Modified Mannarino Market Risk Indicator MMMRI MMRIModified Mannarino Market Risk Indicator MMMRI was developed by "Nobody Special Finance" as an enhancement to the original MMRI developed by Gregory Mannarino. The original and modified version were created as a way to gauge current level of risk in the market. This published indicator includes both versions along with ability to customize the symbols, denominators, and ratio factors that are used within their formulas. Additional options have been included to colorize the candles, plot, and level fills, as well as the option to show or hide a table containing the realtime values for both versions, along with the current dollar strength and 10Y yield.
Levels of market risk are denoted by dashed lines which represent the following levels: 0-50 slight risk, 50-100 low risk, 100-200 moderate risk, 200-300 high risk, 300+ extreme risk. The plot displays whichever of the following two formulas has been selected in the indicator settings, the default choice has been set to MMMRI:
MMRI = (USD Strength * USD Interest Rate) / 1.61
MMMRI = (Debt / GDP) * (USD Strength * USD Interest Rate) / 1.61
NOTICE: This is an example script and not meant to be used as an actual strategy. By using this script or any portion thereof, you acknowledge that you have read and understood that this is for research purposes only and I am not responsible for any financial losses you may incur by using this script!
Mmmri
Modified Mannarino Market Risk Indicator & Bubbles
Modified Mannarino Market Risk Indicator
MMRI = DXY * 10Y Yield
MMMRI = MMRI * (Debt/GDP)
Color Indicators
Green ~ Low Risk
Yellow - Mod Risk
Red - High Risk
Purple - Extreme Risk
Bubbles Formula (MMMRI_DK)
DXY*(10Y + FED Rate)* (Shiller P/E Ratio) * (Warren Buffet Indicator)*(Debt/GDP) /1.61
Similar to the Shiller P/E Ratio - you need to look back to see where the bubbles were. The difference between the Dot Com bubble and subsequent ones is that we now have QE which is why I included the FED Rate + 10Y.
Color Indicators
Green ~ Low Risk
Yellow - Mod Risk
Red - High Risk
Purple - Extreme Risk
Future Bubbles Formula (MMMRI_DK_Fut)
DXY*(10Y + Future FED Rate)* (Shiller P/E Ratio) * (Warren Buffet Indicator)*(Debt/GDP) /1.61
Assumes that the 10Y is fixed but what is important is that you will get an idea on when the system may pop.