OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT

Multi Adaptive Moving Average (MAMA)

By Julien_Eche
Updated
The Multi Adaptive Moving Average (MAMA) indicator is an advanced tool for technical analysis, designed to provide traders with a detailed understanding of market trends and potential future price movements. This indicator utilizes multiple Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) and forecasting techniques to enhance decision-making processes.

Simple Moving Averages (SMAs):
  • Short MA (20-period): This moving average is highly responsive to price changes, making it ideal for capturing short-term trends. It helps traders identify quick market shifts and potential entry or exit points.
  • Mid MA (50-period): This average strikes a balance between short- and long-term trends, offering insights into the market's intermediate direction. It aids in confirming the sustainability of short-term trends.
  • Long MA (100-period): By smoothing out price data over a longer period, this moving average is useful for identifying long-term trends and filtering out short-term volatility.
  • Very Long MA (200-period): Often considered a critical indicator for determining the overall market trend, this average helps confirm the direction and strength of long-term movements.


Forecasting:
  • Flat Forecast: This approach assumes that prices will remain constant in the near future, which is particularly useful in markets trading sideways without a clear trend direction.
  • Linear Regression Forecast: This method uses historical data to project future price movements, offering a dynamic forecast based on existing trends. It helps traders anticipate potential price changes and plan their strategies accordingly.


Advantages:
  • Comprehensive Trend Analysis: By incorporating four different SMAs, the indicator provides a layered view of market trends across various timeframes. This enables traders to identify potential trend reversals and continuations with greater accuracy.
  • Predictive Insights: The forecasting feature offers traders a forward-looking perspective, enabling them to anticipate market movements and adjust their trading strategies proactively. This can be especially advantageous in volatile markets.
  • Customization: The MAMA indicator is highly customizable, allowing traders to adjust parameters such as the source of price data and the inclusion of the current unclosed candle. This flexibility ensures that the indicator can be tailored to fit different trading styles and market conditions.
  • Visual Clarity: The use of distinct colors for each SMA and their forecasts enhances visual interpretation, making it easier for traders to quickly assess market conditions and make informed decisions. The inclusion of a legend further aids in distinguishing between the different moving averages and their respective forecasts.


How to Use:
  • Trend Confirmation: Use the alignment of the SMAs to confirm market trends. For example, when the Short MA crosses above the Mid and Long MAs, it may indicate a bullish trend, while the opposite could suggest a bearish trend.
  • Entry and Exit Points: Look for crossovers between the SMAs as potential signals for entering or exiting trades. The forecasts can help in timing these decisions by providing an expectation of future price movements.
  • Risk Management: Utilize the Very Long MA to set stop-loss and take-profit levels, as it reflects the long-term trend and can help in avoiding trades against the prevailing market direction.


The MAMA indicator is intended to support technical analysis and should not be used as the sole basis for making trading decisions. Financial markets are inherently uncertain, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Traders should use this tool in conjunction with other analytical methods and consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives. It is advisable to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making significant trading decisions. Always be aware of the risks involved in trading and invest only what you can afford to lose.
Release Notes
Minor Update: Tooltips added
Release Notes
Minor Update: Choice between SMA and EMA added
forecastingjulien_echemoving_averageregressionSimple Moving Average (SMA)smatrendTrend Analysistrendtrading
Julien_Eche

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In true TradingView spirit, the author of this script has published it open-source, so traders can understand and verify it. Cheers to the author! You may use it for free, but reuse of this code in publication is governed by House rules. You can favorite it to use it on a chart.

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