The Bar Counter Trend Reversal Strategy [TradeDots]Overview
The Bar Counter Trend Reversal Strategy is designed to identify potential counter-trend reversal points in the market after a series of consecutive rising or falling bars.
By analyzing price movements in conjunction with optional volume confirmation and channel bands (Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels), this strategy aims to detect overbought or oversold conditions where a trend reversal may occur.
🔹How it Works
Consecutive Price Movements
Rising Bars: The strategy detects when there are a specified number of consecutive rising bars (No. of Rises).
Falling Bars: Similarly, it identifies a specified number of consecutive falling bars (No. of Falls).
Volume Confirmation (Optional)
When enabled, the strategy checks for increasing volume during the consecutive price movements, adding an extra layer of confirmation to the potential reversal signal.
Channel Confirmation (Optional)
Channel Type: Choose between Bollinger Bands ("BB") or Keltner Channels ("KC").
Channel Interaction: The strategy checks if the price interacts with the upper or lower channel lines: For short signals, it looks for price moving above the upper channel line. For long signals, it looks for price moving below the lower channel line.
Customization:
No. of Rises/Falls: Set the number of consecutive bars required to trigger a signal.
Volume Confirmation: Enable or disable volume as a confirmation factor.
Channel Confirmation: Enable or disable channel bands as a confirmation factor.
Channel Settings: Adjust the length and multiplier for the Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels.
Visual Indicators:
Entry Signals: Triangles plotted on the chart indicate potential entry points:
Green upward triangle for long entries.
Red downward triangle for short entries.
Channel Bands: The upper and lower bands are plotted for visual reference.
Strategy Parameters:
Initial Capital: $10,000.
Position Sizing: 80% of equity per trade.
Commission: 0.01% per trade to simulate realistic trading costs.
🔹Usage
Set up the number of Rises/Falls and choose whether if you want to use channel indicators and volume as the confirmation.
Monitor the chart for triangles indicating potential entry points.
Consider the context of the overall market trend and other technical factors.
Backtesting and Optimization:
Use TradingView's Strategy Tester to evaluate performance.
Adjust parameters to optimize results for different market conditions.
🔹 Considerations and Recommendations
Risk Management:
The strategy does not include built-in stop-loss or take-profit levels. It's recommended to implement your own risk management techniques.
Market Conditions:
Performance may vary in different market environments. Testing and adjustments are advised when applying the strategy to new instruments or timeframes.
No Guarantee of Future Results:
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always perform due diligence and consider the risks involved in trading.
Tradedots
Price & Volume Breakout Fibonacci Probability [TradeDots]📝 OVERVIEW
The "Price & Volume Breakout Fibonacci Probability" indicator is designed to detect the probability of the maximum run-up and drawdown of each breakout trade on an asset, assisting traders in optimizing their take profit and stop loss strategies.
🧮 CALCULATIONS
The algorithm detects price and volume breakouts to activate the Fibonacci levels displayed on the chart. It calculates these levels using the period pivot high and low, with the close price of the breakout bar as the reference price.
The indicator then forward-tests within an user-selected number of bars, detecting the maximum run-up and drawdown during that period. Consequently, it calculates the probability of the price hitting either side of the Fibonacci levels, showing the likelihood of reaching take profit and stop loss targets for each breakout trade.
📊 EXAMPLE
The above example shows two breakout trades, circled within the yellow rectangle zone.
The first trade has a maximum run-up above the +0.382 Fibonacci level zone and a maximum drawdown below the -0.618 Fibonacci level zone.
When the price reaches the maximum run-up, it only has a ~45% probability of moving further upward into the last two zones (25% + 19.44%). This indicates that setting a take profit at a higher level may have less than a 50% chance of success.
Conversely, when the price reaches its maximum drawdown, there is only an ~8% probability of moving further downward into the last drawdown zone. This could indicate a potential reversal.
⚙️ SETTINGS
Breakout Condition: Determines the type of breakout condition to track: "Price", "Volume", "Price & Volume".
Backtest Period: The maximum run-up and drawdown are detected within this bar period.
Price Breakout Period: Specifies the number of bars the price needs to break out from.
Volume Breakout Period: Specifies the number of bars the volume needs to break out from.
Trendline Confirmation: Confirms that the close price needs to be above the trendline.
📈 HOW TO USE
By understanding the probabilities of price movements to both the upside and downside, traders can set take profit and stop loss targets with greater accuracy.
For instance, placing a stop loss order below the zone with the highest probability minimizes the chances of being stopped out of a profitable trade. Conversely, setting a take profit target at the zone with the highest probability increases the win rate.
Additionally, if the price breaches multiple Fibonacci levels during the breakout period, it may indicate an abnormal state, signaling a potential reversal or pullback. This can help traders exit trades in a timely manner.
Traders can adjust their take profit and stop loss levels based on their individual risk tolerance.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Price & Momentum Reversal Indicator [TradeDots]Price & Momentum Divergence Indicator is a variant of the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO), designed to identify reversal patterns in overvalued and undervalued markets. This indicator aims to mitigate the common problem of all oscillating indicators: false buy/sell signals during prolonged market trends, by incorporating a volume-weighted approach and momentum analysis.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
Price Extremeness Calculation
The indicator evaluates the extremeness of the current price by analyzing price changes over a fixed window of candlesticks.
It separates the price changes into positive and negative changes, then multiplies them by the bar volume to obtain volume-weighted values, giving higher significance to bars with larger volumes.
Extremeness Ratio
The ratio is calculated by taking the difference between the total positive changes and total negative changes, and then dividing this result by the sum of the total positive and negative changes.
The result is then smoothed to reduce market noise and rescaled to a range between -100 to 100, where 100 indicates all price changes within the window are positive.
Momentum Analysis
Momentum is calculated by measuring the rate of change of the smoothed extremeness ratio, indicating whether market extremeness is slowing and showing signs of reversion.
Reversal Signal Confirmation
For an asset to be considered a reversal, it has to be in the overvalued or undervalued zone (exceeding the overvalued & undervalued threshold). It must then show a slowed momentum change and a price reversion.
Lastly, candlestick analysis is used to confirm the reversal signal, ensuring there is no room for further breakout price movement.
🛠️ HOW TO USE
Candlestick Visualization
Candlestick bodies are painted with gradient colors representing the smoothed price extremeness (OBOS Index), ranging from -100 (solid red) to 100 (solid green). The exact value is displayed in a table at the bottom right corner.
Slowing price momentum is indicated with blue (bearish) and purple (bullish) colors, showing market pressure from the opposite side.
Reversal Confirmation
A decrease in price momentum combined with a price reversal triggers a signal label on the candlestick, indicating a potential pullback or reversal. This can serve as a reference for better entry and exit points.
⭐️ Premium Features
Higher Timeframe (HTF) Analysis
The indicator includes a feature to apply the same algorithm to a selected higher timeframe, ensuring trend alignment across multiple timeframes.
Alert Functions
Real-time notifications for overvalued and undervalued conditions, allowing traders to monitor trades and reversal signals anywhere and anytime.
❗️LIMITATIONS
Accuracy decreases in volatile and noisy markets.
Extended bullish or bearish market conditions may affect performance.
See Author's instructions below to get instant access to this indicator.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Buffett Valuation Indicator [TradeDots]The Buffett Valuation Indicator (also known as the Buffett Index or Buffett Ratio) measures the ratio of the total United States stock market to GDP.
This indicator helps determine whether the valuation changes in US stocks are justified by the GDP level.
For example, the ratio is calculated based on the standard deviations from the historical trend line. If the value exceeds +2 standard deviations, it suggests that the stock market is overvalued relative to GDP, and vice versa.
This "Buffett Valuation Indicator" is an enhanced version of the original indicator. It applies a Bollinger Band over the Valuation/GDP ratio to identify overvaluation and undervaluation across different timeframes, making it efficient for use in smaller timeframes, e.g. daily or even hourly intervals.
HOW DOES IT WORK
The Buffett Valuation Indicator measures the ratio between US stock valuation and US GDP, evaluating whether stock valuations are overvalued or undervalued in GDP terms.
In this version, the total valuation of the US stock market is represented by considering the top 10 market capitalization stocks.
Users can customize this list to include other stocks for a more balanced valuation ratio. Alternatively, users may use S&P 500 ETFs, such as SPY or VOO, as inputs.
The ratio is plotted as a line chart in a separate panel below the main chart. A Bollinger Band with a default 100-period and multiples of 1 and 2 is used to identify overvaluation and undervaluation.
For instance, if the ratio line moves above the +2 standard deviation line, it indicates that stocks are overvalued, signaling a potential selling opportunity.
APPLICATION
When the indicator is applied to a chart, we observe the ratio line's movements relative to the standard deviation lines. The further the line deviates from the standard deviation lines, the more extreme the overvaluation or undervaluation.
We look for buying opportunities when the Buffett Index moves below the first and second standard deviation lines and sell opportunities when it moves above these lines. This indicator is used as a microeconomic confirmation tool, in combination with other indicators, to achieve higher win-rate setups.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Buy Sell Strategy [TradeDots]The "Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Buy Sell Strategy" leverages the CMO indicator to identify short-term buy and sell opportunities.
HOW DOES IT WORK
The standard CMO indicator measures the difference between recent gains and losses, divided by the total price movement over the same period. However, this version of the CMO has some limitations.
The primary disadvantage of the original CMO is its responsiveness to short-term volatility, making the signals less smooth and more erratic, especially in fluctuating markets. This instability can lead to misleading buy or sell signals.
To address this, we integrated the concept from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. By applying a 9-period exponential moving average (EMA) to the CMO line, we obtained a smoothed signal line. This line acts as a filter, identifying confirmed overbought or oversold states, thereby reducing the number of false signals.
Similar to the MACD histogram, we generate columns representing the difference between the CMO and its signal line, reflecting market momentum. We use this momentum indicator as a criterion for entry and exit points. Trades are executed when there's a convergence of CMO and signal lines during an oversold state, and they are closed when the CMO line diverges from the signal line, indicating increased selling pressure.
APPLICATION
Since the 9-period EMA smooths the CMO line, it's less susceptible to extreme price fluctuations. However, this smoothing also makes it more challenging to breach the original +50 and -50 benchmarks.
To increase trading opportunities, we've tightened the boundary ranges. Users can customize the target benchmark lines in the settings to adjust for the volatility of the underlying asset.
The 'cool down period' is essentially the number of bars that await before the next signal generation. This feature is employed to dodge the occurrence of multiple signals in a short period.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 80%
Signal Cool Down Period: 5
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Price Reversal Probability + Price Forecast [TradeDots]The TradeDots Price Reversal Probability + Price Forecast Indicator helps traders discern market direction and identify potential trading opportunities.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
The indicator provides two types of reversal signals:
Bullish Reversal: Marked with a green label, indicating an expected upward market reversal.
Bearish Reversal: Marked with a red label, indicating an expected downward market reversal.
⭐️ Computation
This tool identifies significant reversal patterns using a mathematical model on a designated window of candlesticks to calculate price action changes. It incorporates candlestick data and price indicators, such as the Open, Close, High, Low of candlesticks and Average True Range (ATR), to detect similar occurrences in real-time.
Potential market turning points are marked with reversal labels and percentage changes , calculated using pivot high or low price data from the last reversal patterns of the opposite side.
For example, a green label on the chart indicates a bullish reversal pattern, showing the market is expected to reverse upward. However, signals are based on historical price actions and are not 100% accurate. If the price breaks down from the bullish reversal pivot low, the original signal will turn half transparent until the next reversal pattern is detected.
The algorithm groups consecutive bullish reversal patterns until a bearish reversal pattern appears. The last bullish label occurrence indicates the maximum number of bullish patterns required to confirm a reversal in the group. This information is stored to apply Bayesian statistical models and probability models to generate market insights.
⭐️ Statistical Analysis
Reversal signals are categorized into bullish and bearish groups, with each group storing consecutive reversal signals.
In the indicator table, each new reversal is labeled sequentially (e.g., "🟢 #1" for the first bullish reversal after a bearish signal). The number increases for each new signal on the same side and resets when a reversal signal on the opposite side appears.
The indicator provides two forecasts: the probability of reversal and the expected price change if the pattern is successful or unsuccessful.
⭐️ Probability of Reversal
By counting the number of consecutive reversal patterns on one side before a reversal pattern on the opposite side appears, we can calculate the probability of reversal of each signal throughout the entire price action history.
Using Bayes’ Theorem, the probability increases with each consecutive pattern. The values are displayed in the first two columns of the indicator table, with the current condition highlighted in orange.
⭐️ Price Forecast
The price forecast uses the pivot point of the last reversal pattern of the opposite side as a reference for calculating the percentage change.
For example, for a group of bullish patterns, the pivot high of the most recent bearish pattern is taken. A percentage is calculated with the pivot low of all bullish patterns in the same group. Repeating this model throughout the entire historical price action patterns gives the average price percentage difference between all bearish and bullish patterns.
Whenever a new reversal pattern is detected, a price can be forecasted using the percentage difference from the statistical model. The target price is calculated and displayed in the third and fourth columns of the indicator table.
Assisting Traders To Make Data-Informed Trading Decisions
All included features in this indicator:
Labeling of bullish and bearish reversal patterns
Success probability of each reversal pattern
Price targets of each reversal pattern
Visual aid for pattern confirmation
More (check the changelog below for current features)
🛠️ HOW TO USE
⭐️ Reversal Signals
There are two types of reversal signals identified by the algorithm that detects reversal patterns using price action analysis with candlestick data and price indicators. When the price breaks out from the labeled pivot, the label will turn half transparent.
Bullish reversal signals: Labeled in green. The number represents the price of the candlestick "low," and the percentage value indicates the price difference from the previous bearish reversal pattern's candlestick "high."
Bearish reversal signals: Labeled in red. The number represents the price of the candlestick "high," and the percentage value indicates the price difference from the previous bullish reversal pattern's candlestick "low."
⭐️ Probability Table
The probability table shows the likelihood of reversal for each number of occurrences of bullish and bearish reversal signals, displayed in the first two columns.
It also shows the target prices for both bullish and bearish conditions for each number of reversal patterns.
⭐️ Price Targets
By combining the probability of reversal and the price forecast, price targets for new reversal patterns are calculated. These insights help traders align their strategies with price action analysis and statistics by simply observing the candlestick chart in real-time.
Bullish Price Target: The average percentage price and probability that the next bearish reversal signal might hit.
Bearish Price Target: The average percentage price and probability that the next bullish reversal signal might hit.
⭐️ Market Trend Panel
The market trend panel is a small table that indicates the market trend using a 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) alongside reversal signals. A bullish reversal pattern above the moving average indicates a "bullish" market, while a bearish reversal pattern below it indicates a "bearish" market. If the price fluctuates around the moving average, it is identified as "choppy."
The panel also shows the risk and reward for each trade by taking the closing bullish and bearish targets from the most recent reversal pattern's price reference. Lastly, it displays the probability of reversal, consistent with the number highlighted in the probability table.
⭐️ Other Visual Aid
Other visual aids visualize the market trend and potential direction for users on the candlestick chart.
Background colors reflect the current market trend (green = bullish, red = bearish, blue = choppy).
A white plotted line represents the moving average for categorizing market trends.
❗️LIMITATIONS
Price targets represent only the mean of percentage differences. Therefore, the price could reverse before hitting either side of the price target.
When the market is in extreme price action or a new market pattern, the price targets may not be forecasted accurately and might move out of the model's range.
This model works best for assets with less price variation and a near-Gaussian distribution in returns. It may be less accurate for assets with random price movements.
CONCLUSION
This indicator uses fundamental statistics and mathematical models to generate reversal probabilities and price forecasts. It does not have the ability to predict the future with certainty. Traders should combine this indicator with other confirmation strategies to make informed investment decisions.
See Author's instructions below to get instant access to this indicator.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
NOTES*
Calculations are based on historical data and do not guarantee future results.
Reversals exceeding ten consecutive occurrences are rare (likely <1% of total occurrences).
Users SHOULD NOT blindly follow the price targets as their trading strategy.
If you encounter a timeout with this indicator, reapply it to your chart.
Triple EMA + QQE Trend Following Strategy [TradeDots]The "Triple EMA + QQE Trend Following Strategy" harnesses the power of two sophisticated technical indicators, the Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) and the Qualitative Quantitative Estimation (QQE), to generate precise buy and sell signals. This strategy excels in capturing shifts in trends by identifying short-term price momentum and dynamic overbought or oversold conditions.
HOW IT WORKS
This strategy integrates two pivotal indicators:
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA): TEMA enhances traditional moving averages by reducing lag and smoothing the data more effectively. It achieves this by applying the EMA formula three times onto the price, as follows:
tema(src, length) =>
ema1 = ta.ema(src, length)
ema2 = ta.ema(ema1, length)
ema3 = ta.ema(ema2, length)
tema = 3*ema1 - 3*ema2 + ema3
This computation helps to sharpen the sensitivity to price movements.
Qualitative Quantitative Estimation (QQE): The QQE indicator improves upon the standard RSI by incorporating a smoothing mechanism. It starts with the standard RSI, overlays a 5-period EMA on this RSI, and then enhances the result using a double application of a 27-period EMA. A slow trailing line is then derived by multiplying the result with a factor number. This approach establishes a more refined and less jittery trend-following signal, complementing the TEMA to enhance overall market timing during fluctuating conditions.
APPLICATION
Referenced from insights on "Trading Tact," the strategy implementation follows:
First of all, we utilize two TEMA lines: one set at a 20-period and the other at a 40-period. Then following the rules below:
40-period TEMA is rising
20-period TEMA is above 40-period TEMA
Price closes above 20-period TEMA
Today is not Monday
RSI MA crosses the Slow trailing line
This strategy does not employ an active take profit mechanism; instead, it utilizes a trailing stop loss to allow the price to reach the stop loss naturally, thereby maximizing potential profit margins.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 80%
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Reference:
Trading Tact. What Is the QQE Indicator? Retrieved from: tradingtact.com
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) Strategy [TradeDots]"The Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) Strategy" is a trend-following system that leverages the adaptive qualities of the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA). This strategy is distinguished by its ability to adjust dynamically to market volatility, enhancing trading accuracy by minimizing the effects of false and delayed signals often associated with the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
HOW IT WORKS
This strategy is centered around use of the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) indicator, which refines the principles of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with a superior smoothing technique.
KAMA distinguishes itself by its responsiveness to changes in market prices through an "Efficiency Ratio (ER)." This ratio is computed by dividing the recent absolute net price change by the cumulative sum of the absolute price changes over a specified period. The resulting ER value ranges between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates high market noise and 1 reflects stronger market momentum.
Using ER, we could get the smoothing constant (SC) for the moving average derived using the following formula:
fastest = 2/(fastma_length + 1)
slowest = 2/(slowma_length + 1)
SC = math.pow((ER * (fastest-slowest) + slowest), 2)
The KAMA line is then calculated by applying the SC to the difference between the current price and the previous KAMA.
APPLICATION
For entering long positions, this strategy initializes when there is a sequence of 10 consecutive rising KAMA lines. Conversely, a sequence of 10 consecutive falling KAMA lines triggers sell orders for long positions. The same logic applies inversely for short positions.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 80%
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Trend Following Parabolic Buy Sell Strategy [TradeDots]The Trend Following Parabolic Buy-Sell Strategy leverages the Parabolic SAR in combination with moving average crossovers to deliver buy and sell signals within a trend-following framework.
This strategy synthesizes proven methodologies sourced from various trading tutorials available on platforms such as YouTube and blogs, enabling traders to conduct robust backtesting on their selected trading pairs to assess the strategy's effectiveness.
HOW IT WORKS
This strategy employs four key indicators to orchestrate its trading signals:
1. Trend Alignment: It first assesses the relationship between the price and the predominant trendline to determine the directional stance—taking long positions only when the price trends above the moving average, signaling an upward market trajectory.
2. Momentum Confirmation: Subsequent to trend alignment, the strategy looks for moving average crossovers as a confirmation that the price is gaining momentum in the direction of the intended trades.
3. Signal Finalization: Finally, buy or sell signals are validated using the Parabolic SAR indicator. A long order is validated when the closing price is above the Parabolic SAR dots, and similarly, conditions are reversed for short orders.
4. Risk Management: The strategy institutes a fixed stop-loss at the moving average trendline and a take-profit level determinable by a prefixed risk-reward ratio calculated from the moving average trendline. These parameters are customizable by the users within the strategy settings.
APPLICATION
Designed for assets exhibiting pronounced directional momentum, this strategy aims to capitalize on clear trend movements conducive to achieving set take-profit targets.
As a lagging strategy that waits for multiple confirmatory signals, entry into trades might occasionally lag beyond optimal timing.
Furthermore, in periods of consolidation or sideways movement, the strategy may generate several false signals, suggesting the potential need for additional market condition filters to enhance signal accuracy during volatile phases.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 70%
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Price and Volume Breakout Buy Strategy [TradeDots]The "Price and Volume Breakout Buy Strategy" is a trading strategy designed to identify buying opportunities by detecting concurrent price and volume breakouts over a specified range of candlesticks.
This strategy is optimized for assets demonstrating high volatility and significant momentum spikes.
HOW IT WORKS
The strategy first takes the specific number of candlesticks as the examination window for both price and volume.
These values are used as benchmarks to identify breakout conditions.
A trade is initiated when both the closing price and the trading volume surpass the maximum values observed within the predetermined window.
Price must be above a designated moving average, serving as the trend indicator, ensuring that all trades align with the prevailing market trend.
APPLICATION
This strategy is particularly effective for highly volatile assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, capitalizing on the cues from sudden price and volume breakouts indicative of significant market movement, often driven by market smart money traders.
However, for broader markets like the S&P 500, this strategy may be less effective due to less pronounced volume and price shifts compared to the cryptocurrency markets.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 70%
Backtest result sometimes gives fewer than 100 trades under certain higher timeframes, as most trades tend to have a long holding period. Entry conditions are also more stringent, which, combined with the relatively brief history of cryptocurrencies, results in fewer trades on longer timeframes.
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Tic Tac Toe Game [TradeDots]Feeling bored with trading?
Time to inject some fun into your decision-making process with our Tic Tac Toe Indicator!
The Tic Tac Toe game transforms your chart into a competitive playground where trading pairs face off in a classic game of Tic Tac Toe.
HOW TO PLAY
Our Tic Tac Toe game invites you to pit one trading pair against another directly on your chart. Choose the competitors and watch as they battle it out in a traditional grid setup.
Navigate to settings and select your competitor pair.
Choose who kicks off the game.
After the close of each new bar, the algorithm will utilize the closing prices of both symbols. These numbers feed into a random number generator which alternates the turns for placing marks on the grid.
The game progresses until one pair aligns three consecutive symbols and wins, or the board fills up. After that, the game resets every three bars, offering continual engagement during active market hours.
MANUAL PLAYING MODE
Currently, due to PineScript's limitations, a fully interactive manual mode is not supported, as all previous data will be lost with each new user input, preventing the replication of existing game states.
However, users can input a sequence at the start, guiding the placement of symbols throughout the game.
Stay tuned for future updates!
Alligator + MA Trend Catcher [TradeDots]The "Alligator + MA Trend Catcher" is a trading strategy that integrates the William Alligator indicator with a Moving Average (MA) to establish robust entry and exit conditions, optimized for capturing trends.
HOW IT WORKS
This strategy combines the traditional William Alligator set up with an additional Moving Average indicator for enhanced trend confirmation, creating a user-friendly backtesting tool for traders who prefer the Alligator method.
The original Alligator strategy can frequently present fluctuations, even in well-established trends, leading to potentially premature exits. To mitigate this, we incorporate a Moving Average as a secondary confirmation measure to ensure the market trend has indeed shifted.
Here’s the operational flow for long orders:
Entry Signal: When the price rises above the Moving Average, it confirms a bullish market state. Enter if Alligator spread in an upward direction. The trade remains active even if the Alligator indicator suggests a trend reversal.
Exit Signal: The position is closed when the price falls below the Moving Average, and the Alligator spreads in the downward direction. This setup helps traders to maintain positions through the entirety of the trend for maximum gain.
APPLICATION
This strategy is tailored for assets with significant, well-defined trends, such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, which are known for their high volatility and substantial price movements.
This strategy offers a low win-rate but high reward configuration, making asset selection critical for long-term profitability. If you choose assets that lack strong price momentum, there's a high chance that this strategy may not be effective.
For traders seeking to maximize gains from large trends without exiting prematurely, this strategy provides an aggressive yet controlled approach to riding out substantial market waves.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 80%
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Multi Timeframe Trend Screener [TradeDots]The "Multi Timeframe Trend Screener" is a trading indicator designed to assist traders in identifying the market trends of multiple assets within a single panel. This tool is invaluable for detecting shifts in trends, enabling traders to easily adjust their strategies under different market conditions.
HOW DOES IT WORK
Upon initialization, the indicator requires users to input two key pieces of information:
The assets to be monitored.
The timeframes to be analyzed.
The tool is capable of simultaneously tracking up to four assets across five distinct timeframes.
By specifying the type and length of the moving average, the indicator uses this data as a baseline to determine the current market trend.
A price movement below the moving average triggers a downward trend symbol (📉), indicating bearish conditions.
Conversely, a movement above the moving average displays an upward trend symbol (📈), signaling bullish conditions.
The aggregation of moving averages across various timeframes provides a comprehensive view of the overall market sentiment.
APPLICATION
In scenarios where the market consistently demonstrates an upward trend, each timeframe will display a bullish symbol. Shifts in market sentiment typically start in the shorter timeframes and can progressively affect longer ones if the trend continues.
This cascading effect allows the indicator to show all timeframes transitioning to a bearish orientation when the trend reverses.
The indicator also facilitates comparison between different assets. For assets with high correlation, a trend shift in one can often predict similar movements in correlated assets, thus allowing traders to swiftly adapt their strategies to align with new market conditions.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Multi Timeframe RSI Buy Sell Strategy [TradeDots]The "Multi Timeframe RSI Buy/Sell Strategy" is a trading strategy that utilizes Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators from multiple timeframes to provide buy and sell signals.
This strategy allows for extensive customization, supporting up to three distinct RSIs, each configurable with its own timeframe, length, and data source.
HOW DOES IT WORK
This strategy integrates up to three RSIs, each selectable from different timeframes and customizable in terms of length and source. Users have the flexibility to define the number of active RSIs. These selections visualize as plotted lines on the chart, enhancing interpretability.
Users can also manage the moving average of the selected RSI lines. When multiple RSIs are active, the moving average is calculated based on these active lines' average value.
The color intensity of the moving average line changes as it approaches predefined buying or selling thresholds, alerting users to potential signal generation.
A buy or sell signal is generated when all active RSI lines simultaneously cross their respective threshold lines. Concurrently, a label will appear on the chart to signify the order placement.
For those preferring not to display order information or activate the strategy, an "Enable backtest" option is provided in the settings for toggling activation.
APPLICATION
The strategy leverages multiple RSIs to detect extreme market conditions across various timeframes without the need for manual timeframe switching.
This feature is invaluable for identifying divergences across timeframes, such as detecting potential short-term reversals within broader trends, thereby aiding traders in making better trading decisions and potentially avoiding losses.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 60%
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
TradeDots Stochastic Z-Score
Stochastic Z-Score Oscillator Strategy [TradeDots]The "Stochastic Z-Score Oscillator Strategy" represents an enhanced approach to the original "Buy Sell Strategy With Z-Score" trading strategy. Our upgraded Stochastic model incorporates an additional Stochastic Oscillator layer on top of the Z-Score statistical metrics, which bolsters the affirmation of potential price reversals.
We also revised our exit strategy to when the Z-Score revert to a level of zero. This amendment gives a much smaller drawdown, resulting in a better win-rate compared to the original version.
HOW DOES IT WORK
The strategy operates by calculating the Z-Score of the closing price for each candlestick. This allows us to evaluate how significantly the current price deviates from its typical volatility level.
The strategy first takes the scope of a rolling window, adjusted to the user's preference. This window is used to compute both the standard deviation and mean value. With these values, the strategic model finalizes the Z-Score. This determination is accomplished by subtracting the mean from the closing price and dividing the resulting value by the standard deviation.
Following this, the Stochastic Oscillator is utilized to affirm the Z-Score overbought and oversold indicators. This indicator operates within a 0 to 100 range, so a base adjustment to match the Z-Score scale is required. Post Stochastic Oscillator calculation, we recalibrate the figure to lie within the -4 to 4 range.
Finally, we compute the average of both the Stochastic Oscillator and Z-Score, signaling overpriced or underpriced conditions when the set threshold of positive or negative is breached.
APPLICATION
Firstly, it is better to identify a stable trading pair for this technique, such as two stocks with considerable correlation. This is to ensure conformance with the statistical model's assumption of a normal Gaussian distribution model. The ideal performance is theoretically situated within a sideways market devoid of skewness.
Following pair selection, the user should refine the span of the rolling window. A broader window smoothens the mean, more accurately capturing long-term market trends, while potentially enhancing volatility. This refinement results in fewer, yet precise trading signals.
Finally, the user must settle on an optimal Z-Score threshold, which essentially dictates the timing for buy/sell actions when the Z-Score exceeds with thresholds. A positive threshold signifies the price veering away from its mean, triggering a sell signal. Conversely, a negative threshold denotes the price falling below its mean, illustrating an underpriced condition that prompts a buy signal.
Within a normal distribution, a Z-Score of 1 records about 68% of occurrences centered at the mean, while a Z-Score of 2 captures approximately 95% of occurrences.
The 'cool down period' is essentially the number of bars that await before the next signal generation. This feature is employed to dodge the occurrence of multiple signals in a short period.
DEFAULT SETUP
The following is the default setup on EURAUD 1h timeframe
Rolling Window: 80
Z-Score Threshold: 2.8
Signal Cool Down Period: 5
Stochastic Length: 14
Stochastic Smooth Period: 7
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 40%
FURTHER IMPLICATION
The Stochastic Oscillator imparts minimal impact on the current strategy. As such, it may be beneficial to adjust the weightings between the Z-Score and Stochastic Oscillator values or the scale of Stochastic Oscillator to test different performance outcomes.
Alternative momentum indicators such as Keltner Channels or RSI could also serve as robust confirmations of overbought and oversold signals when used for verification.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Sector Rotation Hedging With Volatility Index [TradeDots]The "Sector Rotation Hedging Strategy With Volatility Index" is a comprehensive trading indicator developed to optimally leverage the S&P500 volatility index. It is designed to switch between distinct ETF sectors, strategically hedging to moderate risk exposure during harsh market volatility.
HOW DOES IT WORK
The core of this indicator is grounded on the S&P500 volatility index (VIX) close price and its 60-day moving average. This serves to determine whether the prevailing market volatility is above or below the quarterly average.
In periods of elevated market volatility, risk exposure escalates significantly. Traders retaining stocks in sectors with disproportionately high volatility face increased vulnerability to negative returns. To tackle this, our indicator employs a two-pronged approach utilizing two sequential candlestick close prices to confirm if volatility surpasses the average value.
Upon confirming above-average volatility, a hedging table is deployed to spotlight ETFs with low volatility, such as the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU), to derisk the overall portfolio.
Conversely, in low-volatility conditions, sectors yielding higher returns like the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) are preferred. The hedging table is utilized to earmark high-return sector ETFs.
Thus, during highly volatile market periods, the strategy recommends enhancing portfolio allocation to low-volatility ETFs. During low-volatility windows, the portfolio is calibrated towards high-volatility ETFs for heightened returns.
IMPORTANT CONSIDERATION
In real trading, additional considerations encompassing trading commissions, management fees, and ancillary rotation costs should be factored in. False signals may arise, potentially leading to losses from these fees.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Buy Sell Strategy With Z-Score [TradeDots]The "Buy Sell Strategy With Z-Score" is a trading strategy that harnesses Z-Score statistical metrics to identify potential pricing reversals, for opportunistic buying and selling opportunities.
HOW DOES IT WORK
The strategy operates by calculating the Z-Score of the closing price for each candlestick. This allows us to evaluate how significantly the current price deviates from its typical volatility level.
The strategy first takes the scope of a rolling window, adjusted to the user's preference. This window is used to compute both the standard deviation and mean value. With these values, the strategic model finalizes the Z-Score. This determination is accomplished by subtracting the mean from the closing price and dividing the resulting value by the standard deviation.
This approach provides an estimation of the price's departure from its traditional trajectory, thereby identifying market conditions conducive to an asset being overpriced or underpriced.
APPLICATION
Firstly, it is better to identify a stable trading pair for this technique, such as two stocks with considerable correlation. This is to ensure conformance with the statistical model's assumption of a normal Gaussian distribution model. The ideal performance is theoretically situated within a sideways market devoid of skewness.
Following pair selection, the user should refine the span of the rolling window. A broader window smoothens the mean, more accurately capturing long-term market trends, while potentially enhancing volatility. This refinement results in fewer, yet precise trading signals.
Finally, the user must settle on an optimal Z-Score threshold, which essentially dictates the timing for buy/sell actions when the Z-Score exceeds with thresholds. A positive threshold signifies the price veering away from its mean, triggering a sell signal. Conversely, a negative threshold denotes the price falling below its mean, illustrating an underpriced condition that prompts a buy signal.
Within a normal distribution, a Z-Score of 1 records about 68% of occurrences centered at the mean, while a Z-Score of 2 captures approximately 95% of occurrences.
The 'cool down period' is essentially the number of bars that await before the next signal generation. This feature is employed to dodge the occurrence of multiple signals in a short period.
DEFAULT SETUP
The following is the default setup on EURUSD 1h timeframe
Rolling Window: 80
Z-Score Threshold: 2.8
Signal Cool Down Period: 5
Commission: 0.03%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 30%
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Price Prediction With Rolling Volatility [TradeDots]The "Price Prediction With Rolling Volatility" is a trading indicator that estimates future price ranges based on the volatility of price movements within a user-defined rolling window.
HOW DOES IT WORK
This indicator utilizes 3 types of user-provided data to conduct its calculations: the length of the rolling window, the number of bars projecting into the future, and a maximum of three sets of standard deviations.
Firstly, the rolling window. The algorithm amasses close prices from the number of bars determined by the value in the rolling window, aggregating them into an array. It then calculates their standard deviations in order to forecast the prospective minimum and maximum price values.
Subsequently, a loop is initiated running into the number of bars into the future, as dictated by the second parameter, to calculate the maximum price change in both the positive and negative direction.
The third parameter introduces a series of standard deviation values into the forecasting model, enabling users to dictate the volatility or confidence level of the results. A larger standard deviation correlates with a wider predicted range, thereby enhancing the probability factor.
APPLICATION
The purpose of the indicator is to provide traders with an understanding of the potential future movement of the price, demarcating maximum and minimum expected outcomes. For instance, if an asset demonstrates a substantial spike beyond the forecasted range, there's a significantly high probability of that price being rejected and reversed.
However, this indicator should not be the sole basis for your trading decisions. The range merely reflects the volatility within the rolling window and may overlook significant historical price movements. As with any trading strategies, synergize this with other indicators for a more comprehensive and reliable analysis.
Note: In instances where the number of predicted bars is exceedingly high, the lines may become scattered, presumably due to inherent limitations on the TradingView platform. Consequently, when applying three SD in your indicator, it is advised to limit the predicted bars to fewer than 80.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Bullish Candlestick Patterns With Filters [TradeDots]The "Bullish Candlestick Patterns With Filters" is a trading indicator that identifies 6 core bullish candlestick patterns. This is further enhanced by applying channel indicator as filters, designed to further increase the accuracy of the recognized patterns.
6 CANDLESTICK PATTERNS
Hammer
Inverted Hammer
Bullish Engulfing
The Piercing Line
The Morning Star
The 3 White Soldiers
SIGNAL FILTERING
The indicator incorporates with 2 primary methodologies aimed at filtering out lower accuracy signals.
Firstly, it comes with a "Lowest period" parameter that examines whether the trough of the bullish candlestick configuration signifies the lowest point within a specified retrospective bar length. The longer the period, the higher the probability that the price will rebound.
Secondly, the channel indicators, the Keltner Channels or Bollinger Bands. This indicator examines whether the lowest point of the bullish candlestick pattern breaches the lower band, indicating an oversold signal. Users have the flexibility to modify the length and band multiplier, enabling them to custom-tune signal sensitivity.
Without Filtering:
With Filtering
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Channels With NVI Strategy [TradeDots]The "Channels With NVI Strategy" is a trading strategy that identifies oversold market instances during a bullish trading market. Specifically, the strategy integrates two principal indicators to deliver profitable opportunities, anticipating potential uptrends.
2 MAIN COMPONENTS
1. Channel Indicators: This strategy gives users the flexibility to choose between Bollinger Band Channels or Keltner Channels. This selection can be made straight from the settings, allowing the traders to adjust the tool according to their preferences and strategies.
2. Negative Volume Indicator (NVI): An indicator that calculates today's price rate of change, but only when today's trading volume is less than the previous day's. This functionality enables users to detect potential shifts in the trading volume with time and price.
ENTRY CONDITION
First, the assets price must drop below the lower band of the channel indicator.
Second, NVI must ascend above the exponential moving average line, signifying a possible flood of 'smart money' (large institutional investors or savvy traders), indicating an imminent price rally.
EXIT CONDITION
Exit conditions can be customized based on individual trading styles and risk tolerance levels. Traders can define their ideal take profit or stop loss percentages.
Moreover, the strategy also employs an NVI-based exit policy. Specifically, if the NVI dips under the exponential moving average – suggestive of a fading trading momentum, the strategy grants an exit call.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
TradeDots - Buy Sell SignalsThe TradeDots Buy Sell Indicator is a sophisticated multi-strategy analytics tool designed to discern market direction and identify potential trading opportunities.
The TradeDots indicator utilizes a trend-following strategy that initially identifies the long-term market trend, whether bullish or bearish, at a macro level. It then zooms in on pullback and reversal price action patterns within this broader trend. These patterns are confirmed by a micro-level candlestick analysis, which leads to the issuance of a "buy" alert. This process ensures both macro and micro elements of the market are considered before entering a trade.
How Does It Work?
In more detail, the procedure begins at the macro level where the advanced indicator applies an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) within the current timeframe. This EMA is then cross-verified with another EMA of the same length from a higher timeframe, ensuring a reliable assessment of long-term market trends. This approach helps establish whether the market situation favors long or short positions.
Following this, a complex mathematical model uses a designated window of candlesticks to calculate price action changes, storing all significant reversal patterns for subsequent comparison. The algorithm then identifies similar repeated reversal patterns in the chart, pinpointing potential market turning points.
For precision and reliability, the confirmation of these reversal patterns involves further refinement and filtering at a micro level. By calculating market momentum in tandem with an exhaustive analysis, e.g. Average True Value (ATR), candlestick body and wick data, the algorithm can affirm the reversal. Finally, the buy or sell signals are plotted on the chart in real-time.
The indicator includes 4 distinct entry strategies for both "Long" and "Short" orders. Each strategy represents different levels of rigorousness in their analysis rules. For instance, a "Weak Buy" signal represents a lighter pullback strength compared to a "Strong Buy" signal, with "Reversal Buy" exhibiting the robust pullback strength based on the change in price action value.
Each type of order comes with its minimum threshold and conditions for profit-taking to prevent excessive trading activity that could lead to high commission costs. Once these conditions are met and coupled with a reversal signal — generated with the same concepts as mentioned earlier but in the opposite direction — a sell signal is then triggered in real time. It's a systematic process that ensures an optimal balance between timely entries and exits in the market.
Generating Trading Ideas Catering To Traders Of All Kinds
TradeDots Buy Sell Indicator includes multiple strategies and many features:
4+ Types of Trading Alerts: Strong, Weak, Reversal, and Breakout for different market conditions (Should not be followed blindly).
2+ Trading Styles: Buy and Hold, Swing Trading (Should not be followed blindly).
Facilitates both "Long" and "Short" trades.
+ more. (Check the changelog below for current features)
HOW TO USE
⭐️ TRADING STRATEGY
Buy and Hold: An approach suitable for long-term investments or as an alternative to a dollar-cost averaging strategy by identifying only the undervalued positions in markets with long-term growth potential like stocks and indices.
Note: This strategy does not provide an exit strategy.
Swing Trading: This method targets buying low and selling high, adapted for traders looking to make the most of short to mid-term market volatility.
⭐️ ORDER DIRECTION
Order direction is for “Swing trading” strategy and other strategies that comes with an exit strategy. It is to choose the direction of the market that you wish to place your order on.
Long: Primarily targeting markets that exhibit a left-skewed trend (more often it rises than falls), this strategy focuses on "long" trading opportunities, avoiding "short" market actions.
Short: Apt for markets displaying a right-skewed trend (more often it falls than rises), this approach targets "short" opportunities exclusively, refraining from "long" market actions.
Long and Short: This comprehensive strategy identifies trading opportunities for both "long" and "short" market actions, facilitating increased opportunities for volatile assets.
⭐️ ALERT TYPES
Strong: These alerts designate high risk/reward return opportunities with a reasonable win rate. They tend to appear near previous support pivots where a Change in Character (CoCh) may often occur, typically coupled with a tight stop-loss strategy.
Weak: Indicative of opportunities balancing risk/reward return and win-rate, these alerts often appear during strong momentum markets.
Reversal: These signals identify potential reversals by highlighting extreme oversold or overbought states, thus revealing markets that are underpriced or overpriced for swift trading actions.
Breakout: They are to identify a change in trend and market breakout by gaps created post earnings or significant economic events, purposed for "Buy high, sell higher" strategies.
⭐️ STOP LOSS
The stop-loss feature offers customization options, enabling users to close a position upon reaching a predefined percentage drawdown. As volatility varies across different timeframes and markets, tuning this feature in accordance with the market allows optimal usage of this indicator.
CONCLUSION
While technical indicators are certainly vital in trading analysis, they are just one part of the equation. The individual trader's style and mindset significantly influence their trading outcomes, making them equally crucial in the process. Therefore, relying solely on indicators for a successful trading outcome may not be the most effective strategy.
Understanding and leveraging these indicators requires substantial time and significant effort from traders. They need to deeply engage with these tools to truly grasp their behavior and functionality. Taking this into consideration, our aim is to create highly advanced, customizable, and user-friendly technical indicators. This tool is designed to illuminate the fundamental role that technical indicators play as a supportive decision-making apparatus, aiding traders to more swiftly embark on their journey towards successful trading.
See Author's instructions below to get instant access to this indicator.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
