Emerging Currencies Gaining Strength??As we zoom out and look closely at the South African Rand, we see many signs of strength that have been building for some time now. I believe the ZAR and many other emerging currencies are all showing similar signs of strength and in the process of a reversal. While this may provide a great long trade and a short-term boost to the Peso, I fear it will have long-term negative effects.
These are the things that lead me to continue to believe the dollar will continue to devalue. Emerging market currencies have consistently gained strength against the dollar. If the ZAR closes above the 13-year historical resistance by the end of this month, it will be a decent confirmation of a trend change. Unless we see some BIG power moves come from the dollar, I believe this is likely to continue. Not to put to be dramatic, but "IF" this does play out, it will be VERY difficult and drastic for most people's current financial circumstances in the U.S. If the US dollar loses that much purchasing power in relation to the rest of the world, it will affect people in many ways. If it now costs most companies a certain amount to purchase products, then the stores in the US will raise their prices significantly, at least to make up for the lost purchasing power, which means many will have to settle with less to provide for themselves. This may seem good for the emerging currencies and their economy in the short term, but I believe we are seeing a global financial shift that will affect everyone negatively, not just the U.S. economy.
The U.S. produces very little in comparison to the rest of the world, so we will suffer because of this. IMO, the U.S. has sat on its laurels of being the biggest economy far too long, and it's caused us to have an economy that is far too reliant on other countries because we "had" the money to pay for cheap labor. I believe the U.S. will suffer a great financial loss because of our short-term approach and being far too prideful because we had more financial liberties compared to others. Essentially, The U.S. became conceited... This money printing has seriously backed us into a corner. Very similar to many ancient empires in the past. I honestly hope I'm wrong about this, the effects of this kind of macro shift could be devastating for many. When things like this happen, it's typically best to look into hard assets like Gold/Silver and even Bitcoin. Please don't take my brutal honest the wrong way, but I believe it's important to see the global shifts that are in place and consider taking the proper precautions. We're entering uncharted territory for the global economy and this will likely create unstable conditions for all.
