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AUDUSD.P trade ideas

"AUD/USD Bullish Setup: Key Levels to Watch"🔹 Technical Analysis of AUD/USD (4H Chart) 🔹 Market Structure & Trend Analysis ▪️ The price is currently in an uptrend, respecting a rising trendline that has acted as dynamic support. ▪️ Multiple rejections from the trendline indicate strong bullish sentiment. ▪️ The market has broken past key resistance zones, turning them into support. 🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels ▪️ Support Zones: ▪️ Point of Interest (POI) at 0.62900: A significant demand area where price is expected to react. ▪️ Lower Support at 0.62500: Potential fallback level if the POI fails to hold. ▪️ Resistance Zones: - 1st Target at 0.64411: Next major resistance where sellers might step in. - 2nd Target at 0.64972: A higher resistance level for extended bullish targets. 🔹 Price Action & Gaps - A previous gap in price was filled, confirming strong bullish momentum. - Retests of previous breakout zones suggest market structure is holding. 🔹 Expected Market Movement ▪️ Bullish Scenario: - A potential pullback to the trendline & POI is expected before a continuation upward. - If support holds, price may rally towards 0.64411 (1st Target) and then 0.64972 (2nd Target). ▪️ Bearish Scenario: - If the price breaks below the trendline, a move towards 0.62500 support may occur. - Further downside could invalidate the bullish bias. 🔹 Conclusion ▪️ Overall bias remains bullish unless the price breaks below the trendline support. ▪️ Watching the POI zone reaction will be crucial for potential buy opportunities. ▪️ Targets remain at 0.64411 and 0.64972 if bullish momentum continues. 😊 Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Ideas In Comments.
Long
by SOAM_PRO_TRADER
AUD/USDd trend at the beginning of the weekAUD/USD news: 🔆The Australian dollar climbed to 0.6370 on Monday following China’s release of its 2025 annual policy statement on Sunday. The statement outlined plans to advance rural reforms and drive comprehensive rural revitalization, boosting optimism about China’s economic outlook. Given China’s significance as Australia’s key trading partner, these stimulus measures could further support the AUD. 🔆Additionally, the AUD/USD pair gained traction as US President Donald Trump signaled potential progress in trade talks with China, easing concerns over tariffs. Investors will remain attentive to any new tariff-related updates from Trump. 🔆Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 4.10%, marking its first rate reduction in four years. RBA Governor Michele Bullock acknowledged the burden of high interest rates but warned that inflation was still a concern. She highlighted the resilience of the labor market and clarified that future rate cuts are not guaranteed, despite market expectations. 🔆The Australian dollar continued to strengthen as the US dollar weakened, following disappointing US economic data. Personal opinion: 🔆AUD will increase in the short term after considering the recent good news, but then there will be a technical adjustment at the 0.6420 area. Technical analysis: 🔆Based on important support - resistance levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell AUDUSD 0.6420 – 0.6435 ❌SL: 0.6480 | ✅TP: 0.6390 – 0.6350 – 0.6300 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
AUD/USD Trend This Week – Retest and Continue Falling?AUD/USD news: 🔆Investors view President Trump’s $4.5 trillion tax cut bill as supportive of economic growth and likely to drive inflation higher. This expectation could prompt Federal Reserve (Fed) officials to keep monetary policy restrictive for an extended period, strengthening the US dollar. 🔆At the same time, the Australian Dollar (AUD) has lagged behind its peers due to weaker-than-expected growth in Australia’s Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January. The CPI increased by 2.5% year-over-year, slightly below the forecast of 2.6% but maintaining the same pace as in December. 🔆Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) reaffirmed that inflation remains a concern after cutting interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.1%. 🔆Looking ahead, concerns over Trump’s tariff policies could keep pressure on the Aussie Dollar. So far, Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on Chinese imports and has threatened a 100% levy on BRICS nations if they attempt to challenge the US dollar’s dominance. Personal opinion: 🔆Due to the impact of the news, the AUD is a risk-sensitive currency to the USD market and there is no positive sign from the Australian central bank (RBA), so the AUD/USD pair will still maintain a downtrend in the short term Analysis: 🔆Based on the trend line and important Fibonacci levels combined with fundamental news to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy AUD/USD 0.6320 - 0.6330 ❌SL: 0.6365 | ✅TP: 0.6280 – 0.6250 – 0.6200 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025 - AUDUSD falling inside wave b - Likely to fall support level 0.6200 AUDUSD currency pair continues to fall inside the b-wave which started earlier from the major resistance level 0.6400 (former strong support from April and August of 2024). The resistance level 0.6400 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band and by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last October. Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment and strong daily downtrend, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.6200, the target price for the completion of the active wave b.
Short
by FxProGlobal
AUDUSD at Key Demand Zone – Potential Rebound?OANDA:AUDUSD has reached a significant demand zone, marked by historical price reactions and strong buying pressure. The recent decline has brought the price into this key support area, increasing the likelihood of a potential bullish reaction. If buyers step in and confirm support within this zone, we could see a rebound toward the 0.63260 level, aligning with a corrective move after the recent sell-off. However, a break below this demand zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could signal further downside continuation. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increased buying volume before considering long positions. Do you agree with this analysis? Let me know your thoughts!
Long
by DanieIM
1
AUD/USD Confirms Bearish Wedge PatternAUD/USD Confirms Bearish Wedge Pattern The AUD/USD pair has confirmed a bearish wedge pattern, suggesting that USD dominance may grow further as focus shifts back to peace talks between Ukraine and Russia. Let's hope for a positive outcome this time. This renewed focus is supporting the strength of the USD. Additionally, lingering tariff issues continue to make the USD volatile, pushing it up and down, although overall, the US economy is performing well. Given the relatively empty economic calendar, AUD/USD may correct within its current zone before potentially moving down to the 0.6300 and 0.6250 levels. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
14
AUDUSD STRONG FALL SOON OPPORTUNITY 1. Breakout Above Resistance The analysis assumes a rejection at the resistance zone, leading to a downtrend. However, if bullish momentum builds, the price could break above resistance, invalidating the sell-off expectation. 2. Support Might Not Hold The marked support zone might be weak if there is strong bearish sentiment, leading to a potential breakdown rather than a reversal from that level. 3. Range-bound Market Instead of a clear breakout or breakdown, AUD/USD might stay within a sideways range, consolidating between support and resistance rather than making a decisive move. 4. Fundamental Factors Economic data releases, central bank policies, or geopolitical events could override this technical setup, causing unexpected price movements in either direction.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
2
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 26/02/2025Last week the Judas Swing strategy had another action-packed week! As we took four trades across our selected currency pairs ( FX:GBPUSD , FX:AUDUSD , FX:EURUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD ), securing two wins and two losses, but still closing the week with a solid 2% gain. Given the strategy’s consistency over the past few weeks and months, we were eager to see how it would perform this week. On Monday, we waited for a setup on FX:EURUSD , but it fell just a few pipettes short of meeting all the criteria on our checklist. Since one key requirement wasn’t met, we stayed disciplined and skipped the trade. Now, here’s the important part—although that trade ended up being a winner, it didn’t bother us. Why? Because it didn’t align with our strategy, and we don’t risk our hard-earned money on trades that don’t check all the boxes. If you find yourself entering random trades, it’s time to create a checklist and stick to it. Discipline is what separates consistent traders from gamblers. Fast forward to Wednesday, we spotted a promising setup on FX:AUDUSD and we were eager to see how the session would unfold. After a sweep of liquidity at the lows, our focus immediately shifted to potential buying opportunities. Once we got a break of structure to the upside, all that was left was a retrace into the FVG before executing the trade. But patience was key—we reminded ourselves of Monday’s setup, where a similar scenario played out, yet the retrace never came. That trade had to be left behind, and we weren’t about to force an entry this time either Finally, price retraced into the FVG, and as soon as that candle closed, we were ready to execute the trade. We risk 1% per trade with the goal of securing a 2% return ensuring our wins outweigh our losses over time. With this strategy’s win rate hovering around 50%, sticking to our rules keeps us on the path to long-term profitability After entering the trade, we experienced a slight drawdown for less than five minutes, dipping just 2 pips nothing out of the ordinary. Our entry candle had closed in our intended direction, so we stayed patient. Soon after, price moved decisively in our favor, hitting our target in just 1 hour and 10 minutes. Our patience paid off this time with a solid 2% return on a trade where we had only risked 1%.
by CleoFinance
AUD/USD dip could be nearing its inflection pointAfter a 3-week rally which stalled around the 64c handle with a shooting star candle, a pullback was almost inevitable. but we have already seen AUD/USD fall for four consecutive days, and recent history shows its bearish streaks tend to max out at five down days. Given support is nearby and the AU-US 2-year yield is rising, I am now seeking a swing low around the 0.62750 - 0.6300 area for at least a minor bounce. But if the recent swing low on the US dollar index gives way, perhaps something much bigger. A break above 0.6420 opens up a run to 0.6500. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
1
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 0.6324 1st Support: 0.6259 1st Resistance: 0.6367 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUD/USD – High Probability Long Setup1️⃣ Trade Execution – Why I Took the Long Position Today's AUD/USD trade was a perfect setup combining Fibonacci retracements, institutional order flow, and seasonality trends from Prime Market Terminal. The confluences aligned well for a high-probability long entry. 💡 Entry Details: ✅ Entry: 0.6380 (Key demand zone + Fibonacci golden zone) ✅ Stop Loss: 0.6365 (Below market structure) ✅ Take Profit: 0.6429 - 0.6450 (Previous supply zone & liquidity target) ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 🎯 Result: Currently in profit, monitoring for further upside! ✅ 2️⃣ Why This Trade Worked – A Breakdown of the Confluences 📊 Fibonacci Retracement – Textbook Pullback & Bounce Price retraced into the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone (0.6380 - 0.6365) and bounced perfectly. The bullish move followed an impulse leg, suggesting smart money accumulation in this zone. 📈 Smart Money & Order Flow – Trading with Institutions 🔹 Order flow from Prime Market Terminal shows major liquidity pools accumulating long positions. 🔹 DMX Data: 43% long vs. 57% short, indicating potential for a reversal as shorts get trapped. 🔹 COT Data: Institutional traders increasing their net long exposure on AUD. 🕵️‍♂️ Seasonality & Historical Trends Supported the Long 📊 Seasonal Prime data indicates AUD/USD historically trends higher in late February & March. 📅 Next 3-5 day forecast shows bullish probability, reinforcing the long bias. 📉 Technical Confirmation – Structure & Momentum ✅ SuperTrend flipped bullish on the 4H chart ✅ Price is trading above key moving averages (EMA 6, 24, 72, 288) ✅ Broke above short-term resistance, confirming upward momentum 3️⃣ Key Takeaways from This Trade 🔹 Trading with smart money flow and against retail sentiment increases trade probability. 🔹 Seasonality trends aligned perfectly, adding confidence in the setup. 🔹 Fibonacci, EMAs, and Prime Market Terminal data provided a precise entry. 🔹 Patience and risk management ensured a well-executed trade. 📌 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for AUD/USD? 🚀 With this bullish breakout, I’m looking for further longs on dips, targeting the 0.6450 - 0.6480 zone. 👀 What’s your outlook on AUD/USD? Are you long or short? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🔗 Follow me for more institutional trade setups & contrarian trading ideas!
Long
by LDForex_
AUD/USD drops to test key support after weak Aussie CPIThe AUD/USD has fallen about 0.5% on the session, making it among the weakest of currency pairs so far in today's session. We had some weaker data from Australia overnight in the form of CPI, coming in at 2.5% vs. 2.6% eyed, and construction work done was half the expected rate at 0.5% q/q. The focus will turn to the US side of the equation as we head deeper into the week with GDP, Core PCE and a few other data releases to come. From a technical viewpoint, the AUD/USD is testing a key support zone around 0.6300, which needs to hold on a closing basis to keep the bulls happy. This level was resistance and could turn into support given the recent bullish price action. Here, the 21-day exponential average also comes into focus. If we see a nice rebound here, this could set the stage for a continuation towards 0.6400 and then 0.6500 thereafter. Let's await a bullish reversal here before potentially looking for setups, at least on the lower time frames. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom