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AUDUSD.P trade ideas

AUD/USD Sell-Off Continues! More Pain Ahead? The AUD/USD pair is showing clear signs of bearish continuation as price respects a higher timeframe Fair Value Gap (FVG), rejecting attempts to push higher. Additionally, high-impact news against the Australian Dollar has accelerated downside momentum, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key Observations: ✅ HTF FVG Respect – Price reacted strongly to the daily FVG, showing a rejection pattern. ✅ Bearish Momentum – Fundamentals align with technicals, pushing AUD lower. ✅ Sell-Side Liquidity Target – Eyes on 0.61305 as a major liquidity grab zone. Trade Outlook: Expect further downside movement, but watch for potential retracements into the FVG before continuation lower. If price remains below 0.62703, the probability of a deeper sell-off increases. DYOR and manage risk accordingly! 📉🔥
Short
by INSIDER_INTEL
1
FOREX AUDUSD LONGAUDUSD appears to have formed a fakeout at the lower end of the range. This suggests that traders who entered short positions when support was broken are now either closing their positions or adding to their losing trades to avoid liquidation. This dynamic could fuel the price toward 0.64, where the 21-week exponential moving average is located. I'm watching for the price to reach the nPOC zone. However, if the price finds support around the 21-day EMA within the next 1–2 days, I plan to enter with half of my position.
Long
by BOT721
AUDUSD Wave Analysis 28 January 2025 - AUDUSD reversed from the resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 0.6200 AUDUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the pivotal resistance level 0.6300 (former powerful support from the end of 2023) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from November. The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous ABC correction 4. Given the clear daily downtrend and the overbought daily stochastic, AUDUSD can be expected to fall further to the next support level 0.6200 (which stopped the previous minor correction b).
Short
by FxProGlobal
AUD/USD's Potential Bearish Flag BreakdownChart Analysis: The AUD/USD pair is trading within a short-term rising channel, providing a near-term bullish framework amid a broader bearish trend. 1️⃣ Rising Channel: The pair remains within the bounds of a green-shaded rising channel, suggesting upward momentum persists in the short term. A break below the channel’s lower boundary near 0.6240 could signal a return to bearish dominance, while a move above 0.6300 would strengthen bullish prospects. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at 0.6327, acting as the next key resistance level above the rising channel. 200-day SMA (red): At 0.6578, remains well above the current price, reflecting the pair’s long-term bearish bias. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 47.66, indicating neutral momentum and the potential for either continuation or reversal within the channel. MACD: Near zero but improving, suggesting waning bearish momentum. What to Watch: A sustained break above 0.6300 and the 50-day SMA would open the door for further gains. Alternatively, failure to hold the rising channel support at 0.6240 could lead to renewed selling pressure, targeting the 0.6200 psychological level and below. The AUD/USD pair’s near-term direction hinges on its ability to maintain the rising channel structure while contending with the overhead 50-day SMA resistance. -MW
by FOREXcom
Aud Usd Daily long setupAud usd heading south from 0.69 managed to break 0.635 which acted as Aud Usd strong support line in years 2024 and 2023 . A come back from 0.615 area managed to swing near resistance siiting at 0.635. Newly created support line at 0.617 suggests that 0.617 to 0.62 will be the newly created demand zone. If dollar is on its way south after touching 110 on its index, then aud usd will most likely break above 0.635 after touching support at .0617 to 0.62 area. A touch and a swing top. Breaking and closing below 0.617 suggets further downside.
Long
by THE-real-Deal
AUD/USD at Key Support ZoneThe AUD/USD is presenting a Bullish Gartley Pattern on the daily chart, followed by a pullback into a critical support zone at 0.626 - 0.633. This area has proven to be a significant level for buyers, and current conditions suggest a potential reversal. Buy Strategy: Retest at Support (0.626 - 0.633) Rationale: The 0.626 - 0.633 zone aligns with a critical support level where the last bullish reaction occurred. If price shows signs of rejection or reversal here, a new bullish wave could develop. The TDI Indicator is nearing a zone of buyer exhaustion and may signal a bullish divergence if price reacts positively to the support zone. Trade Parameters: Buy Zone: 0.626 - 0.633 Stop Loss: 0.621 (below the support zone) Take Profit: 0.635 (near short-term resistance) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 Recommendation: Monitor the 0.626 - 0.633 zone closely for signs of rejection or divergence on the TDI. A strong bullish candle in this area could provide confirmation for a potential upside move.
Long
by MrVNpt
AUD/USD slides on Trump tariff threatsThe Australian dollar is in negative territory on Tuesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6252, down 0.62%.  Investors are keeping a closer eye on the third-quarter inflation report, which will be released early on Wednesday. CPI is expected to ease to 2.5% from 2.8%. This is the final tier-1 event prior to the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate meeting on Feb. 18 and could be the determining factor as to whether the RBA finally lowers interest rates. The markets have priced in about an 80% chance of a quarter-point cut at the February meeting. The RBA has maintained the cash rate at 4.35% since Nov. 2023 and has been an outlier among other major central banks, most of which have entered an easing cycle. The US dollar is showing broad strength today, after US President Trump said on Monday that he would impose tariffs on steel, aluminum and copper imported to the U.S. Trump reiterated that he plans to levy a baseline universal tariff on all imports. Trump's tariff plans would likely raise inflation and could destabilize the financial markets, which displayed strong swings during Trump's first week in office. China's services and manufacturing sectors both decelerated in January and missed expectations. The non-manufacturing PMI fell to 50.2, down from 52.2 in December and shy of the forecast of 51.8. With the exception of November, service activity has been stagnant, with readings barely above the 50 level, which separates expansion from contraction. Domestic demand weakened and the uncertainty surrounding Donald Trump's trade policies have dampened foreign sales. The manufacturing sector is struggling and contracted in January, easing to 49.1, compared to 50.1 in December and missing the market estimate of 50.1. This was the first contraction since September 2024 and the sharpest decline in five months. Manufacturing output and foreign orders weakened in January and the weak global economy could mean further headwinds in 2025 for the manufacturing sector. China's government has implemented stimulus measures in order to boost the economy and GDP hit 5% in 2024. Still, deflation has persisted and consumer spending remains weak. The government will have to inject further stimulus in order to boost domestic consumption, a key engine of economic growth. AUD/USD is testing support at 0.6278. Below, there is support at 0.6225 0.6366 and 0.6419 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
Lingrid | AUDUSD bullish CONTINUATION following PullbackThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target level. FX:AUDUSD has pulled back after breaking through the range zone and making a new higher high. The market has tested the support level below the range and may potentially form a fake breakout. As the price approaches the support zone, it appears to be losing bearish momentum. If a fake breakout occurs at the support level, I believe the price may reverse and continue pushing higher. My goal is the resistance zone at 0.62900 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
4
Potential bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 0.6283 1st Support: 0.6217 1st Resistance: 0.6326 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
im longI am long and going to hold this for some time to see where she goes. assuming it does not hit my stop I basically draw some straight lines. See my previous position on this and it will make sense. When price breaks the imaginary lines, I switch position. This style has been the only consistent way I am able to print money I will buy 1 lot, I will add when we start moving up. 300 pips to a stop loss .5950 Profit target can be 600 pips to .69 risking about $3000 to make $6000 Once we move in the right direction the targets will tighten up do not trade my ideas I am not a professional My risk tolerance might not be the same as your risk tolerance
Long
by r0oarimali0n
1
AUDUSD - Potential Bullish Continuation SetupOANDA:AUDUSD is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, reflecting a strong bullish market structure. The price is approaching a key support zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel. If the price holds at this support and buyers step in, a bullish continuation toward the 0.63380 level is likely, making it a reasonable target for an upward move. Trade Considerations: Wait for confirmation of buying pressure before entering a position. Monitor for invalidation if the price breaks below the demand zone and the channel boundary, as this would signal potential downside momentum. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in. Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments. Best of luck , TrendDiva
Long
by TrendDiva
2