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ICE canola futures finish up in strong week of daily gains

Refinitiv1 min read

ICE canola futures finished the week strongly, with Friday gains beating soyoil and pushing canola well above the $600 level.

• May canola (RSK5) settled up at $14 at $613.40 per metric ton. July (RSN5) rose $12.90 to $618.30 and retained its premium to new-crop November (RSX5) at $612.20.

• May is still the most traded contract, but July is catching up, with much spread trading a feature of the market recently.

• Traders are unsure how to predict the market reaction to whatever is decided about tariffs on April 2, when the U.S. Trump administration has threatened to impose 25% tariffs on Canadian products. A phone call on Friday between Trump and new Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney was positive, Trump said in a social media post, encouraging hopes that the tariff decision could be less damaging for Canada than feared.

• "It's really hard to know," said LeftField Commodity Research analyst Jon Driedger. "It seems imminent, but it keeps getting pushed off, but it's been telegraphed, but who knows?"

• Chicago Board of Trade soyoil futures (BOv1) rose 2.01% for a second day of strong gains following a Reuters report citing sources saying the Trump administration wants fossil fuels and biofuel interests to come up with a joint position on U.S. government support, raising hopes that biofuel production can pull out of a present stall and start growing again.

• Euronext rapeseed futures (COMc1) rose 0.86% and Malaysian palm oil futures FCPO1! rose 1.49% on strong Dalian demand.

• The Canadian dollar USDCAD weakened.

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