TLT continues to Wedge out into the Break Down. Althought the Yield Curve appears to be heading into an inversion into 2022, the Long End of the Curve remains in peril... Countdown to Depression is ticking into Q2-Q3 2022. Fed language and statements are beginning to shift into 2022 indicating they are off balance NOW. Volaility will increase well ahead of...
10Yr Yields declined as international Capital Flows began demanding dollars out of the fear as to what is occurring outside the USSA. This implies, as well, a robust demand for perceived "Safety" - the very last thing it actually is. Europe, as we have indicated for months now, remains a basket case. For as bad as it is here, it's worse there. However, this is...
TLT is beginning it's terminal phase for the next decline. We Sold to Open TLT this morning, taking our First Position at our Target, with further Sells to 150s Set. Out dated Maturities, we have been suggesting for the past month are due for a large correction in Yields. Day to day noise is just that... Noise. Bond HODLers are convinced they have it figured...
NQ is the last to break. It's Friday. The FED is providing $8.34 Billion in Coupon Purchases. 1/4 to 1/2 Size today. We will be watching until 10AM EST, to see IF there is support of any kind. Selling pressure yesterday was significant, but again... it's Friday. Commentary from 2 prior Sessions does not change. Have a good weekend - HK
The Bond Markets are revolting once again. Taper or not, doesn't matter, Inflation has taken hold. Either way the FED is being challenged. Heads they lose, Tails the lose. Expectations are what they are... Demand Push, Supply Pull. Demand Pull, Supply Push. C O S T Strangles. Jerome is done.
As the 10Year Note approaches a pivotal juncture, the DX begins to show signs of a DX Strength Trade. The 1.41% Level should provide a challenge to the YCC analogue. With the effects of Stimulus largely abating and the $3.5 Trillion Stimmy for "Infrastructure" in question... We are setup for some extreme Volatility.
Rates of Change for Yields will face increasing Competition in the coming weeks. We anticipate further to quickly be met with YCC. Yields have been mixed at lows, attempting to Hang their Man. Central Banks receive their orders on High. Governments can no longer borrow to fund their annual spending. Digital "Currency" proposals from the WEF via Lagarde at...
Financials rallied on DX Weakness, not Bond Strength. The 6 Month trend is at an important juncture this week as we move into September's BIS Square. ZN Level @ Support 132.180 New contracts front load VX.
With extensive YCC - Price continues to move lower, creating an even larger Divergence between Price and Yield. Not at all constructive for Buyers. Bonds are going to continue to grind up the Bigger Lies. ROCs spooked the FED, so they are busy tamping down the Fears. Issue is, the Fear is all about Trust. That has clearly broken.
TLT Gap Fill was the Fill. 150 Put entry completed on GF. November 150s now solidly in profit for this trade, B/E is stop as VX enters and true range appears at 2:45PM EST. This is an aggressive SELL on TLT for us. We believe TLT ends up being Sold Hard. ZN/ZB tend to lead these declines. The Setups in both ZN & ZB are complete. We hold large positions in...
ZN high probability that will go down for the next hours
10yr Yields peaked at ~1.70 as the Federal Reserve began YCC (Yield Curve Control) well in advance of recognition by the Retail Bond Market. With a shortage of T-Bills and Janet Yellen attempting to Fund the Fiscal Malfeasance out the Curve in order to reduce Short Term funding. With CASH mounting in Money Market Funds, there remains a large pool of Cash with...
An increasing level of concern is rising within the Bond, Equity and Real Estate Complexes or Markets. I prefer Complex as each "Market" has a number of entities using their control mechanisms. The Equity Complex has a number of headwinds approaching for Technology (NQ). Yields, specifically the 10Yr Treasury Note has been a reliable Instrument for an Inverse...
There's a new TradingView feature that lets us share our watchlists. I'm partial to my sexy collection of futures symbols, so go ahead and grab it here: www.tradingview.com Also, I've got a sell/short signal on the notes. RSI (upper 88), 3-period is a bit juiced. And finally, the best resource for futures symbols and product descriptions is the CME site. ...
If we break the trading range ( Rectangle ) with force and high volumes then we could have a trend. If it breaks with a big green candlestick and high green volume then we could buy it. If it breaks with a big red candlestick and high red volume then we could sell it.
when it break the upper resistance you start get a big profit
ZN is showing strong momentum to keep absolutely in portfolio