Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator [presentTrading]This one is for SEC paves way for Ethereum ETFs in boost for crypto!
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator" is a sophisticated Pine Script tool designed to analyze the annualized difference between Ethereum (ETH) spot and futures prices. This tool is essential for identifying arbitrage opportunities and assessing market sentiment, offering traders invaluable insights into market dynamics. By calculating the premium or discount of futures contracts relative to the spot price and annualizing this figure based on the time until each contract's expiration, the Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator provides a clear view of potential profit margins and market trends.
Unlike traditional trading indicators that focus solely on price movements or technical patterns, this calculator delves deeper into the futures market, providing a dual-purpose tool. It not only helps in spotting arbitrage opportunities but also serves as a gauge for the emotional state of the market, thereby offering a more comprehensive analysis of market conditions. This dual functionality sets it apart, making it a must-have for traders looking to navigate the volatile cryptocurrency trading landscape effectively.
Historical backtesting has revealed that Bitcoin's Rolling APY can serve as a robust indicator of market sentiment:
- Below 0%: Often indicates panic or 'end-of-world' scenarios.
- 0-5%: Signifies extreme market fear.
- 5-10%: Reflects a calm market environment.
- 10-15%: Suggests a moderately warm market.
- 15-20%: Indicates an overheated market.
- **Above 20%: Signals FOMO (fear of missing out).
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator employs a systematic approach to derive its insights. The process is broken down into several steps, each contributing to the overall analysis:
🔶 Data Fetching: The script first fetches the necessary data, including the closing prices of Ethereum's spot market and selected futures contracts. These futures contracts are typically set to expire at different dates, providing a broad perspective on market expectations over time.
🔶 Time and Expiration: The tool takes into account the current time and the expiration dates of the futures contracts. This helps in calculating the number of days remaining until each contract's expiration.
🔶 Premium Calculations: The premium or discount of each futures contract relative to the spot price is computed. This is done by subtracting the spot price from the futures price and then dividing the result by the spot price. This calculation gives a percentage that represents the premium or discount.
🔶 Annualized Percentage Yield (APY) Calculations: The calculated premium or discount is then annualized based on the number of days remaining until the contract's expiration. This involves multiplying the premium or discount by the factor (365 / days remaining) to annualize the figure. If the user chooses not to annualize the numbers, this step is skipped.
🔶 Plotting Results: The annualized yields are then plotted on a chart, allowing traders to visualize the potential returns from different futures contracts. The plots are color-coded for easy differentiation and quick analysis.
By following this structured approach, the Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator provides traders with clear, actionable insights into market dynamics and potential arbitrage opportunities.
█ Trade Direction
While this tool does not provide direct trading signals, it informs traders about potential arbitrage opportunities and the prevailing market sentiment. Traders can leverage this data to make strategic decisions, aligning long or short positions with the anticipated market movements and arbitrage conditions.
█ Usage
By inputting specific parameters related to their market analysis, traders can monitor discrepancies in Bitcoin’s pricing across different timelines, which is especially beneficial for those involved in derivatives trading, arbitrage, and sentiment analysis.
█ Default Settings
- Resolution: Controls the frequency of data (default is daily).
- Show numbers in annual: Determines whether APY is displayed on an annual basis.
- Base Symbol and Future Symbols: Specify the spot and futures markets for analysis.
APY
Multi BTC Rolling APY Calculator [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Multi BTC Rolling APY Calculator " is an innovative Pine Script indicator tailored for cryptocurrency traders, providing insights into arbitrage opportunities and market sentiment by calculating the Rolling Annual Percentage Yield (APY) between spot and futures prices of Bitcoin. Unlike traditional APY calculators, this tool specializes in capturing the nuances of the highly volatile and less efficient cryptocurrency markets. Rolling APY is derived from traditional market basis arbitrage but adapted to highlight significant discrepancies that frequently occur between derivative and underlying asset prices in crypto markets.
Historical backtesting has revealed that Bitcoin's Rolling APY can serve as a robust indicator of market sentiment:
- Below 0%: Often indicates panic or 'end-of-world' scenarios.
- 0-5%: Signifies extreme market fear.
- 5-10%: Reflects a calm market environment.
- 10-15%: Suggests a moderately warm market.
- 15-20%: Indicates an overheated market.
- **Above 20%: Signals FOMO (fear of missing out).
This nuanced understanding of Rolling APY helps investors not only spot arbitrage opportunities but also gauge the emotional state of the market, providing a dual function that enhances trading strategies in the volatile realm of cryptocurrencies.
█ Strategy: How It Works – Detailed Explanation
🔶 Rolling APY Calculation
The Rolling APY calculation is crucial for understanding the annualized potential returns from arbitrage strategies, given by the formula:
APY = ((Future Price - Spot Price) / Spot Price) * (365 / Days Until Expiration) * 100
This annualizes the observed premium or discount on futures contracts relative to the spot price, providing a year-over-year expectation of returns if one were to engage in arbitrage over the specified period.
🔶 Days Calculation
The accuracy of APY is contingent upon the precise calculation of days until each contract expires:
Days = (Expiration Timestamp - Current Timestamp) / 86400000
This calculation ensures the APY reflects true market dynamics for each futures contract's duration.
█ Trade Direction
While this tool does not provide direct trading signals, it informs traders about potential arbitrage opportunities and the prevailing market sentiment. Traders can leverage this data to make strategic decisions, aligning long or short positions with the anticipated market movements and arbitrage conditions.
█ Usage
By inputting specific parameters related to their market analysis, traders can monitor discrepancies in Bitcoin’s pricing across different timelines, which is especially beneficial for those involved in derivatives trading, arbitrage, and sentiment analysis.
█ Default Settings
- Resolution: Controls the frequency of data (default is daily).
- Show numbers in annual: Determines whether APY is displayed on an annual basis.
- Base Symbol and Future Symbols: Specify the spot and futures markets for analysis.
Premium Rolling APY CalculatorThis script can see the rolling APY of future premiums calculated based on the remain days to expire date.
By default you can see the rolling APY for FTX BTC0924, and APY for BTC1231. You can also change the symbol from chart settings to whatever you need and still calculate in the same way.
