline or 50-ema, which at the time of this writing are pretty close to one another.
I own XPEV and am looking to add a few more shares if the price keeps pushing up. If/when it reaches the $51 target I will reassess the charts and possibly take some profits.
***If you get anything out of this TA, please like and follow for future updates and more TA. Thanks a lot!***
***THE IDEAS SHARED HERE ARE MY OPINION. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE TO PLACE TRADES. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS BEFORE BUYING/SELLING STOCKS.***
XPEV AnalysisPeople who bought XPENG share from SUPER BUY & BUY2 signals, enjoy your 156.44% PROFIT that you made less than a month!
As of now, we have 3 different sell signals present. (SELL 4 is just behind SELL 2) and EngineeringRobo is BEARISH!
If you haven't bought XPENG yet, wait for EngineeringRobo's buy signals or you can buy if the candles open-close above my resistance level (72.23)
Also, if the candles will go to my support level (20.52), that may be a good opportunity to buy!
After you buy, please watch out for EngineeringRobo's sell signals and consider selling it.
Xpeng reaching previous buy point with a sharp rebound from herePremarket at previous buy point where we witnessed a sharp rebound from here , this buy point is a 40% discount from the top
I will open a call position at the market to play this rebound scenario with Friday maturity if not I let it open till Weds then cut my loss if any ;
Same time I will add some share to my long portfolio if price continue to go down;
this is no a warranty win but I believe some computers are set to buy at this price point like last time
This Chinese delisting is a non event to me as the time frame is 3 years so just short term noise to take advantage.
Not an investment advice and trade at your own risk
Good luck
Short-Term Sentiment Bearish, Needs to Retest $38.I will be shorting $NIO for the next 2-3 weeks starting Monday morning. Current momentum and sentiment are very bearish in the short term, so a retest to $38 seems inevitable. If $NIO cannot hold $38, we can start to see the low 30s, but hopefully not much lower than that as I do like this company for the long term. In terms of technicals, there is a head and shoulders pattern forming + daily and especially weekly RSI is oversold.
However, whatever happens in the next few weeks I believe it will simply be a continuation of a healthy pullback. The stock has run up over 1650% in the past year alone, aided by China-US tensions, and rumors of delisting of many Chinese companies from NYSE. A sell-off was to be expected.
The one thing that I am mainly concerned with is that NIO is getting audited by PWC's Chinese sector. Also, the majority of analysts covering $NIO is from every big bank's Chinese sector. This can be very deceptive to retail investors. So all I ask is for everyone to be extremely cautious.
Long term, my gut tells me this will all pass, however, I will be extremely cautious and be on the constant lookout for any potential fraud in the company.
LIZI stock soars after Car Audio Collaboration with Xpeng MotorsLIZHI INC. Enters In-Car Audio Collaboration with Xpeng Motors
To integrate LIZHI’s in-car audio content product into Xpeng Motors’ in-car intelligent operating system. The product has been launched in this week.
With seamless connectivity, LIZHI will strive to enrich the personalized driving experience for Xpeng Smart EV users.
finance.yahoo.com
XPeng Announces Vehicle Delivery Results for October 2020XPeng Announces Vehicle Delivery Results for October 2020:
• XPeng delivered 3,040 vehicles in October 2020, a 229% increase year-over-year
• XPeng delivered 17,117 vehicles year-to-date 2020, a 64% increase year-over-year
• XPeng delivered a total of 3,040 Smart EVs in October 2020, consisting of 2,104 P7s, the Company’s smart sports sedan, and 936 G3s, its smart compact SUV. The Company’s October deliveries represented a 229% increase year-over-year.
• As of October 31, 2020, year-to-date deliveries of the Company’s Smart EVs reached 17,117 units, representing a 64% increase year-over-year.
• Despite China’s Golden Week holiday in early October which affected deliveries, the Company sees strong business momentum supported by fast production ramp up and robust demand for its Smart EVs.
• It achieved a new milestone this month, completing the production of 10,000 P7s on October 20, 2020, just 160 days after starting mass production in late May.
finance.yahoo.com
XPEV AnalysisCongratulations to people who bought XPEV share, enjoy your 169% PROFIT that you made less than a month!!
As of now, there are still 2 buy signals present but the candles has reached at my resistance level (72.28), so it may be a good time to take profit.
If you take profit, keep watching for Engineeringrobo's candles, if the candles open-close above resistance level, you can buy again.
Or, you can wait for EngineeringRobo's sell signals to be present and sell.
Also, if you haven't bought XPEV share, you can buy when the candles open close above my resistance level (72.28) for 1D.
XPEV vs BMWI wrote this article because there are a lot of people asking me if it is too late to buy Xpev.
I am not a financial adviser, so you do the finance comparing Xpev with BMW and write me if it is a good buying opportunity or a speculative bubble.
I was also the guy who told you about the chance of buying Xpev at 20usd:
The indicators are still bullish, by the way.
If you are interested to test some amazing BUY and SELL INDICATORS, which give the signal at the beginning of the candle, not at the end of it, just leave me a message.
EV stocks hype -BUT not enough focus on the Charging side!
So we are looking at an overdue EV full force entry in the market - seems like every day we have a new reverse merger with a SPAC company to IPO another EV maker we never heard of ....but the main focus is missed by many investors - Charging stations and Battery makers.
Here we will discuss the two companies currently in the lead of the EV charging race.
First we have Charge Point -established in 2007 and currently owns 73% of market share of EV charging ! that’s big ! imagine Gas stations 70 years ago, estimations are we are looking at a 25 Billion $ market size by 2025.
Their CEO of Charge Point expects over 190 Billion by 2030, and to stay the biggest player in the EV charging game.
Charge Point currently has over 80 million charging systems and hundreds of thousands of users, and a very user friendly in house app that helps the user locate the nearest charging station near him.
The acquisition of SBE on Charge point will be finalized in the next few weeks, SBE stock already made a tremendous jump the last 2 weeks, nearly DOUBLING the value.
Lets look at the Technical:
Stock broke resistance level on the 9th of sept and in less than 2 weeks nearly doubled its value from -15$ to28.6- major rally up.
Both RSI and Stoch are showing us overbought along with a huge rise in market cap but if investors have 2% of common sense i would expect a stock that holds 3/4 of the EV charging market in the US to keep rallying and pass most EV makers by a mile.
The second stock on the chart and the one that gets most of the attention is Blink Charging.
Founded in 1998 and reported revenue growth of 84% to $3.8 Million in the last 9 month, and sold about 700 charging units its seems Blink is on FIRE!
After browsing in their products catalog I was officially impressed, their products are well branded easy to use and very intelligent – they even sell a mobile emergency charger that can be stored in your trunk!
The other good news is Apple announced they will add Blink chargers on apple maps and allow the driver to easily locate a suitable charging system to his vehicle nearby.
One thing we should remember about blink is the big drop the stock experienced in august, following the analyst Culper’s Research which claimed company had less than 2.5k chargers and not 15k as they initially claimed.
With much less market cap the Charge point buy more years in the game and better known brand it seems as Blink will definitely fight charge point for the massive market share that is expected to be 14% of the total market value in the USA.
Blink Technical overview:
So very similar to SBE the jump Blink did is purely massive! RSI and Stoch are over bought - RSI candles through the whole rise showing us there is a lot of volume and drive behind this rise -but I am stating the obvious.
Blink stock couldn’t break through the 11$ line till the 16th of Nov and from there gave a +230% rise - expect a correction but I wouldn’t expect it now, as the EV market is still rallying massively. if analyzing the impulse wave the stock is experiencing at the moment, I would say this stock will rally all the way to 30$ mark and from there will give a 2-3$ correction before going further
one thing is sure -the EV charging market is huge and must be seen as one of the biggest opportunities we as investors are experiencing and shouldn’t be missed !
if you would like me to cover another EV charging stock please send in comments
Trade safe and invest smart!
XPENG -METEORIC RISE, MEANS METEORIC FALL !! XPEV AND NIO ANALYSSo in the last 3 days in particular , XPEV the Chinese electric vehicle maker, has been exploding up, and there are many reasons to this which we will cover here in a moment but as an investor who is heavily invested in XPEV this causes me reasons for concern.
In a lot of the cases (excluding Tesla), when we see a meteoric rise such ass XPEV and NIO had in the last few days, this will mean a lot of investors that don’t really analyze the company properly and just jumping in the hype – but these are usually short term investors who are looking to make a hit and run. For me as a long-term investor in the EV market that means bad news.
A bit of Technical:
IMPULSE WAVE - positive sentiment causes massive volumes that are unstable and not sustainable
There is a clear method to how an impulse wave should work, and when you experience 3 motive waves as we see here that are all extended one after the other that means the corrective waves are going to be just as sharp.
We are looking at retracing wave of 618 of FIB if the stock finishes its motive wave in these manner -which means stock will fall down below the 30$ line.
NIO Wave chart:
Lets talk FUNDAMENTAL :
-XPEV delivered 3,040 in Oct over 200% from the previous year and considering the COVID-19 environment around us at the moment ,that is tremendous in my eyes, add to that the fact that 70% of those were the new Sport sedan P7 which is getting very positive reviews.
The EV market is creating new companies like mushrooms after the rain , and though competition is good , inflating a market with so much money and so many brands before it matured enough to sustain it can cause a domino effect and drop the EV market down to new lows and requires us to be patient to see our investment going profitable again.
The earnings of Xpeng are coming in Nov 12 and are expected to be positive – and here exactly is the issue – if expectations from investors on earnings are so high , even positive earnings with a slight downside can bring the stock down like a house of cards at -10% and even more.
To sum up – I am a strong believer in EV stocks whether Biden wins or not, but I would say : don’t put all your eggs in the EV market as this can get rocky!
WE analyze the stock market acc to the great Ralph Nelson Elliot and combine that with fundamental and sentiment analysis on a theory we call Market Cycle Based Analysis and that gives us high prediction rate 😊
This is not a recommendation but our personal advise
Trade Safe, and invest smart !