The USDJPY has been in a downtrend on the daily chart and held the 112 area 3 times. We have now retested that level and at the .886 fib level of the last leg. Also, we closed as a daily pin bar as well. I am short now expecting prices to reach new lows, but will keep my profit target open. If you're interested in signals email me at adrielarrasmith@gmail.com....
We have a strong uptrend signal in treasury notes and potential for a big upside move. I'm currently long $TMF, as my proxy for this move, since $TLT was lower than 10 Year Note futures, offering a more interesting risk/reward (as per Tim West's posts). Right now, I think the move to the upside is confirmed, so, if you're not in, you could look into buying either...
Pay close attention to chart below. Magnitude in which price declines is often overlooked. Daily 10 Year Treasury
Bonds usually bounce after huge sell offs before continuing to sell off. 2013 multi week sell off had mid week bounces to roughly 50% of previous week's range. good spot to buy some longer dated calls (dec?) at 126'235 for a bounce next week to around high 127s or low 128s+. RSI lowest in years, closed 4 days outside lower BB, very oversold. good...
Good opportunity to trade with the longer term trend. One could buy the future contract or short the put option for a more conservative option (pun intended). Futures trading involves serious risk of financial loss and is not suitable for every investor.
We have a nice double bottom in TLT. We can speculate on going long on a break above the Brexit key level resistance at 134.42. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
There is one weekly target that hasn't been hit yet, and I suspect we might hit it very soon, so I'm willing to risk taking a long position here, with 23 point downside risk. Let's see if we can attain the weekly 'Time at mode' target before our stop loss gets hit. You can risk between 0.5 and 1% on this trade, and then look to add as it moves in profit, further...
The U.S. dollar went bid following rhetoric from Federal Reserve officials that a potential rate hike could occur in June, following hotter than expected inflation data. However, after posting on pending technical weakness here, the dollar has retreated slightly over the last few days. Price action as traded neatly within a descending channel on the daily chart,...
There is downside risk for the euro as price action for EURUSD failed to close above 1.1342, essentially creating an asymmetric double top with the fizzled mid-February rally. The pair looks to fade back to the 200-day EMA near 1.1108. The rally in the dollar following its steep declines last week could cause a more pronounced slide as long as the DXY remains...
It is clear that the U.S. dollar has been one of the biggest hedge fund crowded trades, and still remains despite recent pullbacks in the greenback. And, although, the DXY saw a violent decent following last week's dovish FOMC-minutes report, there is still an underlying dynamic that supports a much higher dollar. History may not repeat, but it often rhymes....
Despite what so-called gold bugs have been trying to predict for years, it still remains seen how valuable the most "hated" asset on Wall Street can be. Calls of $10- or $50,000 gold have made headlines and often laughs, but when investors take into account the supporting fundamentals, gold can be extremely beneficial during these centrally-planned...
The Notes, like Goldie, are consolidating and ripe to break this week. We rolled to the June contract Friday and we are looking for a leas one more day of consolidation. We want to wait for a break of our levels before getting involved.
Gold has pulled back slightly, but still up almost 15 percent since 2016. Traders don't believe the current rally as they look hopeful of more central bank quantitative easing, which is exactly why gold has had its run this year; and it is why I have been saying fundamentals have been strengthening for gold for roughly 16 months. After gold volatility hit...
The Notes had a nice fake break and are now wanting to test the lower part of the wedge. The Bonds broke their weekly wedge and closed on their Friday lows which tells us the Notes and Bonds are weak. We are looking for a short position on bounces in the Trigger Zone. This is a Weekly chart trade and we will be looking for huge break down on the Notes. ...
Junk bonds are typically just that - junk. But, the iShares High Yield Corporate has been one of those crowded trades that just do not die. After witnessing the immaculate short squeeze from 1,864, the SPX staged an impressive rebound. But as I mentioned earlier today (on my InvestFeed - link below), the SPY is looking weak, and the ADX, which measures trend...
In " Gold Leaps Higher as Worries Mount ," I briefly pointed out how those very same institutions that championed quantitative easing policies implemented by the Federal Reserve are now coming out to proclaim quantitative easing added no substantial benefit to the real economy . Gold was pushed lower on the assumption that central banking policy would all pan...
Some say this week's FOMC decision will be of historical proportions and be the first time the Federal Reserve will increase the Fed funds rate in almost a decade. The U.S. dollar index is in a descending trend. Price action is floating above the minor trend created by the top on April 13. The dollar has not been able to see any significant support higher,...