PE Ratio Intrinsic ValueThe "Median PE Ratio and Intrinsic Value" indicator is designed for traders and investors who wish to evaluate the intrinsic value of a stock based on a comparative analysis of Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratios across multiple stocks. This tool not only provides insights into whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued but also allows you to visualize the intrinsic value directly on the chart.
Comparison Across Multiple Stocks:
This indicator calculates the PE ratio for up to five different stocks, allowing you to compare the target stock's valuation against four other same sector companies. By default, the stocks included are Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN), but you can customize these symbols to fit your analysis needs.
Dynamic PE Ratio Calculation:
The indicator calculates the PE ratio for each stock by dividing the current price by the earnings per share (EPS). The EPS data is retrieved based on the selected period, which can be one of the following:
FY (Fiscal Year)
FH (Fiscal Half-Year)
FQ (Fiscal Quarter)
TTM (Trailing Twelve Months)
You can easily switch between these periods using the provided input options, enabling a more customized analysis based on your preferred financial timeframe.
Once the PE ratios for the selected stocks are computed, the indicator calculates the average PE ratio. The average value is a robust measure that reduces the influence of outliers and provides a balanced view of market valuation.
The intrinsic value of the stock on the chart is calculated by multiplying its EPS by the median PE ratio of the selected stocks. This gives you an estimate of what the stock should be worth if it were to trade at a fair valuation relative to the chosen peers.
The intrinsic value is plotted directly on the price chart as a step line with breaks. This step line style is chosen to represent changes in intrinsic value clearly, with breaks indicating periods where the calculated value is not valid (e.g., negative intrinsic value). Only positive intrinsic values are displayed, helping you focus on meaningful data.
You can easily customize the stocks analyzed by entering the ticker symbols of your choice. Additionally, the indicator allows you to adjust the timeframe for EPS data, giving you flexibility depending on whether you are focused on long-term trends or shorter financial periods.
How to Use:
Compare the current stock price to the plotted intrinsic value. If the current price is below the intrinsic value, the stock may be undervalued. Conversely, if the price is above the intrinsic value, the stock might be overvalued. By comparing your stock against major market players, you can gauge whether it's trading at a premium or discount relative to other key companies in the sector. Use the period selection (FY, FQ, TTM) to adapt your analysis to different market conditions or earnings cycles, giving you more control over your valuation assessment.
Ideal For:
Long-term Investors looking to assess the intrinsic value of a stock based on comparative analysis.
Fundamental Analysts who want to combine multiple stocks' PE ratios to estimate a fair valuation.
Value Investors interested in finding undervalued opportunities by comparing the market price to intrinsic value.
Fundamentalstrategy
Overvalued/Undervalued OverlayThis indicator will tell you whether the security you are looking at is overvalued or undervalued using a company's total assets and their market cap. In theory, a company's total assets is everything that they own, which then should technically be how much the company is worth. Therefore, if the company's market cap is higher than their total assets, the indicator will read "Overvalued by X%". However, if the company's market cap is lower than their total assets, the indicator will read "Undervalued by X%". If you have any questions, feel free to let me know. Keep in mind that this indicator should be only used for long-term investing.
SOPR SignalThe script uses Glassnode's SOPR on-chain data to identify:
1. Sentiment Trends:
- Green circle on bottom (Bullish) -> Investors are selling in profits
- Red circle on top (Bearish) -> Investors are selling in losses
2. Short-term Entries:
- Small green circle on SOPR (Bullish) -> Approaching investor purchase price in bull run -> not willing to sell -> decrease supply
- Small red circle on SOPR (Bearish) -> Approaching break even price in bear run -> chance to get out -> increase supply
3. Potential Trend Change:
- Yellow circle on top/bottom -> Potential trend changing soon
Graham Net Current Asset Value per ShareNet current asset value per share (NCAVPS) is a measure created by Benjamin Graham as one means of gauging the attractiveness of a stock. A key metric for value investors, NCAVPS is calculated by taking a company's current assets and subtracting total liabilities.
NCAVPS = Current Assets - (Total Liabilities + Preferred Stock) ÷ Shares Outstanding.
According to Graham, investors will benefit greatly if they invest in companies where the stock prices are no more than 67% (or 2/3) of their NCAV per share (price <= (2/3)*NCAV).
Coloring pattern:
- price <= (1/3)*ncav -> light green
- (1/3)*ncav < price <= (2/3)*ncav -> green
- (2/3)*ncav < price <= ncav -> dim red
- price > ncav -> red
Dividend Yield with 2 Moving Average for see SpreadI "applied" the dividend yield on the original library script which I adding 2 Exponential Moving Average.
That is average the Long term of Dividend Yield and Short Term of Dividend Yield.
To estimate the Trend that "Is it worth to invest this stock right now?"
If the dividend yield right now is higher than both maybe it worth it on the past
(You can used your price pattern skill to make an entry with backed by adjusted yield------> I think it will help you for estimate pre-total return for Hybrid with Fundamental and Technical )
Hope it will help you ><
PS. it has a problem when using with "Split" stock ( for example 1 Year on "Day" Timeframe )
if somebody can help me .pls help me pls TT
Ps2. Be warry of the stock that don't has consistency pay dividend out and some "special dividend" that don't come form the real operating income.
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สวัสดีมิตรสหายเทรดเดอร์หุ้นไทยทุกท่าน ผมสร้างอินดิเคเตอร์ สำหรับดูผลตอบแทนจากเงินปันผล พร้อมกับเส้นค่าเฉลี่ย เคลื่อนที่ 2 เส้น
เพื่อเป็นการดูแนวโน้มของราคาหุ้น และเพื่อจับจังหวะการซื้อหุ้นนะครับ
ผมขอยกความดีความชอบของ ท่าน Library Script นะครับ ที่มี Format ของการคำนวณเงินปันผลมาให้ ผมทำเพียงแค่ปัดฝุ่น และ Mod เส้นค่าเฉลี่ยขึ้นมาครับ
ไม่มีอะไรจะดีไปกว่าการซื้อหุ้นแล้วมีปันผลรองรับ ซับแรงกระแทกตอนที่กดเข้าซื้อหุ้นไปอีกแล้ว
สำหรับมิตรสหายท่านใดที่ศึกษาศาสตร์ด้าน "พื้นฐาน" และ "เทคนิค" อินดิเคเตอร์นี้อาจช่วยท่านหาจุดเข้าซื้อ ที่คุ้มค่าด้านเงินปันผล และเป็นจุดซื้อที่แม่น ขลัง มากขึ้นนะครับ
ผมว่าหากใช้ควบคู่กับเรื่อง Price Pattern คงเป็นประโยชน์ไม่น้อยเลย
ขอให้อินดิเคเตอร์นี้มิประโยชน์แก่ทุกท่านนะครับ
Ps. บางที เจ้าอินดิเคเตอร์นี้อาจมีปัญหา เมื่อใช้กับหุ้นที่เคยมีการแตกพาร์มาก่อนนะครับ ท่านอาจต้องใช้ Timeframe อื่นที่ไม่ครอบครุมช่วงเวลาที่แตกพาร์ครับ
ซึ่งตรงนี้ ผมยังหาวิธีแก้ไม่พบครับ มิตรสหายท่านใดช่วยมาก ผมจะยินดีอย่างยิ่ง
Ps2. ระมัดระวังหุ้นที่จ่ายปันผลไม่สม่ำเสมอ และหุ้นที่จ่ายปันผลจากกำไรพิเศษ หรือจ่ายจากเงินที่ไม่ได้มาจากการดำเนินงานตามปกตินะครับ เช่นการขาย Asset เข้า กอง Reit ขายหุ้นในบริษัทลูกและอื่นๆ
