The Bar Counter Trend Reversal Strategy [TradeDots]Overview
The Bar Counter Trend Reversal Strategy is designed to identify potential counter-trend reversal points in the market after a series of consecutive rising or falling bars.
By analyzing price movements in conjunction with optional volume confirmation and channel bands (Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels), this strategy aims to detect overbought or oversold conditions where a trend reversal may occur.
🔹How it Works
Consecutive Price Movements
Rising Bars: The strategy detects when there are a specified number of consecutive rising bars (No. of Rises).
Falling Bars: Similarly, it identifies a specified number of consecutive falling bars (No. of Falls).
Volume Confirmation (Optional)
When enabled, the strategy checks for increasing volume during the consecutive price movements, adding an extra layer of confirmation to the potential reversal signal.
Channel Confirmation (Optional)
Channel Type: Choose between Bollinger Bands ("BB") or Keltner Channels ("KC").
Channel Interaction: The strategy checks if the price interacts with the upper or lower channel lines: For short signals, it looks for price moving above the upper channel line. For long signals, it looks for price moving below the lower channel line.
Customization:
No. of Rises/Falls: Set the number of consecutive bars required to trigger a signal.
Volume Confirmation: Enable or disable volume as a confirmation factor.
Channel Confirmation: Enable or disable channel bands as a confirmation factor.
Channel Settings: Adjust the length and multiplier for the Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels.
Visual Indicators:
Entry Signals: Triangles plotted on the chart indicate potential entry points:
Green upward triangle for long entries.
Red downward triangle for short entries.
Channel Bands: The upper and lower bands are plotted for visual reference.
Strategy Parameters:
Initial Capital: $10,000.
Position Sizing: 80% of equity per trade.
Commission: 0.01% per trade to simulate realistic trading costs.
🔹Usage
Set up the number of Rises/Falls and choose whether if you want to use channel indicators and volume as the confirmation.
Monitor the chart for triangles indicating potential entry points.
Consider the context of the overall market trend and other technical factors.
Backtesting and Optimization:
Use TradingView's Strategy Tester to evaluate performance.
Adjust parameters to optimize results for different market conditions.
🔹 Considerations and Recommendations
Risk Management:
The strategy does not include built-in stop-loss or take-profit levels. It's recommended to implement your own risk management techniques.
Market Conditions:
Performance may vary in different market environments. Testing and adjustments are advised when applying the strategy to new instruments or timeframes.
No Guarantee of Future Results:
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always perform due diligence and consider the risks involved in trading.
Trendreversalpattern
Trend Reversal System with SR levelsHello All,
This is the Trend Reversal System with Support/Resistance levels script. long time ago I published it as closed source but now I upgraded it and and published as open-source with a different name. I hope it would be useful for you all while trading/analyzing.
The script has some parts in it: Setup, Count, SR levels, Risk levels & Targets . Now lets check them:
Setup Part: it has two part, Buy or Sell Setup. one of them can be active only. Buy setup: if current close checks if current is lower/equal than the close of the 5. bar. if yes then the script increases number of buy setup. and if it reaches 9 then the script checks if current low is lower/equal than the lows of last 3. and 4. bars, or if the low of the last bar is lower/equal than the lows of last 3. and 4. bars. if yes then the script increases the buy setup by 1. if these conditions met then it puts the label 'S' , same for Sell setup. S labels on both setup are potential reversals.
Count Part: If buy or sell setup reaches the 9 then Count part starts from 1. lets see buy count: If current close is lower/equal than the low of the 3. bar and buy count is lower than 12 or low of the bar 13 is less than or equal to the close of bar 8 then buy count increase or it's completed. if it's completed then the script puts C label, and it's potential reversal. of course there are some conditions that can cancel the count buy/sell or recycle/restart.
By using Setup and Count levels the script can show Support/Resistance Levels, Risk levels & Targets. SR levels are potential reversal levels.
Lets see some example screenshots:
Support/Resistance levels:
Potential Reversal levels and how setup/counts are shown:
Count part can recycle and the script shows it as 'R' , ( you can see the conditions for Recycle in the script ):
Count can be cancelled and and it's shown as 'x'
If the scripts find 9 on Setup or 13 on Count then it checks if it's a good level to buy/sell and if it decides it's good level then it shows TRSSetup Buy/Sell or TRSCount Buy/Sell and also shows the target. in following example the script checks and decide it's a good level to take long position. it can be aggressive or conservative, Conservative is recommended.
Enjoy!
Market Meanness Index [CC]The Market Meanness Index was created by Johann Christian Lotter and I added some smoothing of my own, so feel free to try it without any smoothing to see the differences. This indicator relies on the mean reversion theory that all prices will eventually revert to the mean over a long period of time. Obviously there is more to the theory but the basic idea is if you plot a sma or other typical moving average, you will see the price moving up or below the long term moving average such as a 200 day sma but usually heads back to the average in the short term. This is a good statistical analysis used for volatility which is where this indicator comes in. Simply put, we calculate volatility based on how often a price is both above the median and above the previous price or vice versa.
A rising Market Meanness Index means that the market is becoming more volatile and that there is a high likelihood of a change in the underlying trend. A falling Market Meanness Index means that the current trend is dying and there is a high likelihood of a trend reversal. Typically I put general buy and sell signals in red or green but in this particular case, this indicator works best as a overall trend filter and you would want to place a trade when this indicator has a peak or valley. Let me know if you find a good overall buy and sell signal system of course.
I know I keep saying that I will get active again and post more indicators but life is very hectic for me. For those who have been following my updates, my twins were finally born a little over a month ago and as you can imagine, they keep me up at all hours of the day so it is hard to create new indicator scripts when I'm getting no sleep lol. I will do my best to start publishing the giant backlog of scripts I have created but in the meantime, please be patient with me. This indicator was a special request so let me know if you have any special requests of your own!
Swing Failure Reversal StrategyThis strategy is using Swing Failure Patterns as a reversion indicator.
The strategy automatically adapts itself to the timeframe of the current chart.
Swing Failure Pattern occurs when the price trend fails to set new highs in uptrend or meet new lows in a downtrend. This pattern helps traders decide when to enter and exit the market. Usually, traders enter in the downtrend i.e. lower price highs and lower price lows, and exit in the uptrend situation i.e. higher price highs and higher price lows. Thus, traders go against the current trend. This helps the traders take advantage of early trend reversal indicators.
Types of Failure Swing :
Failure Swing Top: This occurs when the stock price goes higher whereas the RSI fails to make a higher high and falls below the recent fail point. The Fail Point is where the RSI line is below the recent swing low. This Failure Swing indicates a short position.
Failure Swing Bottom: This occurs when the stock price gets lower whereas RSI fails to make a lower low and rises over the recent fail point. Fail point is the point where the RSI line is above the recent swing high. This Failure Swing indicates a long position.
Projection Bandwidth [CC]The Projection Bandwidth was created by Mel Widner (Stocks and Commodities Jul 1995) and this is another of my series of indicators that I consider undiscovered gems. For those of you who are unaware, the Bandwidth indicator measures the distance between the high and low bands and if you remember from my Projection Bands script, the Projection Bands give pretty accurate early signals of trend reversals and followed fairly closely by a large bulge in the bands. The large bulges in the bands essentially act as the confirmation that the trend reversal is happening and so that brings me to this indicator. This indicator gives signals based on if it has reached a peak or a valley. Both extremes mean that the current trend is ending and I have color coded it based on the buy and sell signals from my Projection Bands indicator. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so strong signals are darker in color and normal signals are lighter in color. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other scripts or indicators you would like to see me publish!
Trend Analysis Index [CC]The Trend Analysis Index was created by Adam White and not to be confused with the Trend Analysis Indicator that I also published. This indicator operates under the same idea but using a completely different calculation to achieve similar results. The idea behind this indicator is for a combination of volatility and trend confirmation. If the indicator is above it's signal line then the stock is very volatile and vice versa. If the stock is currently trending as in above a chosen moving average for example and the indicator falls below the signal line then there is a pretty good chance in a trend reversal. The recommended buy and sell system to use is to pair this indicator with a moving average crossover system which I have included in the script. Buy when the indicator is above it's signal and the shorter moving average crosses above the longer moving average. For selling you would do the same and sell when the indicator is above it's signal and the shorter moving average crosses below the longer moving average. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to the normal ones so stronger signals are darker in color and normal signals are lighter in color.
Let me know what other indicators or scripts you would like to see me publish!
