AUDUSD.P trade ideas
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Could Continue HigherMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Could Continue Higher
AUD/USD is correcting gains from the 0.6365 zone.
Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a downside correction from 0.6365 against the US Dollar.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6300 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6185 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.62550 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6275 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6365 zone. A high was formed near 0.6363 and the pair is now correcting gains.
There was a move below the 0.6320 level. The pair declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6186 swing low to the 0.6363 high. On the downside, initial support is near a key bullish trend line at 0.6300.
The next major support is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6186 swing low to the 0.6363 high at 0.6274.
If there is a downside break below the 0.6270 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6255 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6185.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6320. The first major resistance might be 0.6365. An upside break above the 0.6365 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6420 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6450 resistance zone.
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AUDUSD SELL - Multiple Timeframe Confluence!!!Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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Potential bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6335
1st Support: 0.6203
1st Resistance: 0.6401
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AUDUSD H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.6331, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 0.6261, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 0.6373, a pullback resistance.
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AUDUSD Hello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
AUD/USD at Critical Support – Breakout or Breakdown? 🔍 AUD/USD Daily Chart Analysis – March 9, 2025
Key Observations:
Ascending Channel 📈
The price is moving within an upward channel, indicating a short-term bullish trend.
Support & Resistance Zones 🟦🟥
Support: Around 0.6231 - 0.6200 (blue zone). A breakdown below this could push the price lower toward 0.6129 (orange zone).
Resistance: The 0.6460 - 0.6584 level is the next major hurdle for bulls.
200-Day Moving Average (Red Line) 🔴
The price is currently below the 200-MA, indicating a long-term bearish sentiment. However, a breakout above this level could signal a trend reversal.
Potential Scenarios 📊
✅ Bullish Case: If the price sustains above 0.6231, we could see a bounce towards 0.6460 - 0.6584 in the coming weeks.
❌ Bearish Case: A break below 0.6231 could push the price toward the 0.6129 - 0.6100 region before finding support.
Trade Plan 🎯
Buy Zone: Around 0.6231 with a stop-loss below 0.6200.
Sell Zone: If price rejects 0.6460, a short position could be considered with a stop above 0.6584.
📊 Conclusion: AUD/USD is at a key decision point. Bulls need to hold support for further upside. A breakdown could trigger a bearish move.
#AUDUSD 1DAYAUDUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has successfully broken above the trendline resistance, indicating a potential shift towards bullish momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are gaining strength and further upward movement can be expected.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise as long as the price sustains above the broken trendline, confirming the breakout.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Consider a buy position after a successful retest of the broken trendline or upon confirmation of bullish momentum.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the retest level or recent swing low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Targeting key resistance levels based on historical price action.
Market Sentiment:
The breakout above the trendline resistance signals a positive market sentiment. A retest and sustained move above the breakout level can strengthen the bullish outlook.
Bearish drop?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which his a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6331
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6372
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6262
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUDUSD on its way to retest the weekly high. Looking at AU chart for the past week price broke the Mayor Level ( 0.62500 ) where after the break, price gave us a nice Key Level that price rejected after attempting to go lower, meanwhile rejecting the Key Level price started to make Higher Lows and Broke Structure to the upside, Currently price is retracing giving us a nice FIB to look for an entry and the 27ext. lines up with the weekly high ( 0.64000 ). I do believe price is either gonna retest the demand zone ( 0.62750 ) where price confirmed the reversal to the upside or price is gonna start pushing at the 0.63000 level because i can see price is exhausting and wanting to start pushing up.
AUD/USD BullishAUD/USD Weekly Forecast-Bullish Outlook with Key Levels Identified.
Based on my technical analysis for the upcoming week, I anticipate a bullish move in AUD/USD. Despite the expected retracement trades, my primary focus remains on the larger trend.
Technical Analysis.
-timeframe:H4
-key support level (S level): 0.62501
-POI/Target level: 0.63653
-Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.4%
Market Structure & Entry plan.
-The market is currently showing signs of respecting the S level at 0.62501, supported by CHoCH. Although there remains unswept liquidity below this level, I am positioning my entry at 0.62501 with the expectation of a bullish reaction.
Before this move unfolds , R level that could trigger a retracement . This retracement will likely occur to grab liquidity around 0.62708 and 0.62668 before price moves toward our QML . Once the liquidity has been collected , I anticipate price to push toward our entry zone , setting up a strong bullish trade.
Trade Expectations
-entry price: 0.62501
-liquidity grab at : 0.62708 and 0.62668
-expected reaction: After liquidity is taken, price should move toward the QML and then confirm the bullish move toward our target 0.63653
-estimated trade duration: Approximately 2 days.
AUDUSD Bearish Flag Formation: Potential for a Strong Downtrend
AUDUSD is currently trading around 0.63, forming a bearish flag pattern, which is a strong continuation signal for a potential drop in price. The market structure suggests that after a brief consolidation phase, the pair may break downward, targeting the 0.61 level. A confirmed breakout below the flag formation could accelerate selling pressure, leading to a sharp decline. Traders should monitor key support levels and bearish confirmations before entering short positions.
Fundamentally, the U.S. dollar remains strong amid expectations of continued Federal Reserve hawkishness. Recent economic data and risk-off sentiment in global markets have provided further support for USD strength, weighing heavily on AUDUSD. If market sentiment remains risk-averse, the pair could see additional downside pressure, making 0.61 a highly probable target.
From a technical perspective, maintaining a cautious approach is crucial. If AUDUSD breaks below the lower boundary of the flag pattern with strong volume, it could confirm further downside momentum. Traders should look for key resistance at 0.6350, as any rejection from this level could strengthen the bearish outlook. Keeping an eye on upcoming fundamental catalysts such as U.S. economic data and Australian trade reports will be crucial in determining the next move.
AUDUSD 4DThe price has reacted positively to a key support level. Additionally, the MACD moving averages have crossed in the 4-day timeframe.
It is likely that the price will retest the 0.62000 area once more this week before an upward trend begins.
This is just a trading idea and not a buy or sell signal. You should enter a trade based on your own analysis.