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AUDUSD.P trade ideas

AUDUSD Will Fall! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.622. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.602. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Falling Wedge Trading Pattern: Unique Features and Trading RulesFalling Wedge Trading Pattern: Unique Features and Trading Rules Various chart patterns give an indication of possible market direction. A falling wedge is one such formation that indicates a possible bullish reversal. This FXOpen article will help you understand whether the falling wedge pattern is bullish or bearish, what its formation signifies about the market direction, and how it can be used to spot trading opportunities. What Is a Falling Wedge Pattern? Also known as the descending wedge, the falling wedge technical analysis chart pattern is a bullish formation that typically occurs in the downtrend and signals a trend reversal. It forms when an asset's price drops, but the range of price movements starts to get narrower. As the formation contracts towards the end, the buyers completely absorb the selling pressure and consolidate their energy before beginning to push the market higher. A falling wedge pattern means the end of a market correction and an upside reversal. How Can You Spot a Falling Wedge on a Price Chart? This pattern is usually spotted in a downtrend, which would indicate a possible bullish reversal. However, it may appear in an uptrend and signal a trend continuation after a market correction. Either way, the falling wedge provides bullish signals. The descending formation generally has the following features. - Price Action. The price trades lower, forming lower highs and lower lows. - Trendlines. Traders draw two trendlines. One connects the lower highs, and the other connects the lower lows. Finally, they intersect towards a convergence point. Each line should connect at least two points. However, the greater the number, the higher the chance of the market reversal. - Contraction. The contraction in the price range signals decreasing volatility in the market. As the formation matures, new lows contract as the selling pressure decreases. Thus, the lower trendline acts as support, and the price consolidating within the narrowing range creates a coiled spring effect, finally leading to a sharp move on the upside. The price breaks through the upper trendline resistance, indicating that sellers are losing control and buyers are gaining momentum, resulting in an upward move. - Volume. The trading volume ideally decreases as the pattern forms, and the buying volume increases with the breakout above the upper trendline, reflecting a shift in momentum towards the buyers. Falling and Rising Wedge: Differences There are two types of wedge formation – rising (ascending) and falling (descending). An ascending wedge occurs when the highs and lows rise, while a descending wedge pattern has lower highs and lows. In an ascending formation, the slope of the lows is steeper and converges with the upper trendline at some point, while in a descending formation, the slope of the highs is steeper and converges with the support trendline at some point. Usually, a rising wedge indicates that sellers are taking control, resulting in a downside breakdown. Conversely, a descending wedge pattern indicates that buyers are gaining momentum after consolidation, generally resulting in an upside breakout. The Falling Wedge: Trading Rules Trading the falling wedge involves waiting for the price to break above the upper line, typically considered a bullish reversal. The pattern’s conformity increases when it is combined with other technical indicators. - Entry According to theory, the ideal entry point is after the price has broken above the wedge’s upper boundary, indicating a potential upside reversal. Furthermore, this descending wedge breakout should be accompanied by an increase in trading volume to confirm the validity of the signal. The price may retest the resistance level before continuing its upward movement, providing another opportunity to enter a long position. However, the entry point should be based on the traders' risk management plan and trading strategy. - Take Profit It is essential to determine an appropriate target level. Traders typically set a profit target by measuring the height of the widest part of the formation and adding it to the breakout point. Another approach some traders use is to look for significant resistance levels above the breakout point, such as previous swing highs. - Stop Loss Traders typically place their stop-loss orders just below the lower boundary of the wedge. Also, the stop-loss level can be based on technical or psychological support levels, such as previous swing lows. In addition, the stop-loss level should be set according to the trader's risk tolerance and overall trading strategy. Trading Example In the chart above, there is a falling wedge. A trader opened a buy position on the close of the breakout candlestick. A stop loss was placed below the wedge’s lower boundary, while the take-profit target was equal to the pattern’s widest part. Falling Wedge and Other Patterns Here are chart patterns that can be confused with a falling wedge. Falling Wedge vs Bullish Flag These are two distinct chart formations used to identify potential buying opportunities in the market, but there are some differences between the two. A descending wedge is a bullish setup, forming in a downtrend. It is characterised by two converging trendlines that slope downward, signalling decreasing selling pressure. A breakout above the upper trendline suggests a bullish move. A bullish flag appears after a strong upward movement and forms a rectangular shape with parallel trendlines that slope slightly downward or move sideways. This formation represents a brief consolidation before the market resumes its upward trajectory. While the falling wedge indicates a potential shift in a downtrend, the bullish flag suggests a continuation of an uptrend. Falling Wedge vs Bearish Pennant ​​The falling wedge features two converging trendlines that slope downward, indicating decreasing selling pressure and often signalling a bullish reversal when the price breaks above the upper trendline. Conversely, the bearish pennant forms after a significant downward movement and is characterised by converging trendlines that create a small symmetrical triangle. This pattern represents a consolidation phase before the market continues its downward trend upon breaking below the lower trendline. While the falling wedge suggests a potential bullish move, the bearish pennant indicates a continuation of the bearish trend. Falling Wedge vs Descending Triangle The falling wedge consists of two downward-sloping converging trendlines, indicating decreasing selling pressure and often signalling a bullish reversal when the price breaks above the upper trendline. In contrast, the descending triangle features a flat lower trendline and a downward-sloping upper trendline, suggesting a buildup of selling pressure and typically signalling a bearish continuation when the price breaks below the flat lower trendline. While the falling wedge is associated with a potential bullish move, the descending triangle generally indicates a bearish trend. Falling Wedge: Advantages and Limitations Like any technical pattern, the falling wedge has both limitations and advantages. Advantages - High Probability of a Reversal. The falling wedge is often seen as a strong, bullish signal, especially when it occurs after a downtrend. It suggests that selling pressure is subsiding, and a reversal to the upside may be imminent. - Clear Entry and Exit Points. The pattern provides clear points for entering and exiting trades. Traders often enter when the price breaks out above the upper trendline and set stop-loss orders below a recent low within the formation. - Versatility. The wedge can be used in various market conditions. It is effective in both continuation and reversal scenarios, though it is more commonly associated with bullish reversals. - Widely Recognised. Since the falling wedge is a well-known formation, it is often self-fulfilling to some extent, as many traders recognise and act on it, further driving the market. Limitations - False Breakouts. Like many chart patterns, the falling wedge is prone to false breakouts. Prices may briefly move above the resistance line but then fall back below, trapping traders. - Dependence on Market Context. The effectiveness of the falling wedge can vary depending on broader market conditions. In a strong downtrend, it might fail to result in a significant reversal. - Requires Confirmation. The wedge should be confirmed with other technical indicators or analysis tools, such as volumes or moving averages, to increase the likelihood of an effective trade. Relying solely on the falling wedge can be risky. - Limited Use in Low-Volatility Markets. In markets with low volatility, the falling wedge may not be as reliable, as price movements might not be strong enough to confirm the falling wedge's breakout. The Bottom Line The falling wedge is a powerful chart pattern that can offer valuable insights into potential trend reversals or continuations, depending on its context within the broader market. By understanding and effectively utilising the falling wedge in your strategy, you can enhance your ability to identify many trading opportunities. As with all trading tools, combining it with a comprehensive trading plan and proper risk management is crucial. FAQ Is a Falling Wedge Bullish? Yes, the falling wedge is a bullish continuation pattern in an uptrend, and it acts as a bullish reversal formation in a bearish market. What Does a Falling Wedge Pattern Indicate? It indicates that the buyers are absorbing the selling pressure, which is reflected in the narrower price range and finally results in an upside breakout. What Is the Falling Wedge Pattern Rule? The falling wedge is a technical analysis formation that occurs when the price forms lower highs and lower lows within converging trendlines, sloping downward. Its rule is that a breakout above the upper trendline signals a potential reversal to the upside, often indicating the end of a downtrend or the continuation of a strong uptrend. How to Trade Descending Wedge Patterns? To trade descending wedges, traders first identify them by ensuring that the price is making lower highs and lows within converging trendlines. Then, they wait for the price to break out above the upper trendline, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume, which confirms the breakout. After the breakout, a common approach is to enter a long position, aiming to take advantage of the anticipated upward movement. What Is the Target of the Descending Wedge Pattern? The target for a descending wedge is typically set by measuring the maximum width of the wedge at its widest part and projecting that distance upwards from the breakout point. This projection gives a potential price target. What Is the Entry Point for a Falling Wedge? The entry point for a falling wedge is ideally just after the breakout above the upper trendline. Some traders prefer to wait for a retest of the broken trendline, which may act as a new support level, before entering a trade to confirm the breakout. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
AUD/USD Trend US and Asian Sessions – Bearish Trend Maintained🔔🔔🔔 AUD/USD news: ➡️ The Australian Dollar (AUD) saw a modest recovery on Tuesday following a sharp decline over the past few days. AUD/USD climbing toward the resistance level at 0.6100 after bouncing from a low near 0.5930 — a level last seen in March 2020 — posting slight gains on the day. The pair's upward movement was largely driven by a broader pullback in the U.S. Dollar (USD). ➡️ However, during the American session, AUD/USD faced renewed selling pressure and slipped back toward the 0.6000 area, limiting its recovery. This was mainly due to escalating uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-China trade conflict. Concerns over potential retaliatory measures from China are expected to keep the Australian Dollar under close watch for the time being. Personal opinion: ➡️ Currently is a difficult time for AUD, which is a riskier currency. Strong support for AUD/USD increases in the short term but the downtrend remains intact. ➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell GAUD/USD 0.6070 – 0.6080 ❌SL: 0.6120 | ✅TP: 0.6010 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
AUDUSD SELL?The market is currently testing the current Daily 0.786 Fib Area and based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Short
by WiLLProsperForex
AUDUSD SHORT 📉 AUDUSD: Missed the Entry, But Still Watching Closely! 🔍 I already posted about this one: bearish bias on AUDUSD, but I didn’t manage to enter. Here’s a quick update with a bit more clarity: 🧠 I still believe a downward move is in the cards, but we’ll need to drop to lower timeframes to catch clean confirmations, find a solid entry, and of course, manage risk with a proper stop. 📌 No rush – let’s stick to the plan and wait for the right moment. 💬 How are you approaching this pair? Good luck and good analysis, traders! 🚀
Short
by MaitreForex
AUDUSD Triangle Break Looms on Tariff RiskAUDUSD is trading inside a triangle pattern that's been forming for 83 days. A break below 0.6215 could trigger a 188-pip drop, with a 3.82 risk-reward setup. While the RBA held rates at 4.1%, upcoming US tariffs on Liberation Day may pressure the Aussie. Fundamentals and technicals align for a potential bearish move. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Short
by ThinkMarkets
Technical Analysis of AUDUSD: Weakness Ahead of Central Bank MeeIn the previous analysis, we noted the decline in this currency pair, though a temporary rebound led to a retest of the supply zone before another drop. Investor caution regarding potential retaliatory tariffs announced by U.S. President Donald Trump, scheduled for Wednesday as "Freedom Day," has added further pressure on the Australian dollar. As a result, the likelihood of a deeper decline toward the 0.60 demand zone remains intact.
Short
by UtoForex
2
AUDUSD – Bullish Trade Setup (1H Short-Term Divergence)✅ Market Snapshot: Pair: AUDUSD Timeframe: 1 Hour Direction: Short-Term Bullish Signal: Bullish Divergence – Lower lows on price, higher lows on RSI/MACD Bias: Reversal or retracement likely from recent bearish leg 🔍 Technical Confluence: Divergence confirms slowing bearish momentum Price reacting from an intraday support zone or demand area Candle Structure: Early signs of bullish pressure – e.g. doji, bullish engulfing 📈 Trade Plan – LONG Setup Entry: On confirmation candle after divergence Or breakout of a micro-resistance on 1H timeframe Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low (beneath divergence) Take Profit: TP1: Previous structure high on 1H TP2: Near 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of last bearish move Risk-to-Reward: Aim for 1:1.5 or 1:2 ⚠️ Things to Watch: USD news events that may increase volatility If price makes another lower low without divergence, setup may weaken Best paired with a break of trendline or order block confirmation
Long
by MAAwan
Aud/Usd Long Term SellAud is weak. So has also Usd been this week. But, what I'm looking for here is long term picture. Institutions are shorting Aud and buying Usd. This we can see looking at COT reports and priceaction. Looking at monthly and weekly charts bulls have difficulties to move price higher. Simply put, sellers are holding their resistance at 0.6400 level and price is ranging in side movement. Also, Aud had a strong push up from 0.6240 level after US put tarrifs on foreign countries on April 2nd. Despite this price was pushed down again on April 4th. Entry: 0.62400 SL: 0.65000 TP: 0.5800 For best performance: trade in small size and scale into trade. This gives you opportunity to DCA with small size while keeping risk down.
Short
by VarisSvard
3
AUD\USD SELL IDEASell AUDUSD Reason:Price has reached our pivot point at 0.62288 a potential reversal formation to the price of 0.61301. Wemight experience a hgher price as market could reach our QML level at 0.63147 where we could there after experience a move down to the QML base at 0.59149 First Entry (Pivot Point) Entry:0.62439 Tp:0.61301 Sl:40pips Second Entry(QML) Entry: 0.63147 Tp1: 0.61301 Tp2: 0.59149 Sl: 20pips above QML head Disclaimer :This is an idea used for educational purposes, it is not a financial advice or signal for you to take a trade. If you do, do so at your own risk, forex trading may put your funds at risk of losing them. Always trade safe and only risk what can afford to loe
Short
by GalloFx
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Bank Bearish Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Bank. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout then make your move at (0.62200) - Bearish profits await!" however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the MA level Breakout Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.42800) Day/Swing trade basis. 📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.62900 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💸💵AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.👇 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader