AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.641.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.629 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD.P trade ideas
Aussie Rally Fizzles at ResistanceThe Australian Dollar staged an impressive V-shaped recovery month with AUD/USD surging more than 9% off multi-year lows. The advance has now extended into confluent resistance at 6408/29- a region defined by the 50% retracement of the 2024 decline and the February swing high. Note that the upper parallel of the descending pitchfork converges on this threshold over the next few days and further highlights the technical significance of this zone- looking for a reaction off this mark.
Initial support rests with the August / April lows at 6348/62- a break / daily close below this threshold would threaten a larger setback towards the 38.2% retracement / monthly open at 6245/47 with key support steady at the 2022 low / 2025 yearly open at 6170/88 (an area of interest for possible downside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached). Losses below this threshold would mark resumption of the broader downtrend.
Ultimately, a topside breach / close above the 200-day moving average near ~6465 would be needed to validate a breakout of the October downtrend / suggest a larger trend reversal is underway. Subsequent resistance is eyed at the 61.8% retracement at 6550 and the November high-day close (HDC) at 6680.
Bottom line: A 9% rally off multi-year lows takes AUD/USD into multi-month downtrend resistance- risk for possible topside exhaustion / price inflection here. From a trading standpoint, a good zone to reduce portions of long-exposure / raise protective stops- losses should be limited to 6245 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the 200-day moving average need to fuel the next leg of the advance.
-MB
Shorts BiasThe Australian dollar is currently under pressure against the U.S. dollar, trading below key resistance levels. Recent technical indicators suggest weakening bullish momentum, and upcoming Australian inflation data may increase the likelihood of the Reserve Bank of Australia implementing further rate cuts. This monetary policy outlook adds to the bearish sentiment for the AUD.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64100 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.64100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUD/USD Faces Resistance Rejection – Short Setup in Play!Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart
Analyzing intraday to short-term movement in AUD/USD.
Entry Zone (Supply Area):
Price entered the resistance zone near 0.64160 – 0.64200, indicating a potential short entry.
Bearish Rejection:
Strong wick rejection from resistance suggests sellers are active at that level.
Stop-Loss (Red Box Top):
Placed just above the resistance at 0.64296, guarding against false breakouts.
Target Zone (Demand Area):
Marked near 0.63560 – 0.63600, indicating a potential take profit level.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The green (reward) area is significantly larger than the red (risk), showing a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
Trend Bias:
Overall bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows, supporting short trade bias.
Trigger Confirmation:
Price rejected resistance and started falling, indicating short trade activation.
no clear momentum yet - keep within the trend line🔔🔔🔔 AUD/USD news:
➡️ The Australian Dollar is slightly lower on Tuesday after recording a gain of more than 0.50% against the US Dollar in the previous session. The AUD/USD pair lost ground as the US Dollar gained amid easing global trade tensions.
➡️ However, the newly released US JOLTS Job Openings data is negative for the USD and could limit the decline of AUD/USD
Personal opinion:
➡️ USD/CAD will remain within the trend line and wait for strong enough news to break out of the safe zone in the coming time
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉 Buy AUD/USD 0.6385 - 0.6395
❌SL: 0.6340 | ✅TP: 0.6430
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Aussie H4 | Falling toward an overlap supportThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6336 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.6235 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6463 which is a swing-high resistance.
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AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday 15' order block trading levels
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The Xrest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the Booster and subscribe!
Key Points
- Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated, “We all want this war to end fairly. There should be no rewards for Putin—especially not territorial concessions.”
- As trade negotiations between the United States and China remain stalled, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that China bears responsibility for the tariffs and could lose up to 10 million jobs if the tariffs persist.
- U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said in an interview with CNBC, “We already have a finalized agreement, but we must wait for approval from their prime minister and parliament.”
- The Trump administration officially announced a temporary two-year suspension of tariffs on foreign auto parts used in vehicles manufactured within the United States.
This Week's Major Economic Calendar
+ April 30: Germany Q1 GDP, Germany April Consumer Price Index (CPI), U.S. April ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, U.S. March Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
+ May 1: Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision
+ May 2: Eurozone April CPI, U.S. April Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), U.S. April Unemployment Rate
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
Although a downward reversal was initially anticipated, the pair continues to test upper resistance levels. For a clearer directional outlook, it must either break through the resistance above or fall below the 0.63000 level.
- If the upper resistance is broken, a rise toward the 0.68000 level is expected.
- Conversely, if the price breaks below 0.63000, a decline toward the 0.60000 level is likely.
AUD/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
AUD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.639
Target Level: 0.636
Stop Loss: 0.642
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUDUSDSwing trade
- possibility of a short position
- rejected and retested off our daily resistance line
- bearish candle sticks
- breaking through the upwards trend line
- breaking through our 15m demand line
- now we wait ( is it a falls breakout?- will it break through and retest and continue towards the demand zone
AUDUSD is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis.
Steps to follow:
Analyze yourself.
Take the position with SL and Take Profits.
Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :)
Get the result.
I will update the trade every day.
Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger!
Good trades, Traders!
The golden bear
Bearish to fill demandAUDUSD current phase of consolidation ending soon. Will breakout one way or the other but I'm betting bearish.
Noteable supply one at top of consolidation, with massive liquidity grab above. Coming back into this supply after asia session 28th April.
Waiting for confirmation on the drop.
I will be looking for a break in structure to the downside on the 30min and then a retest up to supply before aiming for this demand zone over the long term at 0.60600
AUD_USD GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅AUD_USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
Consolidating above the
Horizontal support level
Around 0.6371 and we are
Already seeing a bullish
Rebound from the level
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
The pair to go further
Up this week
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD-USD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD started the trading
Week with a strong bullish
Move up from the horizontal
Support of 0.6371 while trading
In an uptrend so we are bullish
Biased mid-term and we will
Be expecting a further bullish
Continuation, but its best to
Wait and see how the price
Interacts with the local
Key level of 0.6439 as
We might see a local
Pullback from this supply
Area giving us a better
Entry price for the long
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D28 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday 5' & 15' order block trading levels
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Australian CPI Surprise: What It Means for the RBA & AUD/USDMatt Simpson breaks down the latest Australian inflation data and what it could mean for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s next move. Plus, we dive into the AUD/USD, AUD/CAD, GBP/AUD and EUR/AUD charts for key technical setups traders need to watch right now.
AUDUSD SHORT IDEAUnder current market conditions, the area near 0.6398 has been identified as a critical resistance zone, where the AI model detects a high-probability trade setup.
From a technical perspective, a clear directional bias based on recent price action patterns. Suppose the market demonstrates increased volume and price stability above key moving averages in the 0.6398 area. In that case, traders are advised to monitor for trend-continuation entry opportunities in alignment with the prevailing momentum.
Profit targets are defined at 0.6372 and 0.6344, corresponding to logical technical support zones. These levels are designed for staged profit-taking across different trade management styles. Stop-loss should be strictly enforced at the designated level; once breached, the strategy is considered invalidated in order to limit potential downside.