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AUDUSD.P trade ideas

AUDUSD: Examining Key Historical Support LeveThe decline of the Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar was addressed in the previous analysis. However, the situation for this pair remains critical, and further declines are not unexpected. As shown on the chart, the next key support is at 0.6169. Yet, it seems likely that the pair may fall further, potentially rebounding from around 0.6, a historical demand zone. If the 0.6169 support is broken, a deeper drop can be anticipated. But when can we be confident that the decline has ended? A positive reaction to the 0.6169 support, combined with a break of the downward trendline, could encourage buying this pair.
Short
by UtoForex
1
AUDUSD SHORT - (Short + medium term direction prediction)Higher Timeframe trend = Sell Retail trader bias = Buy Institutional bias = Sell Short term target = retail trader stoploss zone I would like to clarify that I dont trade with extended targets like the secondary and tertiary ones marked. This might be handy for people who leave runners on their trades. Also keep in mind that I am only providing my own SUBJECTIVE potential target levels here. The best thing to do would be to drop down to lower timeframes and look for good areas of value to enter that are part of your own plan. S : -7 C : 26,74 - 56,44 R : 73,27
Short
by Gamblers-Fallacy
2
AUD/USD lower ahead of RBA minutesThe Australian dollar has posted losses on Monday. Early in the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6227, down 0.31% at the time of writing. It's a very light calendar week, with the Christmas holiday just around the corner. The Reserve Bank of Australia releases the minutes of this month's meeting on Tuesday, which is the sole Australian event this week. At the December meeting, the RBA held the cash rate at 4.35% for the ninth straight time. Still, the rate statement held out hope for a near-term rate cut, based on some nuances in the language. Previous statements had signaled that rate hikes were on the table, with the board stating it was not "ruling anything in or out", but this phrase was omitted in the December statement. The RBA also sounded more optimistic about the inflation outlook, with the statement noting that the board was "gaining confidence that inflation is moving sustainably towards target". The market viewed this language as being dovish, although Governor Bullock reiterated after the meeting that the February rate decision would be based on the data. In the US, durable goods orders declined 1.1% m/m in November, after an upwardly revised 0.8% gain in October and well below the market estimate of -0.4%. The decline was largely driven by a decrease in new orders for transportation equipment. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence index fell sharply in December to 104.7, down from an upwardly revised 112.8 and well off the market estimate of 113. Consumers were less optimistic about the employment outlook and incomes. The Conference Board report found that consumers are concerned that the tariffs proposed by the incoming Trump administration will push prices higher in 2025. AUD/USD pushed below support at 0.6247 and tested support at 0.6219 earlier 0.6278 and 0.6306 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
Festive Learning: Using the MACD to Determine a TrendIn previous posts within this series, we have covered, Bollinger Bands and moving averages, where we’ve shown how each technique can help determine the trending condition of an asset. If you haven’t already, please look back at our timeline to view these posts. Now we want to look at another trending indicator, which can help to provide a quick and easy read of the current trend. This is called the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator, or MACD for short. The MACD uses 12 and 26 day exponential moving averages (EMAs), which are the default settings within the Pepperstone charting system. Exponential averages differ from simple moving averages as they place greater emphasis on the latest closing data for a particular instrument. This goes someway to try and overcome the issue of averages being lagging in nature. By giving the latest closing levels greater importance within the exponential calculation, these averages can turn more quickly than a simple average, to reflect price direction changes earlier. What is the MACD and How Does it Use Moving Averages? The MACD uses 12 and 26 day EMAs and measures the gap between the two. This is important as the 12 day EMA will follow the price action of an instrument more closely than the 26 day EMA. Meaning, as prices rise above the averages in an uptrend, the gap between the shorter and longer term EMA increases in a positive way. While in a downtrend as price falls below the 2 declining averages, the gap increases in a negative way. Let’s look further at the daily chart of AUDUSD and add the MACD indicator to see how this works in practice. The blue line of the indicator shows the gap between the 2 exponential moving averages, while the red line is a 9 day moving average of the indicator line. What Does the MACD Show, and How Can We Use This to Help Within Our Day to Day Trading? It’s a trending indicator, so we use it to confirm the trending condition of an instrument, but we also use it to help us decide if whether our sentiment towards that instrument should be positive or negative. There are 4 possible signals we can highlight by using the MACD. These are, • an aggressive uptrend, • an aggressive downtrend, • a correction within an uptrend • a correction within a downtrend. An Aggressive Uptrend Signal. This is where the rising MACD indicator line (blue line on the MACD chart) is above zero and above its own average. This reflects the 12 day EMA being above the 26 day EMA, and the gap between the two averages is increasing, as the price of an instrument moves higher. This set-up reflects when sentiment should be positive towards an instrument, as the potential is that the current uptrend could continue. Aggressive Downtrend Signal The aggressive downtrend signal is when the MACD indicator line (blue line on the MACD chart) is falling below both zero and its own average. This reflects where the declining 12 day EMA is falling below the declining 26 day EMA, as both averages track the declining price of an instrument. This can highlight when sentiment should be negative towards an instrument because the current downtrend may extend further. But what about consolidation signals? Consolidation Within an Uptrend A consolidation within an uptrend can develop when the MACD indicator line (blue line on the MACD chart) while still above zero has crossed below its own moving average (re line on the MACD chart). This is not a negative signal because the MACD line is still above zero suggesting an uptrend is currently in place, but it highlights a reaction to the recent price strength is appearing and that a possible consolidation within the uptrend may materialise. It can suggest a period where we may wish to close any long positions in the instrument at this point and revert to the sidelines, as a downside correction could be due. We would then look for the MACD line (blue line on the MACD chart) to either break below zero to suggest a downtrend is now evident, or the more aggressive uptrend to resume if the MACD line breaks back above its own average. Consolidation Within a Downtrend A consolidation within a downtrend is seen when the MACD line (blue line on the MACD chart) is still below zero but has crossed above its own moving average (red line on MACD chart). Here, we may want to close any potential short positions, as a potential upside recovery may be developing. This is not a positive signal because the MACD line (blue line on the MACD chart) is still below zero highlighting a downtrend is still in play, but suggests a reaction to recent price weakness is materialising and that a recovery is possible within the on-going downtrend. We would then look for the MACD line to either break above zero to suggest an uptrend for the instrument could be starting, or for prices to resume their downside moves and for the MACD line to break under its own average (red line on MACD chart) to highlight the more aggressive downtrend is still dominating. We can use these signals to either initiate outright trades, or to help us gauge the trending set-up within any instrument at any given time. The MACD indicator could then be combined with other techniques to help time trade entry within the direction of the confirmed trend, which we hope to cover in future posts. So, in recent weeks we have looked at various techniques and indicators to help us gauge the trending condition of an asset at any given time. Each can be used either on their own or in combination with the other and price patterns, but we’re sure you will find them very useful to incorporate within your own analysis and trading. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Education
by Pepperstone
1
AUDUSD buy Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today AUDUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity onAUDCAD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Long
by ForexMasters2000
AUDUSD 2025 ANALYSISThe AUD/USD currency pair represents the exchange rate between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and the US Dollar (USD). As one of the most traded currency pairs globally, it is closely watched by traders, economists, and investors alike. The USD has been relatively strong in recent months, driven by the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rates and global economic conditions. This has placed downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair, but any shifts in US monetary policy could cause sudden reversals. The AUD/USD pair is highly sensitive to a variety of economic, geopolitical, and market factors. For traders, keeping an eye on global economic trends, commodity prices, and central bank decisions is key to navigating this dynamic currency pair. SELL SELL SELL SELL!
Short
by MrBills_219