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AUDUSD.P trade ideas

AUD/USD - We had a decent drop time to recoverHi guys, we are looking next into the AUD/USD - Fundamentals : 1. Strong Australian Economic Outlook The Australian economy benefits from its abundant natural resources, including iron ore and coal, which are critical exports to key trading partners like China. With China's economic recovery gaining momentum, increased demand for Australian commodities is expected to support the AUD. 2. Rising Commodity Prices Australia’s economy is closely tied to commodity markets. Recent rallies in commodity prices, particularly in metals and energy, provide a supportive backdrop for the AUD. Higher export revenues strengthen the currency by improving the country’s terms of trade and boosting investor confidence. 3. Divergence in Central Bank Policies The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has taken a data-driven approach to monetary policy, potentially adopting a more hawkish stance if inflation persists. Meanwhile, expectations of a pause or slowdown in the Federal Reserve's rate hikes could reduce support for the USD, narrowing the interest rate differential and favoring the AUD. Technicals : Simply pair has been low for quite a long time over bigger time frames such as 4H,1D,1W Entry: 0.62500 Target: 0.63500 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Long
by DG55Capital
AUDUSD POSSIBLE BUYBased on 4HR TF, the market seems to be a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. Another added conlfuence is the Daily TF showing a RSI divergence. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
Long
by WiLLProsperForex
AUDUSD potential buyWith the recent push down of the US index there is a high probably of buying momentum in the Aussie dollar due to weaker US data yesterday. With the SMC indicator in the 4hr time frame we can see a rejection of price to the downside while breaking thought the PML. In my opinion it will race towards TP1 which is a good place to exit since there is an orderblock at that level. If it breaks through that Orderblock you could wait for a pullback & enter to play for TP2 & TP3 or simply just trailstop each time it breaks past a TP level till you get stopped out.
Long
by bethalldaybae
AUDUSD Bull x Bears Tag of war --- **Market Analysis: Daily & H4 Timeframes** ### Daily Timeframe: On the Daily timeframe, I’m noticing that the price is bouncing off a **resistance turned support** around the **0.6200** zone. This could suggest potential for further upside. - The **next resistance** level to watch is around **0.6300**. - However, if we see a **close below 0.6281**, I believe this could open the door for the bears, potentially pushing the price towards the next support at **0.6142**. ### H4 Timeframe: On the H4 chart, the price is bouncing off a potential support level around **0.6393**. If we see a **close below 0.6190**, it could lead to a further drop towards **0.6142**. ### Key Levels to Watch: - **Support**: 0.6200, 0.6190, 0.6142 - **Resistance**: 0.6300, 0.6350 At the moment, I’m focused on the possibility of a move towards **0.6350** if the bulls manage to keep pushing higher. ---
Long
by J_Ngatia
AUD/USD Downtrend Testing Post-COVID LowsChart Analysis: The AUD/USD pair remains in a persistent downtrend, with prices recently testing a critical horizontal support level near 0.6170. 1️⃣ Downtrend Line: A steep descending trendline (red line) highlights sustained bearish momentum. Price has yet to break above this line, signaling continued pressure on the downside. 2️⃣ Key Support Level: Horizontal support at 0.6170 has held so far, forming a potential base for near-term consolidation or bounce attempts. 3️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Trending downward at 0.6386, reinforcing the bearish bias. 200-day SMA (red): Declining at 0.6589, confirming a longer-term downtrend. 4️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 35, approaching oversold territory but not yet signaling a reversal. MACD: Bearish momentum persists as the MACD line stays negative, though slightly stabilizing. What to Watch: A decisive close below 0.6170 could trigger further downside, potentially targeting 0.6100. Conversely, a break above the descending trendline would challenge the bearish structure and open the door for recovery toward the 50-day SMA. Watch for signs of momentum divergence on the RSI as the pair nears critical support. AUD/USD remains vulnerable within its prevailing downtrend. However, the horizontal support at 0.6170 offers a focal point for traders monitoring potential breakout or breakdown scenarios. -MW
by FOREXcom
AUD/USD Is Crashing—Don’t Miss This Massive Opportunity!In this analysis, we dive deep into the AUD/USD pair, highlighting its ongoing bearish momentum and key levels to watch. Starting from the monthly timeframe, we explore the AUD’s struggles against the USD, identifying a strong bearish close in December and potential continuation downward. Key Highlights: • The Aussie Dollar has been in a 14-week downtrend , with the .6130 support level now in focus. • On the H4 timeframe , we’re looking for a pullback to areas like .6180 or a liquidity sweep around .6200 for potential sell opportunities. • Why the USD matters: The Dollar Index (DXY) shows bullish strength with strong volume increases, higher highs, and key resistance levels broken. These indicate continued pressure on AUD/USD. Expectations: • A potential break of the .6130 support level with further bearish movement as the USD strengthens. • Watch for reactions at key levels and pullbacks before entering short positions. If this breakdown was helpful, boost the post, share it with your trading circle, and let us know in the comments what pair you’d like analyzed next. Let’s keep dominating the markets! 💼📊 #AUDUSD #ForexAnalysis #TradingInsights #DXY
Short
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
2
AUDUSD - Potential Bullish Reversal, LONGDear Friends, CPI Today, be Safe! How I see it: Falling Wedge Pattern. Price is holding around fair market value, exhaustion characteristics. Safest Option: Waiting for a wedge " breakout and hold (or Re-Test)" for a "Long" entry. The falling wedge pattern "breakouts" can be some of the most explosive of all breakouts. Keynote: (Patience!) "Falling Wedge Exhaustion" patterns are the best bullish reversal indicators in my opinion. It is also the best breakout patterns for a "LONG" entry of course. Whatever happens, regardless of the strength and the distance of the "breakout". IT HAS TO COME BACK AND TEST THE BREAKOUT "ZONE" AGAIN, ALWAYS! I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
Long
by ANROC
AUDUSD → Trigger breakdown will trigger a fallFX:AUDUSD is approaching the trigger that can provoke a strong fall. Against the backdrop of a strong and rising dollar, the Aussie doesn't stand a chance yet. The price is testing the level from the weekly timeframe, the breakdown of which will open the way to the abyss. There is no support until 0.54-0.55. Based on Trump's policy, the Fed's stance and the potential of the Australian dollar we can say that the odds are generally quite high that the price will continue its decline in the medium term expectation. Technically, on 4H the price is approaching the level of 0.6179. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming in relation to the level. I do not exclude an attempt to retest the local resistance before further breakout, but the general technical and fundamental situation hints at a decline. Resistance levels: 0.6199, 0.622, 0.6274 Support levels: 0.6179 Downward channel, retest of support after false breakdown of resistance (deceptive maneuver before a strong fall). Emphasis on the trigger at 0.6179. Breakdown and price consolidation below the level will trigger a fall Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
8
AUDUSD trading signalAUDUSD trading signal We have analyzed the nearest prospects for the AUDUSD currency pair. “Market View” is a short analysis of trading instruments about the most important things on the FOREX market. 👇 In comments👇 you can leave the trading instrument you want to analyze, and in the next videos we will definitely consider it together with you. 🚀 Trade with the professionals of THS - Wave Theory! 🔹 All trades are based on wave analysis. 🔹 Fixed stop loss and take profit for risk management. 🔹 100% automation: copy trades through CopyFX service. 🔹 Reliability and transparency: the results are confirmed by the market. 📈 Don't miss the chance to earn steadily! 👉 Connect to CopyFX with THS and start copying profitable trades right now! 💡 Details on our channel and in the app!
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
1
Ghost Traders FX AUD/USD HTF Reversal [LONG] My analysis for the coming weeks/months for AUD/USD. Right now, I see max fear in the markets for AUD, overwhelming bearish sentiment & no momentum in big money adding to short positions in recent COT reports. When profit taking begins on these short positions, you will see huge volatility back to the upside. When exactly this may occur, is anyone's guess. The previous monthly candle did not grab liquidity on it's retracement, signalling to me that the major HTF liquidity pull to the downside we've just witnessed, as it does historically, will be met with a similar size pull back the other way. All major recent HTF lows that may have had long liquidity resting in these regions for both Retail & Institutional money has been absorbed, leading me to believe we're now entering an accumulation phase at these discount prices on AUD/USD. There's a fair few hints in the candle structure across all timeframes from the 4H, to the Monthly, if you know what to look for. Best of luck to Longers, and Shorters, like I always say, there is no point in crying or reacting to people with opposing viewpoints, as more likely than not, their analysis has 0 bearing on what your analysis is. Both sides can make money - relax! Wishing you all success in these critical times for this pair & the global economy in general.
Long
by Ghost_Traders_FX
5
AUDUSD: Potential Pullback from Key Support ZoneThe AUDUSD pair is currently trading near a key daily support zone in the 0.61600–0.62400 range, which has previously acted as strong support. This area is critical as it aligns with historical price rejections and hints at the possibility of a bullish reversal. If buyers regain control in this zone and the price begins to show signs of upward momentum, I anticipate a move toward the 0.63700 level. if you agree with this analysis or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
Aussie rises after US core CPI declines to 3.2%The Australian dollar is higher for a third consecutive trading day. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6233, up 0.63% at the time of writing. The US inflation report for December was a mixed bag, as headline CPI rose while the core rate declined. Headline CPI rose to 2.9% y/y from 2.7% in November, matching the market estimate. Monthly, headline CPI rose to 0.4%, up from 0.3% and above the market estimate of 0.3%. The more important story was the decline in core CPI, which excludes food and energy and is more closely watched by the Federal Reserve than the headline data. Core CPI eased to 3.2% y/y in December, down from 3.3% over the past three months and below the market estimate of 3.3%.  Monthly, core CPI ticked lower to 0.2% in December, down from 0.3% a month earlier and in line with the market estimate. The decline in core CPI was small but still significant, as the core rate showed downward movement after remaining unchanged for three months. Investors responded by raising the probability of a quarter-point cut in March at 29%, up from 19% prior to the inflation release, according to CME's FedWatch. The Fed meets at the end of the month and is virtually certain to hold rates. Australia releases the December employment report early on Thursday. Australia's labor market remains solid, although the economy as a whole is struggling. Job growth increased by a strong 35.6 thousand in November, beating expectations. Will the positive trend continue? The market estimate for December stands at 15 thousand, which would mark a nine-month low. The unemployment rate has been low and fell to an eight-month low in November at 3.9%. It is expected to creep up to 4.0% in December. The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on Feb. 18 and the strength of the labor market is a key consideration in the central bank's decision-making. As long as the labor market remains solid and does not deteriorate quickly, the RBA can afford to hold off on a rate cut. If, however, the employment report is softer than expected, it would put pressure on the RBA to lower rates at next month's meeting. AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6231. Above, there is resistance at 0.6255 0.6189 and 0.6171 are providing support
by OANDA