Strategy:Reversal-CatcherWhat
This is a plain and vanilla reversal based strategy for intraday (15m) timeframe on Futures prices of the assets.
Now what all it comprises of?
It finds out the dynamic support & resistance from Bollinger Band (20 period, 1.5 std dev).
It finds out the potential divergence of price deviation from 5 period exponential moving average (EMA).
If the previous candle (N-1) shows a divergence it confirms the reversal by checking the present candle (N) to be closed inside the Bollinger Band.
It confirms the momentum by checking RSI shows a crossover/crossunder to oversold (30) / overbought (70) region.
It also confirms whether the trend is up (then only reversal trade to short) or down (then only reversal trade to long). The trend is checked with EMA-21 and EMA-50.
Re-affirmation Condition : It re-affirms the position of two successive candles called as `hhLLong` and `hhLLShort` in the script.
Why
In Indian context, retail participants are pre-dominantly (yes- 80% of Indian daily volume) Options buyers mainly in weekly indices (Nifty, BankNifty, FinNifty, CNXMidcap, Sensex, Bankx .. well everyday is expiry now in India, except -- Thank God -- Saturday & Sunday).
And in Index Options the momentum plays a big role.
If one can catch a good reversal point the potential of high Risk-to-Reward trade (hence earn handsomely) is very likely (please note: there is no holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100%).
So this is the attempt to catch a reversal.
Re-affirmation of Reversal
hhLLong : It's a reversal point after an uptrend. It checks the relative positioning of current candle compared to that of previous candle. [The details are in the script. Check for variable hhLLong in script.
hhLLShort : It's a reversal point after a downtrend. It checks the relative positioning of current candle compared to that of previous candle. [The details are in the script. Check for variable hhLLShort in script.
Unique-ness
What's unique in it? Why we decided to publicly share this:
Already given the context of The Great Indian Options Buyers community. It should be helpful to them, we believe.
It takes Very Less Number of Trades with High Accuracy . Please check the result in NSE:NIFTY1! in 15m timeframe. 71% accuracy with roughly a trade in a month.
There is no point giving brokers' the brokerages taking 10 trades a day and ending not-so-good EoD. Better lets take less trades with better result possibility. .
Mention
There are many people uses this variation of Bolling Band, 5EMA
Many people use RSI, trends and relative positioning of candles.
--> We are grateful to all of them. It's really difficult to mention everyone's name. But all people somehow influence the thought process. Thanks for all of them.
Statutory Disclaimer
There is no silver bullet / holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100% time. One has to be careful about the loss (s)he can bear in case of the trade goes against.
We, as the author of this script, is not responsible for any trading or position decision one is taken based on the outcome of this.
It is our sole discretion to change, add, delete the portion or withdraw the whole script without any prior notice or intimation.
In Indian Context : We are not SEBI registered, will never be SEBI registered.
Niftytradesetup
NIFTY 50 5mint StrategyThis is an intraday strategy for NIFTY50 Based First candle High and Low breakout.
The strategy takes user inputs for the start and end dates, start and end months, and start and end years, which define the time range to trade. The user can also specify the maximum number of trades to take during the time range and the length of the Exponential Moving Average ( EMA ) used in the strategy
In this strategy, the First candle's high and low are calculated and used as entry and exit points for trades. If the close price breaks above the First candle's high, a buy signal is generated. Conversely, if the close price breaks below the First candle's low, a sell signal is generated.
The strategy uses the Exponential Moving Average ( EMA ) as a filter to close entered positions either long or short, EMA also acts Target. If the close price falls below the EMA, a long position is closed, and if the close price rises above the EMA, a short position is closed or the PreviousCandleClose is above the First candle's high a short position is closed, When the PreviousCandleClose is below the First candle's low a long position is closed, First candle's high act as Stoploss
The strategy limits the number of trades taken within the specified time range, and if the time range is exceeded, all positions are closed.
Finally, the strategy plots the First candle's high and low, EMAs on the chart for visual reference.
Default settings work best with the 5mint candle, you may tweak settings according to your needs.
backtesting helps in interpreting how the trading strategy would have behaved in the past, and forward testing (paper trading) informs the traders how it would perform now.
