nas 100On Nas 100, the first peak is considered to be the formation of LH and the next peak is considered to be the testing of fibo 0.786, since other indices are in the sell side.
NAS100 trade ideas
Navigating NAS100 with Key Levels and Market SentimentKey Levels:
Resistance remains at 21,600–21,700, where price is struggling to sustain higher levels.
Support lies around 20,800–21,000, a strong buy zone on higher timeframes.
Fundamental Outlook:
With upcoming key data (FOMC and GDP), markets are likely to remain volatile.
A hawkish FOMC statement may lead to bearish pressure, pushing NAS100 lower toward the 20,800–21,000 support zone.
Conversely, dovish commentary or weak GDP figures could provide a bullish breakout above 21,600, targeting 21,800–22,000.
Rationale:
The price is testing a major resistance zone (21,600–21,700) but shows signs of hesitation and rejection on multiple timeframes.
A hawkish FOMC decision or commentary could trigger a sell-off, aligning with the probability of bearish momentum.
Action:
If price fails to break and hold above 21,600, short near 21,550–21,600.
Stop Loss: 21,700
Take Profits:
TP1: 21,300
TP2: 21,000
TP3: 20,800
Focus on a short position, especially if price fails to sustain above 21,600 during the London or New York sessions
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD): Assessing the Potential BreakoutOver the past few months, the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD) has demonstrated a clear upward trajectory, marked by higher highs and higher lows—a classic sign of sustained bullish sentiment. However, we've seen periods of consolidation and recent volatility - let's take a look at its current technical landscape.
Current Market Overview:
As of January 29, 2025, the NASDAQ 100 is trading at approximately 21,600, a level that has served as a significant pivot point in recent trading sessions. A decisive move above this threshold could validate the ongoing uptrend and open the door to further gains.
Key Levels to Monitor:
Immediate Resistance : The 21,600 level is crucial. A sustained break above this point could signal the continuation of the bullish trend.
Support Levels : Should the price retreat, the 21,300 - 21,200 are notable support areas to watch.
Recent Developments:
The market has recently experienced heightened volatility, notably a sharp dip around January 27, followed by an aggressive recovery. This shows how unpredictable the market can be and hints at continued bullish movement.
Strategic Considerations:
Breakout Confirmation : A sustained move above 21,600, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume, would provide stronger confirmation of the breakout.
Support Retest : If the price successfully breaches the 21,600 resistance, this level could transform into a support zone. A subsequent retest of this level as support could present a compelling entry opportunity for long positions.
However , considering the Fed decision and fundamental factors around todays announcement - the most likely scenario would be slightly hawkish or a hawkish pause , which would be somewhat negative for the index. This would allow price to experience a temporary drop back down to the previous support (demand) level of 21,200 before buyers re-engage.
Trading Strategies:
Long Positions on Breakout Confirmation : A clear break and close above 21,600 could signal a long (buy) entry.
Long Positions on Retest of Support : A pullback to the 21,200 support level (assuming it holds) could offer a better opportunity to enter long positions.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and it's essential to conduct your own thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use appropriate risk management techniques and trade responsibly. OANDA:NAS100USD IG:NASDAQ PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
Nasdaq market analysis: 31-Jan-2025Let’s dive into today's Nasdaq market analysis. Share insights, and potentially spot opportunities for good pips.
NAS100- Time to buy!Nasdaq has recovered yesterday's crash and turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.692, MACD = 88.960, ADX = 31.397). The current rebound is taking place on the 1D MA50 and is a double bottom on the P1 level, which was previously a Resistance coming from the July 11th 2024 High. The same P1 level was seen supporting a year ago the January 5th 2024 Low. This hold ended in a rally to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. With even their RSI Channel Down patterns being identical, we expect a new bullish wave to start now, aiming the 1.5 Fib once again (TP = 24,000).
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Nasdaq Bullish/Dump?Been a while since i uploaded an update, but this is the second update for the year 2025. Nasdaq has been maintaining its bullish momentum for quite sometime now, but that doesn't necessarily mean that the bulls are no longer in control, indices did show gaps today(03.02.2025) due to market fear on the implimentation of new tarrifs. However i don't think its signaling an end to the bulish rally, i think season does aloow the Nas to be bullish, as the tech bubble and Ai developements kick in we will see more investors buy tech stock which will reflect posetiviley on the indices. More update still coming, for now my sentiment is long.
NAS100USD: Transitioning from Sell-Side to Buy-Side CurveGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis, NAS100USD has been delivering bearish institutional order flow, characteristic of the sell-side curve. However, bullish institutional order flow is beginning to emerge, indicating a potential shift to the buy-side curve. This creates an opportunity to explore buy setups, provided confluences align with confirmation.
Key Observations:
1. Bullish Order Block as Support:
Price is currently reacting to a bullish order block, which is aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This confluence establishes a strong institutional support zone.
2. Reclaimed Order Block:
A previously reclaimed order block has been broken to the upside, suggesting that it may now act as support, reinforcing bullish momentum.
3. Discount Pricing:
Price is currently within a discount zone, making it an attractive area to seek buy opportunities with targets at premium liquidity pools.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Look for confirmations around the bullish order block and reclaimed order block to justify entering long positions.
Targets:
Aim for liquidity pools at premium levels, such as highs, where institutions are likely to offload positions.
By aligning with the emerging bullish narrative and observing institutional behavior, we can position ourselves to capitalize on this potential market shift. As always, patience and confirmation are key.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NASDAQ You will not be scared to invest in tech after this.Nasdaq / US100 has just started a massively bullish phase long term.
Both on 1month RSI terms and pure monthly candles, the index has entered 2025 the same way it entered 1992.
That was the start of Nasdaq's Internet Bubble, much like today we have established the era of Artificial Intelligence.
A.I. has given us a glimpse of its enormous growth potential in 2023-2024 but that is nothing compared to what's coming.
Eventually it will turn into a Bubble that will pop but we don't know how high it can go before it does.
It it repeats the Internet Bubble, the it should burst by 2031/32 in levels around 10000, no matter how crazy this price may seem now. In fact it shouldn't surprise you as Nasdaq quadrupled in the past 7 years.
In any event, this chart serves as a reminder to long term investors like us, that investing in technology stocks is a 'must' going forward into 2025.
Previous chart:
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NASDAQ, Will it shock everyone? GBEBROKERS:USTEC / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
NASDAQ is showing strong bullish momentum, after failing to break bellow support levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, I recommend waiting for a pull-back to the previous daily range instead of jumping in at current levels.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Last swing high
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
NAS100USD Will Fall! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 21,154.9.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 20,542.8 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Nasdaq_BuyNasdaq index analysis Probability of formation of top floor pattern in 4-hour and daily time frame Only by maintaining the high price of 20900 can this analysis be kept valid. The upcoming resistance number is 21900, which Nasdaq will continue to climb after breaking this number and will move towards the targets of 22500 and 23000 and finally towards 23300.
Nasdaq 100 Remains Neutral After the Fed's DecisionThe NAS100 initially dropped nearly 0.6% as the Federal Reserve's official decision was announced. However, so far, the event has not been decisive on the daily chart to establish a clear direction. The central bank chose to keep interest rates at 4.5% , as expected, and in its official statement, it acknowledged that inflation remains somewhat elevated and is still far from the 2% target. As long as this rate pause outlook continues, a sustained high level of 4.5% could continue to hinder overall economic activity and may become a key factor in the bearish bias that emerged in December.
Short-Term Sideways Channel:
At the moment, the market remains within a well-defined sideways range, with a ceiling at 22,000 points and a floor at 21,000 points. The price continues to fluctuate within this range, reflecting a clear lack of trend in recent movements. For now, this range stands as the most significant technical formation, potentially serving as a precursor to a much larger trending move.
Neutrality in Indicators:
The RSI line remains near the neutral 50 level , indicating that there is currently a perfect balance between buying and selling forces in the market.
The MACD histogram closely resembles the RSI, oscillating near the 0-neutral line , which suggests that the moving averages do not show a clear short-term trend bias.
The neutral stance of both indicators suggests that the Nasdaq may continue moving sideways for now, aligning with the current range-bound market behavior.
Key Levels:
22K – The most important resistance, aligning with the top of the sideways channel. A breakout above this level could be decisive, signaling new all-time highs and reviving the long-term bullish trend.
21K – A crucial short-term support level, coinciding with the 100-period moving average. Price action near this level could intensify selling pressure, potentially leading to more significant bearish moves.
20K – The ultimate support level currently holding the structure. A drop to this level could tilt the balance towards the formation of a fresh downtrend in the short term.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
February 3–7: NAS100 Market Outlook & Has the Market Peaked? February 3–7, 2025 (The following is solely personal opinion, not investment advice. Please conduct your own assessment before making any decisions.)
This is a market context update using Elliott Wave Theory. As shown in the chart, considering the Nasdaq bull market from the 2008 bottom to the present, there is a high probability that we are currently in a B Wave rebound within the ABC corrective wave. However, it remains uncertain how high the B Wave can rise.
According to Elliott Wave Theory, the C Wave correction should fall below the bottom of the A Wave, which means for the Nasdaq cash index, the price could drop to at least 10,600, representing a 50%+ correction. Of course, this process may take several years.
Scenario 1: The Market Has Not Peaked Yet
I am watching price action within the 22,465–23,001 range. If this scenario holds, the weekly price needs to stay above 19,200, and the daily price must remain above 20,300. From a macro trend perspective, the market can still be cautiously bullish.
Scenario 2: The Market Has Already Peaked
If the price breaks below 20,300 quickly and remains below it, this could be the first technical confirmation that the market has topped. If this happens, we should see further consolidation around 21,000 next week, followed by a breakdown. However, if the price finds support above 21,200 and breaks upward, there is still a possibility of new highs and further gains.
Last week, Nasdaq 100 moved in line with my previous analysis. On Friday, the price rebounded to the 21,600–21,700 target range before declining. If this decline breaks 20,300 swiftly, the probability of the market already peaking increases significantly. Typically, downward movements are faster than upward ones. The market took four days to rebound to the target range, so if the current trend holds, we should see a breakdown early next week (Monday–Tuesday) to confirm the trend. If the price fails to break lower between Monday and Wednesday and finds strong support or rebounds, the market could push higher and break new highs—this needs further observation.
Deepseek & AI Industry Observations
Over the past few days, I’ve read more about Deepseek and industry insights. One of the key cost-control strategies for training models is distillation, where a large model is used to train a smaller model. This suggests that Deepseek’s smaller models depend on larger ones and have certain limitations.
Many industry experts have also stated that Deepseek’s emergence does not reduce AI investment and that the market may have overestimated its impact.
As I am not an AI expert, I cannot verify the accuracy of these claims or whether Deepseek’s impact is overestimated. However, Anthropic CEO Dario mentioned in a post last week that AI model training costs are decreasing by 75% per year.
A model that costs $100M to train in 2024 will only cost GETTEX:25M in 2025, and by 2026, the cost may drop below $5M.
Dario also noted that this cost reduction trend is accelerating, meaning that early investments in AI without strong technical barriers and market dominance could be wiped out.
The next few years will see explosive AI development, but many AI investments may fail.
Competitive Perspective: Can the U.S. Maintain Its AI Lead?
From a competitive standpoint, I do not believe the U.S. can maintain its AI dominance solely through investment.
I strongly agree with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s AI development roadmap:
The Four Stages of AI Development
1. Perception AI
2. Generative AI
3. Agentic AI
4. Physical AI
According to Jensen, we are still in the Generative AI stage, where training models mainly rely on internet data. At this stage, the U.S. holds a huge advantage due to its leading semiconductor technology.
However, when AI enters the physical realm, internet data will no longer be sufficient, and stable, large-scale data sources will be key to AI success. In this phase, China and India, with their vast populations, will have a major advantage.
Since the Huawei incident, China has accelerated its chip R&D and manufacturing. While still lagging behind TSMC, tighter trade restrictions will further drive development in this sector.
If a competitor to Nvidia emerges in China, what impact would that have on the high-valued U.S. tech sector?
AI Bubble & Investment Strategy
I believe Deepseek is just the beginning of exposing the AI bubble. While its direct impact may be overestimated, the fact that AI training costs are falling rapidly is undeniable.
Investment Perspective
From an investment standpoint, I believe that market price action is the ultimate confirmation.
- For long-term views, take a macro approach.
- For short-term decisions, use technical analysis.
NAS100 SELL ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Nas100 price form a supply around level of 21629.60 and likely to fall so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 20733.59, 19718.99 and 18606.60 . Use money management
NAS100 SELL AT VPOCLooking for sells at the level on nasdeq which is also a level of imbalance and many orders clustered there. shall sell and stop loss and tp as indicated.
NAS100 SELL SETUPLQ Sweep, Market Structure Shift, Fair Value Gap, Retracement To The FVG For My Entry, all this on the 5 Min Structure but might be on a lil draw down before a run down
Nasdaq market analysis: 03-Feb-2025Good morning! Happy New Week! Happy New Month! Here's your daily Nasdaq market analysis. Learn, grow, and trade wisely.
NAS100The NAS100, also known as the Nasdaq 100, is a stock market index that includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange. It is heavily weighted toward technology, with major components like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Nvidia. The index is known for its high volatility and strong growth potential, making it popular among traders and investors. It is often used as a benchmark for the performance of the tech sector and the broader U.S. equity market.
Actionable Nasdaq insights: 29-Jan-2025Rise and shine, traders! Start your day with actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
Nasdaq analysis: 04-Feb-2025Good morning, trading community! Today's Nasdaq analysis is for you. Share your thoughts, ask questions, and let me help you grow.
Let's wait for Nasdaq buysPrice broke a major high creating a new one. It left behind a huge unmitigated imbalance and liquidities to be taken. Price is currently on a quest to fill this imbalance, take people's money and trigger our order for buys continuation. Stay active, use proper risk management because the market is not guaranteed to anyone!
