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Weis Wave With Speed Index Signals

Updated
Weis Wave with Speed Index Signals

The Concept
This indicator has been created to try to quantify "Change in Behavior" concept and provide buy and sell based on this concept. What is Change in Behavior? Price is moving at speed rate based on the trading volume direction (buyers and sellers) until there is imbalance of Supply/Demand. An algorithm has been created to identify this change of Supply/Demand behavior producing a number called "Speed Index". Abnormal Speed Index notes this change in behavior when compared with previous Speed Index numbers of the same pair and in the same timeframe. Speed Index is a relevant number and it's use is to be compared with previous Speed Index numbers and not as an absolute number. Based on Speed Index Behavior of recent waves, price and price wave structure buy and sell signals are available called Plutus.

What it does
This indicator draws a waveline of price waves swings. Up swing is when price goes up and down swing is when price goes down. It adds the volume of each bar within the wave swing, it measures the distance in pips of each swing and measure the numbers of bars of each swing. Furthermore, it creates the Speed Index of each swing, the average Speed Index of x selectable wave swings back as well as the average of Speed Index of the x up swings back and the average of the down swing. The indicator is also able to designate a Fast wave which means large pip move with small volume with the letter "F" displayed next to Speed Index and a Slow wave which small pip move with small volume with the letter "S". Finally based on price, Speed Index history and structure it creates eight buy/sell signals called Plutus.

Information available for display all selectable
For each wave swing: Total Volume, Pip Distance, Number of Bars or Total Volume + Pips or Total Volume + Pip Distance+Total Number of Bars
For each wave swing: Speed Index or Total Volume + Speed Index or Speed Index + Average Speed Index or Speed Index+(F or S).
Plutus buy and sell signals when criteria of price location, speed index comparison (abnormal speed index) and wave price structure have been met.

How it does it
This indicator draws a wave-line of price waves swings. Wave Sensitivity can be adjusted by AutoSensitivity parameter (min value =2 and max value=11). The larger the number the more sensitive it is, which means more wave swings will be created. All calculations are based on each wave swing. The code calculates all the above mentioned on the "Information available for Display" section. Based on price, Speed Index history, Speed Index ratio and structure Plutus buy and sell signals are created. The default value of Speed Index ratio is 2. Decreasing Speed Index ratio will create more signals while increasing it will create less signals.
Note: last wave re-paints and no information is displayed on the forming wave, but the whole trading methodology is based on reading previous waves information.

Technical Information
Speed Index
*High Speed Index number means a slow wave "S" = Abnormal Speed (high volume small pip move)
*Low Speed Index number means a fast wave "F" =Anormal Speed (small volume large pip move)
*Normal Speed Index number (are the more frequent numbers seen in the chart which means that the market agrees with the move).

Plutus Signals
*PL - Plutus Long, this is when the price will follow in the same direction of the wave with the High Speed Index. When signal is generated we enter when price close breaks the previous two wave structure Resistance Level
*PS - Plutus Short, same as above, this is when the price will follow in the same direction of the wave with the High Speed Index. When signal is generated, we enter when price close breaks the previous two wave structure Support Level
*PRL - Plutus Reversal Long, this is when the price will go in the opposite direction of the wave with the High Speed Index.
*PRS - Plutus Reversal Short, same as above, this is when the price will go in the opposite direction of the wave with the High Speed Index.
*PFL - Plutus Fake Long, this when price will do a fast break of the previous down swing bottom and then comes back within the previous swing range (fake break)
*PFL - Plutus Fake Short, this when price will do a fast break of the previous up swing top and then comes back within the previous swing range (fake break)
*WU - Wyckoff Upthrust plutus (short signal)- this is when the last two swings resemble(are) Wyckoff's UpThrust pattern price swings. This resemblance together with Speed Index criteria and price break of structure create this signal.
*WS - Wyckoff Spring plutus(long signal)- this is when the last two swings resemble(are) Wyckoff's pattern price swings. This resemblance together with Speed Index criteria and price break of structure create this signal.




How to use it
Draw Support/Resistance and Fib - usually supply and demand imbalance happens at his level

First and most important of all adjust AutoSesnsitivity to get your swings correct, meaning that are catching the tops and bottoms of each price wave swing.

Monitor Speed Index behavior. Be alerted from Abnormal Speed Index number. You can also set using the Extreme Threshold parameter that provide you an alert if the current Speed Index is above or below average Speed Index of x waves back and also meets the min and max bar criteria. For example if we would like to be alerted for a an Abnormal Speed Index of a Slow wave of at 3 bars then we have set the Min Slow Bar parameter to 3, the Extreme Threshold parameter to 0.5 (50%) and the Avg Waves back to 8 then an alert will be produced if the wave before the forming has at least 3 bars and the Speed Index of the wave is 50% higher than the Average Speed Index calculated from 8 waves back. For a Fast wave we can set the Min Fast Bars to 1, Extreme Threshold to 50% and Avg Waves back to 8 which means that we will get an alert if the wave before the forming one has at least 1 bar and it's Speed Index is at least 50% less than the Speed Index Average of 8 waves back.

Plutus signals provide buy and sell entries after specific criteria have been met. These signals have a higher success rate when price is exiting a range or when price is leaving from Support/Resistance or Fib. Consider Plutus signals invalid within a range unless is the exit of the range (Range Break)

What makes it unique
The ability to identify, quantify and be alerted of the Change in Behavior of waves swings when compared with recent previous wave swings making it easier for the trader to be notified about Supply / Demand imbalance. Furthermore, another unique point of this indicator is the Plutus signals providing buy and sell entries. Plutus entries take into consideration this Abnormal Behavior, the wave swings structure and price location.

Example Trades

Wyckoff Up- rust formation strategy- Reading the chart
1. We have broken a Resistance Level with a Fast Speed Index of 0.7F
2. Abnormal Speed Index of 2.3 provides the alert for abnormal Speed Index behavior. There is not a high Speed Index like that in all the up wave swings which automatic makes it abnormal Supply Demand imbalance.
3. WU - Wyckoff Up-trust plutus signal has been created, which means Short.
4. PRS - Plutus Reversal Short also created at the same location which makes the Short even a higher probability trade
5. Entry: We enter Short on the close of the bar

snapshot

Exit from Range Strategy - Reading the chart
1. We are in a Ranging environment
2. PS and PRS are invalid signals because according to the rules mentioned previously we do not trade any signals created within the range when the price does not break the range.
3. PRL - Plutus Reversal Long which means that price will move in the opposite direction of the High Speed Index (the 2.2) is a valid signal since price breaks the top of the range
4. Entry Long after breaking the top of the range

snapshot

PRL after Support hit Strategy and Exit from Range Strategy - Reading the chart

In this we have two different strategies available. The first one is Plutus Reversal Long signal after hitting support and the second on an Exit from Range.
The Story:
1. We have hit support (double bottom)
2. Speed Index 2.2 at the bottom is on the High side, not too extreme but on the high side.
3. A PRL long signal is generated which means that price will move in the opposite direction of the 2.2 Speed Index
4. Entry Long on the close of the bar- This trade has provided 482 pips of profit
5. Price goes into Range
6. Classic textbook strategy Exit from Range with Plutus. We get a PL Plutus Long signal which means price will follow the directions of the high Speed Index wave and in this case is the 2.7 wave
7. Entry Long after the range break. This trade provided 384 pips up to now.

snapshot




Release Notes
The following improvements have been made:
  • On Fast Slow Speed Index Alerts the Current Speed Index, the Avg Speed Index and the timeframe is displayed
  • On Plutus Alerts the timeframe is displayed
  • Code improvements

Release Notes
Added forming wave line with different color and Speed Index on the wave before the forming
Release Notes
v1.5 Code improvements
Release Notes
v1.6 Fixed double display of Speed Index
Release Notes
v1.7 Added Speed Index on the forming wave because it was requested by users - even though trading with forming Speed Index should be avoided. Adjusted Plutus Signals.
Release Notes
v1.8 Removed Forming Speed Index Display
Release Notes
1.9 Several Code improvements - you might need to adjust the VolDivBy for better display
Release Notes
v2.1
  • Added Fine tune parameter to adjust wave lines better. Importance of getting the wave swings correct determines the success of the system. Value of 1 equals applies no change vs previous version increasing the number remove small waves. Example: Setting the AutoSensivity to a high value 10 or 11 will result to many small waves - increasing the Fine tune number will decrease unnecessary small waves.
  • Fixed Plutus signals not to appear more than once.
  • Added position and text size parameters for the Auto Speed Alert panel.

Release Notes
v2.2 Fixed overlapping Speed Index on the wave before the forming one.
Release Notes
v2.3
Fixed AutoSpeedAlert table to move on any chart corner.
Release Notes
v2.4
Fixed a small bug on labels display
Release Notes
v2.5
Updated Plutus Signals
Release Notes
v2.6
Code Improvements on Plutus Signals
Release Notes
v2.7
Removed unnecessary debugging labels
Release Notes
v2.8 Fixed Text Size bug on Info Table
Release Notes
v2.9
Added ticker symbol and timeframe on alert message text
Release Notes
v3.0
Added two more signals:
PFBL = Plutus Fake Break Long
PFBS = Plutus Fake break Short
Release Notes
v4.0
Added calculation for the forming bar. Now Speed Index, Volume, Pips and the # of bars can be displayed live at the end of the forming bar
Release Notes
v4.1 Improved Wave Swing Algorithm
Release Notes
v4.2
Fix redundant labels before the forming wave.
Release Notes
v4.3
Added volume number one each bar, useful for Renko traders and more.
Release Notes
v4.4
Added separator / after each volume number for better viewing. Examples of charts with this feature activated.

Example of a Renko chart
snapshot

Example of a Range Chart
snapshot

Example of a Timeframe Chart
snapshot

Release Notes
v4.5
Fixed Alert to notify in next bar.
plutusspeedindexsupply_and_demandTrend AnalysisvolumeanalysisVolumeWave Analysisweisweiswaveweiswavevolumewyckoff

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