FXN1 COT Net Positions + OscillatorThe FXN1 COT Net Positions Oscillator is a versatile tool designed for traders to analyze Commitment of Traders (COT) data with both raw net positions and oscillator-style visualization. This script allows users to visualize the net positions of Commercials, Large Speculators, and Retailers Small Speculators to identify potential market turning points or trends based on the positioning of different market participants.
Key Features:
1. Customizable Time Frame:
The script allows users to select the number of months (6 months, 12 months, 18 months, or 24 months) for calculating the COT net positions. This flexibility helps in analyzing longer or shorter-term trends in the market.
2. Oscillator and Raw Net Positions View:
- Users can choose to view the net positions as a normalized oscillator (scaled between 0 and 100) or as raw net positions. The oscillator view helps to identify overbought and oversold conditions, while the raw view provides direct insights into the net positioning of each group.
- The oscillator is created using a stochastic-like normalization, where the net position is plotted relative to its high/low over the selected time period.
3. Toggle Between Oscillator and Raw Data:
- A simple input toggle allows users to switch between the oscillator and raw net positions view with ease.
- In oscillator mode, overbought and oversold levels are displayed to help identify potential reversal points in the market.
4. Clear Visualization:
- Commercials Net: Shown in blue, representing the positions of commercial traders (hedgers).
- Large Speculators Net: Shown in red, indicating the positions of large institutional traders (fund managers).
- Retailers Small Speculators Net: Shown in yellow, representing the positions of small retail traders.
- Overbought and oversold levels in oscillator mode are customizable, allowing for more flexible trading signals.
5. Overbought and Oversold Levels:
- In oscillator mode, the script includes customizable overbought and oversold levels, making it easier to spot extreme conditions that may signal a market reversal.
- These levels are hidden when the raw net position view is active, offering a clean and clear visualization.
6. Works Across Multiple Markets:
The script is designed to work with a wide variety of futures markets, adapting to different symbols with automatic COT data adjustments based on the root symbol.
How It Works:
COT Data Sources: The script pulls commercial, large speculator, and small speculator data from the Legacy COT report.
Net Positions: It calculates the net long positions by subtracting the short positions from the long positions for each group.
Oscillator Mode: The net positions are normalized to oscillate between 0 and 100, where 100 represents the most extreme net long position and 0 represents the most extreme net short position over the selected time period.
Raw Mode: The net positions are plotted directly, providing the actual number of net positions held by each group without normalization.
Use Cases:
Trend Identification: Analyze the positioning of commercial traders (hedgers) vs. large speculators (fund managers) and retail traders to identify potential trend reversals or continuations.
Reversal Signals: In oscillator mode, overbought and oversold conditions can provide potential signals for market reversals.
Sentiment Analysis: Gauge market sentiment by comparing the positions of different market participants and using the insights to build contrarian strategies or confirm trend-following strategies.
Parameters:
Number of Months: Choose between 6, 12, 18, and 24 months for the calculation period.
Overbought Level: Customizable level to define when the market may be considered overbought in oscillator mode (default: 80).
Oversold Level: Customizable level to define when the market may be considered oversold in oscillator mode (default: 20).
Show Net Positions as Oscillator: Toggle to switch between raw net positions and oscillator view.
This script is a powerful tool for traders who want to incorporate COT data into their analysis in a more flexible and customizable way. Whether you're a swing trader looking for reversal points or a trend follower analyzing market sentiment, the FXN1 COT Net Positions Oscillator provides deep insights into the behavior of different market participants.
COT
COT-NocTradingIndicator Description:
Commitments of Traders (COT) Data Indicator
The Commitments of Traders (COT) Data Indicator on TradingView provides insights into market sentiment based on the weekly CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) reports. It plots three key lines derived from this data, offering valuable information for traders seeking to understand positioning trends among large speculators, commercial hedgers, and small traders.
Lines Plotted:
Commercials: Reflects positions held by commercial entities engaged in the production or sale of the underlying commodity. Their positions often act as a hedge against physical market exposure.
Non Commercials: Represents positions held by large speculators, typically hedge funds and large financial institutions, who often take more significant positions based on their market outlook.
Retail Traders: Shows positions held by small traders, including individual retail traders and smaller institutional players, providing insights into the broader retail sentiment.
Labeling:
Each line is accompanied by a label to clearly identify its corresponding group, enhancing clarity and ease of interpretation for traders analyzing the indicator.
Usage:
Trend Confirmation: Monitor the positioning of commercial and non commercial relative to retail traders to confirm trends and potential reversals.
Sentiment Analysis: Assess shifts in market sentiment based on changes in positioning across different trader categories.
Trading Signals: Use crossovers, divergences, and extreme positioning relative to historical data to generate potential trading signals.
This indicator is valuable for traders looking to incorporate institutional positioning data into their trading strategies, offering a deeper understanding of market dynamics beyond price action alone.
IndexogramIndexogram is a platform designed to help traders analyze the Commitment of Traders (COT) report data. It specifically focuses on the Rate Of Change (ROC) of the COT data, visualized using a unique polyline plotting technique.
Commitments of Traders % Rate Of Change (%ROC):
The COT %ROC indicates the momentum of trader positions over a specified period. This measure is crucial for understanding shifts in market sentiment and potential future price movements.
Unique Polyline Plotting Technique:
Unlike traditional line or bar charts, the polyline plotting technique used in Indexogram offers a more nuanced and detailed view of the %ROC data.
Multiple Ticker Monitoring:
Indexogram allows the setup of up to five different tickers. Traders can assign different weightages to these tickers, enabling a customized and weighted view of their %ROC data. This feature is beneficial for tracking a diversified portfolio or comparing different assets.
Average ROI Plot:
An additional feature is the Average ROI plot, which provides the average return on investment (ROI) of the five selected tickers. This plot helps traders quickly assess the overall performance of their monitored assets.
Strategy for Traders
Diversified Monitoring:
By setting up five different tickers with varying weightages, traders can diversify their monitoring efforts across different assets or markets. This diversification helps in reducing risk and identifying opportunities in different sectors or asset classes.
Weightage Customization:
Assign weightages based on market conditions or personal trading strategy. For example, if a trader believes that commodities are likely to outperform equities in the near term, they can assign a higher weightage to commodities-related tickers.
Analyzing %ROC Trends:
Use the polyline plots to identify significant %ROC trends. A rising %ROC might indicate increasing momentum and a potential buying opportunity, while a falling %ROC could signal decreasing momentum and a potential selling opportunity.
Average ROI Analysis:
Use the Average ROI plot to gauge the overall performance of the selected assets. If the average ROI is positive and trending upwards, it indicates a generally favorable market condition for the monitored assets.
Tactical Adjustments:
Regularly review and adjust the selected tickers and their weightages based on changing market conditions, news, and personal insights. This flexibility allows traders to adapt their strategy in response to new information.
Important Notes:
Indexogram is a tool to identify potential tradings, not a guaranteed predictor of future price movements.
CoT artificial by Oster and Freundl (CoF)Overview:
CoF , short for "CoT artificial by Oster and Freundl", presents a novel approach to market analysis, inspired by the traditional Commitments of Traders (CoT) Index . Based on the artificial CoT calculation according to Freundl and Oster (explained below), this indicator provides traders with a versatile tool applicable across various markets, including individual stocks. Unlike its predecessor, CoF offers flexibility in its application, accommodating traders with different investment horizons, whether they operate on weekly, daily, hourly, or even minute candlesticks. By adjusting the period length in the settings, users can fine-tune the sensitivity of CoF to capture buy or sell signals, albeit with differing signal qualities. Additionally, CoF is equipped with alert functionalities, enhancing its usability for traders seeking timely market insights.
Sophisticated Calculation Methodology:
CoF derives its insights from a sophisticated calculation methodology, leveraging price range and price movement metrics to assess market dynamics. The indicator computes the ratio between the moving averages of price movement and price range over a specified period. This ratio, once normalized and scaled to a 0-100 range , provides traders with a quantifiable measure of market sentiment. Notably, CoF's calculation method, while nuanced, ensures accessibility and usability for traders seeking actionable insights without delving into complex mathematical formulations.
Interpretation:
CoF-Index, represented on the chart, offers traders insights into market sentiment dynamics . Values below the sell threshold indicate potential selling pressure, triggering sell alerts to alert traders to potential downturns. Conversely, values exceeding the buy threshold signal buying opportunities, prompting buy alerts for traders to capitalize on potential market upswings. By aligning these interpretations with the trader's investment strategy, CoF aids in decision-making processes, offering nuanced perspectives on market movements.
Dynamic Color Coding for Visual Clarity:
To enhance user experience and facilitate quick decision-making, CoF incorporates dynamic color coding . Market conditions favoring selling are denoted by red hues, while those conducive to buying are highlighted in green. Neutral conditions, indicative of balanced market sentiment, are represented in neutral colors. This intuitive visual feedback enables traders to swiftly identify market opportunities and risks, empowering them to make informed trading decisions.
Customizable Parameters for Tailored Analysis:
Acknowledging the diverse trading preferences and strategies of its users, CoF offers customizable parameters . Traders can adjust the period length to fine-tune the indicator's sensitivity to their desired level, balancing the frequency and quality of signals according to their trading objectives. Additionally, CoF's alert functionalities allow traders to set personalized thresholds, aligning with their risk tolerance and market outlook.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, CoF emerges as a valuable addition to the trader's toolkit, offering a versatile and accessible approach to market analysis. Built upon a foundation of sophisticated calculation methodologies, CoF provides traders with actionable insights into market sentiment across various timeframes and asset classes . Its intuitive visualizations, coupled with customizable parameters and alert functionalities, empower traders to navigate dynamic market conditions with confidence. Importantly, the CoF index offers traders the flexibility to employ a synthetically calculated method, inspired by the classic CoT-Index, regardless of market or investment horizon . Whether you're a seasoned investor or a novice trader, CoF equips you with the tools needed to stay ahead in today's competitive markets.
Commitments of Traders Report [Advanced]This indicator displays the Commitment of Traders (COT) report data in a clear, table format similar to an Excel spreadsheet, with additional functionalities to analyze open interest and position changes. The COT report, published weekly by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), provides valuable insights into market sentiment by revealing the positioning of various trader categories.
Display:
Release Date: When the data was released.
Open Interest: Shows the total number of open contracts for the underlying instrument held by selected trader category.
Net Contracts: Shows the difference between long and short positions for selected trader category.
Long/Short OI: Displays the long and short positions held by selected trader category.
Change in Long/Short OI: Displays the change in long and short positions since the previous reporting period. This can highlight buying or selling pressure.
Long & Short Percentage: Displays the percentage of total long and short positions held by each category.
Trader Categories (Configurable)
Commercials: Hedgers who use futures contracts to manage risk associated with their underlying business (e.g., producers, consumers).
Non-Commercials (Large Speculators): Speculative traders with large positions who aim to profit from price movements (e.g., hedge funds, investment banks).
Non-Reportable (Small Speculators/Retail Traders): Smaller traders with positions below the CFTC reporting thresholds.
CFTC Code: If the indicator fails to retrieve data, you can manually enter the CFTC code for the specific instrument. The code for instrument can be found on CFTC's website.
Using the Indicator Effectively
Market Sentiment Gauge: Analyze the positioning of each trader category to gauge overall market sentiment.
High net longs by commercials might indicate a bullish outlook, while high net shorts could suggest bearish sentiment.
Changes in open interest and long/short positions can provide additional insights into buying and selling pressure.
Trend Confirmation: Don't rely solely on COT data for trade signals. Use it alongside price action and other technical indicators for confirmation.
Identify Potential Turning Points: Extreme readings in COT data, combined with significant changes in open interest or positioning, might precede trend reversals, but exercise caution and combine with other analysis tools.
Disclaimer
Remember, the COT report is just one piece of the puzzle. It should not be used for making isolated trading decisions. Consider incorporating it into a comprehensive trading strategy that factors in other technical and fundamental analysis.
Credit
A big shoutout to Nick from Transparent FX ! His expertise and thoughtful analysis have been a major inspiration in developing this COT Report indicator. To know more about this indicator and how to use it, be sure to check out his work.
TASC 2023.10 COT Commercials Indicator█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the COT Commercials Indicator introduced by Alfred François Tagher in an article featured in TASC's October 2023 edition of Traders' Tips . The indicator is designed for use in futures markets and represents a fast stochastic (%K) calculated based on the commercial open interest values of an asset derived from the weekly Commitments Of Traders (COT) report .
█ CONCEPTS
The COT report, issued by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) , presents a breakdown of reportable open interest positions held by various trader groups—commercial, noncommercial, and nonreportable (small traders). Open interest reflects the total number of derivative contracts entered by market participants but not yet settled. Consequently, it can serve as a measure of market activity and liquidity.
The indicator showcased here aims to analyze changes in the reported net values of open interest for commercial traders/hedgers (often referred to as 'smart money', as they deal directly in underlying commodities). The net values are positive when the commercial traders have more long positions than short ones and negative when they hold more short positions than long ones. Positive net values indicate that commercial traders hold more long positions than short ones, while negative values indicate the opposite. Thus, overbought and oversold conditions of the COT Commercials Indicator potentially suggest collective bullish and bearish sentiments, respectively.
█ CALCULATIONS
The calculations involve these steps:
1. Net open interest values are extracted from COT data using the LibraryCOT library provided by TradingView.
2. A fast stochastic indicator (%K) is then applied to normalize these net values.
The script also provides an option of calculating and plotting the indicator curve for noncommercial (speculators) open interest.
Bensler COT OscillatorI tried to replicate the indicator I think Jason Shapiro from Crowded Market Report has kind of alluded to on his interviews and YouTube channel. I think I made the default colors on my indicator match Shapiro's. It's best if used in parallel with the indicator CoT-Buschi which is a nice COT indicator that I based my oscillator off of. That way you can see the effect of the oscillator and decide if you like how the time period affects the output. I am a total noob so just in case you think I know what I'm talking about or doing, I don't.
Open Interest Chart [LuxAlgo]The Open Interest Chart displays Commitments of Traders %change of futures open interest , with a unique circular plotting technique, inspired from this publication Periodic Ellipses .
🔶 USAGE
Open interest represents the total number of contracts that have been entered by market participants but have not yet been offset or delivered. This can be a direct indicator of market activity/liquidity, with higher open interest indicating a more active market.
Increasing open interest is highlighted in green on the circular plot, indicating money coming into the market, while decreasing open interests highlighted in red indicates money coming out of the market.
You can set up to 6 different Futures Open interest tickers for a quick follow up:
🔶 DETAILS
Circles are drawn, using plot() , with the functions createOuterCircle() (for the largest circle) and createInnerCircle() (for inner circles).
Following snippet will reload the chart, so the circles will remain at the right side of the chart:
if ta.change(chart.left_visible_bar_time ) or
ta.change(chart.right_visible_bar_time)
n := bar_index
Here is a snippet which will draw a 39-bars wide circle that will keep updating its position to the right.
//@version=5
indicator("")
n = bar_index
barsTillEnd = last_bar_index - n
if ta.change(chart.left_visible_bar_time ) or
ta.change(chart.right_visible_bar_time)
n := bar_index
createOuterCircle(radius) =>
var int end = na
var int start = na
var basis = 0.
barsFromNearestEdgeCircle = 0.
barsTillEndFromCircleStart = radius
startCylce = barsTillEnd % barsTillEndFromCircleStart == 0 // start circle
bars = ta.barssince(startCylce)
barsFromNearestEdgeCircle := barsTillEndFromCircleStart -1
basis := math.min(startCylce ? -1 : basis + 1 / barsFromNearestEdgeCircle * 2, 1) // 0 -> 1
shape = math.sqrt(1 - basis * basis)
rad = radius / 2
isOK = barsTillEnd <= barsTillEndFromCircleStart and barsTillEnd > 0
hi = isOK ? (rad + shape * radius) - rad : na
lo = isOK ? (rad - shape * radius) - rad : na
start := barsTillEnd == barsTillEndFromCircleStart ? n -1 : start
end := barsTillEnd == 0 ? start + radius : end
= createOuterCircle(40)
plot(h), plot(l)
🔶 LIMITATIONS
Due to the inability to draw between bars, from time to time, drawings can be slightly off.
Bar-replay can be demanding, since it has to reload on every bar progression. We don't recommend using this script on bar-replay. If you do, please choose the lowest speed and from time to time pause bar-replay for a second. You'll see the script gets reloaded.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 TICKERS
Toggle :
• Enabled -> uses the first column with a pre-filled list of Futures Open Interest tickers/symbols
• Disabled -> uses the empty field where you can enter your own ticker/symbol
Pre-filled list : the first column is filled with a list, so you can choose your open interest easily, otherwise you would see COT:088691_F_OI aka Gold Futures Open Interest for example.
If applicable, you will see 3 different COT data:
• COT: Legacy Commitments of Traders report data
• COT2: Disaggregated Commitments of Traders report data
• COT3: Traders in Financial Futures report data
Empty field : When needed, you can pick another ticker/symbol in the empty field at the right and disable the toggle.
Timeframe : Commitments of Traders (COT) data is tallied by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and is published weekly. Therefore data won't change every day.
Default set TF is Daily
🔹 STYLE
From middle:
• Enabled (default): Drawings start from the middle circle -> towards outer circle is + %change , towards middle of the circle is - %change
• Disabled: Drawings start from the middle POINT of the circle, towards outer circle is + OR -
-> in both options, + %change will be coloured green , - %change will be coloured red .
-> 0 %change will be coloured blue , and when no data is available, this will be coloured gray .
Size circle : options tiny, small, normal, large, huge.
Angle : Only applicable if "From middle" is disabled!
-> sets the angle of the spike:
Show Ticker : Name of ticker, as seen in table, will be added to labels.
Text - fill
• Sets colour for +/- %change
Table
• Sets 2 text colours, size and position
Circles
• Sets the colour of circles, style can be changed in the Style section.
You can make it as crazy as you want:
ICT Commitment of Traders° by toodegreesDescription:
The Commitment of Traders (COT) is a valuable raw data report released weekly by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This report offers insights into the current long and short positions of three key market entities:
Commercial Traders ( usually represented in red )
Large Traders ( typically depicted in green )
Small Speculator Traders ( commonly shown in blue )
The concept of utilizing the COT data as a strategic trading tool was first introduced by Larry Williams, who emphasized the importance of monitoring Commercial Speculators – large corporate producers or consumers of commodities.
The Inner Circle Trader (ICT) prompts us to delve deeper into this data. While we can easily determine their Net Position (also referred to as the Main Program) by subtracting Commercial Short Positions from the Commercial Long Positions, this calculation doesn't reveal their ongoing Hedge Program .
Merely following the Main Program won't provide a trading edge. Aligning with the Hedge Program can be an invaluable weapon in your trading arsenal.
The Commercial Speculators' Hedge Program can be unveiled by examining the highest and lowest reading of their Net Position over a chosen time period and setting a new "zero line" between these extremes. This process generates a novel "COT Graph" providing a detailed understanding of the Commercial Speculators' current market activity.
When the Hedge Program, Seasonality, and Open Interest are cross-referenced with Institutional Orderflow, a trader can construct a very clear medium-to-long-term market narrative.
Features:
Access COT Data for the Commercial Speculators via Tradingview's reliable data source
Automate calculations and display the 3-month, 6-month, 12-month, 2-year, and 3-year Hedge Program
Define your own Custom Time Range for the Hedge Program
Display the Main Program and all Hedge Programs in an easy-to-understand table format
Additionally, by following the included instructions, you can augment your table with COT data from multiple markets. This extra information can help monitor correlated markets and develop a more robust market narrative:
COT-index rangeA graph showing the commercials (part of COT-data) positioning in relation to its own range, X periods back. I usually choose the look-back period to equal approximately one year. This will be around 52 on a weekly chart and 250 on a daily chart.
In my opinion a high data-point for the commercials is bullish and vice versa. But instead of only looking att absolute values I now look more at how the commercials are positioned compared to the previous 12 och 6 months.
Example:
a) if COT-index range = 0.8, then the commercials are in the 80th percentile for this specific look-back period, i.e. the commercials has only been more bullish 20% of the time and more bearish 80% of the time.
b) a) if COT-index range = 0.5, then the commercials are in the 50th percentile for this specific look-back period, i.e. the commercials has been more bullish 50% of the time and more bearish 50% of the time.
c) if COT-index range = 0.2, then the commercials are in the 20th percentile for this specific look-back period, i.e. the commercials has been more bullish 80% of the time and more bearish 20% of the time.
In other words, a high reading is bullish and a low reading is bearish.
SFC True COT ReportsThe Commodity Futures Trading Commission (Commission or CFTC) publishes the Commitments of Traders ( COT ) reports to help the public understand market dynamics. Specifically, the COT reports provide a breakdown of each Tuesday’s open interest for futures and options on futures markets in which 20 or more traders hold positions equal to or above the reporting levels established by the CFTC.
This indicator can display three similar, but also very different calculations:
- Net positions of the leveraged/managed Money
- COT Index
- COT True Index
Net Positions
The COT report is not a timing instrument. It shows us markets in which the trend remains stable OR where there could be a change in trend. But it does not give us clear information as to *WHEN* an entry into the market should take place.
Net positions are showing if the professional traders have bullish or bearish bias.
COT Index
After calculating the net positions, we are already one step further, but have not yet reached our goal. The net position itself does not tell us anything about how the commercials have actually positioned themselves. If we only know that the commercials are 15,782 contracts short this week, that does not help us much.
We need an indicator that lets us evaluate this figure. And we get it by relating the current position to the positions over a certain period. So, an index is calculated, that allows us to evaluate the current position as a percentage.
COT True Index
COT Index can give us very good idea how bullish or bearish are the professional traders, but it is limit to 0% and 100%. In this case an additional calculation is needed in order to remove this limitation and show us the true bias.
How to use the true index:
1) If the curve is below zero line means that the traders officially changed the bias from bullish to bearish . Before that we can consider that they are still bullish and price is retracing or consolidation, and vice versa
2) We can also measure the strength of the bias. For example if the curve is below zero line, but only few precent, we may consider that the bias is changing but it is still weak bearish bias.
3) We can use the chart to see where are the peaks and troughs. They are using as support and resistance and we can expect a general chance at these levels.
Supported pairs:
'XAUUSD' , 'XAGUSD' , 'COPPER' , 'PLATINUM' 'PALLADIUM';
'AUDUSD' ,'USDCAD' , 'GBPUSD' , 'EURUSD' , 'USDJPY' , 'DXY';
'US30USD' ,'SPX500USD' , 'NAS100USD';
'US02Y' , 'US05Y' , 'US10Y'
'BTCUSD'
Note: The curve of the US Yields is inverted, because actually shows the Bond market and not the Yields. This is not a problem, because Yields have perfect negative correlations with Bonds.
The indicator works only on weekly time frame.
ILM CFTC COT Legacy PlotUse this indicator on Daily Timeframe
Please refer to the below link for CFTC Disaggregated COT
www.cftc.gov
This script is very similar to COT Financial Plot indicator except that it plots the data for Futures in Legacy buckets Commercial vs. Non-Commercial
ILM CFTC COT Disaggregated PlotUse this indicator on Daily Timeframe
Please refer to the below link for CFTC Disaggregated COT
www.cftc.gov
This script is very similar to COT Financial Plot indicator except that it plots the data for Disaggregated Futures
ILM COT Financials PlotUse this indicator on Daily Timeframe
Please refer to the below link for CFTC Financials
www.cftc.gov
This script is very similar to COT Financial Table indicator except that it plots the data (Longs - Shorts) instead of showing in a table.
ILM COT Financial Table - CFTCUse this indicator on Daily Timeframe
Please refer to the below link for CFTC Financials
www.cftc.gov
This script shows the Financial COT for the respective instrument by deriving the CFTC code.
Option is provided to override the CFTC code
User can also configure the historical CFTC data view
The script calculates the Long% vs Short% for various categories (Dealers/Asset Managers/Leveraged Funds/Other Reportables) and color codes the column appropriately.
The goal of this script is to show all the financial CFTC data on a single page to digest the data better in a tabular form
Fixed the default TradingView Library which has some errors with CFTC code mapping.
For example, SPX CFTC Code #13874+ which is the most important one where big players take positions is not there in the default Library.
COT Report IndicatorA COT Report Indicator that shows the Data for both currencies (base- and quotecurrency). It works in the forex market and on the Bitcoin Chart.
The table shows the Net-Contracts, Long and Short Percentage of the latest report. The line chart shows if the Commercials, Institutionals and Retail Traders are more long biased (value above 50) or more short biased (value below 50).
The COT Report is only published weekly. This should not be used as an entry indicator, but can help to find market bottoms/top and the trend of the market.
Institutional Behavior AnalyticsJapanese below / 日本語説明は下記
■Summary
This indicator provides analysis on institutional investors/traders’ behavior by discovering and interpreting patterns of CFTC positions and price action in order to help users follow market directions that maker makers create and make decisions.
■What can we do with this indicator?
●Display institutional investors/traders’ position(CFTC COT position)
●Analyze institutional investors/traders’ behavior
Analyze institutional investors’ behavior from CFTC position data and price action and patternize the movement where strong buying/selling pressures are indicated
●Notify institutional investors’ behavioral changes with signals and alerts
In case strong buying/selling pressures detected, signals will be displayed along with the factors by which the behavioral changes identified. Alerts can be set with the same condition as signals.
■Why is it important to analyze institutional investors/traders behavior?
Financial markets are created by institutional investors/traders aka market makers. Analyzing their behavior and knowing where they are heading are chances for retail traders for trend trading.
■Functions
There is three core functions in this indicator.
1. CFTC COT Positions
2. Institutional Behavior Analysis
3. Alert
■Function Details:
1. CFTC COT Positions
1-1. CFTC COT Position
This indicator shows COT(Commitment of Traders) positions provided by CFTC with selection of legacy format and new format.
Users also can select position type from Futures only and Futures and Options.
Data source is quandle.com
The indicator shows the data of the assets listed below based on the code and the ticker code of which users open charts.
This is upgrade functions of CFTC Positions by COT Report(Legacy and New Format) Indicator which I previously released by adding more assets and new functions; (1)manual CFTC code entry, (2)display of changes from previous week and (3) Auto-identification of peak position level (see below)
CFTC Positions by COT Report(Legacy and New Format)
Indices:
Dow Jones Industrial Average / CFTC code:12460P / when DJI/US30 open
S&P 500 STOCK INDEX / CFTC code:13874P / when SPX / SPX500USD /US500 open
NASDAQ-100 STOCK INDEX / CFTC code:20974P / when NDX/US100 open
E-MINI Russel2000 INDEX / CFTC code:239742 / when RUT/US2000 open
NIKKEI STOCK AVERAGE / CFTC code:240741 / when NI225 / JP225USD open
Currencies:
EURO / CFTC code:099741 / when EURUSD open
Japanese Yen / CFTC code:097741 / when USDJPY open
British Pound / CFTC code:096742 / when GBPUSD or EURGBP open
Australian Dollars / CFTC code:232741 / when AUDUSD open
New Zealand Dollars / CFTC code:112741 / when NZDUSD open
Canadian Dollars / CFTC code:090741 / when USDCAD open
Swiss Franc / CFTC code:092741 / when USDCHF open
Commodities:
USOIL / CFTC code:067411 / when USOIL open
Brent oil / CFTC code:06765T / when UKOIL open
GOLD / CFTC code:088691 / when GOLD or XAUUSD open
Silver / CFTC code:084691 / when SILVER or XAGUSD open
Platinum / CFTC code:076651 / when PLATINUM or XPTUSD open
Palladium / CFTC code:075651 / when PALLADIUM or XPDUSD open
Copper(Grade#1) / CFTC code:085692 / HG1! or HG2! Open
Natural Gas(Henry Hub) / CFTC code:023391 / when NATURALGAS open)
Corn / CFTC code:002602 / ZC1! Or ZC2! Open
Cryptos:
Bitcoin / CFTC code:133741 / when BTCUSD open
Ether / CFTC code:146021 / when ETHUSD open
Data to be displayed:
Legacy format:
1. Open Interest
2. Non Commercial Long
3. Non Commercial Short
4. Non Commercial Net Positions (calculated by 2 and 3)
5. Non Commercial Spreads
6. Commercial Long
7. Commercial Short
8. Commercial Net Positions(calculated by 6 and 7)
9. Total Long
10. Total Short
11. Non Reportable Positions Long
12. Non Reportable Positions Short
13. Non Reportable Net Positions(calculated by 11 and 12)
New format:
1. Open Interest
2. Producer/Merchant/Processor/User Longs
3. Producer/Merchant/Processor/User Shorts
4. Producer/Merchant/Processor/User Net Positions(calculated by 2 and 3)
5. Swap Dealer Longs
6. Swap Dealer Shorts
7. Swap Dealer Net Positions(calculated by 5 and 6)
8. Swap Dealer Spreads
9. Money Manager Longs
10. Money Manager Shorts
11. Money Manager Net Positions(calculated by 9 and 10)
12. Money Manager Spreads
13. Other Reportable Longs
14. Other Reportable Shorts
15. Other Reportable Net Positions(calculated by 13 and 14)
16. Other Reportable Spreads
17. Total Reportable Longs
18. Total Reportable Shorts
19. Non Reportable Longs
20. Non Reportable Shorts
21. Non Reportable Net Positions(calculated by 19 and 20)
Sample chart
Colors and chart type are configurable.
❶.Non commercial long(green)/short(purple)/net(blue) position
❷.All data in legacy format
❸. All net positions in new format
1-2 Manual CFTC code entry
Besides the assets above, users now can enter CFTC code manually when they want to specify CFTC code regardless of charts they are opening and see other assets' COT position data.
1-3 Changes from previous week
Changes from previous week are displayed as text for Open interest, Non Commercial Long/Short/Net positions.
1-4 Auto-identification of peak position level in past N week
By specifying number of weeks(=N), the indicator automatically identify highest position level in the past N weeks for Non-commercial long and short positions.
By knowing this, users can prepare for trend reversal possibilities.
Sample chart
2. Institutional Behavior Analysis
This indicator detects institutional behavior changes based on changes of positions and price action and then categorizes them into patterns where strong buying/selling pressures of institutional investors are indicated.
Once the patterns identified, those will be displayed as signals and also it plots the factors in text by which the patterns are identified in order to support users’ decision making.
Sample chart
What makes indicator suggest institutional investors’ strong buy/sell will be remarked in the bottom right corner.
Please be noted that this function works on weekly timeframe only as institutional investors positions are updated on weekly basis by CFTC.
3. Alert
Alerts can be set with the same condition as signals so that users do not miss indicated strong buying/selling pressure of institutional investors.
■What timeframe/trading style is this indicator for?
As CFTC position updated on weekly basis, weekly, daily and 4H timeframes are most appropriate hence swing trading and day trading is best fitting trading style.
Scalping? Possible but why would we aim such small movement, knowing the directions that institutional investors are going to which could lead to big trends.
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■サマリー
機関投資家の建玉とプライスアクションに基づいて機関投資家の行動分析を提供するインジケーターです。
機関投資家の強い買い圧力、売り圧力が示唆されるケースをその構成要素と共にパターン分類。
マーケットメーカーの作り出す相場の方向性に追従しやすくなるように、ユーザーの意思決定を支援します。
■このインジケーターでできること
●CFTC建玉の分析
CFTC(アメリカ商品先物取引委員会)が公開するCOT(Commitment of Traders)レポートに基づき機関投資家や商業筋の建玉データを分析することができます。
●機関投資家の行動分析
建玉データと値動きから機関投資家の行動を分析することが可能です。
インジケーターは建玉データとプライスアクションを基に機関投資家の強い買い圧力、売り圧力が示唆されるケースをその構成要素と共にパターン分類します。
●機関投資家の行動変化をシグナルとアラートで通知
機関投資家の強い買い圧力、売り圧力が検知された場合、その構成要素と共にシグナルを表示します。またシグナル表示のタイミングでアラート設定することも可能です。
■なぜ機関投資家の建玉や行動を分析することが重要なのか？
相場はマーケットメーカーと呼ばれる機関投資家によって作られています。
彼らのポジション状況や行動を分析し、彼らがどの方向に進んでいるのかを知ることは、個人投資家にとってトレンドフォローでトレードする機会、特に大きなトレンドに乗る機会を見出すことに繋がります。
機能
このインジケーターには主に3つの機能が搭載されています。
1. CFTC建玉データの表示
2. 機関投資家の行動分析
3. アラート
1. CFTC建玉データの表示
1-1. CFTC建玉データの表示
COTレポートが提供するCFTC建玉をサブウィンドウに表示することができます。
データレイアウトについては、レガシーフォーマットと新フォーマットの二つのレポートフォーマットを選択可能です。
またポジション種類として先物のみを表示するか、先物とオプションを含んだポジションを表示するかの選択も可能です。
インジケーターが表示する対象の資産と該当のCFTCコード、どのティッカーコードのチャートで表示されるかは以下の通りです。(データソースはquandle.com)
この機能は以前リリースしたCFTC Positions by COT Report(Legacy and New Format) Indicatorのアップグレードバージョン機能です。
対象データが追加されている他、新機能として(1)マニュアルでのCFTCコード指定、(2)前週比の表示、(3)過去のピークポジションのレベルライン自動描画が追加されています。 （詳細は下記）
CFTC Positions by COT Report(Legacy and New Format)
株価インデックス:
ダウ工業平均 / CFTC code:12460P / DJI/US30 を開いたとき
S&P500 / CFTC code:13874P / SPX / SPX500USD /US500
ナスダック100指数 / CFTC code:20974P / NDX/US100
E-MINI ラッセル2000指数 / CFTC code:239742 / RUT/US2000
日経平均 / CFTC code:240741 / NI225 / JP225USD
通貨:
ユーロ / CFTC code:099741 / EURUSDを開いた時
円 / CFTC code:097741 / USDJPY
ポンド / CFTC code:096742 / GBPUSD または EURGBP
豪ドル / CFTC code:232741 / AUDUSD
ニュージーランドドル / CFTC code:112741 / NZDUSD
カナダドル / CFTC code:090741 / USDCAD
スイスフラン / CFTC code:092741 / USDCHF
コモディティ:
WTI原油 / CFTC code:067411 / USOIL
北海ブレント原油 / CFTC code:06765T / UKOIL
ゴールド / CFTC code:088691 / GOLD または XAUUSD
シルバー / CFTC code:084691 / SILVER または XAGUSD
プラチナ / CFTC code:076651 / PLATINUM または XPTUSD
パラジウム / CFTC code:075651 / PALLADIUM または XPDUSD
銅(Grade#1) / CFTC code:085692 / HG1! または HG2!
天然ガス(Henry Hub) / CFTC code:023391 / NATURALGAS
コーン / CFTC code:002602 / ZC1! または ZC2!
暗号資産:
ビットコイン / CFTC code:133741 / BTCUSD
イーサ / CFTC code:146021 / ETHUSD
表示されるデータ:
レガシーフォーマット(一般的によく見るのはこのフォーマットです。)
1. Open Interest
2. Non Commercial Long
3. Non Commercial Short
4. Non Commercial Net Positions (calculated by 2 and 3)
5. Non Commercial Spreads
6. Commercial Long
7. Commercial Short
8. Commercial Net Positions (calculated by 6 and 7)
9. Total Long
10. Total Short
11. Non Reportable Positions Long
12. Non Reportable Positions Short
13. Non Reportable Net Positions(calculated by 11 and 12)
新フォーマット:
1. Open Interest
2. Producer/Merchant/Processor/User Longs
3. Producer/Merchant/Processor/User Shorts
4. Producer/Merchant/Processor/User Net Positions(calculated by 2 and 3)
5. Swap Dealer Longs
6. Swap Dealer Shorts
7. Swap Dealer Net Positions(calculated by 5 and 6)
8. Swap Dealer Spreads
9. Money Manager Longs
10. Money Manager Shorts
11. Money Manager Net Positions(calculated by 9 and 10)
12. Money Manager Spreads
13. Other Reportable Longs
14. Other Reportable Shorts
15. Other Reportable Net Positions(calculated by 13 and 14)
16. Other Reportable Spreads
17. Total Reportable Longs
18. Total Reportable Shorts
19. Non Reportable Longs
20. Non Reportable Shorts
21. Non Reportable Net Positions(calculated by 19 and 20)
サンプルチャート:
色とグラフ/線種は変更可能です。
❶.Non commercial(いわゆる投機筋)のポジション: ロング(緑)/ショート(紫)/ネット(青)
❷.レガシーフォーマットの全データ出力
❸. 新フォーマットで提供される全てのネットポジション
1-2 CFTCコードのマニュアル入力
上記のアセットに加え、任意のCFTCコードを指定して建玉データを表示することができます。
現在開いているチャートに関係なく、特定のアセットの建玉を確認したい時、他のアセットの建玉との相関を見るときに活用できます。
1-3 前週比の表示
Open Interest, Non Commercial（投機筋）のLong/Short/Netについて、前週比を表示します。
1-4. 過去N週間における建玉のピークを自動表示
過去N週間(Nはパラメータ設定)におけるNon Commercial（投機筋）のロング·ショートポジションのピークを自動で表示します。
過去の建玉のピークを知ることで、建玉が再びそのラインに接近した時のトレンド転換の可能性に備えることが可能です。
サンプルチャート
2. 機関投資家の行動分析
この機能では建玉の変化とプライスアクションから機関投資家の行動変化を検知し、機関投資家の強い買い、売りの存在が示唆されるケースをパターン分類します。
パターンが特定されたタイミングでシグナル表示するとともに、パターンを構成する要素（何を以て機関投資家の強い買い/売りの存在を判断したか）をテキストで表示することでユーザーの意思決定を支援します。
サンプルチャート
インジケーターが機関投資家の強い買い·売りの存在が示唆されると判断した要素がサブウィンドウの右下に記載されます。
この機能は週足でのみ有効です。
3. アラート
上記2のシグナルが表示されるタイミングでアラートを設定することができます。
機関投資家の強い買い·売りを検知したタイミングを逃さないよう活用してください。
■このインジケーターが適しているタイムフレーム
CFTCのポジションが週次で更新されることから、長めの時間軸である週足、日足から4時間足くらいまでが適しています。
トレードスタイルとしては、機関投資家が作る大きなトレンドに追尾するスイングトレードが最も適していると考えますが、デイトレードにも使えます。
Commitment of Traders: Legacy Metrics█ OVERVIEW
This indicator displays the Commitment of Traders (COT) legacy data for futures markets.
█ CONCEPTS
Commitment of Traders (COT) data is tallied by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) , a US federal agency that oversees the trading of derivative markets such as futures in the US. It is weekly data that provides traders with information about open interest for an asset. The CFTC oversees derivative markets traded on different exchanges, so COT data is available for assets that can be traded on CBOT, CME, NYMEX, COMEX, and ICEUS.
A detailed description of the COT report can be found on the CFTC's website .
COT data is separated into three notable reports: Legacy, Disaggregated, and Financial. This indicator presents data from the legacy report, which is broken down by exchange. Legacy reports break down the reportable open interest positions into two classifications: non-commercial and commercial traders.
Our other COT indicators are:
• Commitment of Traders: Disaggregated Metrics
• Commitment of Traders: Financial Metrics
• Commitment of Traders: Total
█ HOW TO USE IT
Load the indicator on an active chart (see here if you don't know how).
By default, the indicator uses the chart's symbol to derive the COT data it displays. You can also specify a CFTC code in the "CFTC code" field of the script's inputs to display COT data from a symbol different than the chart's.
The rest of this section documents the script's input fields.
Metric
Each metric represents a different column of the Commitment of Traders report. Details are available in the explanatory notes on the CFTC's website .
Here is a summary of the metrics:
• "Open Interest" is the total of all futures and/or option contracts entered into and not yet offset by a transaction, by delivery, by exercise, etc.
The aggregate of all long open interest is equal to the aggregate of all short open interest.
• "Traders Total" is the number of all unique reportable traders, regardless of the trading direction.
• "Traders Total Reportable/Traders Noncommercial/Traders Commercial" are the quantities of traders reported to hold any position with the specified direction.
All of a trader's reported futures positions in a commodity are classified as commercial if the trader uses futures contracts in that particular commodity for hedging.
To determine the total number of reportable traders in a market, a trader is counted only once, whether or not the trader appears in more than one category.
• "Total Reportable/Noncommercial/Commercial Positions" are all positions held by all reportable/non-commercial/commercial traders.
• "Non-reportable Positions" is derived by subtracting total long and short "Reportable Positions" from the total open interest.
Accordingly, the number of traders involved and the commercial/non-commercial classification of each trader are unknown.
• "Concentration Gross/Net LT 4/8 TDR" is the percentage of open interest held by 4/8 of the largest traders, by gross/net positions,
without regard to whether they are classified as commercial or non-commercial. The Net position ratios are computed after offsetting each trader’s equal long and short positions.
A reportable trader with relatively large, balanced long and short positions in a single market, therefore,
may be among the four and eight largest traders in both the gross long and gross short categories, but will probably not be included among the four and eight largest traders on a net basis.
Direction
Each metric is available for a particular set of directions. Valid directions for each metric are specified with its name in the "Metric" field's dropdown menu.
Type
Possible values are: All, Old, Other. When commodities have a well-defined marketing season or crop year (e.g. Wheat or Lean Hogs futures), this determines how the data is aggregated. Detailed explanation can be found in the "Old and Other Futures" section of the CTFC Explanatory Notes linked above. The "Major Markets for Which the COT Data Is Shown by Crop Year" table in the Explanatory Notes specifies the commodities that this distinction applies to; selecting "Old" for any of the commodities not in that list will return the same data as in "All", while selecting "Other" will return 0.
COT Selection Mode
This field's value determines how the script determines which COT data to return from the chart's symbol:
- "Root" uses the root of a futures symbol ("ES" for "ESH2020").
- "Base currency" uses the base currency in a forex pair ("EUR" for "EURUSD").
- "Currency" uses the quote currency, i.e., the currency the symbol is traded in ("JPY" for "TSE:9984" or "USDJPY").
- "Auto" tries all modes, in turn.
If no COT data can be found, a runtime error is generated.
Note that if the "CTFC Code" input field contains a code, it will override this input.
Futures/Options
Specifies the type of Commitment of Traders data to display: data concerning only Futures, only Options, or both.
CTFC Code
Instead of letting the script generate the CFTC COT code from the chart and the "COT Selection Mode" input when this field is empty, you can specify an unrelated CFTC COT code here, e.g., 001602 for wheat futures.
Look first. Then leap.
Commitment of Traders: Disaggregated Metrics█ OVERVIEW
This indicator displays the Commitment of Traders (COT) Disaggregated data for futures markets.
█ CONCEPTS
Commitment of Traders (COT) data is tallied by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) , a US federal agency that oversees the trading of derivative markets such as futures in the US. It is weekly data that provides traders with information about open interest for an asset. The CFTC oversees derivative markets traded on different exchanges, so COT data is available for assets that can be traded on CBOT, CME, NYMEX, COMEX, and ICEUS.
A detailed description of the COT report can be found on the CFTC's website .
COT data is separated into three notable reports: Legacy, Disaggregated, and Financial. This indicator presents data from the Disaggregated report. The disaggregated reports are broken down by agriculture, petroleum and products, natural gas and products, electricity and metals and other physical contracts. The Disaggregated reports break down the reportable open interest positions into four classifications: Producer/Merchant/Processor/User, Swap Dealers, Managed Money, and Other Reportables.
Our other COT indicators are:
• Commitment of Traders: Legacy Metrics
• Commitment of Traders: Financial Metrics
• Commitment of Traders: Total
█ HOW TO USE IT
Load the indicator on an active chart (see here if you don't know how).
By default, the indicator uses the chart's symbol to derive the COT data it displays. You can also specify a CFTC code in the "CFTC code" field of the script's inputs to display COT data from a symbol different than the chart's.
The rest of this section documents the script's input fields.
Metric
Each metric represents a different column of the Commitment of Traders report. Details are available in the explanatory notes on the CFTC's website .
Here is a summary of the metrics:
• "Open Interest" is the total of all futures and/or option contracts entered into and not yet offset by a transaction, by delivery, by exercise, etc.
The aggregate of all long open interest is equal to the aggregate of all short open interest.
• "Traders Total" is the quantity of all unique reportable traders, regardless of the trading direction.
• "Traders Producer Merchant" is the number of traders classified as a "producer/merchant/processor/user" reported holding any position with the specified direction.
A "producer/merchant/processor/user" is an entity that predominantly engages in the production, processing, packing or handling of a physical commodity and
uses the futures markets to manage or hedge risks associated with those activities.
• "Traders Swap" is the number of traders classified as "swap dealers" reported holding any position with the specified direction.
A "swap dealer" is an entity that deals primarily in swaps for a commodity and uses the futures markets to manage or hedge the risk associated with those swaps transactions.
The swap dealer’s counterparties may be speculative traders, like hedge funds, or traditional commercial clients that are managing risk arising from their dealings in the physical commodity.
• "Traders Managed Money" is the number of traders classified as "money managers" reported holding any position with the specified direction.
A "money manager" is a registered trader that is engaged in managing and conducting organized futures trading on behalf of clients.
• "Traders Other Reportable" is the number of reportable traders that are not placed in any of the three categories specified above.
• "Traders Total Reportable" is the number of traders reported holding any position with the specified direction.
To determine the total number of reportable traders in a market, a trader is counted only once whether or not the trader appears in more than one category.
As a result, the sum of the numbers of traders in each separate category typically exceeds the total number of reportable traders.
• "Producer Merchant/Swap/Managed Money/Total Reportable/Other Reportable Positions" is all positions held by the traders of the specified category.
• "Nonreportable Positions" is the long and short open interest derived by subtracting the total long and short reportable positions from the total open interest.
Accordingly, the number of traders involved and the classification of each trader are unknown.
• "Concentration Gross/Net LE 4/8 TDR" is the percentage of open interest held by 4/8 of the largest traders (entities), by Gross/Net positions, without regard to how they are classified.
The Net position ratios are computed after offsetting each trader’s equal long and short positions.
A reportable trader with relatively large, balanced long and short positions in a single market,
therefore, may be among the four and eight largest traders in both the gross long and gross short categories,
but will probably not be included among the four and eight largest traders on a net basis.
Direction
Each metric is available for a particular set of directions. Valid directions for each metric are specified with its name in the "Metric" field's dropdown menu.
Type
Possible values are: All, Old, Other. When commodities have a well-defined marketing season or crop year (e.g. Wheat or Lean Hogs futures), this determines how the data is aggregated. Detailed explanation can be found in the "Old and Other Futures" section of the CTFC Explanatory Notes linked above. The "Major Markets for Which the COT Data Is Shown by Crop Year" table in the Explanatory Notes specifies the commodities that this distinction applies to; selecting "Old" for any of the commodities not in that list will return the same data as in "All", while selecting "Other" will return 0.
Futures/Options
Specifies the type of Commitment of Traders data to display: data concerning only Futures, only Options, or both.
CTFC Code
Instead of letting the script generate the CFTC COT code from the chart and the "COT Selection Mode" input when this field is empty, you can specify an unrelated CFTC COT code here, e.g., 001602 for wheat futures.
Look first. Then leap.
Commitment of Traders: Financial Metrics█ OVERVIEW
This indicator displays the Commitment of Traders (COT) financial data for futures markets.
█ CONCEPTS
Commitment of Traders (COT) data is tallied by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) , a US federal agency that oversees the trading of derivative markets such as futures in the US. It is weekly data that provides traders with information about open interest for an asset. The CFTC oversees derivative markets traded on different exchanges, so COT data is available for assets that can be traded on CBOT, CME, NYMEX, COMEX, and ICEUS.
A detailed description of the COT report can be found on the CFTC's website .
COT data is separated into three notable reports: Legacy, Disaggregated, and Financial. This indicator presents data from the COT Financial (Traders in Financial Futures) report. The Financial report includes financial contracts, such as currencies, US Treasury securities, Eurodollars, stocks, VIX and Bloomberg commodity index. As such, the TFF data is limited to financial-related tickers. The TFF report breaks down the reportable open interest positions into four classifications: Dealer/Intermediary, Asset Manager/Institutional, Leveraged Funds, and Other Reportables.
Our other COT indicators are:
• Commitment of Traders: Legacy Metrics
• Commitment of Traders: Disaggregated Metrics
• Commitment of Traders: Total
█ HOW TO USE IT
Load the indicator on an active chart (see here if you don't know how).
By default, the indicator uses the chart's symbol to derive the COT data it displays. You can also specify a CFTC code in the "CFTC code" field of the script's inputs to display COT data from a symbol different than the chart's.
The rest of this section documents the script's input fields.
Metric
Each metric represents a different column of the Commitment of Traders report. Details are available in the explanatory notes on the CFTC's website .
Here is a summary of the metrics:
• "Open Interest" is the total of all futures and/or option contracts entered into and not yet offset by a transaction, by delivery, by exercise, etc.
The aggregate of all long open interest is equal to the aggregate of all short open interest.
• "Traders Total" is the number of all unique reportable traders, regardless of the trading direction.
• "Traders Dealer" is the number of traders classified as a "Dealer/Intermediary" reported holding any position with the specified direction.
A "producer/merchant/processor/user" is an entity typically described as the “sell side” of the market.
Though they may not predominately sell futures, they do design and sell various financial assets to clients.
They tend to have matched books or offset their risk across markets and clients.
Futures contracts are part of the pricing and balancing of risk associated with the products they sell and their activities.
• "Traders Asset Manager" is the number of traders classified as "Asset Manager/Institutional" reported holding any position with the specified direction.
These are institutional investors, including pension funds, endowments, insurance companies,
mutual funds and those portfolio/investment managers whose clients are predominantly institutional.
• "Traders Leveraged Funds" is the number of traders classified as "Leveraged Funds" reported holding any position with the specified direction.
These are typically hedge funds and various types of money managers. The traders may be engaged in managing and
conducting proprietary futures trading and trading on behalf of speculative clients.
• "Traders Other Reportable" is the number of reportable traders that are not placed in any of the three categories specified above.
The traders in this category mostly are using markets to hedge business risk, whether that risk is related to foreign exchange, equities or interest rates.
This category includes corporate treasuries, central banks, smaller banks, mortgage originators, credit unions and any other reportable traders not assigned to the other three categories.
• "Traders Total Reportable" is the number of all traders reported holding any position with the specified direction.
To determine the total number of reportable traders in a market, a trader is counted only once whether or not the trader appears in more than one category.
As a result, the sum of the numbers of traders in each separate category typically exceeds the total number of reportable traders.
• "Dealer/Asset Manager/Leveraged Funds/Total Reportable/Other Reportable Positions -- all positions held by the traders of the specified category.
• "Nonreportable Positions" is the long and short open interest derived by subtracting the total long and short reportable positions from the total open interest.
Accordingly, the number of traders involved and the commercial/non-commercial classification of each trader are unknown.
• "Concentration Gross/Net LT 4/8 TDR" is the percentage of open interest held by 4/8 of the largest traders, by gross/net positions,
without regard to whether they are classified as commercial or non-commercial. The Net position ratios are computed after offsetting each trader’s equal long and short positions.
A reportable trader with relatively large, balanced long and short positions in a single market, therefore,
may be among the four and eight largest traders in both the gross long and gross short categories, but will probably not be included among the four and eight largest traders on a net basis.
Direction
Each metric is available for a particular set of directions. Valid directions for each metric are specified with its name in the "Metric" field's dropdown menu.
COT Selection Mode
This field's value determines how the script determines which COT data to return from the chart's symbol:
- "Root" uses the root of a futures symbol ("ES" for "ESH2020").
- "Base currency" uses the base currency in a forex pair ("EUR" for "EURUSD").
- "Currency" uses the quote currency, i.e., the currency the symbol is traded in ("JPY" for "TSE:9984" or "USDJPY").
- "Auto" tries all modes, in turn.
If no COT data can be found, a runtime error is generated.
Note that if the "CTFC Code" input field contains a code, it will override this input.
Futures/Options
Specifies the type of Commitment of Traders data to display: data concerning only Futures, only Options, or both.
CTFC Code
Instead of letting the script generate the CFTC COT code from the chart and the "COT Selection Mode" input when this field is empty, you can specify an unrelated CFTC COT code here, e.g., 001602 for wheat futures.
Look first. Then leap.
Commitment of Traders: Total█ OVERVIEW
This indicator displays the Commitment of Traders (COT) totals data for futures markets.
█ CONCEPTS
Commitment of Traders (COT) data is tallied by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) , a US federal agency that oversees the trading of derivative markets such as futures in the US. It is weekly data that provides traders with information about open interest for an asset. The CFTC oversees derivative markets traded on different exchanges, so COT data is available for assets that can be traded on CBOT, CME, NYMEX, COMEX, and ICEUS.
A detailed description of the COT report can be found on the CFTC's website .
COT data is separated into three notable reports: Legacy, Disaggregated, and Financial. This indicator presents specific data from the COT Legacy report. The Total data details the positions held by various traders: Commercial Hedgers (traders registered with CFTC that use futures contracts in that particular commodity for hedging), Large Traders (traders registered with CFTC that do not hedge that particular commodity) and Small Traders (not registered with CFTC).
Our other COT indicators are:
• Commitment of Traders: Legacy Metrics
• Commitment of Traders: Disaggregated Metrics
• Commitment of Traders: Financial Metrics
█ HOW TO USE IT
Load the indicator on an active chart (see here if you don't know how).
By default, the indicator uses the chart's symbol to derive the COT data it displays. You can also specify a CFTC code in the "CFTC code" field of the script's inputs to display COT data from a symbol different than the chart's.
The rest of this section documents the script's input fields.
COT Selection Mode
This field's value determines how the script determines which COT data to return from the chart's symbol:
- "Root" uses the root of a futures symbol ("ES" for "ESH2020").
- "Base currency" uses the base currency in a forex pair ("EUR" for "EURUSD").
- "Currency" uses the quote currency, i.e., the currency the symbol is traded in ("JPY" for "TSE:9984" or "USDJPY").
- "Auto" tries all modes, in turn.
If no COT data can be found, a runtime error is generated.
Note that if the "CTFC Code" input field contains a code, it will override this input.
Futures/Options
Specifies the type of Commitment of Traders data to display: data concerning only Futures, only Options, or both.
Display
Determines the direction of the metrics requested from the CTFC report.
CTFC Code
Instead of letting the script generate the CFTC COT code from the chart and the "COT Selection Mode" input when this field is empty, you can specify an unrelated CFTC COT code here, e.g., 001602 for wheat futures.
Look first. Then leap.
The Insider - Hunt Bitcoin CoT DeltaThe Insider - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta
The gift of the Squeeze in the Largest 4 open Interest Shorts vs Longs.
Why Bother another CoT signal?
Its different & focused on the Insider's.
Performance -
This Indicator provided a
1. Signal 1 = 26th March 2019 = SUPER LONG at $4,500 that saw a near $14,000 run up
2. Signal 2 = 18th & 24th June 2019 = SHORT at the second & final level $11,700 after repeated attempts & failure in the $13K range, the mini Echo Bitcoin Bull of 2019
3. Signal 3 = 17th December 2019 = LONG $6,900, Bitcoin rallied to Mid $10,500's
4. Signal 4 = 18th Feb 2020 = SUPER SHORT from $9,700's to a final extreme Low of $3,000, calling the CV-19 collapse
5. Signal 5 = 17th March 2020 = LONG from $5,400 no closure point yet
6. Signal 6 = 29th June 2020 = SUPER LONG reiterate from $10,700 no closure sell signal yet
7. Signal 7 = 17th May 2020 = LONG another accumulate LONG with no sell signal yet generated at Post H&S's low of $33,000
Note - This indicator only commences March 2019, as Bitcoin futures were a recent introduction and needed to settle for 6 months in both use and data, no signals were meaningful prior & data was light.
What is Provided. - Please note the need to also add the Hunt Bitcoin Historical Volatility Indicator for full understanding.
We provide 3 things with the 3 indicators.
'Insider' indications from Largest players in the futures market.
1. Bitcoin Macro Buy Signals.
a) The Bitcoin Commitment of Traders results see us focus solely on Largest 4 Short Open Interest & Largest 4 Long Open Interest aspects of the CoT Release data.
When the difference - is tight, a kind of pinch, these have been great Buy signals in Bitcoin.
We call this difference the Delta & When Delta is 5% or less Bitcoin is a Buy.
2. Bitcoin Macro Sells.
a) A sell signal is Triggered in Bitcoin at any point the Largest 4 short OI > or = to 70
3. AMPLIFIER Trade signals 'Super' Longs or Shorts -
Extreme low volatility events leads to highly impulsive & volatile subsequent moves, if either of 1 or 2 above occur, combined with extreme low volatility
a 'Super Long' or 'SUPER SELL' is generated. In the case of the short side, given Bitcoins general expansive and MACRO Bull trend since inception, we seek an additional component
that is an extreme differential/Delta reading between 4 biggest Longs & Shorts OI.
Namely CoT Delta also must be > 47.5%
We also have a Cautionary level, where it is not necessarily a good idea to accumulate Bitcon, as a better opportunity lower may avail itself, see conditions below.
So the required logic explicitly stated below for all Signals.
1. Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5
2. SUPER Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5; and 2 Day Historical Bitcoin Volatility = or < 20
3. Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70
4. SUPER Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70; AND..
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 47.5 AND 2 Day Historical BTC Volatility = or < 20
5. Caution - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 67.5 AND Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 45
WARNING SEE Notes Below
Note 1 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Shorts
Note 2 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Longs
Note 3 - = Hunt Cot Delta = (Largest 4 sellers OI) -( Largest 4 Buyers OI)
Caution = Avoid new Bitcoin Accumulation Right Now, A sell signal might follow Enter on next Long
Note 4 - The Hunt Bitcoin COT Delta signal is a Largest 'Insider' Tracking tool based on a segment of Commitment of Traders data on Bitcoin Futures, released once a week on a Friday.
It is a Macro Timeframe signal , and should not be used for Day trading and Short Timeframe analysis , Entries may be optimised after a Hunt Bitcoin CoT Signal is generated by separate shorter Timeframe analysis.
Note 5 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility is an additional 'Amplifier' component to the 'Hunt Bitcoin Cot Delta' Insider Signal
Note 6 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility criteria varies by timeframe, the above levels are those applying on a Two Day TF Chart, select this custom timeframe in Trading View.
if additional criteria are met for LONG & SHORT insider signals, they may become 'Super Longs/Shorts', see conditions box above.
The Signal - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Buy/SellThe Signal - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Buy/Sell
Why Bother with another CoT signal?
Its different & focused on the Insider's. The Largest 4 Open Interest Seller and the Largest 4 open Interest Longs, plus the distance they are apart, the Delta, what does high percentage of Largest 4 sellers mean with a low 4 OI Buyers. , what when the usually higher Sellers are low and the largest 4 buyers almost the same value , Time to track the insiders Delta..
Performance -
This Indicator provided a
1. Signal 1 = 26th March 2019 = SUPER LONG at $4,500 that saw a near $14,000 run up
2. Signal 2 = 18th & 24th June 2019 = SHORT at the second & final level $11,700 after repeated attempts & failure in the $13K range, the mini Echo Bitcoin Bull of 2019
3. Signal 3 = 17th December 2019 = LONG $6,900, Bitcoin rallied to Mid $10,500's
4. Signal 4 = 18th Feb 2020 = SUPER SHORT from $9,700's to a final extreme Low of $3,000, calling the CV-19 collapse
5. Signal 5 = 17th March 2020 = LONG from $5,400 no closure point yet
6. Signal 6 = 29th June 2020 = SUPER LONG reiterate from $10,700 no closure sell signal yet
7. Signal 7 = 17th May 2020 = LONG another accumulate LONG with no sell signal yet generated at Post H&S's low of $33,000
Note - This indicator only commences March 2019, as Bitcoin futures were a recent introduction and needed to settle for 6 months in both use and data, no signals were meaningful prior & data was light.
What is Provided. - Please note the need to also add the Hunt Bitcoin Historical Volatility Indicator for full understanding.
We provide 3 things with the 3 indicators.
'Insider' indications from Largest players in the futures market.
1. Bitcoin Macro Buy Signals.
a) The Bitcoin Commitment of Traders results see us focus solely on Largest 4 Short Open Interest & Largest 4 Long Open Interest aspects of the CoT Release data.
When the difference - is tight, a kind of pinch, these have been great Buy signals in Bitcoin.
We call this difference the Delta & When Delta is 5% or less Bitcoin is a Buy.
2. Bitcoin Macro Sells.
a) A sell signal is Triggered in Bitcoin at any point the Largest 4 short OI > or = to 70
3. AMPLIFIER Trade signals 'Super' Longs or Shorts -
Extreme low volatility events leads to highly impulsive & volatile subsequent moves, if either of 1 or 2 above occur, combined with extreme low volatility
a 'Super Long' or 'SUPER SELL' is generated. In the case of the short side, given Bitcoins general expansive and MACRO Bull trend since inception, we seek an additional component
that is an extreme differential/Delta reading between 4 biggest Longs & Shorts OI.
Namely CoT Delta also must be > 47.5%
We also have a Cautionary level, where it is not necessarily a good idea to accumulate Bitcon, as a better opportunity lower may avail itself, see conditions below.
So the required logic explicitly stated below for all Signals.
1. Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5
2. SUPER Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5; and 2 Day Historical Bitcoin Volatility = or < 20
3. Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70
4. SUPER Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70; AND..
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 47.5 AND 2 Day Historical BTC Volatility = or < 20
5. Caution - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 67.5 AND Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 45
WARNING SEE Notes Below
Note 1 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Shorts
Note 2 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Longs
Note 3 - = Hunt Cot Delta = (Largest 4 sellers OI) -( Largest 4 Buyers OI)
Caution = Avoid new Bitcoin Accumulation Right Now, A sell signal might follow Enter on next Long
Note 4 - The Hunt Bitcoin COT Delta signal is a Largest 'Insider' Tracking tool based on a segment of Commitment of Traders data on Bitcoin Futures, released once a week on a Friday.
It is a Macro Timeframe signal , and should not be used for Day trading and Short Timeframe analysis , Entries may be optimised after a Hunt Bitcoin CoT Signal is generated by separate shorter Timeframe analysis.
Note 5 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility is an additional 'Amplifier' component to the 'Hunt Bitcoin Cot Delta' Insider Signal
Note 6 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility criteria varies by timeframe, the above levels are those applying on a Two Day TF Chart, select this custom timeframe in Trading View.
if additional criteria are met for LONG & SHORT insider signals, they may become 'Super Longs/Shorts', see conditions box above.
