With four weeks or so until the next batch of earnings, I'm briefly turning my attention to exchange-traded funds to see if there's anything I can play to bridge the gap between earnings seasons. As with the previous several weeks, there isn't much; only three are near or above the 70th percentile for implied volatility over the past six months: FEZ, with an...
Still looking for any IV in the market - XRT had a 35 IVP, so I thought I would put something small on. Focused on minimal BP exposure during these tough times in IV, but I have to keep a decent # of occurrences up regardless. Trade Setup: - 1 XRT Mar 17 42/44/44/46 Ironfly @ $1.34 DTE: 30 Max Win: $134 Max Loss: $66 Breakevens : 42.66 and 45.34 Trade...
With earnings in TGT, BBY, and LOW, it's no surprise that implied volatility in the retail ETF, XRT, has ramped up here a bit (sixth month implied volatility rank is 73/implied volatility is 22). That being said, I'm really only looking at BBY for a play given its implied volatility rank/implied volatility (93/48). HTZ also announces earnings and has the right...
If you're a premium seller, you're probably doing a bit of hand-sitting here (again) with VIX again at sub-12 levels. There are, however, a few things that could prove productive ... . NVDA: With a six-month implied volatility rank of 85% and general background implied volatility of 55%, it's ripe for a volatility contraction play. They announce earnings on...
Wait for 200 ema/sma weekly. Be aware of a lot of value traps.
You know me, goin' where the volatility takes me, and today it's in the retail space. Metrics: Max Profit: $213/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $137/contract Break Evens: 42.37/46.63 Notes: As with all flies, I'll look to take profit at 25% max. This is based on after hours quotes, so this setup may not be as sexy as it looks now come NY open, so it may...
If you have ever spent more than a few hours in the Stocks and Indices chat room, you'll soon get the impression that the trading universe is seemingly made up primarily of E-Mini S&P Futures, SPX CFD's, and/or SPY (I probably exaggerate a touch, but that's the overall impression I get), along with a repeated frustration with the way the S&P is behaving in one way...
Retail earnings are in full swing this upcoming week! Here is a TA based version of my expectations for the week. In previous quarters the strong USD and the slow down in Consumer Spending hit profits hard. With retail sales up throughout the quarter and consumer confidence at 2016 high, all around beats are expected. Driving retail market capitalization back...