Daily Harmonic View on Long Bond in 2nd Day of Yellen Testimony tending long here with stop below 149'30
the idea: the main asset classes are negatively correlated (stocks, bonds, dollar, gold) so shorting its all should be a dynamically hedged position. Shorting : Dollar DXY x 2 Dow: US30 x 2 Gold: GC Bonds: ZN target: bottom of wedge, then yellow circle
After the hard selloff, TLT decided to flip back up the centerline. I patiently waited for this pullback to initiate a RiskReversal, which is in play since last week. Play it small and often and enhance your chance to fulfil the stats numbers. P!
Price landed back on the blue A/R line. I see two possible ways: 1) Up and turn at the Centerline, then down to the L-MLH 2) Jump above the Centerline, quick test of it and then up to the "Scene Of Crime", how Shane would say For now, a play up to the Centerline would not be too shaby. Happy 2017 to all of you! P!
This big fork seems to catch the extremes and center of the Bonds. Centerline is reached and the potential that it will bounce from there is really high. If I would want to play this underlying, I would switch to TLT... P!
Notes on chart. Futures trading involves significant risk of financial loss and is not suitable for every investor.
Looking like a nice short setup on ZB and TLT.
Whether it will break upside or down is anybody's guess but playing the range has been a very profitable exercise so far. As the global trend on bond yield suggests, a break on upside is more likely then down but we have to be vigilant if Fed surprises with hike. In that case also, it will be another buying opportunity than selling we believe. US has long way to...
Potential descending triangle with volume confirmation.
value seems to be transferring from bonds to gold. a long gold, short bonds position produces an attractive equity curve. The charts shows dollar value for a combined position of 3 futures: 2 long GC (gold) 1 short ZB (treasuries 30yr)
While I no longer scalp much due to the time commitment scalping generally takes (particularly in instruments most effectively traded during the NY session), I used to scalp a great deal when I was in spot forex. The simplest scalping technique I have come across and used exclusively was the "fingertrap method." Although I am not sure who is the originator of...
Three weeks ago T-Bond saw this level. Likely to penetrate. Next level is a revisit to 140 not seen since Nov 2014. Note the high level excess supply signals in late Dec.