ATR Stop (Adaptive and Advanced)Hi everyone I am excited to share with you all a tool that has been in a lot of my research lately I and think would greatly benefit everyone.
In the last years I have fallen in love with ATR stoplosses/ stop and reverses. However all the ones offered in the community lacked the features that I wanted to have, so I built them all myself and want to share them with you all today!!!
Assuming that you are already familiar with ATR stops, here is what is new and improved with this version:
1. This script takes anything as an input! As you can see in the chart above I have used an EMA as an input into this script and this greatly smoothed out the results while still allowing for phenomenal entries with minimal whiplash. You can use this tool on anything now, from moving averages to oscillators.
2. Previous scripts were not adaptive, you can now choose how adaptive this script is! Increasing this number allows this ATR stop to follow price when it is running away so you don't have to give back much profit. Likewise it makes sure that the ATR stop slows down when the market is ranging so you wont get randomly stopped out.
3. You can now get it to start at the exact moment you enter your trade! Previous scripts had the ATR stop running forever which wasn't helpful if you only needed it for your own trades. You can now set it to start at the exact time of your trade if that is the only time you need it!
4. Now you can easily get alerts when the ATR stop gets hit.
Hope this helps you all!
Mcbw
powerful moving average crossoverThis script is a simplified version of John Ehlers's adaption of Dr. Kalman's optimum estimator as applied to price action (More can be found on this here: www.dimensionetrading.com). Here I have adapted two of these optimum estimators to work together to provide crossover signals. The user can choose the input of this filter in the 'input source'. The 'Ratio of Uncertainties' controls how adaptive the moving averages are, increasing this number will increase adaptivity and vice versa for decreasing. The 'Kalman Gain' allows the user to choose how much error to let into the calculation. The smaller this number is the quicker the moving average will approach price action.
In practice this indicator is much smoother than most other moving averages and has significantly less whiplash while still getting very early entries. If anyone wants to adapt this script for their own uses please feel free. Message me what you make with it, I am very curious what this can do when in the right hands!
Happy trading!
ATR based Pivots mcbwHey everyone this is an exciting new script I have prepared for you.
I was reading an old forex bulletin article some time ago when I came across this: solar.murty.net (or you can download the full bulletin with lots of other good articles here: www.forexfactory.com).
You can already buy this for metatrader (www.mql5.com) so I figured to make it for free for tradingview.
This bulletin suggested that you can reasonably predict daily volatility by adding or subtracting multiples of the daily ATR to the daily opening. Using this you can choose multiples to use as price targets and alternatively as stop losses. For example, if you already have a sense of market direction you can buy at market open place a stop loss at - 1 daily ATR and a profit target at + 3 ATRs for a risk to reward ratio of 3. If you are looking for smaller/quicker moves with a ratio of 3 you can have a stop loss at -0.25 ATR and a take profit at +0.75 ATR.
Alternatively this article also suggests to use this method to catch volatility breakouts. If price is higher than the + 1 ATR area then you can safely assume it will be going to the +2 ATR area so you can put a buy stop at + 1 ATR with a profit target at + 2 ATR with a stop loss at +0.5 ATR to catch a volatility breakout with a risk to reward ratio of 2!
Even further there are methods that you can use with ATRs of multiple window sizes, for example by opening two copies of this indicator and measuring recent volatility with a 1 week window and long term volatility within a 1 month window. If the short term volatility is crossing the long term volatility then there is a high probability chance that even more price movement will occur.
However I have found that this method is good for more than daily volatility , it can also be used to measure weekly volatility , and monthly volatility and use these multiples as good long term price targets.
To select if you want daily, weekly, or monthly values of the ATR of volatility you're using go to the settings and click on the options in the "Opening period". The default window of the ATR here is 14 periods, but you can change this if you want to in "ATR period". Most importantly you are able to select which multiples of the ATR you would like to use in the settings in "ATR multiple 1" which is the green line, "ATR multiple 2" which is the blue line, and "ATR multiple 3" which is the purple line. You can select any values you want to put in these, the choice of 0.25, 0.5, and 1 is not special, some people use fibonacci numbers here or simply 0.33, 0.66, and 0.99.
Repainting issue: This script uses the daily value of the Average True Range (ATR), which measures the volatility that is happening today. If price becomes more volatile then the value of the ATR can increase throughout the day, but it can never decrease. What this means is that the ATR based pivots are able to expand away from the opening price, which should not affect the trades that you take based on these areas. If you base your take profit on one of these ATR multiples and the daily volatility increase this means that your take profit area will be closer to your entry than the ATR multiple. Meaning that your trades will be more conservative.
While this all may sound very technical it is super intuitive, throw this on your chart and play around with it :)
Happy trading!
Optimized Random Average (Linear) mcbw_This is a moving average with a customizable random kernel. You can shape your kernel by selecting your parameters in the settings window. This is not something that is immediately ready to mess with by just applying it on the chart, it is very useful for people who are researching indicators and developing new tools. To see the shape of your kernel you can plug it into google or wolfram. This indicator and the related ones are rather technical in nature, so feel free to comment any questions you may have and to see if anyone has asked your question.
Read more here:
Happy studying and enjoy your life!
2019 will be absolutely insane!
Generalized Average Generic Gaussian Envelope mcbw_This is a moving average with a customizable gaussian kernel. You can shape your kernel by selecting your parameters in the settings window. This is not something that is immediately ready to mess with by just applying it on the chart, it is very useful for people who are researching indicators and developing new tools. To see the shape of your kernel you can plug it into google or wolfram. This indicator and the related ones are rather technical in nature, so feel free to comment any questions you may have and to see if anyone has asked your question.
Read more here:
Happy studying and enjoy your life!
2019 will be absolutely insane!
Generalized Average Polynomial Envelope mcbw_This is a moving average with a customizable polynomial kernel. You can shape your kernel by selecting your parameters in the settings window. This is not something that is immediately ready to mess with by just applying it on the chart, it is very useful for people who are researching indicators and developing new tools. To see the shape of your kernel you can plug it into google or wolfram. This indicator and the related ones are rather technical in nature, so feel free to comment any questions you may have and to see if anyone has asked your question.
Read more here:
Happy studying and enjoy your life!
2019 will be absolutely insane!
Gap finder (gold minds)This tool highlights where gaps happens and outlines in the chart where the gap zones are. If there is a gap up there is a green line, a gap down it is red. The gap zone is highlighted in blue. You can choose the size of your gap with the input menu to the desired size. Feel free to ask comment below. Made for the Gold Minds group
mcbw_RSI_candlesAn RSI can have any input, but most commonly used is the closing price. I thought it would be interesting to see if feeding the open high low and close information into the RSI to make RSI candles, if there are candlestick formations that can be recognized or possible patters in wicks.
To make it smoother there also is the option to turn the RSI candles into Heiken Ashi form, just check the box labeled HA. The result is an RSI that is easier on the eyes.
Happy trading!
Remember to not take everything too seriously
Stream Influxes and ReversalsI have a really interesting script for you guys today. While walking home I had an interesting idea that I wanted to visualize, but had no clue how it would turn out. This script is the result and it seems to provide some larger information.
For anyone who doesn't know the definition of concavity here is a super quick calculus lesson: Concavity is a fancy word for the sign of the second derivative of something. This is the SLOPE OF A SLOPE; how fast is the rate of change changing? An example is position, if you are in a place and want to go to another place the first derivative how you move there is the velocity, if you are measuring the derivative of velocity that is called acceleration. If you are speeding up then you have positive concavity. If you are slowing down you have negative concavity. On a graph positive concavity looks like a cup, negative concavity looks like an upside down bowl. Infection is just a fancy word for when it is zero, which means - to + or + to - So...
If we look at the concavity of the edges it seems to provide us clues about how the price is moving and where it wants to reverse. I made boxes around points of inflection (pos --> neg or neg --> pos concavity)
The purple lines are just moving averages of the green dots. The green dots are where the edges are at each time step, just the average of all of them at once. If price is wiggling a lot then it creates lots of edges, the green dots get plotted close to the price line, which moves up the purple lines.
The red line is a highlight of the last line, helps guide the eye.
The other smooth red lines are a shout out to bollinger bands, set the band width smaller to find break outs or squeezes.
There really isn't a defined strategy for how to use this, but with all the messages I am getting about these scripts everyone is always surprising me with what they see. So I hope some of you can make some good calls with this!
Theres lots of calculations here and it takes a long time to load, if it won't load, just toggle something back and forth till it does.
Happy trading everyone! I hope these scripts give some of you financial freedom. If you're making really good profits then share some of it with those who are less fortunate. Cheers
Best Holy Grail Indicator V3Thanks to everyone that has been contacting me about the holy grail project, your comments and feedback have made this project much more rewarding. I'm excited for your further feedback. Here is Version 3.
How to use:
At the heart of this projects is a new kind of moving average that I have been developing. As such it is reasonable to think of these lines as highly enhanced and finely tuned moving averages. Their slopes, crossovers, spreads, and behaviors are all meaningful, just as in other moving averages. What is special about these is that if you trade their price crossovers, it almost never generates a real loss, just consistent profits. In trending markets these lines can give you all you need to know about trend entry/exit and details inbetween, effectively letting you get in/out at the top/bottom. In a ranging market they will show you ideal lines of mean reversion, and how to play them.
Description (Upgrades from V2), there are 3 huge improvements from V2:
1) It follows the price better: In the inputs window there is now a box called “Responsiveness”, it can have values from 0 to 5. At 0 Version 3 looks a lot like V2. When you turn up the responsiveness the lines follow closer when they should, and repel themselves when they should be distant. Unfortunately the lines are no longer as smooth, but it isn’t much of a problem. When you turn this up the lines can generate losses if you blindly use the crossover, this is because the slopes of these lines now have more meaning as they focus on the trend, and not how price moves right around it. This can also give very powerful signals if all 5 lines crossover in the same place. Mess with it.
2) There are too many neutral entries: Now every trade can be closed profitably! I posted an idea a few weeks back about “smart execution traces”, it is an intelligently suggested stop loss. The way you set it is in the inputs window at “Smart Execution Baseline”. If you are using crossover signals from Line 4, then set this to 4, if you use line 3 then set it to 3, ect… Unfortunately the lines are also not so smooth, but this can be a very helpful tool. If you play with it you can easily get a feeling for it.
3) Flipping between timeframes is now easier: Here you can bring a line in from another time frame. In the input window there is a box “Line from other timeframe?”. Here you can select the line you are interested in. Next you have to choose which timeframe you are interested it, you can choose this in the “timeframe multiplier” box. This multiplies you current time frame to get the desired one. If you are on the hourly charts and are interest in line 4 on the 6 hour charts, you first choose line 4, then in the timeframe multiplier you enter 6 to see the 6 hour red line in the 1 hour time frame. Likewise if you are still in the 1 hour and want to see the 15 minute red line, simply multiply by 0.25 (which is 1/4). Due to the limitations of pinescript it is easier to see smaller timeframes, getting a higher timeframe line requires more data. If you don’t want to consult another timeframe leave both of these at 0 to cut down on computational time.
After enough inquiries, the source code is now for sale.
If you are making money with this system and want to share it, here are my addresses. If you donated and want to see some of the indicators I am currently working on just message me so I can privately tag you in.
ETH: 0xcf1ca127d9cefb5efbe9557fa09a05cf4daea6c1
ZEC: t1dSFhH9jkG1z9AdGA27e2UqCMLdA2Y1or1
LTC: LQ1cssjU3dhqSa9K85ErqZYuRAPLfGKivA
BCH: 15zwnh2t2nM2bufnuPv12hJvJhFrU8iSFk
Please feel free to write in further questions in the comments below. Hope this makes some of you rich, happy trading!
Bitcoin momentum correlation This is a pretty simple indicator, it measures the momentum of bitcoin as compared to usd,eur,eth,dash, and ltc, which you can see in all of the blue lines. If the red line is above zero then it means the overall value of btc is going up, opposite for down. The Ema_window controls how smooth the signal is. If you shorten the Ema_window parameter and open this on higher timeframe btc charts then the zero crossing gives pretty solid signals, despite being pretty choppy. A good way to interpret this is that if all the blue lines are moving in the same direction at once without disagreement, then the value of bitcoin has good momentum.
Mildly more technically:
Momentum is measured in the first derivative of an EMA for each ticker. To normalize the different values against each other they are all divided by their local maximums, which can be chosen in the parameter window, but shouldn't make a huge difference. All the checked values are then summed, as shown in the red line. To include a value into the red line simply keep it checked. Take a look at the script, it's kind of easy on the eyes.
It's pretty handy to look at, but doesn't seem too worthwhile to pursue much further. If someone wants much more out of the script then feel free to message me.
Remember rules #1 & #2
Don't lose money.
Happy trading
Fibonacci ClustersI was reading about Fibonacci Clusters on investopedia (www.investopedia.com) and couldn't find a script for it on tradingveiw. Apparently some people use it successfully but I found it a little chaotic. This script will mark the retracements in a window's length, and you can set this for six windows. This script isn't very pretty because it doesn't seem obviously useful and pinescript has far too many deficiencies to fully flesh this idea out. I was able to make more sense out of larger windowing times (500-4000 periods), than shorter ones (25-333). Try it out, see what it shows you. Happy trading
Multiple Ichimoku CloudsFor anyone that uses the Ichimoku Cloud there is a consistent need to flip between timeframes to get information about this at all levels. However, that trouble is now over. In this script there are 4 Ichimoku Clouds that operate in 4 different time frames. To change the timeframe simply change the multiplication factor to the desired levels. How this script works is that it takes your current timeframe as an input then it applies multiplication factors to it to achieve larger timescales. In the example here we are looking at the XBTJPY pair on the 1 hour. Our first cloud is 1x scaling, meaning that it is the 1 hour cloud. The second and third are 2x and 4x respectively meaning that we are looking at the 2 hour cloud and the 4 hour cloud. Lastly the largest cloud is the 24x cloud, aka the daily cloud. Now you only really need one look at the clouds for all the essential information.
As always feel free to message me about anything regarding this script.
Be happy :)
Blair Momentum IndicatorThis is a very interesting momentum indicator for everyone to take a look at. To understand the concept behind it please see my previous idea "Adaptive Derivative Analysis", and the short Bitcoin prediction that was concurrent.
At its core this indicator takes the derivative of a custom adaptive moving average and adaptively weights the results. This is what the big black line is, the "Blair Line". When it is above 0 there is upward momentum, and downward when it is below 0. However, simply watching the movement of the Blair line doesn't seem especially helpful, so to aid the eye there are clouds around it. 2 fast clouds, 1 medium cloud, and 1 slow cloud. When the Blair line goes under a cloud it is a good time to sell, when it goes above a cloud it is a good time to buy. The red and orange clouds provide the quickest signals about the behavior of the momentum. The yellow cloud provides more certainty. When all three of these clouds align on the same side of the Blair line, it is a very good indication about the current momentum in the market. The Blue cloud is the slowest cloud, and provides the greatest confluence. Since the market can be in varying degrees of volatility there is a button to adjust the sensitivity of the indicator, called the "Roughness". When the roughness is at its maximum of 6 the indicator takes lots of weight for the most recent price movement, when the roughness is at a minimum of 1 it only looks at really long term behavior. The indicator seems to be the best at a roughness between 2 to 4. Since this is a momentum indicator it will not tell you what is the best time to buy at the lowest and sell at the highest, but it will give you a very good idea about the momentum in the markets, and much more importantly when the momentum will reverse.
It is recommended to use this indicator at a timeframe or two higher than where you are trading for a good overview. If you are trading on the 5 minute charts, look at the Blair momentum indicator of the 1 hour to 2 hour charts. If you trade on the daily charts then look at the weekly Blair momentum.
The power of this tool is in its ability to show where the momentum is changing, a long time before the price action changes. Please apply this indicator to the charts you are working with and see its predictive behavior around breakouts and sideways action.
Happy trading! Always feel free to message me with questions.
